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timwest
2012年4月30日午後7時1分

CMG Uptrend Broken 

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.NYSE

詳細

CMG has broken below a key level of technical support at 421 where it had spend more than two weeks building a base. The support level broke on heavy volume and this selling zone has been retested on a light volume advance and is close to failing as of this analysis (failure is defined if CMG breaks under a previous day's low). You can see how low CMG would have to go to see another level where it had traded for 13 days. Target 400. Stop loss: 425.

This is a technical-only analysis, but CMG's market cap is a large $13 billion and their earnings are a small $230 million (rounding off). With sales only $2.4 billion, CMG is a whopping 5.8 times trailing revenues. Would you buy the whole company with $13 billion of your cash laying around so you can "earn" less than 2% on your money in a restaurant business? Obviously they have leverage to grow the company and have done so very successfully to date.

Cheers. By: Technical Tim, 3:00PM EST Monday, April 30, 2012
コメント
lercarto
Agreed.
StopPrintinMoney
Followed.
StopPrintinMoney
Agreed.
timwest
CMG is about to make its first downside target...
charttrader
Tim, could you please provide your opinion/post an update on CMG at this moment? Do you agree with long term shorting opportunities published by nmike tradingview.com/v/HmtAaV1p/ ?

hahn-paul
Followed.
miller_joe
Followed.
petervoigt167
Agreed.
timwest
The path veered a bit by not dropping to 400 first, but did go up to the area that I thought it needed to rally to. Also, CMG didn't hit the stop and is now nicely profitable. Hope you all are doing well too.
charttrader
Thank you Tim
詳細