Big 9 Real volume exchanges - On Balance VolumeHere is an On Balance Volume indicator using only volume data from the 9 biggest exchanges trading BTC/USD or BTC/USDT. These 9 exchanges were chosen based on the report by Bitwise Invest stating that 95% of the volume on CoinMarketCap is fake. On these 9 exchanges, however, volume data appears to be reliable. Please note BitFlyer was not included because it does not trade in USD. Please note also that data on all 9 exchanges is only available from August 2017. A separate volume indicator indicator is available at
Anyone is welcome to share and modify.
- stargazer
"btc期权交割时间"に関するスクリプトを検索
Big 9 Volume - Volume indicator from exchanges with real volumeHere is a very basic indicator combining the volumes of the 9 biggest exchanges trading BTC/USD or BTC/USDT. These 9 exchanges were chosen based on the report by Bitwise Invest stating that 95% of the volume on CoinMarketCap is fake. On these 9 exchanges, however, volume data appears to be reliable. Please note BitFlyer was not included because it does not trade in USD. Please note also that data on all 9 exchanges is only available from June 2018.
Anyone is welcome to modify this and make it more elegant, this was just a quick implementation.
Major Mayer MultipleAdjusted version of the BTC Mayer Multiple developed by Trace Mayer www.theinvestorspodcast.com
This version includes two novelties. The first one replaces BTC with Total Market Cap from 2016/2017 (depending on your moving averages) to present and the second is that we consider two Moving Averages to produce more detailed lows.
Volume RSI altsSo this allow you to put major alts against each other and compare the Volume RSI to each other and to the alts that you are currently looking In this example we see TRX breaking from the major pack of the other alts in 1D chart making the breakthrough up
Each alt has it own color
if you want to add more alts just copi paste and add the code for your alt to make this system better for you
here you see how XRP break from the pack show in arrow down
here on 4 h chart we see LTC is breaking before BTC (its a btc chart and LTC in orange)
makemoney-hybridSo this model is little different from moneymaker model in the following :
The buy system based on super trend , the sell system =S is based on the volume model of money maker
in the example we set 7% take profit for both long or short . you can set it even higher since btc very volatile now
in cases where it did not reach the target its made min of 3% each direction
So the buy in this system will be in true uptrend . since now the btc is falling more then going up we can make more money on shorts and wait for the longs when they come :)
the bullish and bear zone based on super system
you need to set correctly your take profit in order to make it to work . the more volatile will be the coin the better will be the results (this is the theory )
HEAVI - HawkEye Aggregated Volume IndicatorThis is combined Aggregated BTC Exchange Volume by Neobutane with HawkEye volume clone indicator by LazyBear.
Indicator includes aggregated raw BTC volume from 9 user selectable fiat and tether exchanges + Exponential MA + hawkeye bar coloring where: green is bullish volume, red - bearish and white - volume neutral to the market:
Bitfinex
Coinbase
Bitstamp
Kraken
Binance
Poloniex
Bittrex
bitFlyer
Bithumb
RSI / Stoch / SRSI / MFI / Aroon Overlay [SigmaDraconis]Combines 4 popular indicators (RSI, Stoch, SRSI, MFI) and 1 peculiar one (Aroon) in 1 for those who want to save indicators but not only.
This is an evolution of my (simpler) "RSI / Stoch / Stoch RSI (SRSI) Overlay " that you can find on my scripts.
Added bands for oversold/overbought areas (70/30 common for RSI and 80/20 for SRSI and MFI), as well as a middle 50 horizontal line.
Neutral bands around 55-45 added as well that can be hidden for less clutter. I also recommend a more transparent coloring for these since Pine script doesn't allow default transparency for horizontal lines.
By default only RSI and Stoch are activated, you can activate Aroon, MFI and SRSI on the inputs window.
Some extra notes:
* RSI, Stoch and MFI can help to strengthen one's decision as well as Aroon to predict a possible trend reversal, SRSI can show when RSI has high probability of being topped or bottomed when oversold/overbought but don't forget to look at volume and how the trend progresses that can keep SRSI above 80 or below 20 while RSI and price continues to trend, divergences are most helpful here to find possible reversal areas.
* This chart depicts some interesting divergences, as well as Stoch tops and bottoms and confluences between RSI/MFI and Stoch on some over-extended tops and bottoms that shown being good reversal zones.
RSI resistances are shown as well, failing to break above 60 or the neutral zone (this is a bearish BTC trend chart after all) or failing to gain support to break up certain levels (RSI notes a more bullish trend when consistently above 60 and more bearish below 40).
If you like it and use it to profit, please tip me below :)
Tip jars:
BTC: 15nMBiEGVrdGcu9C1h6QRcTNRvugHkqrMQ
ETH: 0xC33845946c48B61fBCbEA0367ec2238CaF2b73bc
BTS: sigma-draconis
U&Dif price has moved up since 1 to 3 candles ago = buy
if price has moved down since 1 to 3 candles ago = sell
has internal SL & TP
tested on
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
BITFINEX:LTCUSD
BITFINEX:ETHBTC
4 hour charts
XRPBTC long : BTCUSD shortIt will be an index using the price delivered by Bitfinex exchanges. It is a very simple indicator, but it is a recommended index for those who want to see XRP while keeping the risk of price fluctuation of BTC down. The code is simple and you can use XRP in the same way by changing it to another alto. There is a big gap in the prices of BTC and XRP, so we adjust the values so that the indicators are easy to see.
Relative Estimated Price REP by KIVANÇ fr3762Relative Estimated Price (REP) Indicator shows the estimated price calculated if the tickerid made the same value changes (in %) during a certain period.
The default value of the lookback period is 50.
In the given XRPUSD chart you can see that XRPUSD has a value of 0.26480 and the RPC indicator shows the value of 0.38099.
This means that XRP would be 0.38099USD if it was fully made the same percentage moves with BTC , we can say that XRP is RELATIVELY cheap according to BTC price moves.
Conversely XRP would be RELATIVELY expensive if the last value of REP was lower then current XRP price.
users can choose the relative base price in calculation of REP between 1-5 which are:
1=BTCUSD, 2=ETHUSD, 3=EURTRY(Euro/Turkish Lira), 4=USDTRY (Dollar/Turkish Lira), 5=BIST100 (Istanbul Stock Exchange)
I personally advise you to use this indicator for daily charts in Tradingview to have more accurate estimated prices because of the website's calculation.
Developed by KIVANÇ
[NG] Indicator - Altcoin Alpha - v1(Created for Client)
Alpha (Unique price action of asset) indicator for ALTcoins implementation, taking `BINANCE:BTCUSDT` as the market reference. Can be improved by adding more BTC charts from more sources, so as to get a unified chart of BTC for market representation.
Set `alpha period` to a value, wherein you want to see the unique price action of the asset. For short term trend, a value of 24 is good for `1H` charts (1 day), and value of 168 is good for long term trends on `1H` charts (1 week trend).
Corresponding values of `beta period` should be `168` (1 week for 1 day alpha) and `720` (1 month for 1 week alpha period).
You can set `alpha` and `beta` period as per your requirements.
Regards,
TSP Volume Change Big Small// Better Display of Volume change
// green candle : Big volume change
// red Candle : Small volume change
// Default for BTC m5
// Big volume are limited up to $limup% 5%
// Pump : Volume over $limgreen% 2%
// Flat : Very Small Volume under $limdo% 0.2%
// Adjust based on volatility / TF
// BTC/USD 1h : 4,2,0.25
Quote asset VolumeVolume expressed in quote asset units. For pair DOGE/BTC the volume is shown in BTC, instead of DOGE.
Values are imprecise, because each candle's price is calculated as (O+H+L+C)/4, instead of a weighted average one, which I couldn't obtain.
Noro's Trend MAs Strategy v1.8Trade strategy which uses only 2 MA.
The slow MA (blue) is used for definition of a trend
The fast MA (red) is used for an entrance to the transaction
For:
- For H1
- For crypto/fiat or crypto/crypto
- Good for "BTC/USD", "ETH/USD", "ETH/BTC"
Recomended:
Long = true (if it is profitable as a result of backtests)
Short = true (if it is profitable as a result of backtests)
Stops = false
Stop, % = any
OHLC4 = any
Use Fast MA = true
Fast MA Period = 5
Slow MA Period = 21
Bars Q = (2 for "bitcoin/fiat" or 1 for "crypto/fiat" or 0 for "crypto/crypto")
In the new version 1.8
- The second PriceChannel is added
- Profit became more
- Losses became less
- The unnecessary types of MA are removed
Bitcoin momentum correlation This is a pretty simple indicator, it measures the momentum of bitcoin as compared to usd,eur,eth,dash, and ltc, which you can see in all of the blue lines. If the red line is above zero then it means the overall value of btc is going up, opposite for down. The Ema_window controls how smooth the signal is. If you shorten the Ema_window parameter and open this on higher timeframe btc charts then the zero crossing gives pretty solid signals, despite being pretty choppy. A good way to interpret this is that if all the blue lines are moving in the same direction at once without disagreement, then the value of bitcoin has good momentum.
Mildly more technically:
Momentum is measured in the first derivative of an EMA for each ticker. To normalize the different values against each other they are all divided by their local maximums, which can be chosen in the parameter window, but shouldn't make a huge difference. All the checked values are then summed, as shown in the red line. To include a value into the red line simply keep it checked. Take a look at the script, it's kind of easy on the eyes.
It's pretty handy to look at, but doesn't seem too worthwhile to pursue much further. If someone wants much more out of the script then feel free to message me.
Remember rules #1 & #2
Don't lose money.
Happy trading
RSI+BSIThis script simply plots the current instruments RSI as well as Bitcoin's RSI from bitfinex. Helpful to identify when an alt is performing stronger than BTC or if BTC is dragging the alt down.
Volume Conversion IndicatorVolume Conversion Indicator
The volume conversion indicator is much like the in-built volume indicator. This particular volume indicator allows you to find out how much of something has been traded in a given timeframe.
This is done by multiplying volume by the average price at that point.
What does this mean?
Well, say, for example, you were watching DGB/BTC (DigiByte/Bitcoin). Instead of the volume being displayed in the amount of DGB traded, the amount of BTC traded is displayed instead.
Feel free to comment... Hope this helps :D
Indicator: Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)Another new indicator for TV community :)
STC detects up and down trends long before the MACD. It does this by using the same exponential moving averages (EMAs), but adds a cycle component to factor instrument cycle trends. STC gives more accuracy and reliability than the MACD.
More info: www.investopedia.com
Feel free to "Make mine" this chart and use the indicator in your charts. Appreciate any feedback on how effective this is for your instrument (I have tested this only with BTC).
For people trading BTC:
-------------------------------
Try 3/10 or 9/30 for MACD (fastLength/slowLength). They seem to catch the cycles better than the defaults. :)
Debt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-CycleDebt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-Cycle Indicator
The Debt-Cycle vs Bitcoin-Cycle indicator is a macro-economic analysis tool that compares traditional financial market cycles (debt/credit cycles) against Bitcoin market cycles. It uses Z-score normalization to track the relative positioning of global financial conditions versus cryptocurrency market sentiment, helping identify potential turning points and divergences between traditional finance and digital assets.
Key Features
Dual-Cycle Analysis: Simultaneously tracks traditional financial cycles and Bitcoin-specific cycles
Z-Score Normalization: Standardizes diverse data sources for meaningful comparison
Multi-Asset Coverage: Analyzes currencies, commodities, bonds, monetary aggregates, and on-chain metrics
Divergence Detection: Identifies when Bitcoin cycles move independently from traditional finance
21-Day Timeframe: Optimized for Long-term cycle analysis
What It Measures
Finance-Cycle (White Line)
Tracks traditional financial market health through:
Currencies: USD strength (DXY), global currency weights (USDWCU, EURWCU)
Commodities: Oil, gold, natural gas, agricultural products, and Bitcoin price
Corporate Bonds: Investment-grade spreads, high-yield spreads, credit conditions
Monetary Aggregates: M2 money supply, foreign exchange reserves (weighted by currency)
Treasury Bonds: Yield curve (2Y/10Y, 3M/10Y), term premiums, long-term rates
Bitcoin-Cycle (Orange Line)
Tracks Bitcoin market positioning through:
On-Chain Metrics:
MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value)
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
Profit/Loss Address Distribution
Technical Indicators:
Bitcoin price Z-score
Moving average deviation
Relative Strength:
ETH/BTC ratio (altcoin strength indicator)
Visual Elements
White Line: Finance-Cycle indicator (positive = expansionary conditions, negative = contractionary)
Orange Line: Bitcoin-Cycle indicator (positive = bullish positioning, negative = bearish)
Zero Line: Neutral reference point
Interpretation
Cycle Alignment
Both positive: Risk-on environment, favorable for crypto
Both negative: Risk-off environment, caution warranted
Divergence: Potential opportunities or warning signals
Divergence Signals
Finance positive, Bitcoin negative: Bitcoin may be undervalued relative to macro conditions
Finance negative, Bitcoin positive: Bitcoin may be overextended or decoupling from traditional finance
Important Limitations
This indicator uses some technical and macro data but still has significant gaps:
⚠️ Limited monetary data - missing:
Funding rates (repo, overnight markets)
Comprehensive bond spread analysis
Collateral velocity and quality metrics
Central bank balance sheet details
⚠️ Basic economic coverage - missing:
GDP growth rates
Inflation expectations
Employment data
Manufacturing indices
Consumer confidence
⚠️ Simplified on-chain analysis - missing:
Exchange flow data
Whale wallet movements
Mining difficulty adjustments
Hash rate trends
Network fee dynamics
⚠️ No sentiment data - missing:
Fear & Greed Index
Options positioning
Futures open interest
Social media sentiment
The indicator provides a high-level cycle comparison but should be combined with comprehensive fundamental analysis, detailed on-chain research, and proper risk management.
Settings
Offset: Adjust the horizontal positioning of the indicators (default: 0)
Timeframe: Fixed at 21 days for optimal cycle detection
Use Cases
Macro-crypto correlation analysis: Understand when Bitcoin moves with or against traditional markets
Cycle timing: Identify potential tops and bottoms in both cycles
Risk assessment: Gauge overall market conditions across asset classes
Divergence trading: Spot opportunities when cycles diverge significantly
Portfolio allocation: Balance traditional and crypto assets based on cycle positioning
Technical Notes
Uses Z-score normalization with varying lookback periods (40-60 bars)
Applies HMA (Hull Moving Average) smoothing to reduce noise
Asymmetric multipliers for upside/downside movements in certain metrics
Requires access to FRED economic data, Glassnode, CoinMetrics, and IntoTheBlock feeds
21-day timeframe optimized for cycle analysis
Strategy Applications
This indicator is particularly useful for:
Cross-asset allocation - Decide between traditional finance and crypto exposure
Cycle positioning - Identify where we are in credit/debt cycles vs. Bitcoin cycles
Regime changes - Detect shifts in market leadership and correlation patterns
Risk management - Reduce exposure when both cycles turn negative
Disclaimer: This indicator is a cycle analysis tool and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. It has limited coverage of monetary conditions, economic fundamentals, and on-chain metrics. The indicator provides directional insight but cannot predict exact timing or magnitude of market moves. Always conduct thorough research, consider multiple data sources, and maintain proper risk management in all investment decisions.
ProCrypto OI Candles — by ruben_procryptoProCrypto OI Candles — by ruben_procrypto
This indicator visualizes aggregated Open Interest using custom OI candles designed to reveal real-time liquidity shifts, positioning pressure and market intent.
It helps traders understand where new leverage is entering the market, where positions are closing, and when volatility is about to expand.
What the candles show
Blue candles → increasing Open Interest
(fresh positions entering the market, potential volatility expansion)
Orange candles → decreasing Open Interest
(closing positions, liquidations, reduced risk exposure)
White OI line → total aggregated OI trend
Why it matters:
Open Interest is one of the strongest leading indicators in crypto futures.
By converting OI into candles, this tool makes it easy to identify:
liquidity builds
trapped long/short positions
short & long squeeze potential
shifts in market conviction
early signs of reversals
momentum exhaustion
hidden positioning not visible in price action
Designed for:
Scalpers, day traders and liquidity-focused traders who rely on OI behavior to anticipate major moves on BTC and ETH perpetual futures.
Understand the real leverage behind every move.
deKoder | Ultra High Timeframe Moving Average & Log StDev BandsdeKoder | Ultra High Timeframe Moving Average & Log StDev Bands
Identify long-term statistical extremes and map the core trend with the deKoder | uHTF MA indicator. Designed for macro analysis, this tool uses ultra high timeframe moving averages and logarithmic standard deviation bands to frame price action, providing clear signals for when an asset is statistically cheap, fairly priced, or expensive.
KEY FEATURES
• Ultra High Timeframe (uHTF) Moving Average:
• Acts as a dynamic long term fair value equilibrium line. Choose from periods like 1-Year, 2-Year, or 'Long Time'.
• Select your MA type: SMA, EMA, Hull MA, or a Rolling VWAP .
• Automatically fetches optimal data (4H/D) for smoother plotting on lower timeframes.
• Probabilistic Logarithmic Bands:
• The bands are calculated using log-standard deviation , creating a framework that adapts to exponential growth. As such, your chart price scale should be set to log.
• ~68% of price action typically occurs between the ±1σ bands (fair value zone).
• Trading in the ±1σ to ±2σ channel is typical in a strongly trending market. Moves towards the ±3σ bands can indicate that the market is becoming overextended. Expect strong price moves here and pay attention for signs of reversal.
• Bitcoin Halving Timeline:
• Integrated vertical lines and labels for all Bitcoin halvings.
• Correlates technical extremes with fundamental scarcity events.
• 4-Year Cycle Visual Aid:
• The background color cycle highlights yearly changes.
• Red years have historically aligned with bear markets, while the subsequent green zone has marked accumulation phases.
• Note: The bands provide the primary information - the background color is a contextual guide based on historical patterns around the BTC 4 year halving cycle that may not persist in future. It's quite possible that the market will act differently going forward considering the new types participants such as ETFs and government reserve funds.
HOW TO USE & INTERPRET
• Fair Value & Extremes:
• Price between ±1σ Bands: The asset is trading within a statistically fair value range.
• Price at +2σ / +3σ Bands: The asset is statistically expensive. Statistically, the price is overextended in this region, although you do NOT want to fade it based only upon this information.
• Price at -2σ / -3σ Bands: The asset is statistically cheap. These zones have frequently coincided with the end of bear markets and profound long-term buying opportunities.
• Dynamic Support & Resistance:
• The uHTF MA and its bands tend to act as support and resistance areas of interest on daily, weekly and monthly charts.
INPUTS & CUSTOMIZATION
• Toggles : Master switch for the MA, Bands, and Halving markers.
• uHTF Moving Average Filter : Select instrument (default: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD), price source, MA length, and type.
• Colours : Fine-tune the appearance of all elements.
PRO TIPS
• While created for Bitcoin, this principle will work well on other high-growth assets and major indices.
• The most reliable signals occur on the Daily, Weekly and Monthly timeframes.
• This is a lagging, macro-filter indicator. It is not for timing short-term entries but for confirming the long-term trend and cycle phase.
"Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful." - The deKoder | uHTF MA is here to help you quantify that greed and fear on a macro scale.
Stochastic Hash Strat [Hash Capital Research]# Stochastic Hash Strategy by Hash Capital Research
## 🎯 What Is This Strategy?
The **Stochastic Slow Strategy** is a momentum-based trading system that identifies oversold and overbought market conditions to capture mean-reversion opportunities. Think of it as a "buy low, sell high" approach with smart mathematical filters that remove emotion from your trading decisions.
Unlike fast-moving indicators that generate excessive noise, this strategy uses **smoothed stochastic oscillators** to identify only the highest-probability setups when momentum truly shifts.
---
## 💡 Why This Strategy Works
Most traders fail because they:
- **Chase prices** after big moves (buying high, selling low)
- **Overtrade** in choppy, directionless markets
- **Exit too early** or hold losses too long
This strategy solves all three problems:
1. **Entry Discipline**: Only trades when the stochastic oscillator crosses in extreme zones (oversold for longs, overbought for shorts)
2. **Cooldown Filter**: Prevents revenge trading by forcing a waiting period after each trade
3. **Fixed Risk/Reward**: Pre-defined stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure consistent risk management
**The Math Behind It**: The stochastic oscillator measures where the current price sits relative to its recent high-low range. When it's below 25, the market is oversold (time to buy). When above 70, it's overbought (time to sell). The crossover with its moving average confirms momentum is shifting.
---
## 📊 Best Markets & Timeframes
### ⭐ OPTIMAL PERFORMANCE:
**Crude Oil (WTI) - 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: Oil markets have predictable volatility patterns and respect technical levels
**AAVE/USD - 4H to 12H Timeframe**
- **Why it works**: DeFi tokens exhibit strong momentum cycles with clear extremes
### ✅ Also Works Well On:
- **BTC/USD** (12H, Daily) - Lower frequency but high win rate
- **ETH/USD** (8H, 12H) - Balanced volatility and liquidity
- **Gold (XAU/USD)** (Daily) - Classic mean-reversion asset
- **EUR/USD** (4H, 8H) - Lower volatility, requires patience
### ❌ Avoid Using On:
- Timeframes below 4H (too much noise)
- Low-liquidity altcoins (wide spreads kill performance)
- Strongly trending markets without pullbacks (Bitcoin in 2021)
- News-driven instruments during major events
---
## 🎛️ Understanding The Settings
### Core Stochastic Parameters
**Stochastic Length (Default: 16)**
- Controls the lookback period for price comparison
- Lower = faster reactions, more signals (10-14 for volatile markets)
- Higher = smoother signals, fewer trades (16-21 for stable markets)
- **Pro tip**: Use 10 for crypto 4H, 16 for commodities 12H
**Overbought Level (Default: 70)**
- Threshold for short entries
- Lower values (65-70) = more trades, earlier entries
- Higher values (75-80) = fewer but higher-conviction trades
- **Sweet spot**: 70 works for most assets
**Oversold Level (Default: 25)**
- Threshold for long entries
- Higher values (25-30) = more trades, earlier entries
- Lower values (15-20) = fewer but stronger bounce setups
- **Sweet spot**: 20-25 depending on market conditions
**Smooth K & Smooth D (Default: 7 & 3)**
- Additional smoothing to filter out whipsaws
- K=7 makes the indicator slower and more reliable
- D=3 is the signal line that confirms the trend
- **Don't change these unless you know what you're doing**
---
### Risk Management
**Stop Loss % (Default: 2.2%)**
- Automatically exits losing trades
- Should be 1.5x to 2x your average market volatility
- Too tight = death by a thousand cuts
- Too wide = uncontrolled losses
- **Calibration**: Check ATR indicator and set SL slightly above it
**Take Profit % (Default: 7%)**
- Automatically exits winning trades
- Should be 2.5x to 3x your stop loss (reward-to-risk ratio)
- This default gives 7% / 2.2% = 3.18:1 R:R
- **The golden rule**: Never have R:R below 2:1
---
### Trade Filters
**Bar Cooldown Filter (Default: ON, 3 bars)**
- **What it does**: Forces you to wait X bars after closing a trade before entering a new one
- **Why it matters**: Prevents emotional revenge trading and overtrading in choppy markets
- **Settings guide**:
- 3 bars = Standard (good for most cases)
- 5-7 bars = Conservative (oil, slow-moving assets)
- 1-2 bars = Aggressive (only for experienced traders)
**Exit on Opposite Extreme (Default: ON)**
- Closes your long when stochastic hits overbought (and vice versa)
- Acts as an early profit-taking mechanism
- **Leave this ON** unless you're testing other exit strategies
**Divergence Filter (Default: OFF)**
- Looks for price/momentum divergences for additional confirmation
- **When to enable**: Trending markets where you want fewer but higher-quality trades
- **Keep OFF for**: Mean-reverting markets (oil, forex, most of the time)
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
### Step 1: Set Up in TradingView
1. Open TradingView and navigate to your chart
2. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom
3. Copy and paste the strategy code
4. Click "Add to Chart"
5. The strategy will appear in a separate pane below your price chart
### Step 2: Choose Your Market
**If you're trading Crude Oil:**
- Timeframe: 12H
- Keep all default settings
- Watch for signals during London/NY overlap (8am-11am EST)
**If you're trading AAVE or crypto:**
- Timeframe: 4H or 12H
- Consider these adjustments:
- Stochastic Length: 10-14 (faster)
- Oversold: 20 (more aggressive)
- Take Profit: 8-10% (higher targets)
### Step 3: Wait for Your First Signal
**LONG Entry** (Green circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses up below oversold level (25)
- Price likely near recent lows
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**SHORT Entry** (Red circle appears):
- Stochastic crosses down above overbought level (70)
- Price likely near recent highs
- System places limit order at take profit and stop loss
**EXIT** (Orange circle):
- Position closes either at stop, target, or opposite extreme
- Cooldown period begins
### Step 4: Let It Run
The biggest mistake? **Interfering with the system.**
- Don't close trades early because you're scared
- Don't skip signals because you "have a feeling"
- Don't increase position size after a big win
- Don't revenge trade after a loss
**Follow the system or don't use it at all.**
---
### Important Risks:
1. **Drawdown Pain**: You WILL experience losing streaks of 5-7 trades. This is mathematically normal.
2. **Whipsaw Markets**: Choppy, range-bound conditions can trigger multiple small losses.
3. **Gap Risk**: Overnight gaps can cause your actual fill to be worse than the stop loss.
4. **Slippage**: Real execution prices differ from backtested prices (factor in 0.1-0.2% slippage).
---
## 🔧 Optimization Guide
### When to Adjust Settings:
**Market Volatility Increased?**
- Widen stop loss by 0.5-1%
- Increase take profit proportionally
- Consider increasing cooldown to 5-7 bars
**Getting Too Few Signals?**
- Decrease stochastic length to 10-12
- Increase oversold to 30, decrease overbought to 65
- Reduce cooldown to 2 bars
**Getting Too Many Losses?**
- Increase stochastic length to 18-21 (slower, smoother)
- Enable divergence filter
- Increase cooldown to 5+ bars
- Verify you're on the right timeframe
### A/B Testing Method:
1. **Run default settings for 50 trades** on your chosen market
2. Document: Win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, emotional tolerance
3. **Change ONE variable** (e.g., oversold from 25 to 20)
4. Run another 50 trades
5. Compare results
6. Keep the better version
**Never change multiple settings at once** or you won't know what worked.
---
## 📚 Educational Resources
### Key Concepts to Learn:
**Stochastic Oscillator**
- Developed by George Lane in the 1950s
- Measures momentum by comparing closing price to price range
- Formula: %K = (Close - Low) / (High - Low) × 100
- Similar to RSI but more sensitive to price movements
**Mean Reversion vs. Trend Following**
- This is a **mean reversion** strategy (price returns to average)
- Works best in ranging markets with defined support/resistance
- Fails in strong trending markets (2017 Bitcoin, 2020 Tech stocks)
- Complement with trend filters for better results
**Risk:Reward Ratio**
- The cornerstone of profitable trading
- Winning 40% of trades with 3:1 R:R = profitable
- Winning 60% of trades with 1:1 R:R = breakeven (after fees)
- **This strategy aims for 45% win rate with 2.5-3:1 R:R**
### Recommended Reading:
- *"Trading Systems and Methods"* by Perry Kaufman (Chapter on Oscillators)
- *"Mean Reversion Trading Systems"* by Howard Bandy
- *"The New Trading for a Living"* by Dr. Alexander Elder
---
## 🛠️ Troubleshooting
### "I'm not seeing any signals!"
**Check:**
- Is your timeframe 4H or higher?
- Is the stochastic actually reaching extreme levels (check if your asset is stuck in middle range)?
- Is cooldown still active from a previous trade?
- Are you on a low-liquidity pair?
**Solution**: Switch to a more volatile asset or lower the overbought/oversold thresholds.
---
### "The strategy keeps losing money!"
**Check:**
- What's your win rate? (Below 35% is concerning)
- What's your profit factor? (Below 0.8 means serious issues)
- Are you trading during major news events?
- Is the market in a strong trend?
**Solution**:
1. Verify you're using recommended markets/timeframes
2. Increase cooldown period to avoid choppy markets
3. Reduce position size to 5% while you diagnose
4. Consider switching to daily timeframe for less noise
---
### "My stop losses keep getting hit!"
**Check:**
- Is your stop loss tighter than the average ATR?
- Are you trading during high-volatility sessions?
- Is slippage eating into your buffer?
**Solution**:
1. Calculate the 14-period ATR
2. Set stop loss to 1.5x the ATR value
3. Avoid trading right after market open or major news
4. Factor in 0.2% slippage for crypto, 0.1% for oil
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## 💪 Pro Tips from the Trenches
### Psychological Discipline
**The Three Deadly Sins:**
1. **Skipping signals** - "This one doesn't feel right"
2. **Early exits** - "I'll just take profit here to be safe"
3. **Revenge trading** - "I need to make back that loss NOW"
**The Solution:** Treat your strategy like a business system. Would McDonald's skip making fries because the cashier "doesn't feel like it today"? No. Systems work because of consistency.
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### Position Management
**Scaling In/Out** (Advanced)
- Enter 50% position at signal
- Add 50% if stochastic reaches 10 (oversold) or 90 (overbought)
- Exit 50% at 1.5x take profit, let the rest run
**This is NOT for beginners.** Master the basic system first.
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### Market Awareness
**Oil Traders:**
- OPEC meetings = volatility spikes (avoid or widen stops)
- US inventory reports (Wed 10:30am EST) = avoid trading 2 hours before/after
- Summer driving season = different patterns than winter
**Crypto Traders:**
- Monday-Tuesday = typically lower volatility (fewer signals)
- Thursday-Sunday = higher volatility (more signals)
- Avoid trading during exchange maintenance windows
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## ⚖️ Legal Disclaimer
This trading strategy is provided for **educational purposes only**.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Trading involves substantial risk of loss
- Only trade with capital you can afford to lose
- No one associated with this strategy is a licensed financial advisor
- You are solely responsible for your trading decisions
**By using this strategy, you acknowledge that you understand and accept these risks.**
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## 🙏 Acknowledgments
Strategy development inspired by:
- George Lane's original Stochastic Oscillator work
- Modern quantitative trading research
- Community feedback from hundreds of backtests
Built with ❤️ for retail traders who want systematic, disciplined approaches to the markets.
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**Good luck, stay disciplined, and trade the system, not your emotions.**






















