Fed Balance Sheet (Candles)Fed Balance Sheet (Candles) - TradingView Description
📊 OVERVIEW
Fed Balance Sheet (Candles) transforms the Federal Reserve's total assets into an intuitive candlestick visualization, allowing you to track monetary policy changes with the same visual language you use for price action.
This indicator pulls real-time data directly from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) and displays the Total Assets of All Federal Reserve Banks as dynamic candles on your chart, making it effortless to correlate central bank liquidity with market movements.
🎯 WHY THIS MATTERS
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is one of the most powerful leading indicators in global markets. When the Fed expands its balance sheet (Quantitative Easing), it injects liquidity into the financial system, historically correlating with:
Rising asset prices (stocks, crypto, commodities)
Lower volatility
Risk-on sentiment
Currency devaluation
When the Fed contracts its balance sheet (Quantitative Tightening), liquidity drains from markets, often leading to:
Asset price pressure
Increased volatility
Risk-off sentiment
Dollar strength
By visualizing this as candles, you can instantly see:
The pace of change (candle size)
The direction (green = expansion, red = contraction)
Acceleration or deceleration (consecutive candles in same direction)
Pivots in monetary policy (color changes from green to red or vice versa)
🔧 HOW IT WORKS
Data Source
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Metric: Total Assets of All Federal Reserve Banks
Unit: Displayed in Trillions of USD for easy reading
Frequency: Weekly updates (every Wednesday)
Candlestick Construction
Since balance sheet data is reported as a single number each week (not traditional open-high-low-close), this indicator creates candles by comparing each period to the previous one:
Open = Last week's balance sheet value
Close = This week's balance sheet value
High = The higher of the two values
Low = The lower of the two values
This captures directional movement and magnitude of change, making it intuitive for traders accustomed to candlestick analysis.
Color Scheme
🟢 GREEN CANDLES (Expanding Balance Sheet)
When this week's value is higher than last week's
Interpretation: Fed is adding liquidity (Quantitative Easing)
Historically bullish for risk assets
🔴 RED CANDLES (Contracting Balance Sheet)
When this week's value is lower than last week's
Interpretation: Fed is removing liquidity (Quantitative Tightening)
Historically bearish or neutral for risk assets
Value Label
A floating label displays the current balance sheet value in trillions (e.g., "$8.75T") so you always know the exact figure at a glance.
📈 PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
1. Market Regime Identification
Strings of green candles = Liquidity-driven bull markets
Strings of red candles = Tightening-induced bear markets or corrections
Color transitions = Potential market inflection points
2. Correlation Analysis
Overlay on stock indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM)
Overlay on crypto (BTC, ETH)
Overlay on commodities (Gold, Silver)
Observe how asset prices react to Fed liquidity changes in real-time
3. Macro Timing
Large green candles = Aggressive easing (crisis response)
Large red candles = Aggressive tightening (inflation fighting)
Small candles = Neutral policy (Fed on hold)
4. Risk Management
Shift portfolio allocation based on liquidity environment
Reduce leverage during red candle trends
Increase exposure during green candle trends
Use as confirmation for other technical signals
5. Multi-Timeframe Context
Daily charts: See how daily price action relates to weekly Fed data
Weekly charts: Perfect alignment with data release frequency
Monthly charts: Visualize long-term monetary cycles spanning years
⚙️ SETTINGS
Zero configuration needed. Simply add the indicator to any chart and it works immediately.
The indicator automatically:
Overlays on your main chart
Uses the left price scale (won't interfere with asset prices)
Updates with the latest Fed data
Displays values in trillions for clean readability
🎨 VISUAL DESIGN PHILOSOPHY
The indicator uses semi-transparent candle bodies with vibrant borders to maintain visibility without obscuring your price action. The color scheme follows universal chart conventions where green represents growth/expansion and red represents decline/contraction.
It's designed to blend seamlessly into any chart theme while providing immediate visual clarity about the Fed's monetary stance.
📚 WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
Data Availability
Historical data available from December 2002 (over 20 years of Fed policy)
Updates every Wednesday (Federal Reserve's reporting schedule)
Typically published with a 1-week lag
How the Data Appears
On weekdays: Shows the most recent Wednesday's data
On weekends: Shows Friday's data (which is the prior Wednesday's figure)
Updates automatically when new data is released
Scale Considerations
The Fed's balance sheet is measured in trillions, while most assets are priced much lower. The indicator uses the left price scale by default to avoid conflicts with your main asset's price scale. You can easily move it to a separate pane if you prefer.
🧠 INTERPRETATION GUIDE
Historical QE Phases (Green Candles)
2008-2014: Financial Crisis Response
The Fed's balance sheet expanded from under $1T to ~$4.5T to stabilize markets after the mortgage crisis.
2020: COVID-19 Response
Rapid expansion to ~$7T as the Fed stepped in during pandemic lockdowns.
2020-2022: Extended Support
Balance sheet reached historic peak of ~$9T.
Historical QT Phases (Red Candles)
2017-2019: First Modern QT Attempt
The Fed tried to normalize its balance sheet, reducing it from ~$4.5T to ~$3.8T before pivoting.
2022-Present: Inflation-Fighting QT
The Fed began shrinking its balance sheet to combat inflation, letting bonds mature without replacement.
Key Insights
Size matters, but rate of change matters MORE.
A $9T balance sheet growing slowly has different implications than a $5T balance sheet growing rapidly.
Watch for acceleration.
Increasingly large candles (up or down) signal a policy shift that markets will notice.
Plateaus mean "wait and see."
Tiny candles indicate the Fed is holding steady and watching economic data.
Reversals are major events.
When candles switch from green to red (or vice versa), the Fed has changed course—these are critical market turning points.
🎓 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator helps you understand:
The mechanics of monetary policy through visual learning
The lag between Fed actions and market reactions by observing temporal correlation
The scale of modern central banking (trillions put into perspective)
The relationship between liquidity and asset prices (cause and effect in action)
Many traders talk about "don't fight the Fed" but never actually track what the Fed is doing. Now you can see it as clearly as you see price action.
🔗 RELATED CONCEPTS
For comprehensive macro analysis, consider also tracking:
Fed Funds Rate (short-term interest rates)
M2 Money Supply (broader measure of money in circulation)
Treasury Yield Curves (bond market expectations)
Dollar Index (DXY) (currency strength)
VIX (market fear/volatility)
The Fed's balance sheet is just one piece of the puzzle, but it's arguably the most important one for understanding liquidity conditions.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This indicator displays publicly available economic data from the Federal Reserve. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Important considerations:
Past monetary policy does not guarantee future market outcomes
Correlation does not equal causation
Asset prices are influenced by many factors beyond Fed liquidity
Always use proper risk management
Consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
📜 VERSION HISTORY
Version 1.0 - Initial Release
Fed balance sheet visualized as candlesticks
Real-time FRED data integration
Automatic display in trillions
Dynamic color coding (green/red)
Current value label with exact figure
💡 WHY CANDLES?
You might wonder: "Why show the Fed's balance sheet as candles instead of a line?"
Because candles tell stories that lines can't.
A line shows you where we are
Candles show you how we got here, how fast we're moving, and what momentum looks like
Candles make the Fed's actions feel immediate and tangible
Candles connect macro data to the chart language you already speak
When you see three big green candles in a row on the Fed balance sheet while your crypto or stock portfolio is rallying, you feel the connection. When you see the candles turn red and shrink, you understand the headwinds forming.
It transforms dry economic data into actionable market intelligence.
📞 SUPPORT & FEEDBACK
If you find this indicator valuable:
⭐ Like and favorite to help others discover it
📝 Comment with your use cases and insights
🔔 Follow for updates and new macro indicators
Your feedback drives improvements and helps build better tools for the trading community.
🚀 THE BOTTOM LINE
The Fed's balance sheet is the tide that lifts or lowers all boats.
Whether you're trading stocks, crypto, forex, or commodities—whether you're a day trader or long-term investor—understanding the Fed's liquidity operations gives you an edge.
This indicator makes that understanding visual, immediate, and actionable.
Stop guessing about macro conditions. Start seeing them.
"Don't fight the Fed" - Wall Street Wisdom
Now you can see exactly what they're doing—in the same language you use to read price action.
May your trades ride the tide of liquidity. 🌊📈
BANK
Option ScalperWhat is Scalping?
Scalping is a trading strategy aimed at profiting from quick momentum in a volatile index or stock or any other instrument that can be traded.
Traders who use such strategies place anywhere from 10 to a few hundred trades in a single day.
The idea behind such type of trading is that small moves in an index or stock price are much easier to capture than the larger moves.
Traders who use such strategies are known as scalpers. When you take many small profits a number of times, say 10 points scalped 20 times per day, they can easily add up to large gains.
An Option Buyer's Biggest Enemy is Time Decay and when you scalp, you do not allow the time decay to eat your Option Premium as your Entry and Exit is often quick enough.
What is Option Scalper?
Option Scalper indicator is a momentum-based indicator that tries to detect momentum based upon a number of factors as given below:
(1) Price action accumulated over a period of time when big candles are nowhere
(2) Repeatedly Occurring, certain Candle patterns which indicate if buyers have the upper hand or sellers are ruling the market.
(3) Gradient of moving averages which shows consistency of net buying/selling force
(4) Price jumping normal distribution line and landing in outlying areas, signalling increasing momentum of buying/selling activity.
Based upon the above factors, when Option Scalper thinks a move has the potential to turn into a big move, it generates its Buy/Sell Signals.
When aggressive buying or selling starts where Buying & Selling Forces become unequal, the Price starts moving in one direction with candles making Higher Highs or Lower Lows, moving average lines start scaling up or down or volumes start increasing.
Option Scalper detects these (1) Higher Highs or Lower Lows, (2) scaling up moving average lines, and/or (3) price breaking out of channels; and generates Buy or Sell signals.
In order to use this indicator, simply deploy this on your chart, and wait for Buy/Sell signals. When a Buy/Sell Signal appears, a small line starts forming up at the closing level of Buy/Sell signal candle. Your Entry will be above that line for Buy Signal and below that line for Sell Signal.
It works on all time frames.
Whenever a Buy Signal is followed by Sell signal (let it be after 7 - 8 candles or after many candles) or vice-versa, you have to switch your position to make most of the reverse move.
It is a general purpose indicator and may be used on stocks, commodities, forex and any other instruments alike and is not meant for any specific market.
How to Take Buy/Sell Entry with Option Scalper?
Whenever a Buy/Sell Signal appears on a candle, Option Scalper starts marking its closing price with a horizontal line that keeps extending towards right side with every new candle. This line is Blue in Color for Buy Signal and dark golden color for Sell Signal.
Initially this horizontal line will be very small but as more and more candles appear with the passage of time, the length of the line keeps increasing.
The purpose of this line is to mark the closing price of Signal candle and you have to take your Buy Entry above this line (if last signal is BUY) or you have to take your trade Below this line (if last signal is SELL).
The indicator will also draw another line at the Opening Price of Signal Candle, which can act as your initial stop loss. If trade starts moving in your direction and price goes above upper variance line (light green curvy line) or goes below lower variance line (purple wavy line), then that line becomes your trailing stop loss line from that point onwards.
The indicator also marks the consolidation zone for you. If the Buy/Sell Signal has come but price is in consolidation zone (grey colour cloud), do not take any positions yet and wait for the price to come out of the cloud and breach the Entry Line.
Exiting Buy/Sell Positions and Re-Entry Rules
1. Exiting your Buy Trade: When a Buy Trade is active, indicator can detect where the ongoing upmove may end or retrace for a while and it will print an X symbol (RED COLOR) to warn you. After you see a Red Color X symbol, if price starts making lower lows, you can exit your Buy Trade there or if you are in good profit, you can wait for the price to go below upper variance line (the green color Trailing Stop Loss Line for Buy Trade). See the image below for Red Color X symbol which warns you to be prepared for EXIT from Buy Trade:
2. Re-Entry for Buy Trade: If the last signal on your chart is still Buy Signal but your stop loss has been hit once or twice and you have no open positions now, you can RE-ENTER in buy trade if and when price again climbs above the grey cloud.
3. Exiting your Sell Trade: When a Sell Trade is active, indicator can detect where the ongoing down-move may end or retrace for a while and it will print an X symbol (Green COLOR) to warn you. After you see a Green Color X symbol, if price starts making higher highs, you can exit your Sell Trade there or if you are in good profit, you can wait for the price to go above lower variance line (the purple color Trailing Stop Loss Line for Sell Trade).
4. Re-Entry for Sell Trade: If the last signal on your chart is Sell Signal but your stop loss has been hit once or twice and you have no open positions now, you can RE-ENTER in Sell trade if and when price again crosses below the grey color cloud.
See the image below for recognizing Red and Green X symbols which indicate that temporary retracement or reversal signal is developing:
What are the other features of Option Scalper?
1. End to End Horizontal Support/Resistance Lines: Indicator also detects, prints and deletes horizontal support and resistance lines which can help in your trading decisions. For example, a Buy Signal comes and price crosses above upper variance line and also crosses nearby horizontal resistance line means it has higher probability of moving further up. The reverse is also true (for Sell Signal). See an example of a resistance line below:
2. Star Symbols: If 5 or more consecutive candles are of the same color, then Star Symbol (*) starts appearing above or below the candles. When price has moved too high or too low from the upper or lower variance line, these stars indicate that there is higher probability of retracement happening now which should prompt you to book full or partial profit. See the circled stars in the below image
3. Color Changing Candles: If a candle changes its color from Red to Purple or from Green to light green, they indicate increased intensity of Selling or Buying activity. For example, if each 1 min candle within a 5 min candle is red, then that 5 min candle will turn purple which means Selling pressure is too much and there are very few or no buyers at all. Reverse is also true when Green Candle becomes Light Green. Example images of such candles can be seen below:
4. Consolidation Zone: It is very important for an option buyer to strike only when there is momentum and not to take any fresh trade (or if you already have a position, then closing it for the time being) when price is in consolidation zone. Consolidation zone is marked by a grey colour cloud as seen in below image.
What Type of Alerts Can be Set up: You can set up 3 type of alerts with this indicator (a) Buy Entry Signal which happens when Price closes above the marked Buy Price Level (b) Sell Signal which happens when Price closes below the marked Sell Price Level or (c) Any signal (if you want to be alerted when either Buy or Sell Signal happens)
How to get this indicator?
This is invite-only indicator. Get in touch with us using information given below in Signature field to try this indicator FREE. You may also chat with us through Private Chat feature of TradingView.
Retail & Banker Net PositionsIn any market there are two major sets of participants, Retail traders (like you & I) who command relatively small amounts of capital and typically enter and exits positions quickly, and then Institutional Traders (sometimes referred to as whales) who command large amounts of capital and dictate the overall trend of the market but enter and exit positions slowly.
In this indicator we look at the distinct volume of these two sets of traders and use the net positions of this volume to determine if they are net long (Buying) in the market or net short (Selling).
When each set of traders are on opposite sides of the market (Retail are selling & Institutions are buying for example) it usually results in a battle and choppy price action... the majority of these battles are won by the Institutions as their large sums of money dictate the overall direction markets move.
Some of the best opportunities are when both sets of traders are on the same side of the market & this is where we see real momentum enter the market with quick price moves.
Happy trading =)
VWAP For NIFTY & BANKNIFTY [Zero54]NIFTY and BANKNIFTY Being Index do not have VWAP (because there is no volume generated). This is a simple script that displays NIFTY's future VWAP on NIFTY's Spot chart and similarly, displays BANKNIFTY's future VWAP on BANKNIFTY's sport chart. Fast and quick. Just few lines of code. No hefty un-necessary calculations.
No settings necessary. The script automatically detects NIFTY and BANKNIFTY and displays the corresponding VWAP.
Enjoy and share the knowledge. If you love this script, please boost/love this script and add a comment. Cheers!
NSE:NIFTY
NSE:BANKNIFTY
Bank Zones #PipGangHello Traders,
If you trade Forex and Indices this indicator will help you identify Buying and Selling levels that Banks are interested in. These levels are displayed on all time frames. Colors of the lines can be customized.
I also added code to show two EMA's, just uncomment the code to show them. :-)
How to use this indicator.
Show Bank Zones - this will enable/disable horizonal lines on the chart.
Price - enter bank zone price.
Increment By - plots three horizonal lines in pips above and below bank zone price.
Note: Decimal placement is KEY, this may vary by symbol.
Sample Settings:
US30USD
Price 35600.0
IncrementBy 50 (equals 50 pips)
XAUUSD
Price 1850.000
IncrementBy 5 (equals 50 pips)
GBPJPY
Price 152.500
IncrementBy .5 (equals 50 pips)
GBPUSD
Price 1.34100
IncrementBy .005 (equals 50 pips)
E8-BANK ZONES 4.0 THE E8- BANK ZONES will highlight the most accurate zones the market has to offer.
SETTINGS:
Remove uncheck CHARS - this feature simply places a star on high momentum candles to help identify strong momentum bullish and bearish candles.
INPUT:
You have the ability to choose which zones to display. Our recommendation is to activate continuation zones when price is trending and reversal zones when price is at key level/ strong support and resistance areas.
CONTINUATION ZONES
REVERSAL ZONES
FLIP ZONES
NKP BNF Scalper V1NKP BNF Scalper V1 is an indicator. It will work only on NSE - BANK NIFTY Futures it was designed based on proven intraday strategy. It will plot buy / sell signal and SL line in live market based on custom calculated information about entry points at close of the candle. Buy/ Sell signal is the best entry point but you can enter at the next candle.
we can see signals like buy/sell/ - 3 min candle (Intraday trading)
if the buy signal came then go for long if sell signal came then go for short.
How does it work?
buy - take the buy order in next candle open's stop loss will be at SL line
sell - take the sell order in next candle open's stop loss will be sat SL line
What are the signals?
Yes it will generate the buy/sell signals in the live market
these signal will plot buy/sell labels based on signal.
Can we set the Alert on this?
Yes, we can set the alert based on the signals
Four custom alerts - NKP Buy , NKP Sell
How does it work?
buy - Take the buy order when BUY signal came on the 3min candle
sell - Take the sell order when SELL signal came on the 3min candle
IMPORTANT: this script does not generate exit signals and those should be find using money management rules or else. Perfectly catches long runs in trends at all underlings (stocks, indexes ) at 5 min time frame. Lower/High period gives more incorrect signals and shorter runs on below 5 min period , higher period gives you late entry and less. Of course it gives false signals from time to time but fortunately it makes a correction very fast.
Try it! Good luck and good trading!
"Use the link below to obtain access to this indicator" or "PM us to obtain access."
Bank Nifty Weighted Money FlowThe indicator comprises of 2 areas ( one in green and another in red ) that depict the money flowing in and out the underlying 12 banks under BANK NIFTY index
The money flowing in and flowing out is calculated by identifying the buying pressure and selling pressure of each of 12 underlying banks within a 15 minute period ( which is internally further broken down by 15 one minute candles ), there by identifying the buy volume and sell volume multiplied by the price of the stock for the given minute aggregated for 15 minutes
The derived value for each bank is further weighted as per their weight in the index ( as of May 2nd 2020 ) and then summed up separately for both money flowing in and flowing out and plotted which shall help traders take decision based on the magnitude of money flowing in and out ( the weights shall be updated as and when the same changes in the index calculations )
The green color area represents the money flown in and the red color area represents the money that has flown out
A gradually increasing green area along with the decrease in the red area can be considered as the market is more into buying and less into selling and vice versa ( this can be observed in the chart before the rally begins , there should be an increasing green area which could potentially signifies money has started to flow in )
An equal or almost equal areas could signify a sideways market and the black line moving across shows the difference of money flowing and flowing out
Comments and feedback are welcome
Should you have any doubts or wish to access the script then please feel free to DM me.
***** The indicator works only in 15 minutes time frame *****
25 Life Bank BreakOutThis indicator allows the user to visually identify a swing High/Low and place a marker which will measure 2 candles either side of the swing point for the lowest body.
Once identified apply a 50% Fib to the body to ID a break out point and allow an alert to be placed.
Subsequently measures a 25% fib retracement of the breakout for a potential entry point. Alerts may also be created.
This does not provide trading signals nor is designed to do so.
It is not a trading strategy.
Bank Levels (Colored)Bank levels - highs and lows - of the previous day, week, and month only, colored in for visual effect. Includes history of past bank levels as opposed to my other bank levels script.
Bank Levels, 6 Previous, D W MIf you trade Forex this is the indicator you need above all. Most recent six highs and lows on the daily, weekly, and monthly (includes current day). Support and resistance isn't quite what it is...until when that's exactly how it often plays out on the lines. They are called bank levels for a reason. *Not every line will support or resist of course*
BANK LEVELSHello Traders,
This is another Indicator following to my Reversal Zones indicator !
This script will display the Buying and Selling levels that the Banks are Interested in.
On current day chart, it displays four Price lines ( Monthly Demand & Supply and Weekly Demand & Supply levels)
Previous levels are displayed as dots and those can be referred for analysis by drawing horizontal lines on top of it.
Displayed on all Time frames.
Colours of lines can be customised.
*** PLEASE CHECK OUT THE BELOW SCREEN SHOT TO MAKE BEST USE OF IT ***
Happy trading,
Cheers,
SANJAY RAMANATHAN
