Technical Probability Metrix

The provided Pine Script is a comprehensive trading tool called the "Technical Probability Metrix," designed for TradingView in Pine Script version 5. It integrates multiple technical indicators and advanced calculations to generate a probability score indicating the likelihood of bullish or bearish price movement. This study is helpful for traders seeking a consolidated market analysis from several technical perspectives in one integrated view.

How to Use This Script
• Apply the script to any chart on TradingView.
• Customize input parameters like wave detection period, Fibonacci levels, RSI length, MACD settings, stochastic length, and EMA periods to suit your trading style.
• Enable or disable display elements such as Elliott Wave labels, Fibonacci levels, and the summary table as needed.
• Observe the summary table that shows the status, values, strength progress bars, and probability percentages for each indicator category.
• Use the overall "Technical Probability Metrix" score and color-coded signals to determine trade bias and strength.
• Alerts are set up for strong buy/sell signals, trend changes, and EMA crossovers for real-time notification.

How It Is Helpful
• Unified Analysis: Combines momentum, trend, volume, and Fibonacci analysis in a single view, saving time and reducing indicator clutter.
• Probability Scores: Converts complex indicator data into probability percentages, allowing easier interpretation of market direction strength.
• Adaptive Targeting: Provides configurable probability levels indicating multiple targets based on the current trend strength.
• Trend Detection: Uses a trend scoring method combining linear regression, moving averages, and pivot highs/lows for a robust trend bias.
• Alert Conditions: Notifies users of key market signal changes to support timely decision-making.
• Volume and Order Blocks: Includes volume moving average and order block strength which are critical for validating price moves.
• Multi-Timeframe EMA Cross: Incorporates 15-minute EMA crossover analysis adding another confirmation layer.

Indicators Included and Their Role
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures overbought/oversold conditions. Values >70 suggest overbought; <30 suggest oversold.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Momentum and trend confirmation; bullish when MACD line crosses above signal line.
• Stochastic Oscillator: Identifies momentum and potential trend reversals; bullish when %K crosses above %D under 80.
• Volume Moving Average and Ratio: Detects unusual volume spikes which often precede price moves.
• VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Determines if price is trading above or below average price weighted by volume, indicating institutional interest.
• Order Block Strength: Highlights key supply/demand zones from recent high/low ranges.
• EMA 9/20 Crossover (on 15-min): Short and medium-term trend signals for finer timing.
• Elliott Wave Pivots: Detects significant wave highs and lows to assess price position within swing structures.
• Trend Metrics: Combines moving averages, linear regression slope, higher highs/lows, and bar comparisons to score market trend strength.

How to Analyze Using This Study
• Look for alignment among the indicators: bullish RSI, MACD, stochastic, and volume with positive trend scores and price above VWAP suggest a strong buy.
• Use the probability percentages and progress bars to gauge the power behind signals.
• Observe the overall signal (Strong Buy, Buy, Neutral, Sell, Strong Sell) and corresponding color for quick visual cues.
• Fibonacci levels and wave counts provide context about price targets and retracement zones.
• Alerts notify when conditions for strong entry or exit signals occur, complementing manual analysis.

Benefits for New Traders
• Simplifies Complex Data: Merges multiple technical tools into one dashboard, reducing confusion from using many separate indicators.
• Visual Progress Bars and Status: Easy-to-understand visualization of each indicator’s strength and market probability.
• Educative Value: Shows how classic indicators combine into an overall market assessment, useful for learning indicator interactions.
• Alerts: Helps beginners by signaling trading opportunities without needing constant manual chart monitoring.
• Adjustable Settings: Allows users to experiment with input values and observe how indicators respond.


Disclaimer from aiTrendview
This script and its trading signals are provided for training and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a guaranteed trading system. Trading involves substantial risk, and there is the potential to lose all invested capital. Users should perform their own analysis and consult with qualified financial professionals before making any trading decisions. aiTrendview disclaims any liability for losses incurred from using this code or trading based on its signals. Use this tool responsibly, and trade only with risk capital.