Financial Astrology Moon LongitudeMoon energy represent the masses, crowds, public places, children and emotions. The transit of the Moon through the zodiacal signs will color the crowd emotional responses that fluctuate based on the elemental qualities of the signs: fire (energetic and impulsive), earth (rigid, static, patient), water (assimilation, transformation, humor fluctuations), air (expansion, fervent, germination).
The daily average speed of the Moon is 13 degrees, for this reason the emotional elemental energy is transforming in average every 2 days and few hours, this mood fluctuations produces the short term instinctive and emotional actions performed by traders that forget the precise mathematical / statistical approach in favor of irrational and emotional impulses.
Based on statistical buy/sell frequency analysis we discovered that for BTC-USD, the Moon is usually bullish in zodiac signs: Aries, Libra, Scorpio, Aquarius and Pisces, the most relevant bullish sign is "Aquarius", from 206 observations in all the BTC-USD price history where Moon was in this sign the 60% of those days the price increased compared to the previous day. The bearish zodiac signs for BTC-USD are: Taurus, Cancer, Leo, Sagittarius and Capricorn, the most relevant bearish sign is "Capricorn".
Interestingly this zodiac sign locations tends to fluctuate during some periods of time and from the last 10 observations of the Moon transiting through Aries we noted that 7 of the 10 observations coincide with a dip, sometimes the Moon in Aries indicate the reversal of the short term trend, this is kind of expected considering that when Moon approaches Taurus the fall becomes more likely due to the fact that Moon in Taurus is a bearish signal.
With this indicator there is unlimited possibilities to explore across different markets and complementing with Moon phases this may be the perfect financial astrology indicator for those intraday traders that keep positions only for few hours.
We encourage you to analyze the Moon zodiac sign cycles in different markets and share with us your observations, leave us a comment with your research outcomes. Happy trading!
Note: The Moon longitude indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
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Bitcoin Daily Support/ResistanceA new indicator for tradingview.
Indicator Overview
The 2-Year MA Multiplier is intended to be used as a long term investment tool.
It highlights periods where buying or selling Bitcoin during those times would have produced outsized returns.
To do this, it uses a moving average (MA) line, the 2yr MA, and also a multiplication of that moving average line, 2yr MA x5.
Note: the x5 multiplication is of the price values of the 2yr moving average, not of its time period.
Buying Bitcoin when price drops below the 2yr MA (green line) has historically generated outsized returns. Selling Bitcoin when price goes above the 2yr MA x 5 (red line) has been historically effective for taking profit.
Why This Happens
As Bitcoin is adopted, it moves through market cycles. These are created by periods where market participants are over-excited causing the price to over-extend, and periods where they are overly pessimistic where the price over-contracts. Identifying and understanding these periods can be beneficial to the long term investor.
This tool is a simple and effective way to highlight those periods
MA 50/100/150 was historically good support and resistance. When we cross them we have a new trend that is established.
Financial Astrology Mercury LongitudeMercury energy influence the mind, the intellect and mental temperament, in mundane astrology is well know that rules: news, science, debating, trading, commerce, contracts. telecommunication, short-distance travels, among others. W. D. Gann discovered that the Mercury speed phases (stationary, retrograde, direct) transitions was very relevant as trading signals, he used the Sun conjunction retrograde Mercury to confirm the formation of top and bottoms that seems to be a relevant leading indicator in multiples markets.
As part of the Financial Astrology Research Group experiments, we created hundreds of machine learning models that try to predict daily trend direction for a research portfolio of 10 crypto-currencies and is confirmed that including the Mercury speed and aspects features (variables) in the models increase the accuracy in a consistent manner. Therefore, there is enough evidence that Mercury is one of the most powerful mid term trading cycles.
This is the first open source PIneScript indicator that is able to plot the Mercury Tropical Longitude for the years 2010-2030, we publish as open source in order to support and simplify the research of the amazing astro-traders community at TradingView that have been working manually with annotations and lines to represent the Mercury longitude zodiac signs entries and the speed phases transitions. That manual work is over. Let's move faster in our cycles research!
We encourage all astro traders to continue researching and sharing your ideas of astro cycles trading strategies with us and contribute your experiments at our Github Financial Stats exploration project
so we can improve the cosmic energy models that influence traders behaviours.
Note: The Mercury longitude is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Others astro trading indicators from Financial Astrology Research Group:
Financial Astrology Sun LongitudeFinancial astrology is a branch of mundane astrology that research the correlations of planet cycles with market prices, this indicator developed by the Financial Astrology Research Group provides the visualization of the Sun Tropical Zodiac Longitude to support that astrology traders can study multiple markets within the powerful Trading View UI to detect potential cyclical patterns in price action that are connected with the cosmic rhythm of the Sun.
The Sun have been very relevant cycle among all ancient civilizations such as Maya, Aztec, Inca, this cyclical move is the fundamental frequency of our life's due to the fact that our calendar year is a model from this cycle. Chinese astrologers and W.D. Gann was aware of the powerful predictive power of the solar terms which is a representation of the most relevant weather transitions within the Sun longitude path.
With this indicator we try to ease the research work of the amazing community of astro-traders that prior to this indicators needed to create hundreds of manual annotations on the markets price charts to visualize the Sun zodiac position within a long period of time in order to research potential cycles. That manual work is over. Let's move faster in our cycles research!
We encourage all traders using astrology to continue their research, please share your ideas of astro cycles trading strategies and contribute your experiments at our Github exploration projects: github.com
Note: The Sun longitude is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Cosmic Pi CycleAn adaptation of the Pi Cycle type indicator that
uses more accurate "pi" moving average periods
allows to adjust the numerator mult
shows cycle bottoms
shows a basis line
can be layered like in the example to create a Pi Cycle Channel
Ehlers Adaptive Center Of Gravity [CC]The Adaptive Center Of Gravity was created by John Ehlers and this is a regular center of gravity indicator combined to be use with the current cycle period. If you are not familiar with stock cycles then I would highly recommend his book on the subject: Cycle Analytics. Buy when the indicator turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you want me to publish!
Screener: Alpha & Beta IndexThis is a Index Screener which can short list the major Sectors contributing to NIFTY movement that day.
This helps in sector based trading, in which we can trade in the stocks which falls under that particular sector.
No need to roam around all the stocks in the whole watchlist.
It is recommended to create sector wise watchlist of all sectors. It will be easier to concentrate in only one sector.
For example in IT sector index there are certain stocks which contribute to the movement of IT sector.
This will be available in NSE (or exchange website).
For detailed description check out the descriptions in my previous 2 Alpha and Beta indicators.
Combine and use this screener with my previous Alpha & Beta indicator.
Morun Astro Trend MAs cross StrategyAstrology machine learning cycles indicator signals with technical MAs indicators strategy, based on signals index of Github project github.com
Hosoda Cycles (24x7 mkt) {fmz}This script allows you to see on the chart which are the bars, including future ones, which correspond to the cycles of Goichi Hosoda, the inventor of Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.
This script is only suitable for 24x7 markets, it is not suitable for markets with closing times and weekends, or gap markets where trading is not active. In fact, the calculation of calendar times is used, not suitable for markets with closing times.
Use the settings to indicate what the start time of bar 1. The indicator will produce many vertical bars, even in addition to the end time of the graph.
BTC ATH ROIThis indicator shows the ROI % of Bitcoin from when it passed its ATH of the previous bull cycle. I found it interesting that each time it crossed its ATH it took around 260-280 days to peak for each one. This bull run seems to follow between both of the previous bull runs including this recent dip.
There are a couple issues I want to fix but can't figure out:
1. You need to completely scroll out and move towards 2013 on the Daily chart for all 3 lines to show up. Would be nice to load all of that data at the start.
2. I can't query the value of the plots after they have been offset. This would be useful to create a prediction bias for the current plot so would could see where btc might go.
If you peeps know of a way to load all data or query plot values after offsets, please share. That would be awesome.
kimchi(korea) premium percent - bithumb btc / binance btcThis script was created to confirm the fear of kimchi premium in the cryptocurrency market.
The basic operation formula is as follows.
premium(percent) = (BTC KRW - (BTC USDT x USD KRW) / (BTC USDT x USD KRW)) x 100
By calculating the premium, you can check melt up rally.
Looking at the chart, when kimchi's premium reaches 6-8 percent, BTC faces great volatility (mainly downside).
So, a color warning was made for values outside of -2~2%, which is the general kimchi premium (can be changed in settings).
Also, a zero line has been added for readability.
Also, a color change has been added to the ema to see if the value of each market moves in the opposite direction based on the previous candle's closing price. If the two markets move separately, the ema is colored red.
I think this script is a very simple indicator.
It is usually recommended to get value in a large time frame.
Thank you.
Cycle Swing MomentumAdaptive Ultra-Smooth Momentum indicator
The Cycle-Swing-Indicator "CSI" provides an optimized "momentum" oscillator based on the current dominant cycle by looking at the swing of the dominant cycle instead of the raw source momentum. Offering the following improvements:
Smoothness
Zero delay
Sharpness at turning points
Robust and adaptable to market conditions
Accurate deviation detection
The following common problems with standard indicators are solved by this indicator:
First, normal indicators introduce a lot of false signals due to their noisy signal line. Second, to compensate for the noise, one would normally try to add some smoothing. But this only results in adding more delay to the indicator, which makes it almost useless. Third, standard indicators require a length adjustment to derive reliable signals. However, you never know how to set the right length.
All three problems described above are solved by the developed adaptive cyclic algorithm.
The above chart shows current Bitcoin 4h data from the last days as of writing with the proposed signal reading for this indicator. The standard momentum indicator is included for comparison.
HOW TO USE
The indicator works without any parameter and can be applied to any chart and any time-frame. It will adapt automatically to the Dominant Cycle and use the dominant cycle of the source data to derive the ultra smooth momentum curve. Adaptive upper/lower bands are included and highlight areas with extreme readings. Automatic divergence detection can be turned off/on.
HOW TO READ
The indicator can be used like any oscillator. In addition, it provides adaptive high and low bands.
* Look for turns above the upper/lower bands
* Look for divergences between source and signals line
Further reading/Original source:
The indicator uses the dominant cycle to optimize signal, smoothing and cyclic memory. To get more in-depth information on the Cycle Swing Indicator, please read Chapter 10 "Cycle Swing Indicator: Trading the swing of the dominant cycle" of the book "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1" available at your favorite book store.
Related ideas:
Please also check the cyclic RSI indicator which also uses cyclic information to improve the signal.
Cycles StrategyThis is back-testable strategy is a modified version of the Stochastic strategy. It is meant to accompany the modified Stochastic indicator: "Cycles".
Modifications to the Stochastic strategy include;
1. Programmable settings for the Stochastic Periods (%K, %D and Smooth %K).
2. Programmable settings for the MACD Periods (Fast, Slow, Smoothing)
3. Programmable thresholds for %K, to qualify a potential entry strategy.
4. Programmable thresholds for %D, to qualify a potential exit strategy.
5. Buttons to choose which components to use in the trading algorithm.
6. Choose the month and year to back test.
The trading algorithm:
1. When %K exceeds the upper/lower threshold and then hooks down/up, in the direction of the Moving Average (MA). This is the minimum entry qualification.
2. When %D exceeds the lower/upper threshold and angled in the direction of the trade, is the exit qualification.
3. Additional entry filters include the direction of MACD, Signal and %D. Also, the "cliff", being a long entry is a higher high or a short entry is a lower low.
4. Strategy can only go "Long" or "Short" depending on the selected setting.
5. By matching the settings in the "Cycles" indicator, you can (almost) see what the strategy is doing.
6. Be sure to select the "Recalculate" buttons, to recalculate on every new Tick, for best results.
Please click the Like button and leave a comment if you appreciate this script. Improvements will be implemented as time goes on.
I am not a licensed trade advisor. This strategy is for entertainment only. Use at your own risk!
CyclesThis is a modified Stochastic indicator. Modifications include:
1. The output is now centered on "0" and the scale is from -50 to +50, so that histograms and columns can be used to plot the output.
2. Added visual trade setup triggers. A trigger to the up side is a cycle high and indicates a "sell signal". A trigger to the down side is a cycle low and indicates a "buy" signal.
3. Added an alert trigger to be used to setup alerts. Selecting "Alert" to be Greater Than (>) Value = 0.00 will trigger an alert if either the buy or sell triggers occur.
4. Added a force indicator output. This indicates the rate of change in "D", or mathematically "dD/dt", as was done in the Power Analyzer indicator. When Force and D are in-phase, the maximum power is achieved.
5. Added "Slow Average Momentum" and "Slow Average Force" as was done in the Power Analyzer indicator.
6. Added an internal MACD and EMA as part of the trade setup trigger equation. There is a new input variable for the EMA length.
7. Added an input variable for the "Trigger Threshold", which ranges from -50 to 50, to be used as a screening filter.
RSI cyclic smoothed v2Cyclic Smoothed Relative Strength Indicator
The cyclic smoothed RSI indicator is an enhancement of the classic RSI , adding
additional smoothing according to the market vibration,
adaptive upper and lower bands according to the cyclic memory and
using the current dominant cycle length as input for the indicator.
The cRSI is used like a standard indicator. The chart highlights trading signals where the signal line crosses above or below the adaptive lower/upper bands. It is much more responsive to market moves than the basic RSI.
You can also review this short idea where BTC went down from 4300 USD (3 Sept 17) to 3700 USD (15 Sept 17) after the idea was posted and showed the clear short exit with the next low:
The indicator uses the dominant cycle as input to optimize signal, smoothing and cyclic memory. To get more in-depth information on the cyclic-smoothed RSI indicator, please read Chapter 4 "Fine tuning technical indicators" of the book "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1" available at your favorite book store.
This is the open-source code version of the requested script already published as protected indicator back in 2017 "RSI cyclic smoothed". Now made public as v2. Would love to receive feedback and see your ideas.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
