FRAMA Channel [BigBeluga]This is a trend-following indicator that utilizes the Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA) to create a dynamic channel around the price. The FRAMA Channel helps identify uptrends, downtrends, and ranging markets by examining the relationship between the price and the channel's boundaries. It also marks trend changes with arrows, optionally displaying either price values or average volume at these key points.
🔵 IDEA
The core idea behind the FRAMA Channel indicator is to use the fractal nature of markets to adapt to different market conditions. By creating a channel around the FRAMA line, it not only tracks price trends but also adapts its sensitivity based on market volatility. When the price crosses the upper or lower bands of the channel, it signals a potential shift in trend direction. If the price remains within the channel and crosses over the upper or lower bands without a breakout, the market is likely in a ranging phase with low momentum. This adaptive approach makes the FRAMA Channel effective in both trending and ranging market environments.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
◉ Dynamic FRAMA Channel with Trend Signals:
The FRAMA Channel uses a fractal-based moving average to create an adaptive channel around the price. When the price crosses above the upper band, it signals an uptrend and plots an upward arrow with the price (or average volume) value. Conversely, when the price crosses below the lower band, it signals a downtrend and marks the point with a downward arrow. This dynamic adaptation to market conditions helps traders identify key trend shifts effectively.
◉ Ranging Market Detection:
If the price remains within the channel, and only the high crosses the upper band or the low crosses the lower band, the indicator identifies a ranging market with low momentum. In this case, the channel turns gray, signaling a neutral trend. This is particularly useful for avoiding false signals during periods of market consolidation.
◉ Color-Coded Candles and Channel Bands:
Candles and channel bands are color-coded to reflect the current trend direction. Green indicates an upward trend, blue shows a downward trend, and gray signals a neutral or ranging market. This visual representation makes it easy to identify the market condition at a glance, helping traders make informed decisions quickly.
◉ Customizable Display of Price or Average Volume:
On trend change signals, the indicator allows users to choose whether to display the price at the point of trend change or the average volume of 10 bars. This flexibility enables traders to focus on the information that is most relevant to their strategy, whether it's the exact price entery or the volume context of the market shift. Displaying the average volume allows to see the strength of the trend change.
Price Data:
Average Volume of points:
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Length & Bands Distance: Adjust the length for the FRAMA calculation to control the sensitivity of the channel. A shorter length makes the channel more reactive to price changes, while a longer length smooths it out. The Bands Distance setting determines how far the bands are from the FRAMA line, helping to define the breakout and ranging conditions.
Signals Data: Choose between displaying the price or the average volume on trend change arrows. This allows traders to focus on either the exact price level of trend change or the market volume context.
Color Settings: Customize the colors for upward momentum, downward momentum, and neutral states to suit your charting preferences. You can also toggle whether to color the candles based on the momentum for a clearer visual of the trend direction.
The FRAMA Channel indicator adapts to market conditions, providing a versatile tool for identifying trends and ranging markets with clear visual cues.
Momentumstrategy
Candle Spread
Candle Spread is an indicator that helps traders measure the range of price movement within each candle over a specified time period. It calculates the range of the candle between the High and Low (High - Low) and displays it in a separate window below the chart as columns.
Key Features:
Colored Bars: The bars are colored based on the candle's direction:
Bullish Candle: Bars are Green.
Bearish Candle: Bars are Red.
Moving Average: The indicator includes a 30-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), which represents the overall average range of the candles.
Helps Identify Market Volatility: This indicator helps traders identify wide-range candles (signaling high volatility in the market), which could indicate a surge in momentum or potential trend reversals.
Salman Indicator: Multi-Purpose Price ActionSalman Indicator: Multi-Purpose Price Action Tool for Pin Bars, Breakouts, and VWAP Anchoring
This indicator provides a comprehensive suite of price action insights, designed for active traders looking to identify key market structures and potential reversals. The script incorporates a Quarterly VWAP for trend bias, marks pin bars for possible reversal points, highlights outside bars for volatility signals, and indicates simple breakouts and pivot-level breaks. Customizable settings allow for flexibility in various trading styles, with default settings optimized for daily charts.
Outside Bars : Represented by an ⤬ symbol on the chart, these indicate bars where the current high is greater than the previous bar’s high, and the low is lower than the previous bar’s low, signaling high volatility and potential market reversals.
Pin Bars : Denoted by a small dot at the top or bottom of a candle’s wick, these are crucial signals of potential reversal areas. Pin bars are identified based on the percentage length of their shadows, with adjustable strictness in settings.
Quarterly VWAP : The light blue line on the chart represents the VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price), which is anchored to the Quarterly period by default. The VWAP acts as a directional bias filter, helping you to determine underlying market trends. This period, source, and offset are fully adjustable in the script’s settings.
Simple Breaks : Hollow candles on the chart indicate "simple breaks," defined when the current bar closes above the previous high or below the previous low. This is an effective way to highlight directional momentum in the market.
Bonus Pivot Breaks : The tilde symbol ~ appears when the price closes above or below prior pivot high/low levels, helping traders spot significant breakout or breakdown points relative to recent pivots.
Alerts
Simple Breaks : Alerts you when a breakout occurs beyond the previous bar’s high or low. Pin Bars : Notifies you of potential reversal points as indicated by bullish or bearish pin bars. Outside Bars : Triggers an alert whenever an outside bar is detected, indicating possible volatility changes.
How to Use
VWAP for Trend Bias : Use the Quarterly VWAP line to gauge overall market trend, with settings that allow adjustment to daily, weekly, monthly, or even larger time frames.
Pin Bars for Reversal Potential : Look for the dot markers on candle wicks, where the strictness of the pin bar detection can be adjusted via settings to match your trading preference.
Simple and Pivot Breaks for Momentum : Watch for hollow candles and the tilde symbol ~ as indicators of potential breakout momentum and pivot break levels, respectively.
This script can serve traders on multiple timeframes, from daily to weekly and beyond. The flexible configuration allows for adjustments in VWAP anchoring and pin bar criteria, providing a tailored fit for individual trading strategies.
SuperATR 7-Step Profit - Strategy [presentTrading] Long time no see!
█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy is a multi-layered trading approach that integrates adaptive Average True Range (ATR) calculations with momentum-based trend detection. What sets this strategy apart is its sophisticated 7-step take-profit mechanism, which combines four ATR-based exit levels and three fixed percentage levels. This hybrid approach allows traders to dynamically adjust to market volatility while systematically capturing profits in both long and short market positions.
Traditional trading strategies often rely on static indicators or single-layered exit strategies, which may not adapt well to changing market conditions. The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy addresses this limitation by:
- Using Adaptive ATR: Enhances the standard ATR by making it responsive to current market momentum.
- Incorporating Momentum-Based Trend Detection: Identifies stronger trends with higher probability of continuation.
- Employing a Multi-Step Take-Profit System: Allows for gradual profit-taking at predetermined levels, optimizing returns while minimizing risk.
BTCUSD 6hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy revolves around detecting strong market trends and capitalizing on them using an adaptive ATR and momentum indicators. Below is a detailed breakdown of each component of the strategy.
🔶 1. True Range Calculation with Enhanced Volatility Detection
The True Range (TR) measures market volatility by considering the most significant price movements. The enhanced TR is calculated as:
TR = Max
Where:
High and Low are the current bar's high and low prices.
Previous Close is the closing price of the previous bar.
Abs denotes the absolute value.
Max selects the maximum value among the three calculations.
🔶 2. Momentum Factor Calculation
To make the ATR adaptive, the strategy incorporates a Momentum Factor (MF), which adjusts the ATR based on recent price movements.
Momentum = Close - Close
Stdev_Close = Standard Deviation of Close over n periods
Normalized_Momentum = Momentum / Stdev_Close (if Stdev_Close ≠ 0)
Momentum_Factor = Abs(Normalized_Momentum)
Where:
Close is the current closing price.
n is the momentum_period, a user-defined input (default is 7).
Standard Deviation measures the dispersion of closing prices over n periods.
Abs ensures the momentum factor is always positive.
🔶 3. Adaptive ATR Calculation
The Adaptive ATR (AATR) adjusts the traditional ATR based on the Momentum Factor, making it more responsive during volatile periods and smoother during consolidation.
Short_ATR = SMA(True Range, short_period)
Long_ATR = SMA(True Range, long_period)
Adaptive_ATR = /
Where:
SMA is the Simple Moving Average.
short_period and long_period are user-defined inputs (defaults are 3 and 7, respectively).
🔶 4. Trend Strength Calculation
The strategy quantifies the strength of the trend to filter out weak signals.
Price_Change = Close - Close
ATR_Multiple = Price_Change / Adaptive_ATR (if Adaptive_ATR ≠ 0)
Trend_Strength = SMA(ATR_Multiple, n)
🔶 5. Trend Signal Determination
If (Short_MA > Long_MA) AND (Trend_Strength > Trend_Strength_Threshold):
Trend_Signal = 1 (Strong Uptrend)
Elif (Short_MA < Long_MA) AND (Trend_Strength < -Trend_Strength_Threshold):
Trend_Signal = -1 (Strong Downtrend)
Else:
Trend_Signal = 0 (No Clear Trend)
🔶 6. Trend Confirmation with Price Action
Adaptive_ATR_SMA = SMA(Adaptive_ATR, atr_sma_period)
If (Trend_Signal == 1) AND (Close > Short_MA) AND (Adaptive_ATR > Adaptive_ATR_SMA):
Trend_Confirmed = True
Elif (Trend_Signal == -1) AND (Close < Short_MA) AND (Adaptive_ATR > Adaptive_ATR_SMA):
Trend_Confirmed = True
Else:
Trend_Confirmed = False
Local Performance
🔶 7. Multi-Step Take-Profit Mechanism
The strategy employs a 7-step take-profit system
█ Trade Direction
The SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy is designed to work in both long and short market conditions. By identifying strong uptrends and downtrends, it allows traders to capitalize on price movements in either direction.
Long Trades: Initiated when the market shows strong upward momentum and the trend is confirmed.
Short Trades: Initiated when the market exhibits strong downward momentum and the trend is confirmed.
█ Usage
To implement the SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy:
1. Configure the Strategy Parameters:
- Adjust the short_period, long_period, and momentum_period to match the desired sensitivity.
- Set the trend_strength_threshold to control how strong a trend must be before acting.
2. Set Up the Multi-Step Take-Profit Levels:
- Define ATR multipliers and fixed percentage levels according to risk tolerance and profit goals.
- Specify the percentage of the position to close at each level.
3. Apply the Strategy to a Chart:
- Use the strategy on instruments and timeframes where it has been tested and optimized.
- Monitor the positions and adjust parameters as needed based on performance.
4. Backtest and Optimize:
- Utilize TradingView's backtesting features to evaluate historical performance.
- Adjust the default settings to optimize for different market conditions.
█ Default Settings
Understanding default settings is crucial for optimal performance.
Short Period (3): Affects the responsiveness of the short-term MA.
Effect: Lower values increase sensitivity but may produce more false signals.
Long Period (7): Determines the trend baseline.
Effect: Higher values reduce noise but may delay signals.
Momentum Period (7): Influences adaptive ATR and trend strength.
Effect: Shorter periods react quicker to price changes.
Trend Strength Threshold (0.5): Filters out weaker trends.
Effect: Higher thresholds yield fewer but stronger signals.
ATR Multipliers: Set distances for ATR-based exits.
Effect: Larger multipliers aim for bigger moves but may reduce hit rate.
Fixed TP Levels (%): Control profit-taking on smaller moves.
Effect: Adjusting these levels affects how quickly profits are realized.
Exit Percentages: Determine how much of the position is closed at each TP level.
Effect: Higher percentages reduce exposure faster, affecting risk and reward.
Adjusting these variables allows you to tailor the strategy to different market conditions and personal risk preferences.
By integrating adaptive indicators and a multi-tiered exit strategy, the SuperATR 7-Step Profit Strategy offers a versatile tool for traders seeking to navigate varying market conditions effectively. Understanding and adjusting the key parameters enables traders to harness the full potential of this strategy.
70% rule strength/trend/reversalThis indicator tells you which candle closed strong for the day by identifying if the price closed above 70% of the candle's total height. this can help you identify reversals/new trends/ renewed strength in the current trend.
The indicator colors such candle green and if the candle closes with increase in price by 5% or higher then marks an asterisk under the candle.
HOPE THIS HELPS
Supertrend with EMASupertrend + EMA Indicator
This custom indicator combines the popular Supertrend and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicators to enhance trend analysis and signal accuracy. The Supertrend tracks price volatility to identify potential trend directions, while the EMA provides a smooth moving average to help refine entries and exits based on trend momentum.
Features:
Supertrend: Detects trend reversals by using price action and volatility, making it effective in trending markets.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Smoothens price fluctuations, helping you gauge the trend’s strength and filter out false signals.
Versatile for multiple timeframes and asset classes.
Ideal for traders looking to catch sustained trends and avoid false breakouts, this indicator offers an improved way to follow market momentum and confirm trend strength. Customize the Supertrend ATR multiplier and EMA length to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Range Tightening Indicator (RTI)The Range Tightening Indicator (RTI) quantifies price volatility relative to recent price action, helping traders identify low-volatility consolidations that often precede breakouts.
Range Tightening is calculated by measuring the range between each bar’s high and low prices over a chosen lookback period.
A 5-bar period is recommended for shorter-term momentum setups and a 15-bar period is recommended for swing trading. An option for a custom period is available to suit specific strategies. The default look back for custom is 50, ideal for longer term traders.
Other Key Features:
Dynamic Color Coding: The RTI line turns green when volatility doubles after a drop to or below 20, flagging significant volatility shifts commonly seen before breakouts.
Low-Volatility Dots: Orange dots appear on the RTI line when two or more consecutive bars show RTI values below 20, visually marking extended low-volatility periods.
Volatility Zones: Shaded zones provide quick context:
Zone 1 (0-5): Extremely tight volatility, shown in red.
Zone 2 (5-10): Low volatility, shown in light green.
Zone 3 (10-15): Moderate low volatility, shown in green.
The RTI indicator is ideal for traders looking to anticipate breakout conditions, with features that highlight consolidation phases, support momentum strategies, and help improve entry timing by focusing on shifts in volatility.
This indicator was inspired after Deepvue's RMV Indicator, but uses a different calculation. Results may vary.
GAP Momentum Oscillator
This function calculates GAP Momentum, a measure of momentum based on the gaps between opening and closing prices over several periods.
Gaps are calculated for defined periods (here, by default, 14 periods). It determines :
UpGaps: the sum of positive gaps, i.e. openings that are higher than the previous period's close.
DnGaps: the sum of negative gaps, i.e. openings below the previous period's close.
It then calculates the GAP Momentum as the ratio between the sum of the up gaps and the sum of the down gaps, multiplied by 100. If the total of the down gaps is zero, the ratio takes a default value of 1 to avoid division by zero.
Trend Signals with TP & SL [UAlgo] StrategyThe "Trend Signals with TP & SL Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to capture trend continuation signals while incorporating sophisticated risk management techniques. This strategy is tailored for traders who wish to capitalize on trending market conditions with precise entry and exit points, automatically calculating Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage values. The strategy aims to enhance trade management by preventing multiple simultaneous positions and dynamically adapting to changing market conditions.
This strategy is highly configurable, allowing traders to adjust sensitivity, the ATR calculation method, and the cloud moving average length. Additionally, the strategy can display buy and sell signals directly on the chart, along with visual representation of entry points, stop losses, and take profits. It also features a cloud-based trend analysis using a MACD-driven color fill that indicates the strength and direction of the trend.
🔶 Key Features
Configurable Trend Continuation Signals:
Source Selection: The strategy uses the midpoint of the high-low range as the default source, but it is adjustable.
Sensitivity: The sensitivity of the trend signals can be adjusted using a multiplier, ranging from 0.5 to 5.
ATR Calculation: The strategy allows users to choose between two ATR calculation methods for better adaptability to different market conditions.
Cloud Moving Average: Traders can adjust the cloud moving average length, which is used in conjunction with MACD to provide a visual trend indication.
Take Profit & Stop Loss Management:
ATR-Based or Percent-Based: The strategy offers flexibility in setting TP and SL levels, allowing traders to choose between ATR-based multipliers or fixed percentage values.
Dynamic Adjustment: TP and SL levels are dynamically adjusted according to the selected method, ensuring trades are managed based on real-time market conditions.
Prevention of Multiple Positions:
Single Position Control: To reduce risk and enhance strategy reliability, the strategy includes an option to prevent multiple positions from being opened simultaneously.
Visual Trade Indicators:
Buy/Sell Signals: Clearly displays buy and sell signals on the chart for easy interpretation.
Entry, SL, and TP Lines: Draws lines for entry price, stop loss, and take profit directly on the chart, helping traders to monitor trades visually.
Trend Cloud: A color-filled cloud based on MACD and the cloud moving average provides a visual cue of the trend’s direction and strength.
Performance Summary Table:
In-Chart Statistics: A table in the top right of the chart displays key performance metrics, including total trades, wins, losses, and win rate percentage, offering a quick overview of the strategy’s effectiveness.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Trend Signals: The strategy identifies trend continuation signals based on price action relative to an ATR-based threshold. A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above a key level, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, a sell signal occurs when the price crosses below a level, signaling a downtrend.
Cloud Visualization: The cloud, derived from MACD and moving averages, changes color to reflect the current trend. A positive cloud in aqua suggests an uptrend, while a red cloud indicates a downtrend. The transparency of the cloud offers further nuance, with more solid colors denoting stronger trends.
Entry and Exit Management: Once a trend signal is generated, the strategy automatically sets TP and SL levels based on your chosen method (ATR or percentage). The stop loss and take profit lines will appear on the chart, showing where the strategy will exit the trade. If the price reaches either the SL or TP, the trade is closed, and the respective line is deleted from the chart.
Performance Metrics: The strategy’s performance is tracked in real-time with an in-chart table. This table provides essential information about the number of trades executed, the win/loss ratio, and the overall win rate. This information helps traders assess the strategy's effectiveness and make necessary adjustments.
This strategy is designed for those who seek to engage with trending markets, offering robust tools for entry, exit, and overall trade management. By understanding and leveraging these features, traders can potentially improve their trading outcomes and risk management.
🔷 Related Script
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Momentum Candles by @PipsandProfitFXThe High Momentum Candles indicator highlights price bars with exceptional price movement and strong volume. It identifies candles with significantly long bodies relative to their shadows, indicating rapid price changes. Additionally, the indicator filters for candles with above-average volume to confirm the strength of the price movement.
Dark red: bearish momentum
Orange: bullish momentum
(You can easily change the momentum candles to whatever color you want in the indicator settings.)
By visually emphasizing these high momentum candles, traders can potentially identify potential trend reversals or continuations, as well as potential entry and exit points.
Key Features:
Identifies candles with large bodies relative to their shadows
Filters candles based on volume to confirm strength
Highlights high momentum candles with a distinct color
Let me know if you'd like to see any updates on this indicator.
Note: This indicator is a visual tool and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis techniques for making informed trading decisions.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
FX DispersionThis script calculates the dispersion of a basket of 5 FX pairs and then calculates the z-score the z-score is then made into a composite using the 30 and 60 ema of the z-score to smooth any noise. It must be used on one of the FX pairs in the basket and on the 1-minute timeframe as it has been hardcoded for 1 min use below.
Interpretation - Dispersion is a component of volatility - the dispersion of the underlying basket increases above 0.5 and decreases below 0.5.
Although increased dispersion is beneficial to momentum and trend-following strategies on the monthly and weekly timeframes. Observe this on the 1-minute timeframe and how dispersion crossing above/ below 0.5 it can signal reversion or momentum for the next period.
TASC 2023.12 Growth and Value Switching System█ OVERVIEW
This script implements a rotation system for trading value and growth ETFs, as developed by Markos Katsanos and detailed in the article titled 'Growth Or Value?' in TASC's December 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The purpose of this script is to demonstrate how short-term momentum can be employed to track market trends and provide clarity on when to switch between value and growth.
█ CONCEPTS
The central concept of the presented rotation strategy is based on the observation that the stock market undergoes cycles favoring either growth or value stocks. Consequently, the script introduces a momentum trading system that is designed to switch between value and growth equities based on prevailing market conditions. Specifically tailored for long-term index investors, the system focuses on trading Vanguard's value and growth ETFs ( VTV and VUG ) on a weekly timeframe.
To identify the ETF likely to outperform, the script uses a custom relative strength indicator applied to both VTV and VUG in comparison with an index ( SPY ). To minimize risk and drawdowns during bear markets, when both value and growth experience downtrends, the script employs the author's custom volume flow indicator (VFI) and blocks trades when its reading indicates money outflow . Positions are closed if the relative strength of the current open trade ETF falls below that of the other ETF for two consecutive weeks and is also below its moving average. Additionally, the script implements a stop-loss when the ETF is trading below its 40-week moving average, but only during bear markets.
The script plots the relative strengths of the value and growth equities along with the signals triggered by the aforementioned rules. Information about the current readings of the relative strength and volume flow indicators, along with the current open position, is displayed in a table.
█ CALCULATIONS
The script uses the request.security() function to gather price data for both equities and the reference index. Custom relative strength and volume flow indicators are calculated based on the formulas presented in the original article. By default, the script employs the same parameters for these indicators as proposed in the original article for VTV and VUG on a weekly timeframe.
Absolute Momentum (Time Series Momentum)Absolute momentum , also known as time series momentum , focuses on the trend of an asset's own past performance to predict its future performance. It involves analyzing an asset's own historical performance, rather than comparing it to other assets.
The strategy determines whether an asset's price is exhibiting an upward (positive momentum) or downward (negative momentum) trend by assessing the asset's return over a given period (standard look-back period: 12 months or approximately 250 trading days). Some studies recommend calculating momentum by deducting the corresponding Treasury bill rate from the measured performance.
Absolute Momentum Indicator
The Absolute Momentum Indicator displays the rolling 12-month performance (measured over 250 trading days) and plots it against a horizontal line representing 0%. If the indicator crosses above this line, it signifies positive absolute momentum, and conversely, crossing below indicates negative momentum. An additional, optional look-back period input field can be accessed through the settings.
Hint: This indicator is a simplified version, as some academic approaches measure absolute momentum by subtracting risk-free rates from the 12-month performance. However, even with higher rates, the values will still remain close to the 0% line.
Benefits of Absolute Momentum
Absolute momentum, which should not be confused with relative momentum or the momentum indicator, serves as a timing instrument for both individual assets and entire markets.
Gary Antonacci , a key contributor to the absolute momentum strategy (find study below), emphasizes its effectiveness in multi-asset portfolios and its importance in long-only investing. This is particularly evident in a) reducing downside volatility and b) mitigating behavioral biases.
Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen document significant 'time series momentum' across various asset classes, including equity index, currency, commodity, and bond futures, in 58 liquid instruments (find study below). There's a notable persistence in returns ranging from one to 12 months, which tends to partially reverse over longer periods. This pattern aligns with sentiment theories suggesting initial under-reaction followed by delayed over-reaction.
Despite its surprising ease of implementation, the academic community has successfully measured the effects of absolute momentum across decades and in every major asset class, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and foreign exchange (FX).
Strategies for Implementing Absolute Momentum:
To Buy a Stock:
Select a Look-Back Period: Choose a historical period to analyze the stock's performance. A common period is 12 months, but this can vary based on your investment strategy.
Calculate Excess Return: Determine the stock's excess return over this period. You can also assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process.
Evaluate Momentum:
If the excess return is positive, it indicates positive absolute momentum. This suggests the stock is in an upward trend and could be a good buying opportunity.
If the excess return is negative, it suggests negative momentum, and you might want to delay buying.
Consider further conditions: Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
To Sell a Stock You Own:
Regularly Monitor Performance: Use the same look-back period as for buying (e.g., 12 months) to regularly assess the stock's performance.
Check for Negative Momentum: Calculate the excess return for the look-back period. Again, you can assume a risk-free rate of "0" to simplify the process. If the stock shows negative momentum, it might be time to consider selling.
Consider further conditions:Align your decision with broader market trends, economic indicators, or fundamental analysis, for additional context.
Important note: Note: Entering a position (i.e., buying) based on positive absolute momentum doesn't necessarily mean you must sell it if it later exhibits negative absolute momentum. You can initiate a position using positive absolute momentum as an entry indicator and then continue holding it based on other criteria, such as fundamental analysis.
General Tips:
Reassessment Frequency: Decide how often you will reassess the momentum (monthly, quarterly, etc.).
Remember, while absolute momentum provides a systematic approach, it's recommendable to consider it as part of a broader investment strategy that includes diversification, risk management, fundamental analysis, etc.
Relevant Capital Market Studies:
Antonacci, Gary. "Absolute momentum: A simple rule-based strategy and universal trend-following overlay." Available at SSRN 2244633 (2013)
Moskowitz, Tobias J., Yao Hua Ooi, and Lasse Heje Pedersen. "Time series momentum." Journal of financial economics 104.2 (2012): 228-250
Zaree - FX Index RSI IndicatorDescription:
The "Zaree - FX Index RSI Indicator" (FIRI) is a technical analysis tool designed to provide insights into the relative strength of two selected currency indices using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It allows traders to compare the RSI values of a primary currency index and a secondary currency index, helping them identify potential overbought and oversold conditions in the currency market.
Details of the Indicator:
The indicator calculates the RSI for both the primary and secondary currency indices based on the user's selections.
Traders can choose from a variety of currency indices to use as the primary and secondary indices for comparison.
The indicator offers settings for customizing the calculation of the RSI, including selecting the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA) and adjusting the length of the RSI and moving average.
Upper and lower RSI bands are displayed on the chart to highlight potential overbought and oversold conditions.
The RSI values and their corresponding moving average values are plotted on the chart, allowing traders to visually analyze the relative strength of the indices.
How to Use the Indicator:
Select the primary and secondary currency indices you want to compare from the provided dropdown menus. These indices will serve as the basis for RSI calculation.
Choose the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA) to use for RSI calculation and set the desired length for the moving average.
Decide whether you want to visualize the RSI and moving average values for the primary and secondary indices on the chart.
Observe the RSI values and moving averages plotted on the chart. The indicator's upper and lower bands can help you identify potential overbought (above the upper band) and oversold (below the lower band) conditions.
Pay attention to the intersections between the RSI values and the moving average lines. These intersections can provide insights into potential trend changes or reversals in the currency market.
Example of Usage:
Let's say you're a swing trader focusing on currency pairs involving the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR). You want to compare the relative strength of the USD Index (USDINX) and the EUR Index (EURINX) to identify potential trading opportunities. Here's how you can use the FIRI indicator:
Select "USDINX" as the primary index and "EURINX" as the secondary index.
Choose "SMA" as the moving average type and set the RSI length to 14.
Enable the visualization of RSI values for both the primary and secondary indices.
Observe the chart to identify instances where the RSI values of the indices cross above the upper band (potential overbought) or below the lower band (potential oversold).
Look for intersections between the RSI values and the moving average lines. A bullish signal may occur when the RSI crosses above the moving average, indicating potential upward momentum, while a bearish signal may occur when the RSI crosses below the moving average, indicating potential downward momentum.
Remember that the FIRI indicator is a tool to assist you in your analysis. It's important to consider other technical and fundamental factors before making trading decisions.
Feel free to adjust the settings of the indicator based on your trading preferences and strategy. Keep in mind that no indicator is foolproof, and it's recommended to use the FIRI indicator in conjunction with other analysis techniques for a comprehensive trading approach.
Velocity Indicator [CC]The Velocity Indicator was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Sep 2023, pgs 8-15). This is my variation of his formula designed to capture the overall velocity of the underlying stock by applying the typical velocity formula. This indicator is visually similar to a typical stochastic indicator but uses a different underlying calculation. This works well as a momentum indicator, and the values are completely unbounded, so the best ways to determine bullish or bearish trends is either by using a crossover or crossunder between the indicator and the midline or to buy or sell the indicator when it reaches a high or low point and starts to fall or rise respectively. For my default version, I used the zero line to help determine the bullish or bearish trends. I have also included multiple colors to differentiate between very strong signals and normal signals, so very strong signals are darker in color, and normal signals use lighter colors. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish! I will have some more new scripts in the next week or so.
Anit Momentum IndicatorAnit Momentum Indicator: A Powerful Trend Continuation Tool for Long-Only Strategies
The "Anit Momentum Indicator" (AMI) is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trend continuation opportunities in the financial markets. Unlike traditional trend reversal indicators, AMI is specifically crafted for long-only strategies, making it an ideal tool for traders seeking to capture sustained uptrends.
Concepts and Functionality:
1. Momentum Calculation:
The Anit Momentum Indicator begins by calculating the momentum of the closing price over a specified period. Momentum represents the rate of price change, offering clues about the strength and direction of price movements during the chosen duration.
2. RSI for Trend Continuation:
The script then applies the RSI to the previously computed momentum values. The RSI is a well-known oscillator used to measure the speed and magnitude of price changes. By utilizing the RSI on momentum data, the Anit Momentum Indicator gains a distinct advantage in gauging the strength of price momentum, leading to more accurate trend evaluations.
3. Rescaling for Better Visualization:
To enhance visual clarity and maintain consistent representation, the RSI on Momentum is rescaled to range from 0 to 100. This normalization ensures that the indicator's values remain within a fixed range, making it easier for traders to identify crucial overbought and oversold regions.
How to Use the Indicator:
Long-Only Strategy:
The AMI is most effective in long-only strategies. Traders can deploy the indicator to identify promising opportunities to go long on a stock or asset. A long position is established when the AMI crosses above 50, signaling a robust upward momentum.
Trend Continuation Confirmation:
The AMI's ability to capture trend continuation opportunities allows traders to stay invested in an uptrend for an extended period. As long as the AMI remains above 50, the uptrend is considered intact, and traders may continue to hold the position.
Higher Timeframe Advantage:
The AMI's effectiveness is further enhanced on higher timeframes. Longer timeframes provide a more reliable and sustained view of the underlying trend, giving traders greater confidence in their long-only strategies.
Conclusion:
The Anit Momentum Indicator is a valuable tool for traders pursuing trend continuation strategies, specifically long-only approaches. By leveraging the concept of momentum and RSI, the AMI helps traders identify and participate in sustained uptrends. With its focus on trend continuation rather than reversals, the AMI can be a key component in building successful long-only trading strategies, especially on higher timeframes. Traders can use this indicator to stay invested in robust uptrends, maximizing their profit potential while minimizing exposure to counter-trend moves by staying long till AMI value is greater than 50,it is better to stay away or exit from the asst class when AMI value is less than 50.
ATR Momentum [QuantVue]ATR Momentum is a dynamic technical analysis tool designed to assess the momentum of a securities price movement. It utilizes the comparison between a faster short-term Average True Range (ATR) and a slower long-term ATR to determine whether momentum is increasing or decreasing.
This indicator visually represents the momentum relationship by plotting both ATR values as lines on a chart and applying color fill between the lines based on if momentum is increasing or decreasing.
When the short-term ATR is greater than the long-term ATR, representing increasing momentum, the area between them is filled with green.
Conversely, when the short-term ATR is less than the long-term ATR line, the area between them is filled with red. This red fill indicates decreasing momentum.
Don't hesitate to reach out with any questions or concerns.
We hope you enjoy!
Cheers.
RSI MTF [Market Yogi]The Multi-Time Frame RSI with Money Flow Index and Average is a powerful trading indicator designed to help traders identify overbought and oversold conditions across multiple time frames. It combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with the Money Flow Index (MFI) and provides an average value for better accuracy.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in an asset. By incorporating the RSI across multiple time frames, this indicator offers a broader perspective on market sentiment.
In addition to the RSI, this indicator also includes the Money Flow Index (MFI). The MFI is a volume-based oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into an asset. It takes into account both price and volume, providing insights into the strength and direction of buying and selling pressure.
By combining the RSI and MFI across multiple time frames, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. The indicator allows for comparing the RSI and MFI values across different time frames, enabling traders to identify divergences and potential trend reversals.
Furthermore, this indicator provides an average value of the multi-time frame RSI, offering a consolidated signal that helps filter out noise and enhance the accuracy of trading decisions.
Key Features:
1. Multi-Time Frame RSI: Combines the RSI across different time frames to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment.
2. Money Flow Index (MFI): Incorporates the MFI to gauge buying and selling pressure based on both price and volume.
3. Average Calculation: Computes the average value of the multi-time frame RSI to generate a consolidated trading signal.
4. Divergence Detection: Enables traders to spot divergences between the RSI and MFI values, indicating potential trend reversals.
5. Overbought and Oversold Levels: Highlights overbought and oversold levels on the RSI, aiding in timing entry and exit points.
The Multi-Time Frame RSI with Money Flow Index and Average is a versatile tool that can be applied to various trading strategies, including trend following, swing trading, and mean reversion. Traders can adjust the time frame settings to suit their preferences and trading style.
Note: It's important to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to validate signals and make informed trading decisions.
Banded Chikou Breakout — Quantifying Ichimoku MomentumTitle: Banded Chikou Breakout — Quantifying Ichimoku Momentum
Overview:
Banded Chikou Breakout (BCB) is a unique, algorithmic script designed to augment the capabilities of traders seeking substantial breakout opportunities. Constructed on the robust principles of the Ichimoku trading strategy, BCB is designed to quantify and filter the Chikou Span's significant breakouts above or below the price action. This script does not aim to replace the Ichimoku system; instead, it enhances it, providing an optimized tool for momentum trading.
Rationale:
Ichimoku traders often scrutinize the Chikou Span's position relative to price action to identify market trends. However, determining whether the Chikou Span is above or below due to a genuine trend or mere market noise can be challenging in choppy markets. BCB resolves this predicament by offering a unique way to interpret the Chikou Span's movement. It does so by quantifying the Chikou Span's momentum and utilizing Bollinger Bands to determine its significance. By effectively differentiating substantial movements from the insignificant, BCB can help traders better navigate the market and increase their potential for profitable trades.
How it Works:
BCB combines three key elements: a Momentum Script (simulating Chikou Span), a Bollinger Band Script, and a Timeframe Switcher, all working together to provide a refined trading perspective.
Momentum Script: Calculates the price difference between the current price and the price 'n' periods ago, transforming the Chikou Span into a quantifiable momentum value that signifies the strength and speed of a market move.
Bollinger Band Script: Computes a Simple Moving Average (SMA) around the momentum, plotting two 'bands' at a specified standard deviation from this SMA. This functionality allows traders to discern when the Chikou Span's momentum is abnormally high or low, signifying a potential significant breakout.
Timeframe Switcher: This feature lets traders apply the BCB script to a different timeframe from the one they are currently viewing. This capability can help traders identify higher timeframe breakouts and trade them with precision on the lower timeframe.
How to Use:
BCB is designed to complement the Ichimoku strategy for effective breakout identification.
Add the BCB script to your trading chart. It plots the momentum (yellow line) and Bollinger Bands (green lines) with the area between the bands shaded blue.
Utilize the Ichimoku strategy to identify larger and smaller timeframe trends.
Optional: Leverage the timeframe switcher to synchronize your trades with higher timeframe trends while operating on lower timeframes.
If the BCB momentum line crosses the upper Bollinger Band while the Ichimoku indicates a bullish trend, it signifies a potential significant upward breakout. Similarly, a cross below the lower band during a bearish trend could denote a significant downward breakout.
Remember, without the context provided by the Ichimoku system's trend analysis, BCB can yield false breakouts. It is, therefore, crucial to use these tools in tandem. I like to check for an Ichimoku trend on the 4H and 1H charts, and then use BCB on charts <60 minutes to capture trends with precision.
SMI Momentum Bollinger Squeeze Signals - TradeUIMomentum Bollinger Squeeze Signals - TradeUI
The Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI) uses the principles of the Squeeze Indicator, which is a volatility indicator, and combines them with a momentum calculation to provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
The original Squeeze Indicator uses the relationship between the Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels to identify periods of low volatility, known as "Squeezes", and potential breakout points. The SMI takes this one step further by adding a momentum calculation, making it a more dynamic tool for trading.
The momentum calculation is based on the rate of change of the asset's price. When the price increases rapidly, it signifies positive momentum, and when the price decreases rapidly, it signifies negative momentum.
CoffeeShopCrypto 3pl MAThe CoffeeShopCrypto 3pl MA indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses three different moving averages to identify trends in the price of an asset. The three moving averages have lengths of 12, 26, and 50. If these numbers sound familiar its because they are based off the standard of the MACD indicator, and can be either simple moving averages (SMA) or exponential moving averages (EMA), depending on user preference.
The following is plotted on the chart
The fast EMA/SMA (based on the 12-period length) in yellow.
The mid EMA/SMA (based on the 26-period length) in gray.
The slow EMA/SMA (based on the 50-period length) in either green or red, depending on whether the current close price is above or below the Overall Trend MA.
In addition to the moving averages, the indicator also calculates the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and uses it to color the bars based on the momentum of the asset.
The MACD is calculated using two user-defined lengths (fast and slow), as well as a user-defined smoothing length for the signal line. The oscillator and signal line can be either SMA or EMA, and the colors of the MACD bars are based on whether the histogram is growing or falling, and whether it is above or below the zero line.
Overall, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive tool for understanding the trend of an asset, as well as the momentum behind that trend. The moving averages provide a clear visual representation of the trend, while the MACD bars give insight into the strength of that trend and potential shifts in momentum.
---------------LONG ENTRY----------------
MA1 above MA2 and Overall trend = Green
IF RSI is above its midline you are confirmed for a long entry
-----------Short Entry--------------
MA1 below MA2 and Overall trend = Red
IF RSI is below its midline you are confirmed for a short entry
TRIX with Momentum----------- ENGLISH --------------
This indicator is called "TRIX with Momentum" and is used to analyze the momentum of an asset's price and predict potential trend reversals. The logic of operation is based on the combination of two indicators: the Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) and the momentum oscillator.
The TRIX is calculated using three exponential moving averages (EMA) of the asset's closing price, with a user-defined length (set to 14 by default). The TRIX is then normalized and centered around 0 to facilitate analysis of its relationship with the momentum oscillator.
The momentum oscillator is calculated using the EMA of the normalized TRIX with a user-defined length (set to 14 by default).
The indicator plots the normalized TRIX and the momentum oscillator on a chart, using different colors to indicate whether the TRIX is above or below 0. Additionally, the color of the y-axis label changes based on the position of the oscillator, while the color of the x-axis label remains gray.
The indicator uses a weighted average between the normalized TRIX and the momentum oscillator to create a colored background of the chart, which changes based on the weighted average. If the weighted average is positive, the chart's background is green, otherwise it is red. Finally, a horizontal line is drawn at point 0 to facilitate visual analysis of the chart.
------------ ITALIANO -------------
Questo indicatore è chiamato "TRIX with Momentum" ed è utilizzato per analizzare il momentum del prezzo di un asset e prevedere eventuali inversioni di trend. La logica di funzionamento è basata sulla combinazione di due indicatori: il TRIX (Indicatori di media mobile Tripla Esponenziale) e l'oscillatore momentum.
L'indicatore consente all'utente di impostare la lunghezza del TRIX e dell'oscillatore momentum come input personalizzato. Il TRIX viene calcolato utilizzando tre medie mobili esponenziali (EMA) della chiusura dei prezzi dell'asset, mentre l'oscillatore momentum viene calcolato utilizzando l'EMA del TRIX normalizzato.
Il TRIX normalizzato viene centrato intorno allo 0 per facilitare l'analisi della sua relazione con l'oscillatore momentum. L'indicatore plotta il TRIX normalizzato e l'oscillatore momentum su un grafico, utilizzando diversi colori per indicare se il TRIX è sopra o sotto lo 0.
L'indicatore utilizza una media pesata tra il TRIX normalizzato e l'oscillatore momentum per creare uno sfondo colorato del grafico, che cambia in base alla media pesata. L'utente può impostare il peso da dare al TRIX e all'oscillatore momentum come input personalizzato, e il peso dell'oscillatore momentum verrà automaticamente impostato come complementare al peso del TRIX.
Se la media pesata è positiva, lo sfondo del grafico è verde, altrimenti è rosso. Viene tracciata anche una linea orizzontale al punto 0 per facilitare l'analisi visiva del grafico.
Infine, il colore dell'etichetta dell'asse y cambia in base alla posizione dell'oscillatore, mentre il colore dell'etichetta dell'asse x rimane sempre grigio.
