TradingView
SPYvsGME
2022年12月7日午後3時11分

Keep Calm and 4k On 

AMEX:SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTArca

詳細

⋅
Bears don't get to convinced a sell off is near.

Bulls will be buying the dip for the entire next year.

4K is the level, premium the harvest.

----

In this idea I present to you a level everyone should be aware of because my prediction is that we will end 2023 around 4k.

I was browsing the SPX options chain for 2023 and 4k is by far the highest open interest across all major expires like quad witching.

This shouldn't be a surprise as it has been a magnet since the Archegos margin call.

I jokingly call it the Archegos Gap.



But after extensive research into SLR and ON Reverse Repos it is also a major level the Fed shifted policy in 2021.



Every directional shift higher or to lower from 4k has correlation with the Archegos Gap.

Most notable are:

Inverted Yield Curves


Hyper Inflation


Debt


DXY



The market is starting to wake up to the idea equities will be flat for the entire year.











コメント

⋅

コメント

⋅
TSLA forming an inverse H&S. Idea will be posted should TSLA confirm neckline.

コメント

⋅
Final Thoughts on intraday today.


Range bound to 20D into PPI tomorrow at 8:30AM.

Event Volatility will roll into next week.

CPI into FOMC followed by Quad Witching Expiry.

Through all the selling the past few days Gamma Exposure bounced off zero gamma on dealer directional exposures.

コメント

⋅
Levels going into FOMC tomorrow and quad witching this week.
Trend AnalysisBeyond Technical Analysisarchegosgap4kFLAT
コメント
TradingView
⋅
JackOfAllTrader
⋅
We are definitely heading down soon. Macro headwinds are too strong.. Just a waiting game at this point. not to mentions we are now trading below the 200 and 100 ma's again...
SPYvsGME
⋅
@JackOfAllTrader, my indicators are still whispering we break the 200D next week. Maybe Friday.

1) A pattern in PPI which can not be ignored. What goes up, Must come down.


2) The bottom is in on Bonds.
galexyb2076h
⋅
yes
financialfreedomgoals101
⋅
Good Luck with your trade idea bro, Here's my opinion on SP500.
SPYvsGME
⋅
@financialfreedomgoals101, Thanks. Really appreciate the counter idea.

I have tracked that resistance line thoroughly in the past.

1 important fact about trend lines. They are there to be broken.
financialfreedomgoals101
⋅
We have the same perspective on the upcoming bear market in SP500
xdeerizx
⋅
Good luck trying to run up a bull for Q1 earnings. This is a trap. I’ll look for you at 3200.
SPYvsGME
⋅
@xdeerizx, if it dies. it dies.

I do some crash / bear scenarios all the time. Maybe you will enjoy my Bear content more.















Cheers. I'll do requests if you send me clown pics in DM.
Yelli_trades
⋅
Oh wow, really great research. thank you!
詳細