Earning, Sales, and PriceThis Pine Script indicator is designed to visualize and analyze the growth of Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Sales for a given stock over specified time periods. With a user-friendly interface, it allows traders and investors to monitor key financial metrics, helping them make informed decisions based on company performance.
The script presents earnings, sales, and price growth in a clear tabular format directly on the price chart. It features two distinct tables: one for annual data and another for quarterly metrics. For each financial metric, the script calculates and displays growth figures by comparing the current results with either the previous quarter's numbers or the previous year's figures. Additionally, it showcases the stock price along with the corresponding growth between these two data points, providing a comprehensive view of the stock's performance over time.
How to Use:
Typically, growth stocks will rally for a few quarters. However, after significant rallies, the stock needs rest. During this period, the stock will either consolidate or slide down slowly to take support at the key moving average. Importantly, during this time, sales and earnings may continue to grow while the stock is still consolidating.
Typically, after the stock consolidates significantly—even when sales and earnings numbers are increasing—the stock will finally start the next leg of the rally just before the next earnings date or immediately after the earnings report.
For this purpose, the script shows the EPS and sales growth. Additionally, the script displays the price when the previous earnings were declared along with the price growth. This data can be used to find patterns in the stock's behavior. Utilize this indicator to analyze growth patterns and make informed trading decisions based on historical performance and upcoming earnings expectations.
Key Metrics Analyzed:
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Monitors the diluted earnings per share to evaluate company profitability.
Total Revenue: Analyzes sales performance, providing insights into overall revenue generation.
Price Growth: Tracks changes in stock price alongside EPS and sales for comprehensive performance assessment.
Usage:
Ideal for investors and traders looking to evaluate company growth potential and make data-driven decisions.
Use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a holistic approach to stock analysis.
Earningsanalysis
Earnings Date Highlighter - from0_to_1This indicator, called "Earnings Date Highlighter," is designed to visualize earnings data for up to four different stocks on a single chart. It's particularly useful for traders or investors who want to track earnings events for multiple companies simultaneously, such as the top holdings of an ETF.
Key features:
1. Tracks earnings data (estimates and actuals) for four user-defined symbols.
2. Plots earnings data points with customizable colors for each symbol.
3. Highlights earnings dates with background colors.
4. Displays green up arrows for earnings beats and red down arrows for earnings misses.
Why someone would use it:
1. To monitor earnings events for multiple stocks in a single view.
2. To quickly identify potential market-moving events for key components of an ETF or portfolio.
3. To spot patterns in earnings performance across different companies or sectors.
4. To help with timing trades or adjusting positions around earnings announcements.
This tool can be particularly valuable for investors focused on ETFs, as it allows them to visualize earnings dates and performance for the ETF's major holdings all in one place, potentially providing insights into how the ETF might behave around these key events.
Author:
www.tradingview.com
Rule Of 20 - Fair Value Estimation by Inflation & Earnings (TG)The Rule Of 20 is a heuristic calculation to find the fair value of an asset or market given its earnings and current inflation.
Its calculation is straightforward: the fair multiple of the price or price-to-earnings ratio of a stock should be 20 minus the rate of inflation.
In math terms: fair_price-to-earnings_ratio = (20 - inflation) ; fair_value = current_price * fair_price-to-earnings_ratio / real_price-to-earnings_ratio
For example, if a stock or index was trading on 11 times earnings and inflation was 2%, then the theory would be that the fair price-to-earnings ratio would be 20-2 = 18, which is much higher than the real price-to-earnings ratio of 11, and hence the asset would be undervalued.
Conversely, a market or company that was trading on 18 times price-to-earnings ration when inflation was 8% was seen as overvalued, because of the fair price-to-earnings ratio being 20-8=12, hence much lower than the real price-to-earnings ratio of 18.
We can then project the delta between the fair PE and real PE onto the asset's value to obtain the projected fair value, which may be a target of future value the asset may reach or hover around.
For example, as of 1st November 2022, SPX stood at 3871.97, with a PE ratio of 20.14 and an inflation in the US of 7.70. Using the Rule Of 20, we find that the fair PE ratio is 20-7.7=12.3, which is much lower than the current PE ratio of 20.14 by 39%! This may indicate a future possibility of a further downside risk by 39% from current valuation levels.
The origins of this rule are unknown, although the legendary US fund manager Peter Lynch is said to have been an active proponent when he was directing the Fidelity’s Magellan fund from 1977 to 1990.
For more infos about the Rule Of 20, reading this article is recommended: www.sharesmagazine.co.uk
This indicator implements the Rule Of 20 on any asset where the Financials are availble to TradingView, and also for the entire SP:SPX index as a way to assess the wider US stock market. Technically, the calculation is a bit different for the latter, as we cannot access earnings of SPX through Financials on TradingView, so we access it using the QUANDL:MULTPL/SP500_PE_RATIO_MONTH ticker instead.
By default are displayed:
current asset value in red
fair asset value according to the Rule Of 20 in white for SPX, or different shades of purple/maroon for other assets. Note that for SPX there is only one calculation, whereas for other assets there are multiple different ways to calculate earnings, so different fair values can be computed.
fair price-to-earnings ratio (PE ratio) in light grey.
real price-to-earnings ratio in darker grey.
This indicator can be used on SP:SPX ticker, and on most NASDAQ:* tickers, since they have Financials integrated in TradingView. Stocks tickers from other exchanges may not provide Financials data, so this indicator won't work then. If this happens, try to find the same ticker on NASDAQ instead.
Note that by default, only the US stock market is considered. If you want to consider stocks or assets in other regions of the world, please change the inflation ticker to a ticker that reflect the target region's inflation.
Also adding a table to ease interpretation was considered, but then the Timeframe MTF parameter would not work, and since the big advantage of this indicator is to allow for historical comparisons, the table was dropped.
Enjoy, and keep in mind that all models are wrong, but some are useful.
Trade safely!
TG
HighLow Box Highlight between EarningsHighLow Box Highlight between Earnings
This is an indicator to highlight area between two earning periods and their highest and lowest points.
It also alternates the highlight color in each subsequent block.
Tested to work in 1D charts and 1M charts
Just drop a message, if you want this further developed with more features.
Note: This was requested by user Meatpye on a forum.
Diluted Earnings Per Share Signal [AstrideUnicorn]Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a financial metric closely monitored by investors. The so-called "positive earnings surprise" - a situation when EPS reading for a stock beats the value forecasted by analysts gives a bullish signal for this stock. The EPS reading lower than the analysts' estimate gives a bearish signal.
The Diluted Earnings Per Share (Diluted EPS) metric calculates a company's potential earnings per share value in the case if all convertible securities get converted to common shares. Convertible securities include preferred shares, stock options, warrants, convertible debt, etc. Diluted EPS is a more scientific way to estimate earnings per share, and it is usually lower than the ordinary EPS.
The Diluted EPS Signal indicator (DEPSS) is a fundamental indicator that calculates trading signals by comparing the Diluted EPS to the EPS Estimate. In many cases, Diluted EPS gives better insight into how a reported EPS reading may impact the stock price.
HOW TO USE
For each earnings date, the indicator calculates the Diluted Earnings Surprise percentage value :
Diluted Earnings Surprise = (Diluted EPS - EPS Estimate)/ EPS Estimate.
Diluted Earnings Surprise higher than the specified threshold value is a bullish signal. In this case, the indicator displays a green triangle pointing up.
Diluted Earnings Surprise lower than the specified threshold value is a bearish signal displayed as a red triangle pointing down.
As one can see on the chart, there are a lot of situations where EPS readings with green labels (the ones that beat analysts' estimates) lead to down moves. The DEPSS indicator can spot weak earnings and give opposite signals.
SETTINGS
Earnings Surprise Threshold (%) : the threshold value (in percentage units) for the Diluted Earnings Surprise. The calculated Diluted Earnings Surprise must be higher than Earnings Surprise Threshold to be considered a BUY signal or lower than minus Earnings Surprise Threshold to be considered a SELL signal. The default value for Earnings Surprise Threshold is 20%.
