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PBF Energy Inc $PBF - Big Pullback to Big Volume Support = Long

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energy is in the refining business and is a little-known company based out of Parsippany, NJ that has a new CEO in the last year and has faced plenty of challenges with operating its refineries.

Despite those challenges, you can see that has "FREE CASH FLOW" of $331 million for the last 12 months. The market cap of PBF is $2.33 billion, and throw in debt of $738 million, for an enterprise value that is nearly $3.0 Billion. The free cash flow yield is 14.2%.

Technically, PBF has pulled back after a major run up from $20 to $31 and is settling down to the $23-22 level where the most volume traded in the shares. See the mountain of volume on the right hand side of the chart which shows 'historical volume' that traded in the summer through the fall. Quite often, where previous volume traded, there are buyers who wish to buy more at that price and the decline finds support. Time will tell, but this is how you use technical analysis to help you make a buy decision here.

I would risk a drop under $21 and look for an upside move to $29-32 over the next 3-6 months.

I can fine-tune the entry, but is volatile and it is best to give it a fair-amount of room when entering this stock.

ノート

The green triangles are "Key Earnings Levels" where PBF reported earnings. These levels are GREAT levels to use as support and resistance. The Yellow Triangle is a 'blast-off' rally after the Presidential election where PBF jumped up on huge volume and held a pullback after that jump. There was news swirling about new more favorable regulatory environment, which would help PBF. Gov't regulation of the gasoline market and 'energy credits' can lead to very different levels of profitability. Stay tuned.

ノート

This idea required a bit more patience and a wider stop, but as the price fell, the odds got better and better as the Free Cash Flow Yield rose dramatically and ultimately turned into a double.

Tim September 4, 2018