Technician

SP500: Approaching Bubble Territory?? Part 3: First Attempt

ショート
SP:SPX   S&P500指数
Update: Didn't take this trade, But anyway it wasn't a successful forecast.

In my earlier posts, I presented my rational behind being inclined to the bearish side on U.S. equities. Now, I am presenting the mechanics of my first shorting attempt.

There has always been a good positive correlation between short term WTI Crude Oil and the S&P500 OVER THE SHORT TERM. Having that said, the recent downside break in oil prices warns the it is probably the time for a correction.

The strong bearish divergence on the 14-week RSI also warns of extreme exhaustion, meanwhile, the index is hanging at the ceiling of this multi-year ascending channel.

I am risking around 2.5 percent, and targeting around 7 percent pullback for now.

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