Monte Carlo (Polyline Traceback) [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "Monte Carlo (Polyline Traceback) " performs a Monte Carlo simulation using polylines!
By using polylines, and tracing back the initial simulation to its origin point, we can better replicate the ideal output of a Monte Carlo simulation!
Such as:
The image above shows the output of a simulation (image sourced outside TV).
With this script, and polyline capabilities, we can come quite close on TradingView.
The image above shows the indicator in action! Not bad considering the ideal output.
Of course, the script is quite heavy and tries its best to circumvent limitations :D
You might run into load time errors, in which case you might try applying the built-in setting "Force Script Load". This setting will cut-off the visuals for some simulations, but has a higher chance of passing load-time limitations!
As shown in the image above, you can select to only show worst-case and best-case simulations. Using this option will reduce chart lag and improve load times.
Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Performs Monte Carlo simulation to generate multiple future paths.
Asset Price: Can simulate future asset prices based on historical log returns.
Statistical Methods: Offers two simulation methods—Gaussian (Normal) distribution and Bootstrapping.
Adjustable Parameters: Offers numerous user-adjustable settings like number of simulations, forecast length, and more.
Historical Data Points: Option to specify the amount of historical data to be used in the simulation (price).
Best/Worst Case: Allows you to show only the best case / worst case outcome (range) for all simulations!
Thank you!
Kiosefftrading
Tick CVD [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "Tick CVD" employs live tick data to calculate CVD and volume delta! No tick chart required.
Features
Live price ticks are recorded
CVD calculated using live ticks
Delta calculated using live ticks
Tick-based HMA, WMA, EMA, or SMA for CVD and price
Key tick levels (S/R CVD & price) are recorded and displayed
Price/CVD displayable as candles or lines
Polylines are used - data visuals are not limited to 500 points.
Efficiency mode - remove all the bells and whistles to capitalize on efficiently calculated/displayed tick CVD and price
How it works
While historical tick-data isn't available to non-professional subscribers, live tick data is programmatically accessible. Consequently, this indicator records live tick data to calculate CVD, delta, and other metrics for the user!
Generally, Pine Scripts use the following rules to calculate volume/price-related metrics:
Bullish Volume: When the close price is greater than the open price.
Bearish Volume: When the close price is less than the open price.
This script, however, improves on that logic by utilizing live ticks. Instead of relying on time-series charts, it records up ticks as buying volume and down ticks as selling volume. This allows the script to create a more accurate CVD, delta, or price tick chart by tracking real-time buying and selling activity.
Price can tick fast; therefore, tick aggregation can occur. While tick aggregation isn't necessarily "incorrect", if you prefer speed and efficiency it's advised to enable "efficiency mode" in a fast market.
The image above highlights the tick CVD and price tick graph!
Green price tick graph = price is greater than its origin point (first script load)
Red price tick graph = price is less than its origin point
Blue tick CVD graph = CVD, over the calculation period, is greater than 0.
Red tick CVD graph = CVD is less than 0 over the calculation period.
The image above explains the right-oriented scales. The upper scale is for the price graph and the lower scale for the CVD graph.
The image above explains the circles superimposed on the scale lines for the price graph and the CVD graph.
The image above explains the "wavy" lines shown by the indicator. The wavy lines correspond to tick delta - whether the recorded tick was an uptick or down tick and whether buy volume or sell volume transpired.
The image above explains the blue/red boxes displayed by the indicator. The boxes offer an alternative visualization of tick delta, including the magnitude of buying/selling volume for the recorded tick.
Blue boxes = buying volume
Red boxes = selling volume
Bright blue = high buying volume (relative)
Bright red = high selling volume (relative)
Dim blue = low buying volume (relative)
Dim red = low selling volume (relative)
The numbers displayed in the box show the numbered tick and the volume delta recorded for the tick.
The image above further explains visuals for the CVD graph.
Dotted red lines indicate key CVD peaks, while dotted blue lines indicate key CVD bottoms.
The white dotted line reflects the CVD average of your choice: HMA, WMA, EMA, SMA.
The image above offers a similar explanation of visuals for the price graph.
The image above offers an alternative view for the indicator!
The image above shows the indicator when efficiency mode is enabled. When trading a fast market, enabling efficiency mode is advised - the script will perform quicker.
Of course, thank you to @RicardoSantos for his awesome library I use in almost every script :D
Thank you for checking this out!
