High probability strategies for the London Session

Hey traders, let's break down the London session trading . In my opinion key session for the forex trading mainly for the EUR, GBP and CHF. I ll show you two high probability setups and its conditions to trade and when not to trade. Make notes and backtests so you got statistics and you can improve yourself over time. You will find out, that if you focus only on these 2 setups on 3 mentioned currencies. You will have 3-5 high probability opportunities per week.
Which is enough to make 6R gains in a week. Which is 3% on prop account with risk 0.5% per trade. And it's enough to make trading your main income.

📌 Asian Session
Low volatility & accumulation phase — the market usually consolidates inside a tight range after the previous New York close. If the Asia session is trending, London will be continuation setup.

📌 London Session
The highest-probability setups often occur during this session.
If Asia was tight range, London usually manipulates the Asian range sweeping stops above or below then reverses and starts the true daily move. London will be Reversal setup. Often sets the daily high or low of the day

📌 New York Session
Brings in the highest volume and often continuation or reversal of the London move. Based what has happen in London and on relationship with key levels and market phases. We can build market narrative for our trades.

🧪 London Continuation Bearish setup
•Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open
• H1: Asia runs above the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 premium key level and continues in the same direction
❌Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session

🧪 London Continuation Bullish setup
• Narrative: Asia did the manipulation → London does the continuation.
• Asia session already made a manipulation into a key level
• Price displaced away from that level
• CIOD / OB on M15 or H1 before London open
• H1: Asia runs bellow the stops above H1 high into a key level
• It gets rejected and followed by order block and displacement
• At London open, price retraces into M15 discount key level and continues in the same direction
❌Invalidation: the manipulation high/low from Asia session

🧪 London Reversal Bearish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price reject at the key level and created M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates Bellow Key Level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that Key Level
• M15 breaks down → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌Invalidation: the London session high (manipulation point)

🧪 London Reversal Bullish setup
• Narrative: London performs the manipulation → price reverses.
• Asia session consolidates near a higher timeframe key level
• London open initiates the manipulation into the key level
• Price reject at the key level and created M15 order block • H1: Asia consolidates above the Key Level
• London opens, price runs Asia high into that Key Level
• M15 breaks up → Change in order flow → clean short setup
• Target: higher timeframe draw on liquidity (e.g., previous day low)
❌Invalidation: the London session low (manipulation point)

🧩 to trade this method successfully you need to understand Order Blocks
🔗 Click the picture below to learn more👇

🕐 Timing is important
1️⃣Continuation setup can occur in first part of the London session. during the start of the settlement 2️⃣ Reversal setup needs a bit more time. I suggest don't enter before the 10 CET
wait for clear change in order flow after the manipulation 🧩 Day Trading doesn't mean trading every day. For highest probability setups trade only within the higher timeframes H4/D1/W1 trends.

📌 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts above the highs
Trade London continuation or Reversal if the H4 Downtrend has run above the highs (stop hunt) It will give you chance to catch big expansion moves 📌Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt below the lows
Trade London continuation or Reversal if the H4 Downtrend has run below the lows (stop hunt) It will give you chance to catch big expansion moves. 🧩 In other words you want be buying loses and Selling highs.
🔗 Click the picture below to learn more👇 I have explained how to do it in this post bellow

Trend is your friend so H4 is minimum trend requirement for the London session traders. But if you want to take it to next level and enter on the sniper entries during the London session, you should also know daily and weekly trends within the monthly range. This opens a whole new world where you can catch London session model with HTF range move and it can be +10RR trades if you patient enough.

📈Bullish LTF Ranges within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range (monthly) and define daily ranges, and wait for the London setups on the lows of the previous days within HTF trend. Always follow the same process in the London session on LTF. Asia either make manipulation - go with continuation setup or Asia consolidates and wait for the manipulation during the London session - go with London Reversal setup. 📉 Bearish LTF Ranges within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range (monthly) and define daily ranges, and wait for the London setups on the highs of the previous days within HTF trend. Always follow the same process in the London session on LTF. Asia either make manipulation - go with continuation setup or Asia consolidates and wait for the manipulation during the London session - go with London Reversal setup. ‼️ In trading, you make most money by making precisely best decisions and controlling your risk. Hence understanding the different probabilistic scenarios we can start focusing on quality over quantity by avoiding lower probability conditions. The aim is to improve our decision making process by knowing when it's better to trade and when not.

❌ Low Probability London Session Conditions
• After a series of 3 consecutive bullish daily candles - Avoid Longs.
• After a series of 3 consecutive bearish daily candles - Avoid Shorts.
• After FOMC event that produces an extreme range.
• Ahead of NFP and CPI data release
• Multiple high and medium impact news events.
• The Asian Range is has been trending and is larger than 40 pips.
• If the Asian Range is not visually consolidating.
• Absence of a candle range

✅ High Probability London Session Conditions
• The market has recently reacted off of Daily /H4 key level
• The Asian Range is visually a consolidating and smaller than 40 pips.
• Presence of a clean visual candle range
• Presence of a higher timeframe key level.
• Clean higher timeframe draw on liquidity.

✅ High Probability Intraday Setups
The highest importance is placed on the H TF Daily or 4h direction:
• Clean orderflow. [Rejecting highs, breaking lows or Rejecting lows, breaking highs]
• Clean higher timeframe draw on liquidity and directional bias.
• Strong price based narrative.
• Strong time based narrative.
• 4h candle range
• 4h Key level.
• Key time

Adopt this simple concept and master it. You will not need to pay any signals group and other nonsense anymore. Just sacrifice 6 months to one strategy in one time window and find repetitiveness. Build confidence based on statistical data. Become independent.

✨Trading Mastery is reflection of your life
Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.

Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪

David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter