Exhaustion Indicator [Uncle Sam Trading]

4月13日

Overview

Introducing the Exhaustion Market Indicator by Uncle Sam Trading – a unique, original tool designed to help traders identify potential market exhaustion points and subsequent reversions. This indicator leverages a proprietary calculation that analyzes price action relative to underlying volume dynamics to pinpoint moments where the market may be overextended and poised for a potential shift.

Core Calculation & Concept

At its heart, this indicator calculates a dynamic, volume-influenced baseline representing a 'center of gravity' or equilibrium point for recent market activity. Unlike standard oscillators or moving averages, our original calculation method provides a distinct perspective on market balance.

The indicator then establishes unique price thresholds around this baseline. These aren't simple standard deviations; they are dynamically calculated based on a user-defined sensitivity percentage relative to the core baseline. When the price moves significantly beyond these thresholds, it suggests the market might be entering a state of exhaustion.

The primary signals ("B" for potential Buy, "S" for potential Sell) are generated when the price action indicates a reversion from these exhaustion levels back towards the calculated baseline, potentially signaling a turning point.

How It Aids Trading Decisions

Identifying Potential Exhaustion: The visual cues (subtle circles above/below price) highlight when the market is trading beyond the calculated thresholds, alerting traders to potentially unsustainable price extensions.
Pinpointing Reversal Signals: The "B" and "S" labels appear when the price crosses back from an exhaustion zone towards the baseline, offering potential entry signals for mean-reversion strategies.
Dynamic Target Reference: The indicator projects a dynamic target level (re-evaluated on each bar close based on the baseline calculation). This level serves as a potential reference point for where the price might gravitate following a signal.
Confirmation: A "Target Hit!" label visually confirms when the price reaches this dynamic target level after a signal, aiding in trade assessment.
Performance Insight: An optional statistics table provides a historical perspective on the percentage of signals that subsequently reached their dynamic target profitably (relative to the signal bar's open). Note: This calculation considers multiple previous signals.
Key Features

Original Baseline Calculation: Proprietary volume-weighted central value computation.
Dynamic Exhaustion Thresholds: User-defined sensitivity for identifying potential overextension.
Clear Reversion Signals: "B" and "S" labels mark potential turning points.
Bar-Close Updated Target Level: A dynamic reference point for potential price reversion.
Visual Exhaustion Zones: Subtle markers indicate when price is beyond thresholds.
Target Hit Confirmation & Statistics: Visual and quantitative feedback on target achievement.
Customizable Alerts: Set alerts for Buy/Sell signals, Target Hits, and initial entries into Exhaustion Zones.
Important Considerations

This indicator is designed as a decision-support tool, not a standalone trading system. Market conditions can change rapidly, and no indicator can predict the future with certainty.

Always use this indicator in conjunction with other forms of analysis (e.g., market structure, trend analysis, other confirmation indicators).
Implement robust risk management strategies for all trades.
The historical statistics presented are based on past data and calculation logic; they do not guarantee future performance.
We believe the unique approach of the Exhaustion Market Indicator offers a valuable perspective for traders seeking to identify potential market turning points based on exhaustion and reversion principles.

4月13日

リリースノート

Minor updated calculation!

4月13日

リリースノート

Code updated: Improved accuracy of Target Hit calculation for optimal profit analysis.