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GUSI Pro
GUSI — Adaptive Bitcoin Cycle Risk Model
Most on-chain metrics published on TradingView — such as NUPL, MVRV, or Puell Multiple — were once reliable in past cycles but have lost accuracy. The reason is simple: their trigger levels are static, while Bitcoin’s market structure changes over time. Tops have formed lower each cycle, yet the traditional horizontal thresholds remain unchanged.
What GUSI does differently:
It introduces sloped trigger functions that decrease over time, adapting each metric to Bitcoin’s maturing market.
It applies long-term normalization methods (smoothing and z-score lookups) to reduce distortion from short-term volatility and extreme outliers.
It only includes signals that remain valid across all Bitcoin cycles since 2011, discarding dozens of popular on-chain ideas that fail even after adjustment.
How GUSI is built:
GUSI is not just a mashup of indicators. Each component is a proprietary, modified version of a known on-chain signal:
Logarithmic MACD with declining trigger bands
MVRV-Z Score Regression with cycle-aware slopes
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss Ratio normalized with dynamic z-scores
Puell Multiple with logarithmic decay
Weekly RSI momentum filter for bottoms
Optional Pi Cycle Top logic with sloped moving averages
These are combined into a composite risk scoring system (0–100). Every signal contributes to the score according to user-defined weights, and each can be toggled on/off. The end result is a flexible model that adapts to long-term changes in Bitcoin’s cycles while staying transparent in its logic.
How to use it:
Scores near 97 indicate historically high-risk conditions (cycle tops).
Scores near 2.5 highlight deep accumulation zones (cycle bottoms).
Background colors and labels make the conditions clear, and built-in alerts let you automate your strategy.
GUSI is designed for the INDEX:BTCUSD 1D chart and works best when viewed in that context.
In short: GUSI makes classic on-chain indicators relevant again by adapting them to Bitcoin’s evolving market cycles. Instead of relying on static thresholds that stop working over time, it introduces dynamic slopes, normalization, and a weighted composite framework that traders can adjust themselves.
Most on-chain metrics published on TradingView — such as NUPL, MVRV, or Puell Multiple — were once reliable in past cycles but have lost accuracy. The reason is simple: their trigger levels are static, while Bitcoin’s market structure changes over time. Tops have formed lower each cycle, yet the traditional horizontal thresholds remain unchanged.
What GUSI does differently:
It introduces sloped trigger functions that decrease over time, adapting each metric to Bitcoin’s maturing market.
It applies long-term normalization methods (smoothing and z-score lookups) to reduce distortion from short-term volatility and extreme outliers.
It only includes signals that remain valid across all Bitcoin cycles since 2011, discarding dozens of popular on-chain ideas that fail even after adjustment.
How GUSI is built:
GUSI is not just a mashup of indicators. Each component is a proprietary, modified version of a known on-chain signal:
Logarithmic MACD with declining trigger bands
MVRV-Z Score Regression with cycle-aware slopes
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss Ratio normalized with dynamic z-scores
Puell Multiple with logarithmic decay
Weekly RSI momentum filter for bottoms
Optional Pi Cycle Top logic with sloped moving averages
These are combined into a composite risk scoring system (0–100). Every signal contributes to the score according to user-defined weights, and each can be toggled on/off. The end result is a flexible model that adapts to long-term changes in Bitcoin’s cycles while staying transparent in its logic.
How to use it:
Scores near 97 indicate historically high-risk conditions (cycle tops).
Scores near 2.5 highlight deep accumulation zones (cycle bottoms).
Background colors and labels make the conditions clear, and built-in alerts let you automate your strategy.
GUSI is designed for the INDEX:BTCUSD 1D chart and works best when viewed in that context.
In short: GUSI makes classic on-chain indicators relevant again by adapting them to Bitcoin’s evolving market cycles. Instead of relying on static thresholds that stop working over time, it introduces dynamic slopes, normalization, and a weighted composite framework that traders can adjust themselves.
招待専用スクリプト
このスクリプトは作者が承認したユーザーのみアクセス可能です。使用するにはアクセス申請をして許可を得る必要があります。通常は支払い後に承認されます。詳細は下記の作者の指示に従うか、PanduPanduPanduに直接お問い合わせください。
TradingViewは、作者を完全に信頼し、スクリプトの動作を理解していない限り、有料スクリプトの購入・使用を推奨しません。コミュニティスクリプトには無料のオープンソースの代替が多数あります。
作者の指示
免責事項
この情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または推奨する金融、投資、トレード、その他のアドバイスや推奨を意図するものではなく、それらを構成するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
招待専用スクリプト
このスクリプトは作者が承認したユーザーのみアクセス可能です。使用するにはアクセス申請をして許可を得る必要があります。通常は支払い後に承認されます。詳細は下記の作者の指示に従うか、PanduPanduPanduに直接お問い合わせください。
TradingViewは、作者を完全に信頼し、スクリプトの動作を理解していない限り、有料スクリプトの購入・使用を推奨しません。コミュニティスクリプトには無料のオープンソースの代替が多数あります。
作者の指示
免責事項
この情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または推奨する金融、投資、トレード、その他のアドバイスや推奨を意図するものではなく、それらを構成するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。