SR Highlight - Pato WarzaDescriptionThis indicator is a high-precision tool designed to identify and visualize institutional Support and Resistance levels based on structural pivot points. Unlike standard SR indicators that clutter the chart with overlapping lines, this script uses a Smart Clustering Algorithm to merge nearby price levels into single, high-probability zones.Key FeaturesSmart Level Consolidation: Automatically detects and merges price levels that are too close to each other using volatility-based thresholds ( NYSE:ATR $), preventing "visual noise" and overlapping boxes.Strength-Based Hierarchy: Each level is calculated based on historical touches ($Strength$). The more times a price has reacted at a level, the higher its strength.The "King Level" Highlight (Strongest 🔥): The algorithm scans the entire lookback period to identify the single most respected level. This "King Level" is highlighted with a Golden/Yellow border and a fire emoji (🔥) for immediate focus on the day's key pivot.Dynamic Transparency & Layout: Designed specifically for fast-paced trading (15s, 1m, 5m), the zones extend to the left to show historical significance without obstructing the most recent price action.Fully Customizable: Adjust pivot sensitivity, loopback depth, and zone height to fit any asset (Gold, Nasdaq, Forex, or Crypto).How to UseLook for the 🔥: This represents the strongest historical level. Expect high volatility or significant reversals when price approaches this zone.Cluster Zones: Use the thickness of the boxes to gauge the "buffer zone" where price is likely to find liquidity.Trend Alignment: Use these zones in conjunction with your favorite trend indicators to find high-probability "Buy the Dip" or "Sell the Rip" opportunities.Technical Settings (Recommended)Pivot Period: 5 (Standard structural detection).Loopback Period: 300 - 900 (Depending on how much history you want to analyze).Minimum Strength: 3-5 (To filter out minor price noise).
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SR Highlight - Pato Warza DescriptionThis indicator is a high-precision tool designed to identify and visualize institutional Support and Resistance levels based on structural pivot points. Unlike standard SR indicators that clutter the chart with overlapping lines, this script uses a Smart Clustering Algorithm to merge nearby price levels into single, high-probability zones.Key FeaturesSmart Level Consolidation: Automatically detects and merges price levels that are too close to each other using volatility-based thresholds ( NYSE:ATR $), preventing "visual noise" and overlapping boxes.Strength-Based Hierarchy: Each level is calculated based on historical touches ($Strength$). The more times a price has reacted at a level, the higher its strength.The "King Level" Highlight (Strongest 🔥): The algorithm scans the entire lookback period to identify the single most respected level. This "King Level" is highlighted with a Golden/Yellow border and a fire emoji (🔥) for immediate focus on the day's key pivot.Dynamic Transparency & Layout: Designed specifically for fast-paced trading (15s, 1m, 5m), the zones extend to the left to show historical significance without obstructing the most recent price action.Fully Customizable: Adjust pivot sensitivity, loopback depth, and zone height to fit any asset (Gold, Nasdaq, Forex, or Crypto).How to UseLook for the 🔥: This represents the strongest historical level. Expect high volatility or significant reversals when price approaches this zone.Cluster Zones: Use the thickness of the boxes to gauge the "buffer zone" where price is likely to find liquidity.Trend Alignment: Use these zones in conjunction with your favorite trend indicators to find high-probability "Buy the Dip" or "Sell the Rip" opportunities.Technical Settings (Recommended)Pivot Period: 5 (Standard structural detection).Loopback Period: 300 - 900 (Depending on how much history you want to analyze).Minimum Strength: 3-5 (To filter out minor price noise).
BTC/XAU Correlation Crossing Delay PerformanceOVERVIEW
The BTC/XAU Correlation Crossing Delay Performance indicator is a specialized macro-tool designed to track the structural relationship between Bitcoin (Digital Gold) and Physical Gold. In institutional finance, these two assets represent the "Scarcity Complex." While they are often viewed as similar, they move in distinct Regime Shifts . This script identifies the exact moments of correlation decoupling—historically a lead indicator for major Bitcoin volatility and catch-up rallies.
THE IDEA: THE DECOUPLING SIGNAL
Traditional safe havens like Gold often act as a "Smoke Alarm" for geopolitical fear. Bitcoin, however, functions more as a "Fire Department" for global liquidity expansion. When the 52-week correlation between the two drops to zero or below, it signals a structural divergence.
Data from the past can suggest that such "Zero-Cross" events occur when Gold has front-run a price move, leaving Bitcoin at a relative valuation discount. This script marks these "Regime Shifts" (M-Markers) and measures the subsequent performance during a customizable Alpha Window .
CALCULATIONS & METHODOLOGY
The script utilizes the following logic to generate its data points:
• Purchasing Power Ratio: Calculated as Bitcoin Price divided by Gold Price. This shows exactly how many ounces of gold 1 BTC can buy.
• Pearson Correlation: A rolling 52-week calculation measuring the linear relationship between BTC and Gold prices.
• Zero-Cross Signal: A logic trigger/Marker that fires when the correlation value drops from a positive state to zero or a negative value.(M1 - M-n)
• Alpha Performance: A secondary calculation that captures the BTC price at the signal bar and compares it to the price exactly N-weeks later.
HOW TO READ THE CHART
• Orange Line: The current BTC/Gold ratio. A rising line means Bitcoin is gaining purchasing power against Gold.
• Orange Vertical Shapes (M-n): These mark the "M-Signals" where correlation broke (correlation ratio turned from positive to 0 or below on that bar). This is the "coiled spring" phase.
• Blue Vertical Shapes (Result): These appear after your defined Alpha Window (e.g., 12 weeks). They display the percentage change for both the Ratio and BTC/USD price since the M-n-signal.
• Blue Area (middle Lane): A visualization of the raw correlation value. When this cloud disappears toward the zero-level, a regime shift is in progress.
USER INPUTS
• Tickers: Choose your preferred Bitcoin and Gold sources (e.g., INDEX:BTCUSD or TVC:GOLD).
• Correlation Lookback: Default is 52 weeks, the institutional standard for measuring annual macro cycles.
• Alpha Window: Define the number of weeks (e.g., 12) you wish to track after a decoupling signal to verify historical catch-up trends.
TIMEFRAME
I view the data on the weekly timeframe. The script is optimized to run on this timeframe.
DISCLAIMER
This script is provided for educational and research purposes only. Correlation shifts are indicators of market structure changes and do not guarantee future price direction. Past performance of the BTC/Gold ratio is not an indicator of future results. Always use comprehensive risk management when trading high-volatility assets.
TAGS
Rob Maths, robmaths, Rob_Maths, Bitcoin, Gold, Ratio, Correlation, Macro
AI-Enhanced MSS HunterAI-Enhanced MSS Hunter
This indicator is a hybrid trading system that merges Mechanical Price Action (ICT Concepts) with Statistical Machine Learning (K-Nearest Neighbors). It is designed to assist traders in identifying high-probability reversals after liquidity sweeps, as well as trend-continuation entries during specific "Kill Zone" sessions.
How It Works
The script operates on a strict 3-step validation process to filter out false signals during choppy market conditions.
1. Liquidity Sweep (The Trigger) The system automatically plots the Previous Day High (PDH) and Previous Day Low (PDL).
The logic begins only when price "sweeps" (breaks) one of these key levels.
State Persistence: Once a level is swept, the system remembers this event for the remainder of the session (or until a signal fires), waiting for the market to reverse.
2. Market Structure Shift (The Setup) After a sweep, the indicator hunts for a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
It tracks dynamic Swing Highs and Swing Lows.
A signal is prepared only if price breaks a recent structural swing point in the opposite direction of the sweep (e.g., Sweep PDL -> Break Swing High).
3. AI / Machine Learning Filter (The Confirmation) To reduce false positives, the signal must be confirmed by a K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm.
The Logic: The script analyzes the current values of RSI (14), CCI (14), and ROC (10).
The Comparison: It looks back at the last ~1,000 bars of history to find similar market conditions (neighbors).
The Prediction: If the majority of those historical "neighbors" resulted in a favorable move, the AI confirms the trade. If historical data suggests chop or reversal, the signal is blocked.
Key Features
🎯 Primary Reversal Signals (Circles)
Green Circle: Price swept PDL + Bullish MSS + AI Confirmation.
Red Circle: Price swept PDH + Bearish MSS + AI Confirmation.
♻️ Golden Zone Re-Entries (Triangles) Once a Primary Signal is active, the script tracks the new trend leg.
It automatically draws a dynamic Golden Zone (0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement).
If price pulls back into this zone and forms a new MSS, a Re-Entry Triangle is plotted.
Invalidation: If the pullback breaks the original setup's low/high, the zone is removed to prevent bad trades.
⏰ Kill Zone Time Filters Signals are filtered by time to ensure you are trading during high-volume sessions.
Default AM Session: 08:30 – 10:00 (New York Time)
Default PM Session: 14:00 – 15:00 (New York Time)
Fully customizable in settings.
Settings Guide
Key Levels: Toggle PDH/PDL lines and customize colors.
Kill Zones: Enable/Disable time filtering and highlight background colors.
AI Settings:
K-Nearest Neighbors (k): Number of historical neighbors to compare (Default: 5).
Training Window: How far back the AI looks for patterns (Default: 1000 bars).
Visuals: Turn on/off the Golden Zone fib clouds or text labels.
Disclaimer
This tool is for educational purposes only. The "AI" component is a statistical classification algorithm based on historical momentum and does not guarantee future results. Always manage risk and use this indicator as part of a comprehensive trading plan.
BTC - Standard of Living BenchmarkerOVERVIEW
Most traders track their wealth in USD or EUR — currencies that are structurally designed to lose value. This is a "Money Illusion." To understand if you are truly becoming wealthier, you must measure your Bitcoin not against fiat, but against the Standard of Living assets you eventually want to buy.
The Standard of Living Benchmarker is a macro-ratio engine that swaps the denominator of your chart. It answers the only question that matters for long-term wealth: "Is my Bitcoin stack gaining ground against the real world?"
THE "Stuff" BENCHMARKS
I have pre-selected four critical pillars of a high standard of living (that can be switched/cycled in the settings window):
• Gold: The historical baseline for "Hard Money" (TVC:GOLD).
• Equities: The primary engine of global productivity (S&P 500).
• Real Estate: Measured via the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ).
• Energy: The fundamental cost of human progress (Crude Oil).
THE CORE CALCULATION
The calculation is a simple, non-manipulated ratio:
• The Formula: Ratio = BTC_Price / Asset_Price
• This means: We are looking at the direct barter-rate between Bitcoin and the asset. For example, when the "Energy" mode is selected, the chart doesn't show dollars; it shows exactly how many Barrels of Oil one single Bitcoin can buy at today's close.
THE LIFESTYLE BASKET (The 5th Denominator)
Individual ratios tell you how Bitcoin is doing against one asset, but life isn't lived in a single asset. To solve this, I introduced the Lifestyle Basket .
What is a "Lifestyle Share"? A synthetic "Life Token" that represents a diversified slice of human prosperity. It is an equal-weighted basket consisting of:
• 25% Gold (Inflation Hedge)
• 25% S&P 500 (Global Growth)
• 25% Real Estate (Shelter)
• 25% Crude Oil (Energy/Consumption)
HOW TO READ THE CHART
• How to interpret the ratio: If the dashboard shows that 1 BTC buys 50 Lifestyle Shares , it means your Bitcoin stack has the purchasing power to acquire 50 equal units of the world's most critical assets.
• The Purchasing Power Line (Orange): When this line moves UP, Bitcoin is outperforming the real world. You are getting "wealthier" in a tangible sense. When it moves DOWN, your Bitcoin is losing purchasing power against that specific asset class.
• The Opportunity Zones: We plot a 200-day Mean with Standard Deviation bands.
• Upper Band (Red): Bitcoin is historically "Expensive" compared to the asset. This has historically been a high-probability zone to swap BTC for "Stuff" (Real Estate, Gold, etc.).
• Lower Band (Green): Bitcoin is "Cheap" compared to the asset. This is the zone where "Stuff" should be sold to acquire more Bitcoin.
WHY THIS IS "FRESH"
Unlike standard indicators that use RSI or MACD to find price momentum, this is a Macro-Audit . It ignores the noise of the US Dollar and focuses on the Ratio of Reality . It allows the "Infinite Hodler" to know when they are overextended in Bitcoin and when it is mathematically time to diversify into hard real-world assets.
DISCLAIMER
This script is for educational and macro-analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Benchmarks are proxies for asset classes and may not reflect individual local prices (e.g., local real estate).
Tags: bitcoin, macro, gold, realestate, oil, benchmark, purchasing power, wealth, satoshi, Rob Maths, robmaths, Rob_Maths
Ghost (Hide System)Ghost System - Gold Specialized Edition
High-Volatility Trend Following System for XAUUSD
🇬🇧 English Description
1. Overview
Ghost System is a high-performance trading indicator engineered specifically for Gold (XAUUSD). Gold is known for its explosive volatility and long-running trends, but also for its "choppy" consolidation periods that destroy accounts. Ghost System is designed to filter out these dangerous ranging markets and pinpoint the exact moment a massive trend begins, utilizing a fusion of Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and advanced volatility analysis.
2. Key Features
🛡️ Gold-Tuned Range Filter (Slope Logic)
Gold often creates "traps" in flat markets. The system calculates the angle (slope) of the Moving Average. If the slope is below a specific threshold (optimized for Gold at 0.3), it effectively blocks all signals, preventing losses during consolidation.
🧠 SMC & Order Block Integration
It automatically identifies institutional trading zones (Order Blocks) and "Change of Character" (CHOCH) patterns. Entries are not random; they align with where smart money enters the market.
🚀 "Ghost" Trailing Exit
Fixed take-profits limit your potential in Gold. This system uses a Dynamic 20-EMA Trailing Stop.
Benefit: As long as the price respects the 20-EMA, the trade stays open. This allows you to capture 100+ pips in a single strong move while automatically closing the position the moment the trend breaks.
💎 Visual Trade Management
Trade Lines: Solid lines connect your entry to your exit point (Blue = Win, Red = Loss), visualizing the trade history directly on the chart.
Result Labels: Displays the exact Pips gained or lost at the closing point (e.g., +50.5 pips), making it easy to review performance.
📊 Real-Time Performance Dashboard
A professional dashboard displays Win Rate, Profit Factor (PF), Total Pips, and Floating Pips (unrealized profit from open positions). It accounts for pyramiding (additional entries), giving you a complete view of your account health.
🇯🇵 日本語解説
1. 概要
Ghost System (ゴースト・システム) は、ゴールド（XAUUSD） 特有の「激しい値動き」を利益に変えるために開発された、完全特化型のトレンドフォロー・インジケーターです。 ゴールド相場で多くのトレーダーが退場する原因となる「レンジ相場（往復ビンタ）」を徹底的に排除し、機関投資家の資金が入る「初動」と「トレンドの伸び」だけを狙い撃ちするよう設計されています。
2. 主な特徴
🛡️ ゴールド専用レンジ・フィルター (傾き判定)
ゴールドのチャートは、動かない時は全く動きません。このシステムは移動平均線の「傾き（Slope）」を常に監視し、傾きが規定値（ゴールドに最適化された0.3）以下の時は、一切のエントリーサインを出しません。 これにより、無駄な損失を劇的に減らします。
🧠 SMC（スマートマネーコンセプト）搭載
機関投資家が意識する**オーダーブロック（OB）**やトレンド転換点（CHOCH）を自動で分析。単なるインジケーターの数値だけでなく、「大口投資家の痕跡」を根拠にサインを点灯させます。
🚀 利益を無限に伸ばす「ゴースト・トレーリング」
チキン利食い（早すぎる利確）を防ぐため、固定利確ではなく**「20EMA追従型」**の決済ロジックを採用しています。
メリット: トレンドが続いている限り、どれだけ価格が伸びてもポジションをホールドし続けます。これにより、ゴールド特有の数百pips級のビッグウェーブを根こそぎ獲得します。逆に、トレンドが崩れた（20EMAを割った）瞬間に即座に撤退し、利益を守ります。
💎 トレードの「見える化」機能
トレードライン: エントリーから決済までを実線（勝ち＝青、負け＝赤）で結びます。「どこで入り、どこで逃げたか」がチャート上で一目瞭然になります。
結果ラベル: 決済地点に +85.4 pips のように獲得pips数を表示するため、検証作業が非常にスムーズになります。
📊 リアルタイム成績ダッシュボード
チャート右上に**「勝率」「プロフィットファクター(PF)」「獲得Pips総数」**を表示。
さらに、ポジション保有中は**「現在の含み益Pips」**もリアルタイムで変動表示されるため、今どれくらい儲かっているかが瞬時に分かります。
推奨設定 (Recommended Settings)
通貨ペア: XAUUSD (Gold) 専用
時間足: 15分足 (M15) または 1時間足 (H1)
損切り: 固定 20.0 pips（ボラティリティが高い場合は調整可）
Neeson Crypto Cycle - Super Enhanced EditionThe "Neeson Crypto Cycle - Super Enhanced Edition": A Philosophical and Practical Framework for Market Analysis
Originality & Core Philosophy
Most trading indicators focus on a single domain: pure price action, a specific economic theory, or a handful of technical oscillators. The "Neeson Crypto Cycle" breaks this paradigm. Its fundamental originality lies not in inventing one new mathematical formula, but in architecting a multi-dimensional, multi-timeframe convergence framework. It operates on a core philosophical premise: financial markets are Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) influenced by a symphony of concurrent cycles. These cycles range from mathematical and technical ones visible on the chart, to fundamental economic rhythms, down to collective human psychology and even speculative meta-patterns.
The script is built as a "dashboard of dashboards," attempting to quantify and visualize these disparate layers on a single pane. It does not claim predictive certainty but aims to provide a holistic situational awareness, allowing the trader to identify when multiple, unrelated cycles from different domains align (convergence) or conflict (divergence).
What It Does & How It Achieves It
The indicator functions as a comprehensive market-phase and sentiment analysis engine implemented directly on the TradingView chart. It is an overlay indicator that provides visual plots, background coloring, signal labels, and, most notably, extensive multi-table data panels.
Its implementation can be broken down into several operational layers:
1. The Core Technical Cycle Layer:
This is the foundational price-based engine. It simultaneously tracks multiple proprietary cyclical models derived from moving average crossovers with non-standard periods believed to capture crypto-specific rhythms.
CCT Pi Cycle: Uses the interaction between a 150-period EMA / 471-period SMA pair (for "bottom" identification) and a 111-period SMA / (350-period SMA * 2) pair (for "top" identification). It identifies golden/death crosses within these specific pairs.
Atlantean Signals: A variant using similar periods (471, 150, 350, 111) but with different multipliers (e.g., 0.745) and crossover logic to define "Market Bottom," "Bull Market Start," and "Market Top" events.
Bitcoin Cycle: Based on the interaction between a 116-period SMA and a doubled 365-period SMA.
Golden Pi Cycle: Another variant using SMAs of 111, 350, 150, and 471 periods.
These are not just four random moving average systems; they are distinct models targeting different aspects of the purported "Pi-based" and long-term cyclicality in Bitcoin's price history. The script visually plots these lines and labels their crossover events.
2. The Market Phase & Structural Context Layer:
Background Coloring: It dynamically colors the chart background (blue for "Bottom to Top" phase, orange for "Top to Bottom" phase) based on the sequential logic of Atlantean signals, providing immediate visual context for the perceived market regime.
Halving Event Annotations: It marks key historical and projected Bitcoin halving dates with vertical lines and labels, anchoring price action to this fundamental supply schedule.
3. The Quantitative Dashboard Layer (Technical & On-Chain):
This is where the script transitions from chart plotting to an information system. It renders multiple fixed tables on the chart (bottom-left, bottom-center, bottom-right) only on the last bar.
Technical Sentiment Dashboard (Right): A massive table aggregating over a dozen classic and advanced technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic, ADX, Ichimoku, Parabolic SAR, Fibonacci levels, etc.). For each, it shows a calculated Status (e.g., "Overbought"), a numeric Value, and a concise Advice (e.g., "Sell"). It then groups these into "Cycle Indicators" (status of the core models above) and "Risk Management" metrics (Max Drawdown, Sharpe Ratio simulation, volatility).
Synthetic On-Chain Metrics Dashboard (Center): Since TradingView cannot pull real on-chain data, the script ingeniously simulates 80 different on-chain metrics (NVT, MVRV, Hash Rate, Exchange Flows, HODL Waves, S2F, etc.) by deriving them from price and volume data. Each metric displays a name, a simulated value, a signal ("Overvalued"), and a color code. This provides a proxy for the fundamental/network health narrative.
Multi-Cycle Systems Dashboard (Left): This table transcends traditional finance, cataloging the status of various long-wave cycles:
Economic Cycles: Kondratieff (50-60yr), Kuznets (15-25yr), Juglar (7-11yr), Kitchin (3-5yr), etc., each with a hardcoded current phase (e.g., "Recession (2020-2030)"), impact, and advice.
Speculative & Novel Cycles: Lunar, Seasonal, Commodity Super, Debt, and Innovation cycles.
Esoteric Systems: A full celestial (astrological) positioning of planets and a Four Pillars of Destiny (Bazi) reading, each with assigned market "impact" and "advice."
4. The Synthesis & Alert Layer:
Comprehensive Statistics: The right dashboard concludes with a tally of "Bullish vs. Bearish Signals" from across all technical and cycle indicators, generating an "Overall Sentiment" score.
Alert System: It creates TradingView alert conditions for every major crossover event from the core cycle models (CCT, Atlantean, Bitcoin, Golden Pi), allowing for automated notifications.
Underlying Calculation Logic & Rationale
The logic is built on convergence and weighted evidence. The creator's hypothesis appears to be that significant market turning points are rarely signaled by one indicator in isolation. Instead, they occur when:
Multiple Price-Based Cycle Models Align: When the CCT, Atlantean, and Bitcoin cycles all approach a "bottom" or "top" signal near the same time, the probability of a true phase change is considered higher.
Technical Conditions Match the Cycle Phase: A "Bull Market Start" signal is more credible if accompanied by oversold RSI/Stochastic, bullish MACD, and money flowing in (rising OBV).
The Macro Backdrop Supports the Narrative: The script hardcodes a specific macroeconomic worldview (e.g., "Tightening Credit Cycle," "AI Revolution Tech Cycle") to remind the user of the broader environment the price cycles are operating within.
Awareness of "Non-Rational" Drivers: By including astrological and Bazi elements, the script acknowledges that market narratives and crowd psychology can sometimes be influenced by or framed within these non-traditional systems. It doesn't necessarily predict with them but tracks them as potential sentiment catalysts.
The calculations for technical indicators are standard. The novelty is in their collective presentation and the synthetic creation of supporting data realms (on-chain, economic, esoteric) to form a complete, albeit highly speculative, "universe" of market-influencing factors.
How to Use It: A Practical Guide
This is not a "set and forget" system that generates simple buy/sell arrows. It is a decision-support and research tool.
Market Phase Identification: First, look at the background color and the status of the core cycle models in the right dashboard. Are you in a blue "Bottom to Top" phase? Check if the Atlantean "Bull Market Start" is active. This sets your primary bias.
Seeking Convergent Signals: Before acting on a cycle signal, cross-reference it with the Technical Sentiment dashboard. For example, an Atlantean "Market Top" signal is stronger if the RSI and Stochastic also show "Overbought," the MACD is "Bearish," and the Fear & Greed Index is in "Extreme Greed." Look for clusters of agreement.
Context from Other Dimensions: Check the On-Chain dashboard. Does the synthetic data suggest the network is "Overheated" or "Undervalued"? Check the Economic Cycle table. Does the perceived long-wave phase (e.g., "Kondratieff Recession") support a risk-on or risk-off stance? This provides narrative context for your trade thesis.
Risk Management Integration: Before sizing a position, check the Risk Management section. What is the current "Max Drawdown" and "Volatility Risk"? The dashboard suggests position sizing ("Light," "Medium," "Heavy") based on this.
Utilizing Alerts: Set alerts for the key cycle crossovers (CCT, Atlantean, etc.). When an alert triggers, it's your cue to open the chart and perform the full multi-dimensional convergence analysis described above, rather than acting on the alert alone.
In essence, the "Neeson Crypto Cycle" is a conceptual trading terminal. It posits that the modern trader, especially in crypto, must synthesize information from technicals, fundamentals, macroeconomics, and market psychology. By attempting to model all these facets in one place—even through estimation and simulation—it aims to give the user a structured framework for asking the right questions about the current state of the market, rather than providing simplistic, one-dimensional answers. Its value is in the breadth of its perspective and the discipline of multi-factor confirmation it encourages.
Value Area PRO (TPO/Volume Session VAH/VAL/POC) 📌 AP Capital Value Area PRO (TPO / Volume)
AP Capital Value Area PRO is a session-based value area indicator designed for Gold (XAUUSD), NASDAQ (NAS100), and other CFD instruments.
It focuses on where the market has accepted price during the current session and highlights high-probability interaction zones used by professional traders.
Unlike rolling lookback volume profiles, this indicator builds a true session value area and provides actionable signals around VAH, VAL, and POC.
🔹 Core Features
Session-Anchored Value Area
Value Area is built only during the selected session
Resets cleanly at session start
Levels develop during the session and can be extended forward
No repainting or shifting due to lookback changes
TPO or Volume Mode
TPO (Time-at-Price) mode – ideal for CFDs and tick-volume data
Volume mode – uses broker volume if preferred
Same logic, different weighting method
Fixed Price Bin Size
Uses a fixed bin size (e.g. 0.10 for Gold, 0.25–0.50 for NAS100)
Produces cleaner, more realistic VAH/VAL levels
Avoids distorted profiles caused by dynamic bin scaling
VAH / VAL / POC Levels
VAH (Value Area High)
VAL (Value Area Low)
POC (Point of Control) (optional)
Lines can be extended to act as forward reference levels
🔹 Trading Signals & Alerts
Value Re-Entry
Identifies false breakouts where price:
Trades outside value
Then closes back inside
Often seen before strong mean-reversion or continuation moves.
Acceptance
Detects initiative activity using:
Multiple consecutive closes outside value
Filters out weak single-candle breaks
Rejection
Flags strong rejection candles:
Large candle body
Wick outside value
Close back inside the value area
These conditions are especially effective on Gold intraday.
🔹 Optional Profile Histogram
Right-side volume/TPO histogram
Buy/sell imbalance visualization
Fully optional to reduce chart clutter and improve performance
🔹 Best Use Cases
Recommended markets
XAUUSD (Gold)
NAS100 / US100
Other index or metal CFDs
Recommended timeframes
5m, 15m, 30m
Suggested settings
Mode: TPO
Value Area: 70%
Bin size:
Gold: 0.10
NAS100: 0.25 or 0.50
🔹 How Traders Use It
Trade rejections at VAH / VAL
Look for acceptance to confirm trend days
Use re-entries to fade failed breakouts
Combine with trend filters, EMA structure, or session context
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
200W SMA Dynamic Extension Bands (MTF, Auto Asset)Summary
200W SMA Dynamic Extension Bands is a multi-timeframe TradingView indicator that plots extension bands (multiples) around the 200-week simple moving average. It’s designed to work on any chart timeframe (1m → 1D → 1W) while anchoring the bands to the latest confirmed weekly data, so the long-term reference is consistent and non-repainting across timeframes.
This is a macro “valuation/temperature gauge” style tool: it helps you quickly see when the price is cheap vs. the 200W mean and when it is extended/expensive.
What it plots
The indicator always computes:
200-week SMA (weekly)
Band m2
Band m3
Band m4
Bands are defined as:
Bandk(t)=SMA200W(t)⋅mk
Where the multipliers mk are chosen automatically depending on the asset type (or manually via input).
Key features
Works on any timeframe: weekly SMA is fetched via request.security(..., "W", ...).
Non-repainting weekly anchor: uses barmerge.lookahead_off to avoid peeking into future weekly bars.
Auto asset presets:
Crypto: wider extensions (bigger cycles)
Gold: moderate extensions
Equities: tighter than crypto
FX: very tight extensions
Futures: moderate fallback
Zone coloring (optional):
Cheap zone (below 1×)
Fair zone (1× → m2)
Hot zone (m2 → m3)
Expensive zone (m3 → m4)
Info table (optional): shows selected preset, current multiple, and % extension vs 200W SMA.
Alerts (optional): “entered cheap” and “entered expensive” style triggers.
Presets (default multipliers)
These are intentionally conservative templates (tune to your market):
Crypto: 1.0,1.5,2.0,3.0
Gold: 1.0,1.2,1.5,2.0
Equities: 1.0,1.15,1.30,1.60
FX: 1.0,1.05,1.10,1.20
Futures: 1.0,1.25,1.50,2.00
Auto mode uses syminfo.type plus a simple heuristic for Gold tickers containing XAU / GOLD (because some platforms classify XAUUSD as forex).
How to use (practical)
Macro context / cycle temperature
Price below 1× (200W SMA): historically “cheap zone” for highly cyclical assets (especially BTC).
Price above m3: often “expensive/extended” and higher risk of mean reversion.
Not a standalone trading system
Use with trend confirmation (market structure), volume, and risk management.
Extensions can persist in strong trends—treat bands as regime context, not precise reversal points.
Settings you can change
SMA Length (Weeks): default 200
Band preset: Auto / Crypto / Gold / Equities / FX / Futures
Toggle:
Zone fills
Info table
Alerts
Included alertconditions:
Cross below 1× (entered cheap zone)
Cross above m3 (entered expensive zone)
High level guideline:
Green Zone: BUY (Below 1.0× - Undervalued)
Yellow Zone: HOLD (1.0× - 1.5× - Fair Value)
Orange Zone: CAUTION (1.5× - 2.0× - Getting Hot)
Red Zone: SELL (2.0× - 3.0× - Overvalued)
Notes / limitations
The “cheap/expensive” zones are heuristics. They do not guarantee future returns.
Auto classification is best-effort; if your symbol is unusual, set the preset manually.
For newly listed assets with limited weekly history, the 200W SMA may be na until enough data exists.
Daily maximum price range for Credit SpreadsVolatility & Momentum for Credit Spreads
It is a specialized mean-reversion tool designed primarily for options traders focusing on Credit Spreads (specifically 0DTE on SPX) and intraday reversals. By combining Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) with VIX-adjusted volatility bands, this indicator identifies statistical extremes where price is likely to revert.
Unlike standard Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels, TITAN adapts its width based on real-time implied volatility (VIX), ensuring that your "overextended" zones are accurate whether the market is calm or chaotic.
🎯 Core Concept
The indicator relies on the principle that price moves within a definable "Daily Range" relative to the VWAP. When price pushes to the outer limits of this range while simultaneously hitting RSI extremes; it signals a high-probability reversal setup ideal for selling premium.
🛠 How It Works
The engine is built on three pillars:
Volatility-Adaptive Bands: The bands are calculated using a 14-day Average Daily Range (ADR), which is then dynamically scaled by the current VIX relative to a baseline. If VIX spikes, the bands widen instantly to keep you safe from premature entries.
Momentum Triggers: Signals are generated only when the RSI (14) hits extreme Overbought (>70) or Oversold (<30) levels.
"Golden Hour" Filtering: To avoid market open noise or late-day chop, the indicator includes a customizable time filter (Default: 10:15 – 11:30 AM EST). Signals outside this window are suppressed to enforce trading discipline.
🚀 Key Features
Visual Strategy Simulation: The indicator now includes a built-in "Strike Simulator." Upon the first valid signal of the session, it automatically plots a horizontal "Strike Line" at the Outer Band ± a user-defined buffer (e.g., 10 points). This helps you visualize your theoretical strike price for the rest of the day.
Bull & Bear Zones: Color-coded fills (Green for Bullish Buy Zones, Red for Bearish Sell Zones) make it easy to see market context at a glance.
Live Dashboard: A Heads-Up Display (HUD) in the bottom right shows real-time RSI values, Golden Hour status, and current signal state.
Unified Alert System: A single master alert condition triggers if price hits an RSI extreme OR touches a volatility band during your active trading window.
📉 How to Trade It (Example Strategy)
Wait for the Window: Ensure the "Golden Hour" on the dashboard reads ACTIVE (Default 10:15 AM EST).
Identify the Zone: Short Setup (Call Credit Spread): Price pushes into the Red Zone (Outer High). Long Setup (Put Credit Spread): Price pushes into the Green Zone (Outer Low).
Confirm the Signal: Look for the Diamond Icon. This confirms RSI has hit the extreme threshold.
Check the "Strike Line": Use the simulated horizontal line to identify where your short strike would be (Outer Band + Buffer) to verify it is at a safe distance from current price.
⚙️ Settings
ADR Length: Lookback period for daily range calculation (Default: 10).
Baseline VIX:* The standard VIX level used for normalization (Default: 15.0).
Inner/Outer Multipliers: Controls the width of the bands.
Golden Hour: The specific time window for valid signals.
Strike Buffer: Points added to the outer band to simulate your option strike price.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for informational purposes only. Trading options, especially 0DTE credit spreads, involves significant risk. Always backtest strategies and manage risk accordingly.
AiQ Drama Channel [VIP MEMBER ONLY]AiQ PREMIUM Designed by KS
AiQ PREMIUM is not just an indicator; it is a complete, visually immersive trading ecosystem designed for traders who demand precision, aesthetics, and data-driven confidence.
Built upon advanced Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA) logic and fused with a proprietary volatility engine, AiQ PREMIUM filters out market noise to reveal high-probability institutional setups.
💎 Core Features
1. DRAMA Volatility Engine (D-FRAMA) Unlike standard Moving Averages, our adaptive algorithm adjusts to market fractal dimensions. It tightens during consolidation to avoid false signals and expands during trends to capture the full move.
2. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Matrix Stop guessing the trend. The built-in "Trend Matrix" scans M5, M15, M30, H1, and H4 timeframes in real-time. Signals are only generated when there is a confluence of momentum.
3. AiQ Confidence Score & Win Rate The dashboard calculates a dynamic Confidence Score (1-5 Stars) based on historical performance, trend alignment, and volatility strength.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ = Strong Institutional Alignment
⭐ = Risky / Counter-trend
4. Auto-Fibonacci Extensions & Risk Management
Smart Entries: Clear visual signals with glassmorphism UI.
Dynamic Risk: SL/TP are calculated using ATR (Average True Range) to adapt to market volatility.
Auto Targets: Automatically projects TP1, TP2, TP3 (Fib 2.618), and TP4 (Fib 4.236).
5. Premium Visual Experience Choose your trading personality with our Theme Engine:
🏆 Black Gold: Luxury, high-contrast dark mode.
🦄 Cyber Neon: Modern, vibrant aesthetics.
⚪ Clean Quant: Minimalist institutional look.
🛠️ How to Use
Wait for the Signal: Look for the 🚀 LONG SETUP or 🚀 SHORT SETUP badge.
Check the Stars: Ideally, take trades with 3 stars or above on the dashboard.
Confirm with Matrix: Ensure the MTF Matrix (Top Right) shows "BULL" for Longs or "BEAR" for Shorts on higher timeframes (H1/H4).
Manage the Trade:
Secure partial profits at ✅ TP1.
Move SL to Breakeven at ✅ TP2.
Let runners fly to ✅ TP3 and ✅ TP4.
⚠️ Disclaimer - Trading involves high risk. This tool is designed to assist your analysis, not to replace it. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management.
Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite v1 - The Strategy GuideHere is the complete **Strategy Guide** translated into English.
---
# 📘 Ultimate Futures Daytrade Suite – The Strategy Guide
### 1. The Visual Legend (What is what?)
Before you trade, you need to understand the hierarchy of your lines. Not every line has the same importance.
* **🟣 Daily EMA 50 (Neon Violet):** The **"Big Boss"**. It determines the **Macro Trend**.
* *Price above:* We are primarily looking for Longs.
* *Price below:* We are primarily looking for Shorts.
* **🟢 4h EMA 50 (Neon Green):** The **"Swing Trend"**. Your most important level for **Pullback Entries** (Re-entries).
* **🟡 POC (Gold) & TPO:** The **"Magnet"**. Price often returns here.
* *Rule:* Never open a trade directly *on* the POC (Risk of "Chop"). Use it as a **Target** (Take Profit).
* **🟠 IB High/Low (Orange Lines):** The **"Daily Structure"**.
* A breakout from the IB (Initial Balance) often indicates the trend direction for the day.
* **🟥/🟩 Boxes (Supply/Demand):** Resistance and Support zones from the 1h timeframe.
* **⬜ FVG Boxes:** "Gaps" in the market that are often filled.
---
### 2. The Trading Workflow (Top-Down Method)
Go through this mental checklist before every trade:
#### Step 1: Trend Check (The Traffic Light)
Look at the **Violet Line (Daily)** and the **Green Line (4h)**.
* **Bullish:** Price is above Violet AND above Green. -> *Focus: Buy dips.*
* **Bearish:** Price is below Violet AND below Green. -> *Focus: Sell rallies.*
* **Mixed:** Price is between Violet and Green. -> *Caution! Market is undecided (Range Trading).*
#### Step 2: Location (The Context)
Where is the price currently located?
* Are we at a **Green Demand Zone**?
* Are we testing the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** from above?
* Are we at the **VWAP**?
* *Never trade in "No Man's Land"!* Wait until the price touches one of your lines.
#### Step 3: Trigger (The Execution)
Now zoom into your lower timeframe (e.g., 5min or 15min).
* Wait for a reaction at the zone.
* Use the **EMA 9 (Yellow)** as a momentum trigger. If price breaks the EMA 9 and closes above/below it, that is your "Go".
---
### 3. The Setup Blueprints
Here are the two most profitable scenarios you can trade with this script:
#### A) The "Golden Trend" Setup (Long)
* **Context:** Price > **Daily EMA (Violet)**.
* **Preparation:** Price corrects (drops) back to the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** or to the **VWAP**.
* **Confluence:** Ideally, there is also a **Demand Zone (Green Box)** or an **FVG** at that level.
* **Entry:** As soon as a candle touches the zone and closes bullish again (or reclaims the EMA 9).
* **Stop-Loss:** Below the 4h EMA 50.
* **Take-Profit:** Next **Supply Zone (Red)** or the **IB High (Orange)**.
#### B) The "Daytrade Breakout" (Intraday)
* **Context:** Price opens inside yesterday's Value Area.
* **Signal:** Price breaks through the **IB High (Orange)** with momentum.
* **Filter:** Price must be above the **VWAP**.
* **Entry:** On the retest of the IB High or directly on the breakout.
* **Target:** Price often trends in that direction for the rest of the day.
---
### 4. Warning Signals (When NOT to trade)
1. **The "Concrete Ceiling":** If you want to go Long, but the **Violet Daily EMA 50** is running directly above you. This is massive resistance. Better wait until it is broken.
2. **The "POC Dance":** If price is dancing sideways around the **Gold Line (POC)**. This is a "No-Trade Zone". Day traders lose the most money here due to fees and whipsaws.
3. **Overextension:** If price is extremely far away from the **4h EMA 50 (Green)** (Rubber Band Effect). Do not enter in the trend direction here; wait for a pullback to the line.
### Summary
Your chart is now telling you a story:
* **Violet** tells you the Direction.
* **Green** gives you the Entry.
* **Red/Green Boxes** show you the Obstacles.
* **Yellow (EMA 9)** gives you the Timing.
Good luck with the Suite! This is a setup similar to what institutional traders use.
Fibonacci Entry Zone [OTE] (@ath.snipr)🇬🇧 English Description
📌 Fibonacci Entry Zone – @ath.snipr
Fibonacci Entry Zone is an indicator designed to automatically detect market structure, identify Change of Character (CHoCH), and project Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zones using Fibonacci retracements.
It is suitable for scalping, day trading, and swing trading across all markets (Forex, indices, crypto, commodities).
🎯 Indicator Purpose
This indicator helps traders to:
✔ Detect significant swing highs and lows
✔ Identify structure shifts (CHoCH)
✔ Automatically draw Fibonacci retracement levels
✔ Highlight the Golden Zone (OTE)
✔ Dynamically track new swings in real-time
The goal is to patiently wait for price to retrace into a high-probability value area instead of chasing price.
🧠 How It Works
1️⃣ Market Structure Detection
The algorithm detects price pivots to identify:
📈 Bullish structure: Higher High / Higher Low
📉 Bearish structure: Lower High / Lower Low
When a structure shift occurs, a CHoCH label appears and a new Fibonacci projection is automatically created.
2️⃣ Fibonacci OTE Levels
Fibonacci levels are calculated between the latest swing high and swing low.
Default levels:
0.50
0.618
These represent the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone where price statistically reacts more often.
The Golden Zone can be filled for better visualization.
3️⃣ Dynamic Updates
When Swing Tracker is enabled:
Fibonacci levels automatically update as new swings form.
The projection always stays aligned with the current market structure.
4️⃣ Visual Elements
The indicator displays:
✔ CHoCH labels
✔ Break of Structure lines
✔ Swing trend line (dotted)
✔ Swing price labels
✔ Extended Fibonacci levels
Everything is fully customizable.
🛠️ Key Settings
Structure
Structure Period – Swing sensitivity (higher = stronger structure).
Bullish / Bearish – Enable bullish or bearish structures.
BoS Width – Structure line thickness.
Fibonacci Mode
Swing Tracker – Auto-update Fibonacci levels.
Swing Line – Show swing connection line.
Swing Labels – Show swing price labels.
Fibonacci
Extend – Extend levels to current price.
Previous – Keep previous levels.
Fill Golden Zone – Highlight OTE zone.
Levels – Customize Fibonacci levels.
📈 How to Trade with It (example)
▶ Bullish Scenario
A bullish CHoCH appears.
Price impulsively moves up.
Wait for a retracement into the Golden Zone (0.5 – 0.618).
Confirm with your strategy (price action, liquidity, SMT, etc.).
Enter long with stop below the last swing low.
▶ Bearish Scenario
Same logic in reverse.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a decision-support tool only.
It does not guarantee profits and must be used with proper risk management and personal confirmation.
Daily Floor PivotsDaily Floor Pivots with Comprehensive Statistical Analysis
Overview
This indicator combines traditional floor pivot levels with golden zone analysis and comprehensive statistical insights derived from 15 years of historical NQ futures data. While the pivot levels and golden zones can be applied to any instrument, the statistical tables are specifically calibrated for NQ/MNQ futures based on analysis of 2,482 NY Regular Trading Hours (RTH) sessions from 2010-2025.
What Makes This Indicator Original
Unlike standard pivot indicators that merely plot levels, this tool provides:
Enhanced Golden Zone Analysis: Calculates not only the main golden zone (0.5-0.618 retracement of previous day's range) but also golden zones between each pivot pair (PP-R1, R1-R2, R2-R3, PP-S1, S1-S2, S2-S3)
Data-Driven Statistical Tables: Two comprehensive tables displaying real statistics from 2,482 trading days of NQ analysis, including:
Probability-based touch rates and continuation patterns
Context-aware statistics based on opening position
Gap analysis and behavioral patterns
First touch dynamics and time-to-reach averages
Granular Customization: Every visual element and statistical section can be independently toggled, allowing traders to focus on what matters most to their strategy
How It Works
Pivot Calculation Methodology
The indicator uses the standard floor pivot formula based on the previous day's price action:
Pivot Point (PP) = (Previous High + Previous Low + Previous Close) / 3
Resistance Levels: R1, R2, R3 calculated from PP and previous range
Support Levels: S1, S2, S3 calculated from PP and previous range
Golden Zone Calculations
Main Golden Zone: The 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous day's range, representing a key reversal and continuation area.
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones: For each adjacent pivot pair, golden zones are calculated as:
Resistance pairs (PP→R1, R1→R2, R2→R3): 0.5-0.618 range from the lower pivot
Support pairs (PP→S1, S1→S2, S2→S3): 0.382-0.5 range from the upper pivot
These zones represent high-probability areas where price tends to react when moving between pivot levels.
Statistical Analysis Source
All statistics displayed in the tables are derived from external Python analysis of 15 years of 1-minute NQ futures data (2010-2025), specifically analyzing NY RTH sessions (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM EST). The analysis tracked:
2,482 complete trading days
Intraday pivot touches and closes
Opening position context
Gap behavior relative to previous day
Time-of-day patterns
Sequential pivot interactions
IMPORTANT: While the pivot levels and golden zones are universally applicable mathematical calculations that work on any instrument, the statistical percentages shown in the tables are specific to NQ/MNQ behavior only. Do not assume these statistics transfer to other instruments.
Configuration Guide
Basic Settings
Number of Periods Back (1-20, default: 3)
Controls how many historical pivot periods are displayed on the chart
Setting to 1 shows only current day's pivots
Higher values show more historical context
Labels Position (Left/Right)
Choose whether pivot labels appear on the left or right side of each level line
Line Width (1-5, default: 2)
Adjust the thickness of all pivot and golden zone lines
Golden Zone Customization
Show Daily Golden Zone (0.5-0.618)
Toggle the main golden zone on/off
When enabled, displays a shaded box between the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels
Line Color / Fill Color
Customize the appearance of the main golden zone
Fill color determines the shaded box transparency
Show Labels / Show Prices
Control whether "0.5" and "0.618" labels appear
Control whether price values are displayed on labels
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones
Six toggle options allow you to show/hide individual golden zones:
PP to R1 / PP to S1: Most frequently touched (60.8% / 50.9%)
R1 to R2 / S1 to S2: Moderately touched (25.2% / 24.0%)
R2 to R3 / S2 to S3: Rarely touched (9.4% / 10.5%)
Line Color / Fill Color: Customize appearance of all inter-pivot zones
Show Labels / Show Prices: Control labeling for inter-pivot zones
Usage Tip: Disable outer zones (R2-R3, S2-S3) on lower volatility days to reduce chart clutter.
Pivot Display
Show Support/Resistance Levels: Master toggle for all pivot lines
Show SR Labels / Show SR Prices: Control labeling on pivot levels
Individual level toggles and colors:
PP (Pivot Point): The central reference point
R1/S1: Primary resistance/support (38.9% / 35.4% touch rate)
R2/S2: Secondary levels (15.6% / 16.1% touch rate)
R3/S3: Extended levels (5.1% / 7.3% touch rate)
Color Customization: Each level's color can be independently set
Overall Statistics Table
Show Overall Statistics Table: Master toggle
Table Size: tiny/small/normal/large/huge/auto
Table Position: Top Left/Top Right/Bottom Left/Bottom Right
Section Toggles (enable/disable individual sections):
Current Session Info
Touch & Close Rates
Continue & Reject Rates
First Touch Statistics
Golden Zone Statistics
Daily Close Distribution
Highest/Lowest Levels Reached
Context Statistics Table
Show Context Statistics Table: Master toggle
Table Size: tiny/small/normal/large/huge/auto
Table Position: Top Left/Top Right/Bottom Left/Bottom Right
Section Toggles:
Current Opening Zone
Opening Zone Statistics
Previous Day Gap Context
Understanding the Statistical Tables
TABLE 1: OVERALL STATISTICS
This table presents universal statistics from 2,482 days of NQ analysis.
Current Session Info
Displays real-time context for the active session:
Open: Where the current RTH session opened relative to pivots (e.g., "GZ_TO_R1" means opened between the PP-R1 golden zone and R1)
Now: Current price position relative to pivots
Direction: Bull (close > open), Bear (close < open), or Flat
How to use: This section helps you quickly understand where price opened and where it currently is, providing immediate context for the day's action.
Touch & Close Rates
Shows probability that each pivot level will be reached during RTH:
Touch %: Percentage of days where price touched this level at any point
Example: R1 touched 38.9% of days, PP touched 57.5% of days
Close %: Percentage of days where price closed beyond this level
Example: R1 close beyond happened 39.8% of days
How to interpret:
Higher touch rates indicate more reliable levels for intraday targeting
The difference between touch and close rates shows rejection frequency
PP has the highest touch rate (57.5%), making it the most magnetic level
Outer levels (R3/S3) have low touch rates (5.1%/7.3%), indicating rare extension days
Continue & Reject Rates
When a level is touched, these statistics show what happens next:
Continue %: Probability price continues through the level
Example: When PP is touched, price continues 88.1% of the time
Reject %: Probability price rejects from the level and reverses
Example: When R1 is touched, price rejects 50.9% of the time
How to interpret:
PP shows highest continuation (88.1%), confirming it's a poor reversal level
Support levels (S1/S2/S3) show strong rejection rates (62.5%/60.7%/56.1%), making them better reversal candidates
Continuation rates above 80% suggest the level is better as a target than an entry
First Touch Statistics
Analyzes which pivot is typically touched first during RTH:
1st Touch %: Probability this level is the first pivot encountered
PP is first touched 37.1% of days (most common)
R1 is first touched 26.0% of days
S1 is first touched 10.9% of days
1st→Continue: If this level is touched first, probability of continuation
S1-S3 show 95.6%-100% continuation when touched first
This means when price reaches support first, it usually continues lower
Avg Time: Minutes after 9:30 AM EST before first touch
PP: 1h 6m average
S3: 19m average (when bearish)
R3: 3h 19m average (when bullish)
How to interpret:
Opening away from PP means higher probability of reaching extremes (R2/R3 or S2/S3)
When support is touched first (within first 2 hours), expect continuation lower
Late-day first touches (after 2 PM) often indicate strong trending days
Multi-Touch: Shows how often levels are tested multiple times (92.8%-95.0% across all levels)
Golden Zone Statistics
Main GZ: 58.5% touch rate for the 0.5-0.618 zone
Inter-Pivot zones:
PP-R1: 60.8% (highest probability)
PP-S1: 50.9%
R1-R2: 25.2%
S1-S2: 24.0%
R2-R3: 9.4%
S2-S3: 10.5%
How to interpret:
Main GZ is touched more often than any individual resistance level
PP-R1 and PP-S1 golden zones are high-probability mean reversion areas
Outer golden zones (R2-R3, S2-S3) are only relevant on high volatility days
Daily Close Distribution
Shows where RTH sessions typically close:
Above/Below PP: 58.5% close above, 41.5% below (slight bullish bias)
Above R1: 24.5% of days
Below S1: 18.7% of days
In GZ: Only 6.3% close in the golden zone (typically transits through it)
How to interpret:
Most days (58.5%) have bullish bias (close above PP)
Less than 25% of days are strong trending days (beyond R1/S1)
Golden zone is an action area, not a resting area
Highest/Lowest Levels Reached
Distribution of the most extreme level reached:
High Resist: R1 (26.0%), R2 (10.8%), R3 (5.1%)
Low Support: S1 (35.4%), S2 (1.9%), S3 (0.6%)
How to interpret:
Most days don't reach beyond R1 or S1
R3/S3 are rare events (5.1%/0.6%), indicating major trending days
S1 is reached as lowest level more often than R1 as highest, suggesting downside is more frequently tested
TABLE 2: CONTEXT STATISTICS
This table provides conditional statistics based on how the session opened.
Current Opening Zone
Displays which of 13 possible zones the RTH session opened in:
ABOVE_R3, R2_TO_R3, R1_TO_R2, GZ_TO_R1, IN_GZ, PP_TO_GZ, AT_PP, GZ_TO_PP, S1_TO_GZ, S2_TO_S1, S3_TO_S2, BELOW_S3
How to use: This immediately tells you the market structure and what type of day to expect.
Opening Zone Statistics
Detailed statistics for the current opening zone (only shows for 6 major zones):
For each zone, you see:
Occurs: How often this opening scenario happens
GZ_TO_R1: 38.4% (most common)
AT_PP: 12.8%
S1_TO_GZ: 24.2%
R1_TO_R2: 9.4%
S2_TO_S1: 6.3%
IN_GZ: 3.8%
Bull/Bear %: Close direction probability
Example: GZ_TO_R1 is perfectly balanced (50.0% bull / 49.6% bear)
R1_TO_R2 is bullish (58.1% bull / 41.0% bear)
Levels Hit: Probability of reaching each pivot level from this opening
Helps identify high-probability targets
Example: From GZ_TO_R1, PP is hit 52.9%, R1 is hit 49.0%, S1 is hit 21.6%
How to interpret:
GZ_TO_R1 (most common): Balanced day, watch PP and GZ for direction clues
AT_PP: Slight bullish bias (56.9%), high chance of touching both PP (92.8%) and GZ (90.3%)
R1_TO_R2: Bullish bias (58.1%), expect continuation to R2 (58.1% chance)
S2_TO_S1: Bullish reversal setup (59.9%), very high chance of S1 touch (82.8%)
IN_GZ: Rare opening (3.8%), bullish bias, virtually guaranteed GZ touch (100%)
Previous Day Gap Context
Shows current gap scenario and typical behavior:
Three scenarios:
GAP UP: Opened Above Yesterday's High (20.5% of days)
R1 Touch: 65.9% (high probability)
R2 Touch: 42.1%
S1 Touch: 15.0% (low probability)
Bias: Bullish continuation
GAP DOWN: Opened Below Yesterday's Low (11.3% of days)
S1 Touch: 71.5% (high probability)
S2 Touch: 55.2%
R1 Touch: 12.1% (low probability)
Bias: Bearish continuation
NO GAP: Opened Within Yesterday's Range (68.2% of days)
PP Touch: 69.5%
GZ Touch: 71.7%
R1 Touch: 35.2%
Bias: Balanced (watch for direction at PP/GZ)
How to interpret:
Gap days (up or down) tend to continue in the gap direction
When gapping, fade trades are low probability (15.0% and 12.1%)
Most days (68.2%) open within previous range, making PP and GZ critical decision zones
The "bias" line provides clear directional guidance for trade selection
Practical Application Examples
Example 1: Standard Day Setup
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,450
PP: 20,400
GZ: 20,390-20,395
R1: 20,425
Previous day high: 20,460
What the tables tell you:
Opening Zone: "GZ_TO_R1" (38.4% occurrence)
Gap Context: "NO GAP" (68.2% occurrence)
Expected behavior: Balanced (50/50 bull/bear)
High probability: PP touch (52.9%), GZ touch (56.8%)
Moderate probability: R1 touch (49.0%), S1 touch (21.6%)
Trade plan:
Wait for price to reach PP (52.9% chance) or GZ (56.8% chance)
Look for directional confirmation at these levels
First target R1 if bullish, S1 if bearish
Avoid assuming direction without confirmation (perfectly balanced opening)
Example 2: Gap Up Day
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,510
Previous day high: 20,460
R1: 20,425
R2: 20,475
What the tables tell you:
Gap Context: "GAP UP" (20.5% occurrence)
R1 touch: 65.9% probability
R2 touch: 42.1% probability
S1 touch: Only 15.0% probability
Bias: Bullish continuation
Trade plan:
Favor long setups
Target R1 first (65.9% chance), then R2 (42.1%)
If R1 breaks, R2 becomes likely target
Shorting is low probability (only 15.0% reach S1)
Example 3: Opening in Golden Zone
Scenario: RTH opens at 20,393
PP: 20,400
GZ: 20,390-20,395
What the tables tell you:
Opening Zone: "IN_GZ" (rare, only 3.8% occurrence)
Bullish bias: 58.1%
GZ touch: 100% (guaranteed - already there)
PP touch: 75.3%
R1 touch: 41.9%
Trade plan:
Expect price to test PP (75.3% chance)
Slight bullish bias suggests long setups better than shorts
Watch how price reacts at PP - likely to continue to R1 (41.9%)
This is an uncommon opening, suggesting potential for larger moves
Best Practices
Match Your Instrument: Remember, statistics are NQ-specific. If trading other instruments, use the levels but disregard the statistical percentages.
Combine with Price Action: Use the statistics for probability context, not as standalone signals. Always confirm with price action, volume, and your trading methodology.
Adapt Table Display: Don't display all sections all the time. Toggle based on your trading phase:
Pre-market: Focus on "Gap Context" to understand the setup
Market open: Watch "Opening Zone Statistics" for directional bias
Intraday: Monitor "Current Session Info" for position tracking
Understand Context: A 60% touch rate doesn't mean guaranteed—it means 40% of days don't touch. Use these probabilities to size positions and manage expectations.
Inter-Pivot Golden Zones: These are most useful when price is already in motion toward a level. For example, if price breaks above PP heading to R1, the PP-R1 golden zone (60.8% touch rate) becomes a high-probability pullback area.
Time Awareness: The "Avg Time" statistics help you understand urgency. If it's 10:30 AM and S1 hasn't been touched (average is 55 minutes), the window for bearish moves is closing.
Technical Notes
Time Zone: All times referenced are NY/EST
Session Definition: RTH is 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM EST
Calculation Period: Pivots update daily based on previous 24-hour period (18:00 previous day to 17:00 current day)
Data Source: Statistics derived from 12 years of NQ 1-minute futures data (2013-2025)
Sample Size: 2,482 complete RTH trading sessions
Disclaimer
This indicator provides statistical probabilities based on historical NQ futures data. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The statistical tables are educational tools and should not be the sole basis for trading decisions. Always:
Use proper risk management
Combine with your own analysis
Understand that probabilities are not certainties
Remember that statistics are instrument-specific (NQ/MNQ only)
Credits
Statistical analysis performed using Python analysis of 12 years of historical NQ futures data. All pivot and golden zone calculations use standard mathematical formulas applicable to any instrument.
Dow Theory Cockpit1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Dow Theory Cockpit [Final Fixed V15]1. Evolution History
The system has reached its final form through five distinct development phases:
Phase 1: Logic Development (V1–V6)
Established four core logics: BREAK and DIP (Dow Theory), SNIPER (Reversal), and PUSH (Trend continuation).
Implemented the Multi-Timeframe (MTF) panel and Market Scanner.
Phase 2: Strategy Transition (V7–V9)
Integrated backtesting features, but found the Pine Script calculation load too heavy for real-time charting.
Phase 3: Optimization & Performance (V10–V11)
Prioritized smooth real-time execution by returning to a lightweight indicator format.
Introduced the on-chart stats panel for Win Rate and P&L tracking.
Phase 4: Visual Completion (V12–V13)
High-Vis Fib: Bold orange lines highlighting the Golden Zone (38.2%/61.8%).
Visual Zones: Introduced Green and Red bands for intuitive trade tracking.
Phase 5: Smart Adjust Implementation (V14 - Current)
Barrier Avoidance: Automatically detects nearby Support/Resistance boxes and shortens the TP to secure profits before a potential reversal.
Dynamic RR Optimization: Automatically adjusts the SL in tandem with the shortened TP to maintain a healthy Risk-Reward ratio.
2. Specifications
Name: Dow Theory Cockpit
Format: Indicator
Trading Style: Scalping to Day Trading
Timeframes: 5M, 15M (Recommended), 1H
Assets: All pairs (Gold, Crypto, Forex, Indices)
3. Features
① Quad-Logic Entry Signals
🎯 SNIPER: Reversal logic targeting "Tops and Bottoms" when the market is overextended.
🌊 DIP: Trend-following logic for "Deep Pullbacks" with clean Moving Average alignment.
⚡ PUSH: Scalping logic for "Shallow Pullbacks" during high-momentum trends.
🚀 BREAK: Classic Dow Theory momentum entry on recent High/Low breakouts.
② Visual Analysis Tools
S/R BOX: Displays key price levels as shaded zones to account for market noise and wick volatility.
High-Vis Auto Fib: Automatically plots Fibonacci levels, highlighting the Golden Zone with bold lines.
③ Bulletproof Money Management
Calculated Lot Size: Displays the precise lot size based on your account balance and Risk % directly on the signal label.
TP/SL Zones: Dynamic Green and Red bands show exactly where your profit and loss targets lie.
④ Smart Adjust Function (NEW)
Logic: Automatically scans for strong S/R walls near your entry.
Normal Condition: Displays TP/SL at your default Risk-Reward ratio.
Wall Detected: Automatically pulls the TP to the edge of the barrier and tightens the SL to maintain the ratio.
Alert: A "⚠️Adj" warning appears on the label when this adjustment is active.
⑤ Integrated Info Panel
Main Panel: Trends across all timeframes, real-time Win Rate, and Period Net P&L.
Scanner: Constant monitoring of Gold/JPY/BTC and major US/JP economic data.
4. How to Use
Configuration: In the settings under , input your balance and Risk %. Set your start date in .
Entry Decision: Wait for the "★ BUY" or "★ SELL" label.
"⚠️Adj" displayed: The system has detected a nearby barrier and narrowed the TP/SL for safety. This results in a higher win rate with smaller gains.
No warning: No barriers detected. Targets the default wide Risk-Reward ratio.
Execution: Enter using the exact Lot size on the label. Set your Limit/Stop orders at the provided TP/SL prices.
Exit: The trade concludes when the price reaches the Green or Red zone. Smart Adjust ensures you exit the market before a potential bounce.
1. 大幅なアップデート履歴 (Evolution History)
このシステムは、以下の5つのフェーズを経て完成しました。
フェーズ1：ロジック構築期 (V1〜V6)
ダウ理論に基づく「BREAK」「DIP」に加え、逆張り「SNIPER」、順張り追撃「PUSH」の4つのロジックを搭載。
マルチタイムフレーム（MTF）パネル、市場監視スキャナーの実装。
フェーズ2：ストラテジー化への挑戦 (V7〜V9)
バックテスト機能を搭載したが、Pine Scriptの計算負荷増大によりチャート動作が重くなる問題が発生。
フェーズ3：軽量化と原点回帰 (V10〜V11)
**「実戦での快適さ」**を最優先し、indicator 形式へ戻して超軽量化。
期間損益や勝率を、チャート上のパネルで簡易確認できる仕様に変更。
フェーズ4：視認性の完成 (V12〜V13)
High-Vis Fib: フィボナッチの重要ライン（38.2%/61.8%）を太いオレンジ実線で強調。
Visual Zone: トレード中、チャート上に「緑（利益）/赤（損失）」の帯を表示し、直感的な判断を可能に。
フェーズ5：スマート・アジャスト実装 (V14 - Current)
障害物回避機能: エントリー方向の直近に「逆側のレジサポBOX（壁）」がある場合、TPをその手前に自動短縮し、反発による含み益消滅リスクを回避。
RR自動最適化: TPの短縮に合わせて、最低限のリスクリワード（RR）を維持するようSLも自動調整する機能を搭載。
2. 全体の仕様 (Specifications)
名称: Dow Theory Cockpit
形式: インジケーター (Indicator)
※TradingViewの「ストラテジーテスター」タブは使用しません。
推奨スタイル: スキャルピング 〜 デイトレード
推奨時間足: 5分足、15分足（推奨）、1時間足
通貨ペア: 全通貨対応（Gold, Crypto, Forex, Index）
3. 特徴と機能 (Features)
① 4つの「高期待値」エントリーロジック
相場の状況に合わせて最適なサインが点灯します。
🎯 SNIPER: 行き過ぎた相場の反転（天底）を狙う逆張り。
🌊 DIP: 移動平均線の並びが良い状態での「深い押し目」を拾う順張り。
⚡ PUSH: 強いトレンド（ADX上昇中）の「浅い押し目」で飛び乗るスキャルピング用。
🚀 BREAK: ダウ理論の基本、直近高値・安値ブレイクでのエントリー。
② 視覚的環境認識ツール
レジサポ BOX: 重要価格帯を「面（ボックス）」で表示。ヒゲのダマシを許容します。
High-Vis Auto Fib: 直近の波を検知し、38.2%/61.8%（ゴールデンゾーン）を太線で強調表示。
③ 鉄壁の資金管理 (Money Management)
推奨ロット表示: 口座資金と許容リスク（％）に基づき、適正ロット数を自動計算して表示します。
TP/SL ゾーン: エントリー中、チャート上に「利確までの緑の帯」と「損切までの赤の帯」が表示され、価格の進行度合いが一目で分かります。
④ スマート・アジャスト機能 (Smart Adjust) ★NEW
機能: エントリー時、目標地点の手前に「強力なレジサポBOX」があるかを自動検知します。
動作:
通常時: 設定通りのRR（2.5倍など）でTP/SLを表示。
壁がある時: **「壁の手前」**にTPを引き下げ、それに合わせてSLも浅く調整します。
表示: 調整が行われた場合、ラベルに 「⚠️Adj（調整済み）」 と警告が出ます。
⑤ 情報集約パネル
Main Panel: 全時間足のトレンド方向、直近の勝率、期間内の純損益を表示。
Scanner: Gold / JPY / BTC の動向と、日米経済指標を常時監視。
4. 使い方 (How to Use)
STEP 1: 初期設定
インジケーター設定の 【F. 資金管理】 を開き、口座資金 と リスク(%) を入力します。
【T. バックテスト期間】 で損益計算を開始したい日付を設定します。
STEP 2: エントリー判断
チャートに 「★ BUY」 または 「★ SELL」 のラベルが出現するのを待ちます。
ラベルの確認:
「⚠️Adj」 と出ている場合 → 「近くに壁があるため、TP/SLを狭く調整しました」という意味です。勝率は上がりますが、値幅は小さくなります。
何も出ていない場合 → 「障害物なし。通常のRRで大きく狙います」という意味です。
STEP 3: 注文 (Execution)
ラベルの数値を信頼して注文を出します。
Lot: 表示された数量を入力。
TP/SL: 表示された価格に指値・逆指値を置く。
STEP 4: 決済 (Exit)
チャート上の 「緑の帯（TP）」 か 「赤の帯（SL）」 にローソク足が到達したら決済です。
**「スマートアジャスト」により、壁の手前で利確設定されているため、「反発して戻ってくる前に逃げ切る」**ことができます。
Daytrading Suite v6.4: Neon TPO + FVG + IB Lines (Stable)Here is the complete **Trading Manual & Strategy Guide** for the **Master Daytrading Suite (Neon + IB Edition)**.
This guide explains exactly **when** to trade and **how** to execute trades using the tools in the script.
---
# 📘 MASTER TRADING MANUAL (Neon + IB)
### 1. THE BASICS
* **Best Assets:** BTCUSDT & ETHUSDT (Futures).
* **Best Timeframe:** 5 Minutes (Entry) / 15 Minutes (Trend).
* **Key Session:** New York Session (High Volatility).
* **Golden Rule:** Never go **LONG** inside a Red Supply Zone. Never go **SHORT** inside a Green Demand Zone.
---
### 2. THE INDICATORS (Legend)
| Indicator | Color | Function | How to use |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| **Supply Zone** | 🟥 **Red Box** | Resistance | Look for Short setups here. |
| **Demand Zone** | 🟩 **Green Box** | Support | Look for Long setups here. |
| **Golden Pocket** | 🟧 **Orange** | Retracement | The "Sweet Spot" for trend entries (Fib 0.618). |
| **VWAP** | 🔵 **Blue Line** | Trend Anchor | Price > VWAP = Bullish. Price < VWAP = Bearish. |
| **Initial Balance (IB)** | 🟨 **Yellow Box** | Opening Range | Breakout above = Bullish. Breakdown below = Bearish. |
| **FVG (Gap)** | 🟩/🟥 **Tiny Box** | Trigger | **Green FVG** = Entry Signal for Longs. **Red FVG** = Entry Signal for Shorts. |
---
### 3. STRATEGY A: The Trend Pullback (High Win Rate)
*Use this when the market is trending smoothly.*
#### ✅ HOW TO ENTER A LONG (BUY) POSITION
1. **Trend Check:** Price is trading **ABOVE** the VWAP (Blue Line) and EMA 9 (Yellow Line).
2. **The Wait:** Wait for the price to drop back down (pullback).
3. **The Zone:** Price touches the **Green Demand Zone** OR the **Orange Golden Pocket**.
4. **The Trigger:** A **Green FVG Box** appears on the 5-minute chart.
5. **Execution:** Enter Long. Stop Loss below the recent low. Take Profit at the next Red Zone.
#### 🔻 HOW TO ENTER A SHORT (SELL) POSITION
1. **Trend Check:** Price is trading **BELOW** the VWAP (Blue Line) and EMA 9 (Yellow Line).
2. **The Wait:** Wait for the price to rally up (pullback).
3. **The Zone:** Price touches the **Red Supply Zone** OR the **Orange Golden Pocket**.
4. **The Trigger:** A **Red FVG Box** appears on the 5-minute chart.
5. **Execution:** Enter Short. Stop Loss above the recent high. Take Profit at the next Green Zone.
---
### 4. STRATEGY B: The IB Breakout (Volatility)
*Use this specifically after the first hour of the New York Session (approx. 10:30 NY time).*
* **The Setup:** Look at the **Yellow Box (Initial Balance)** which marks the high/low of the first hour.
* **Bullish Breakout:** If a candle closes **above** the Yellow Box + Price is above VWAP → **Go Long**.
* **Bearish Breakdown:** If a candle closes **below** the Yellow Box + Price is below VWAP → **Go Short**.
* **The Trap (Fakeout):** If price breaks out but immediately falls back inside the Yellow Box, close the trade immediately.
---
### 5. DAILY ROUTINE (Checklist)
1. **Open TradingView:** Switch to the **15m Chart**.
2. **Check Context:** Where are we? Are we near a big Red Box (Supply) or Green Box (Demand)?
3. **Check Trend:** Is price above or below the Blue VWAP line?
4. **Wait for the Open:** Let the first hour of New York pass (to form the Yellow IB Box).
5. **Set Alerts:** Right-click the chart and set alerts for "IB Breakout" or "Golden Pocket".
6. **Execute:** Switch to the **5m Chart** to find your entry trigger (FVG).
---
### 6. RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
* **Stop Loss:** NEVER trade without one. Place it just outside the FVG box or the Zone.
* **Risk per Trade:** 1% to 2% of your account maximum.
* **No Trade Zone:** If the price is "chopping" (moving sideways) inside the Yellow IB Box, **do not trade**. Wait for a breakout.
Crypto Professional Suite V2.0 [R2D2]Here is the complete professional documentation and strategy guide for your Crypto Pro Suite indicator. This guide is designed to help you install the tool correctly, understand its features, and utilize it to maximize your trading returns.
Crypto Pro Suite: The Professional Crypto Trader's All-In-One Toolkit
1. Introduction
The Crypto Pro Suite is a high-performance TradingView indicator designed to consolidate the five most critical technical analysis tools into a single, clean overlay.
Instead of cluttering your screen with multiple sub-charts (panes), this suite integrates Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci Levels directly onto the price action. It transforms "oscillator" data (RSI and MACD) into actionable Buy/Sell signals on your candles and a real-time Status Dashboard.
Key Features:
Zero Clutter: No bottom panes required; maximizes screen real estate for price analysis.
Real-Time Dashboard: Instant readout of Trend, RSI status, and MACD momentum.
Dynamic Overlay: Indicators move fluidly with your candles.
2. Installation Instructions
Follow these steps precisely to ensure the "Overlay" feature functions correctly.
Clean Slate: If you have any previous version of this script on your chart, remove it now (click the 'X' next to the indicator name).
Open Editor: Click the Pine Editor tab at the bottom of your TradingView screen.
Paste Code: Delete any existing text and paste the Final Polished Script provided in the previous response.
Save & Add: Click Save, then click Add to chart.
Note: By adding it fresh, TradingView forces the script to lock onto the price candles rather than a separate pane.
Verify: You should see colored lines (MAs, Bollinger Bands) directly on top of your candlesticks and a Dashboard in the top right.
3. Using the Script: Settings & Customization
Access the settings by clicking the Gear Icon next to the indicator name.
Dashboard: You can toggle the info panel On/Off or change its size (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
Toggle Control: Each of the 5 indicators has a "Show" checkbox. You can turn off noise (e.g., hide Bollinger Bands) when you only want to focus on Trend (MAs).
Inputs:
MAs: Defaults are 50/200 (Classic Golden Cross setup).
RSI: Default is 14 length, 70/30 limits.
Fibs: Default lookback is 200 bars. Increase this number to find Support/Resistance over a longer timeframe.
4. Maximizing Returns: Strategy & Examples
To maximize returns, professionals do not use indicators in isolation. They look for Confluence—where multiple indicators signal the same direction simultaneously.
A. Moving Averages (Trend Filter)
The Setup: The script plots a Fast MA (Yellow) and Slow MA (Blue).
Strategy:
Golden Cross (Buy): When the Yellow line crosses above the Blue line. This signals the start of a long-term bull trend.
Death Cross (Sell): When the Yellow line crosses below the Blue line.
Pro Tip: Never go long (Buy) if price is significantly below the Blue (Slow) MA.
B. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Setup: Instead of a line graph, you will see labels on the candles: "RSI Buy" (Green) or "RSI Sell" (Red).
Strategy:
Mean Reversion: If you see an "RSI Sell" label, the asset is Overbought. This is often a signal to take profit, not necessarily to short.
The Dip Buy: Look for an "RSI Buy" label occurring during a general uptrend (price above Slow MA). This indicates a healthy pullback that is ready to bounce.
C. MACD (Momentum)
The Setup: Green Triangles (Buy) and Red Triangles (Sell) appear above/below candles.
Strategy:
Trend Confirmation: Use MACD to confirm the Moving Average. If price crosses above the MA and you get a Green MACD Triangle, the breakout has high momentum and is likely to succeed.
Exit Signal: If you are in a Long trade and see a Red MACD Triangle, momentum is fading. Consider tightening your stop-loss.
D. Bollinger Bands (Volatility)
The Setup: A shaded teal channel surrounding the price.
Strategy:
The Squeeze: When the bands get very narrow, a massive move is coming. Wait for the breakout.
Walking the Bands: In a strong crypto bull run, price will hug the Upper Band. If price closes outside the band and then immediately closes inside it, it is a reversal signal (Sell).
E. Fibonacci Retracement (Support/Resistance)
The Setup: Dynamic horizontal lines (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%) based on recent highs/lows.
Strategy:
The Golden Pocket: The most powerful buy zone in crypto is between the 0.5 and 0.618 lines.
Execution: If price falls to the 0.618 line and you see an "RSI Buy" or MACD Green Triangle appear at that exact level, this is a high-probability entry.
5. The "Perfect Trade" Example
Putting it all together for maximum profit.
Context: The Dashboard says "MA Trend: Bullish."
Trigger: Price pulls back down and touches the 0.618 Fibonacci line.
Confirmation 1: Price is also touching the Lower Bollinger Band (acting as dynamic support).
Confirmation 2: An "RSI Buy" label appears on the candle.
Action: BUY.
Stop Loss: Place just below the 100% Fib line.
Take Profit: Sell half at the 0% Fib line (recent high) and let the rest ride.
FX Master Confluence v39 (Restored MAs) TDDHow to read your new Dashboard:
Top Row (The Boss): This is your 8-Hour WaveTrend status.
DARK GREEN: Strong Bull (Bias is Up & Above Zero). Aggressively look for buys.
LIGHT GREEN: Weak Bull (Bias is Up but Below Zero). Be cautious, could be a deep pullback.
DARK RED: Strong Bear (Bias is Down & Below Zero). Aggressively look for sells.
LTF Rows (15m - 6h):
"GOLDEN ZERO": This is the Holy Grail signal you asked for. The LTF WaveTrend just crossed the Zero line in agreement with the 8H Boss.
"REV SETUP": Standard reversal signal (useful, but lower confidence than Golden).
"TREND UP/DOWN": No signal right now, but tells you the flow of that specific timeframe.
Now you have a "Traffic Light" system. If the Top Row is RED, you ignore everything until you see a RED "GOLDEN ZERO" on your 15m or 1H chart.
Fractal Market Geometry [JOAT]
Fractal Market Geometry
Overview
Fractal Market Geometry is an open-source overlay indicator that combines fractal analysis with harmonic pattern detection, Fibonacci retracements and extensions, Elliott Wave concepts, and Wyckoff phase identification. It provides traders with a geometric framework for understanding market structure and identifying potential reversal patterns with multi-factor signal confirmation.
What This Indicator Does
The indicator calculates and displays:
Fractal Detection - Identifies fractal highs and lows using Williams-style pivot analysis with configurable period
Fractal Dimension - Calculates market complexity using range-based dimension estimation
Harmonic Patterns - Detects Gartley, Butterfly, Bat, Crab, Shark, Cypher, and ABCD patterns using Fibonacci ratios
Fibonacci Retracements - Key levels at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%
Fibonacci Extensions - Projection level at 161.8%
Elliott Wave Count - Simplified wave counting based on pivot detection (1-5)
Wyckoff Phase - Volume-based phase identification (Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, Neutral)
Golden Spiral Levels - ATR-based support and resistance levels using phi (1.618) ratio
Trend Detection - EMA crossover trend identification (20/50 EMA)
How It Works
Fractal detection uses a configurable period to identify swing points:
detectFractalHigh(simple int period) =>
bool result = true
float centerVal = high
for i = 0 to period - 1
if high >= centerVal or high >= centerVal
result := false
break
Harmonic pattern detection uses Fibonacci ratio analysis between swing points. Each pattern has specific ratio requirements:
Gartley: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 1.27-1.618
Butterfly: AB 0.382-0.5, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 1.618-2.24
Bat: AB 0.5-0.618, BC 1.13-1.618, CD 1.618-2.24
Crab: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 0.382-0.886, CD 2.24-3.618
Shark: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 1.13-1.618, CD 1.618-2.24
Cypher: AB 0.382-0.618, BC 1.13-1.414, CD 0.786-0.886
Wyckoff phase detection analyzes volume relative to price movement:
wyckoffPhase(simple int period) =>
float avgVol = ta.sma(volume, period)
float priceChg = ta.change(close, period)
string phase = "NEUTRAL"
if volume > avgVol * 1.5 and math.abs(priceChg) < close * 0.02
phase := "ACCUMULATION"
else if volume > avgVol * 1.5 and math.abs(priceChg) > close * 0.05
phase := "MARKUP"
else if volume < avgVol * 0.7
phase := "DISTRIBUTION"
phase
Signal Generation
Signals use multi-factor confirmation for accuracy:
BUY Signal: Fractal low + Uptrend (EMA20 > EMA50) + RSI 30-55 + Bullish candle + Volume confirmation
SELL Signal: Fractal high + Downtrend (EMA20 < EMA50) + RSI 45-70 + Bearish candle + Volume confirmation
Pattern Detection: Label appears when harmonic pattern completes at current bar
Dashboard Panel (Top-Right)
Dimension - Fractal dimension value (market complexity measure)
Last High - Most recent fractal high price
Last Low - Most recent fractal low price
Pattern - Current harmonic pattern name or NONE
Elliott Wave - Current wave count (Wave 1-5) or OFF
Wyckoff - Current market phase or OFF
Trend - BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL based on EMA crossover
Signal - BUY, SELL, or WAIT status
Visual Elements
Fractal Markers - Small triangles at fractal highs (down arrow) and lows (up arrow)
Geometry Lines - Dashed lines connecting the most recent fractal high and low
Fibonacci Levels - Clean horizontal lines at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels
Fibonacci Extension - Horizontal line at 161.8% extension level
Golden Spiral Levels - Support and resistance lines based on ATR x 1.618
3D Fractal Field - Optional depth layers around swing levels (OFF by default)
Harmonic Pattern Markers - Small diamond shapes when Crab, Shark, or Cypher patterns detected
Pattern Labels - Text label showing pattern name when detected
Signal Labels - BUY/SELL labels on confirmed multi-factor signals
Input Parameters
Fractal Period (default: 5) - Bars on each side for fractal detection
Geometry Depth (default: 3) - Complexity of geometric calculations
Pattern Sensitivity (default: 0.8) - Tolerance for pattern ratio matching
Show Fibonacci Levels (default: true) - Display retracement levels
Show Fibonacci Extensions (default: true) - Display extension level
Elliott Wave Detection (default: true) - Enable wave counting
Wyckoff Analysis (default: true) - Enable phase detection
Golden Spiral Levels (default: true) - Display spiral support/resistance
Show Fractal Points (default: true) - Display fractal markers
Show Geometry Lines (default: true) - Display connecting lines
Show Pattern Labels (default: true) - Display pattern name labels
Show 3D Fractal Field (default: false) - Display depth layers
Show Harmonic Patterns (default: true) - Display pattern markers
Show Buy/Sell Signals (default: true) - Display signal labels
Suggested Use Cases
Identify potential reversal zones using harmonic pattern completion
Use Fibonacci levels for entry, stop-loss, and target planning
Monitor Wyckoff phases for accumulation/distribution awareness
Track Elliott Wave counts for trend structure analysis
Use fractal dimension to gauge market complexity
Wait for multi-factor signal confirmation before entering trades
Timeframe Recommendations
Best on 1H to Daily charts. Lower timeframes produce more fractals but with less significance. Higher timeframes provide stronger levels and more reliable signals.
Limitations
Harmonic pattern detection uses simplified ratio ranges and may not match all textbook definitions
Elliott Wave counting is basic and does not include all wave rules
Wyckoff phase detection is volume-based approximation
Fractal dimension calculation is simplified
Signals require fractal confirmation which has inherent lag equal to the fractal period
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Quant-Action Pro: Triple Confluence EngineQuant-Action Pro: Triple Confluence Engine
Systematic Framework for Structural Price Action Analysis
Quant-Action Pro is a high-performance analytical engine designed to synchronize institutional liquidity flow with market geometry. Instead of traditional "signals," this framework identifies Structural States where three independent algorithmic layers align, providing a objective roadmap for the current price action context.
1. Core Algorithmic Matrix
The engine operates by monitoring the interaction between price and three proprietary logic layers:
A. Institutional Flow Node (SP2L) —
Logic: Monitors "Passive Liquidity Absorption" at the 20-period EMA.
Function: Identifies zones where institutional buyers/sellers are defending the trend's equilibrium. This is not a simple touch; it requires a validated "Touch-and-Hold" sequence.
B. Structural Flip Scanner (BTB) —
Logic: Detects the transition from old supply to new demand (S/R Flip).
Function: Uses a 3-phase Break-Test-Break verification to confirm that a structural breakout is backed by volume, reducing the risk of "Fake-outs."
C. Liquidity Compression Monitor (Micro Map) —
Logic: Statistical range-contraction analysis (Volatility Squeeze).
Function: Signals a High-Density State where price is coiling for an expansion move.
2. The Golden State: Triple Confluence Logic
The GOLD label represents the "Apex" of this engine. It is triggered only when the SP2L, BTB, and Micro Map layers synchronize on a single candle. In structural terms, this means:
Trend Defense (SP2L) is active.
Structural Breakout (BTB) is confirmed.
Volatility Expansion (MM) is imminent.
This Triple-Layer filtering ensures that Golden Signals only appear during periods of maximum market conviction.
3. Professional Implementation (Structural View)
MTF Trend Matrix: A built-in dashboard provides a 1H, 4H, and 1D diagnosis to ensure local setups align with the Macro Trend.
Smart Invalidation (Adaptive Trendlines): The engine draws dynamic geometry to define the current "Structural Floor/Ceiling." A decisive close beyond these lines acts as a clear Invalidation Point for the current thesis.
Mean Reversion: The system uses the 200-EMA as the primary directional filter, defining whether the market is in a "Bullish Expansion" or "Bearish Correction" state.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial instruments involves significant risk. Quant-Action Pro is an educational tool designed for research and structural analysis. It does not provide financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use strict risk management.
Max Pain Options [QuantLabs] v5 (Balanced)Institutional Grade Options Analysis: Max Pain, Gamma & Pin Risk
For years, TradingView users have been flying blind without access to Options Chain data. QuantLabs: Max Pain & Gamma Exposure changes that. This is not just a support/resistance indicator—it is a sophisticated, algorithmic model that reverse-engineers the incentives of Market Makers using synthetic Black-Scholes logic.
This tool visualizes the "invisible hand" of the market: the hedging requirements of large dealers who are forced to buy or sell to keep their books neutral.
CORE FEATURES:
🔴 Max Pain Gravity Model The bright red line represents the "Max Pain" strike—the price level where the maximum amount of Options Open Interest (Calls + Puts) expires worthless.
Theory: As OpEx (Expiration) approaches, Market Makers maximize profits by pinning the price to this level.
Strategy: Use this as a mean-reversion target. If price is far away, look for a snap-back to the red line.
🟣 Gamma Exposure Profiles (The Purple Lines) These neon histograms show you the estimated "Gamma Walls."
Long Gamma: Dealers trade against the trend (stabilizing price).
Short Gamma: Dealers trade with the trend (accelerating volatility).
Visual: The larger the purple bar, the harder it will be for price to break through that level.
📦 Algorithmic "Pin Risk" Zones The dashed red box highlights the "Kill Zone." When price enters this area near expiration, volatility often dies as dealers pin the asset to kill retail premiums.
Warning: Do not expect breakouts while inside the Pin Zone.
📊 Institutional HUD A clean, non-intrusive dashboard provides real-time Greeks and risk analysis:
Pin Risk: High/Medium/Low probability of a pinned close.
Exp Mode: Detects if the market is in "Short Gamma" (Squeeze territory) or "Long Gamma" (Chop territory).
HOW IT WORKS (The Math): Since live options data is not available via Pine Script, this engine uses a proprietary Synthetic OI Distribution Model. It inputs Volume, Volatility (IV), and Time-to-Expiry into a modified Black-Scholes equation to probability-map where the heavy open interest likely sits.
SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION:
Responsiveness: Tuned for the "Goldilocks Zone" (Spread: 12, Decay: 22) to catch local liquidity walls without over-fitting.
Visuals: Designed for Dark Mode. High-contrast Neon aesthetics for maximum readability.
BTC - Liquisync: Macro Pulse & Desync EngineLiquisync: Macro Pulse & Desync Engine | RM
Strategic Context: The Macro Fuel Tank
Why compare Global Liquidity to Bitcoin? Because Bitcoin acts as a "Global M2 Sponge." As central banks expand their balance sheets, this "Fuel" filters into the system, taking roughly 56 to 70 days to reach Bitcoin's price. Liquisync measures this lead-lag relationship to determine if the "Engine" (Price) is properly supported by the "Fuel" (M2).
How the Model Differs: Liquisync vs. Standard Macro Composites
Many existing macro scripts focus on a Linear Sum of indicators—adding up M2, Spread, and Copper/Gold into a single Z-score. While useful for general sentiment, these "Composite" models often suffer from Directional Blindness. They tell you if the environment is "Risk-On," but they cannot tell you if the Price is currently lying about the Liquidity.
The Liquisync Edge:
• Conflict Detection: Unlike composites that simply turn red or green, Liquisync identifies Desync.
• Velocity Normalization: Instead of Z-scoring absolute values, we measure the Acceleration (Slope) of the move, allowing us to see "Decay" before the trend actually flips.
How the Model Works
1. Pulse Velocity Mapping (The Dual-Slope Architecture)
The engine utilizes a Dual-Slope Architecture to measure the "Dynamic Force" behind the market. By calculating the Linear Regression Slope for both Global Liquidity and BTC Price, we are measuring Acceleration.
• Liquidity Slope (The Fuel): Measures the speed at which central banks are expanding or contracting the money supply.
• Price Slope (The Engine): Measures the speed at which the market is repricing Bitcoin in response to that money (or due to other factors).
The Mathematical Bridge: We don't just plot these lines independently; we normalize them. Because Global M2 is measured in Trillions and BTC in Thousands of Dollars, we transform both into a unified Relative Pulse Score (-100 to +100).
Liquisync: The 4 Macro Scenarios (Directional Matrix) By measuring the interconnectivity of these two pulses, the engine identifies four distinct market regimes:
Scenario A: Institutional Expansion (Harmony) Liquidity Slope (+ rising) | Price Slope (+ rising) Harmony. The trend is "True." The price increase is fully supported by global money. (Scenario Jan 2023)
Scenario B: The Bear Trap (Desync / "Open Mouth") Liquidity Slope (+ rising) | Price Slope (- falling) The Core Edge. Liquidity is filling up, but price is dropping due to short-term panic. Because the fuel is there, the price must eventually snap upward to catch up with the liquidity reality. (Scenario Jun 2020)
Scenario C: The Bull Trap (Desync / "Open Mouth") Liquidity Slope (- falling) | Price Slope (+ rising) The Danger Zone. Price is climbing on "Empty Fuel." Retail FOMO is driving the market while liquidity is being pulled. Highly unstable. (Scenario Jul 2022)
Scenario D: Macro Contraction (Harmony) Liquidity Slope (- falling) | Price Slope (- falling) The Drain. Global liquidity is shrinking and price is following. A fundamental bear market. (Scenario Nov/Dec 2021)
2. Directional Desync (The Conflict Filter)
Liquisync is a Conflict Filter. It ignores "Synchronous" phases where both lines move together and focuses 100% of its visual energy on the Desync scenarios (Bear Trap or Bull Trap). When the lines travel in opposite directions, the indicator generates Cyan Columns. The height of these columns tells you the intensity of the conflict. When the pulses move in Harmony (Scenario A & D), the desync value remains at zero. This creates a 'Visual Silence' on the chart, signaling that the current price trend is structurally healthy and macro-supported.
3. Liquisync Extreme (The Snap-Back Star ✦)
This triggers when the "Open Mouth" (the Liquidity Pulse (Golden Line) and the Price Pulse (White Area) pull in diametrically opposite directions) desync reaches 85% of its 1-year historical record. This is a generational signal identifying the absolute limits of market irrationality relative to the macro reality (Price up, M2 down or vice versa).
How to Read the Chart
• Golden Pulse: The Liquidity Slope
• White Area: The Price Slope
• Harmony (No Columns): Price and Liquidity are in sync. Trend-following is safe.
• Open Mouth (Cyan Columns): These are not momentum bars; they are Conflict Bars . They only appear when the Price and Liquidity are traveling in opposite directions. The taller the column, the more "stretched" the macro rubber band has become.
• Magenta Stars: The desync is at a statistical limit. Expect a violent Macro Snap-Back toward the Golden Liquidity line.
The 60-Day Lead-Lag Principle: Why the Delay?
The Liquisync engine utilizes a specific forward-lag (defaulted to 60–80 days or 9 weeks, to be parametrized by the user) based on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Research into global liquidity cycles shows that central bank injections (M2 expansion) do not impact high-beta risk assets instantaneously. Capital follows a "Waterfall Effect": it moves first into primary dealer banks, then into credit markets and equities, and finally—once the "liquidity tide" has sufficiently risen—into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Statistical correlation studies confirm that the peak relationship between Global M2 and Bitcoin historically occurs with a 56 to 63-day delay. By shifting the liquidity data forward, we align the "Macro Cause" with its "Market Effect," revealing a clearer predictive map that standard, unlagged indicators miss.
Settings & Calibration: Tuning the Liquisync Engine
The Liquisync engine is a precision instrument that requires specific calibration to align the "Macro Fuel" with the "Price Engine."
Slope Lookback defines the sensitivity of our acceleration measurement; a setting of 6 (Weekly) or 30 (Daily) ensures we capture structural shifts while filtering out intraday noise
Liquidity Lag is perhaps the most critical setting, as it shifts the M2 data forward to account for the standard 60–80 day (or 9-week) transmission delay—the time it takes for central bank liquidity to actually hit the crypto order books.
Extreme Window establishes our statistical benchmark; by default, this is set to 52 (representing one full year on the Weekly timeframe), allowing the engine to identify "Magenta Star" signals by comparing the current directional desync against the highest records of the last 365 days.
Recommended Calibration :
• Daily (1D): Set Lag to 60–80 and Lookback to 30 .
• Weekly (1W): Set Lag to 9 (9 weeks) and Lookback to 6 . The 1W chart is the preferred filter for macro cycles.
Detailed Script Calculations
The script aggregates liquidity from the FED, RRP, TGA, PBoC, ECB, and BoJ using request.security. We calculate the ta.linreg slope of this aggregate, normalize it via EMA-smoothed RSI mapping (-100 to +100), and apply a ta.change filter to identify directional opposition. The "Extreme" signal is derived from a rolling ta.highest window of the desync intensity.
The Liquisync engine calculates the Linear Regression Slope (m) over a user-defined window:
m =
Where:
• Δy = The distance between the current linear regression end-point and the previous bar.
• Δx = The defined bar-count (Lookback).
Risk Disclaimer & Credits
The Liquisync is a thematic macro tool. Global liquidity data is subject to reporting delays (Note: Because central bank M2 data is typically reported with a lag, the Golden Pulse represents the most recently available macro data, not a real-time high-frequency feed.). This is not financial advice; it is a statistical model for institutional education. Rob Maths is not liable for losses incurred via use of this model.
Tags:
indicator, bitcoin, btc, macro, liquidity, desync, liquisync, institutional, m2, robmaths, Rob Maths
