Bernoulli Price Dynamics with IntraBar Volume (Bidirectional)This indicator adapts the principles of Bernoulli’s equation from fluid dynamics to analyze price and volume dynamics in the market. By incorporating intrabar volume data and splitting price movements into upward and downward components, it provides a bidirectional view of the market's kinetic and potential energies. This approach helps assess market pressure in both upward and downward directions, offering insights into potential price movement with energy-based mechanics.
Key Features:
Intrabar Volume Integration: The indicator collects up and down volume data from a lower timeframe, such as seconds or minutes, to provide more granular insights.
Bidirectional Market Pressure: By separating upward and downward price movements, it calculates market pressure in both directions, which is akin to fluid pressure. The separation enables tracking of distinct upward and downward energy flows in the market.
Energy Calculation:
Kinetic Energy: This represents the "movement" aspect of the price, weighted by volume. It is calculated for both upward and downward movements based on price velocity squared.
Potential Energy: This represents the "position" aspect of the price, calculated as the product of volume and the current price level. It is also separated into upward and downward components.
Market Pressure: The difference between the total energy (sum of kinetic and potential energies) and the highest observed total energy over a defined period (N). This provides an insight into the current momentum of price movement in both directions.
Visualization:
Market Pressure Up/Down: Plots the calculated market pressure for upward (green) and downward (red) movements.
Kinetic and Potential Energies: Provides individual plots for kinetic and potential energy in both directions to analyze the behavior of price and volume in more detail.
This indicator can be used to track market momentum and potential reversals by understanding the energy and pressure dynamics in both upward and downward price movements.
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SMI Ergodic Indicator/Oscillator▮ Introduction
The Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Indicator (SMII) is a technical analysis tool designed to predict trend reversals in the price of an asset.
It functions as a momentum oscillator, measuring the ratio of the smoothed price change to the smoothed absolute price change over a given number of previous periods.
The Ergodic SMI is based on the True Strength Index (TSI) and integrates a signal line, which is an exponential moving average (EMA) of the SMI indicator itself.
It provides a clearer picture of market trends than the traditional stochastic oscillator by incorporating the concept of "ergodicity", which helps remove market noise.
On ther other hand, the Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Oscillator (SMIO) is a histogram that measures the difference between TSI and it's signal line.
By default, in TradingView both SMII and SMIO are provided independently.
Here in this script these two indicators are combined, providing a more comprehensive view of price direction and market strength.
▮ Motivation: why another indicator?
The intrinsic value of this indicator lies in the fact that it allows fine adjustments in both calculation parameters, data source and visualization, features that are not present in the standard indicators or similar.
Also, trend lines breakouts and divergences detector were added.
▮ What to look for
When using the indicator, there are a few things to look out for.
First, look at the SMI signal line.
When the line crosses above -40, it is considered a buy signal, while the crossing below +40 is considered a sell signal.
Also, pay attention to divergences between the SMI and the price.
If price is rising but the SMI is showing negative divergence, it could indicate that momentum is waning and a reversal could be in the offing.
Likewise, if price is falling but the SMI is showing positive divergence, this could indicate that momentum is building and a reversal could also be in the offing.
Divergences can be considered in both indicator and/or histogram.
Examples:
▮ Notes
The indicator presented here offers both the "SMII" and the "SMIO", that is, the "Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Indicator" together with the "Stochastic Momentum Index Ergodic Oscillator" (histogram), as per the documentation described in reference links.
So it is important to highlight the differences in relation to my other indicator, Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Refurbished .
This last one is purely based on the **SMI**, which is implemented using smoothed ratio between the relative range and the high/low range.
Although they may seem the same in some situations, the calculation is actually different. The TSI tends to be more responsive at the expense of being noisier, while the SMI tends to be smoother. Which of these two indicators is best depends on the situation, the context, and the analyst's personal preference.
Please refer to reference links to more info.
▮ References
SMI documentation
SMII documentation
SMIO documentation
Distance between EMA 50-100/100-150This script calculates and plots the percentage difference between the 50-period, 100-period, and 150-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on a TradingView chart. The aim is to provide a clear visual representation of the market's momentum by analyzing the distance between key EMAs over time.
Key features of this script:
1. EMA Calculation : The script computes the EMA values for 50, 100, and 150 periods and calculates the percentage difference between EMA 50 and 100, and between EMA 100 and 150.
2. Custom Threshold : Users can adjust a threshold percentage to highlight significant divergences between the EMAs. A default threshold is set to 0.1%.
3. Visual Alerts : When the percentage difference exceeds the threshold, a visual marker appears on the chart:
Green Circles for bullish momentum (positive divergence),
Red Circles for bearish momentum (negative divergence),
Diamonds to indicate the first occurrence of new bullish or bearish signals, allowing users to catch fresh market trends.
4. Dynamic Plotting : The script plots two lines representing the percentage difference for each EMA pair, offering a quick and intuitive way to monitor trends.
Ideal for traders looking to gauge market direction using the relationship between multiple EMAs, this script simplifies analysis by focusing on key moving average interactions.
thinkCNE - Key with Multiple ColoursCustomisable Key with Multi-Coloured Highlights for Chart Annotations
Overview:
This Customizable Key indicator is designed to provide traders with a clear and visually customizable legend that can be displayed on their chart. It allows users to annotate their charts with up to 10 distinct labels, each paired with a unique color-coded square. This feature is especially useful when you need to visually differentiate between various technical elements on your chart, such as support/resistance levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), or important pivot points.
Key Features:
Customizable Labels and Colors: Each row in the table can be customized with unique text and background colors. This flexibility allows traders to create a personalized key that reflects the specific elements they are tracking, such as monthly FVGs, daily supports, volume-based zones, or any other custom annotations.
Flexible Number of Rows: The user can enable or disable rows as needed, which ensures that the table only shows relevant information. If fewer than 10 rows are required, the unused rows can be hidden from view, maintaining a clean and uncluttered chart.
Dynamic Table Placement: The key can be placed at different positions on the chart (top-right, middle-right, or bottom-right), giving users control over where the key appears to avoid covering important parts of their technical analysis.
Adjustable Size and Text Format: Users can customize the size of the color squares, the text, and even the overall appearance of the table. The text size can range from small to huge, making the labels easy to read based on personal preferences.
Use Cases:
Annotating Key Technical Zones: The indicator is perfect for annotating multiple technical zones or levels that require consistent attention. For example, traders can label areas like "Monthly FVG," "Daily Support," "Key Resistance," or even "Volume Spike," and color-code them accordingly for quick reference.
Drawing Clarity: A well-organized chart is essential for clear decision-making. This indicator enhances clarity by visually categorizing different chart features, making it easier to quickly interpret the chart without confusion. The customizable color squares ensure that users can quickly identify which technical element corresponds to which label on the chart.
Visual Aid for Strategy Execution: For traders using strategies involving multiple indicators, support and resistance lines, or patterns, this key helps keep track of all the elements, especially when several overlapping annotations might clutter the chart. It allows users to draw specific attention to key areas of interest and explain the rationale for each one.
Educational & Presentational Tool: If you're conducting trading education sessions or presentations, this indicator can serve as a powerful tool to explain concepts in real-time. You can present your chart with clearly marked zones or levels, where each color and label explains the reasoning behind your analysis. It’s a professional tool for walkthroughs or strategy breakdowns.
Benefits:
Enhanced Visual Organization: The color-coded squares and corresponding labels make it easier to maintain organization within a busy chart. Traders can distinguish between multiple chart elements at a glance, which enhances their focus on critical zones or setups.
Improved Decision-Making: By clearly labeling and color-coding areas of importance, traders can reduce the time it takes to assess the chart and make decisions, as the key provides a concise reference.
Customizable to Individual Needs: Traders can adapt the indicator to their specific trading style and chart elements, whether they're swing traders marking longer-term zones or day traders focusing on short-term levels.
Clarity on Complex Charts: For traders using charts with several indicators and drawings, the ability to clearly define what each color and label represents ensures that the chart remains understandable, even with multiple overlays.
Money Wave Script (Visual Adaptive MFI)This Script is a visual modification of the Money Flow Index (MFI)
//@version=5
indicator(title="Money Flow Index", shorttitle="MFI", format=format.price, precision=2, timeframe="", timeframe_gaps=true)
length = input.int(title="Length", defval=14, minval=1, maxval=2000)
src = hlc3
mf = ta.mfi(src, length)
plot(mf, "MF", color=#7E57C2)
overbought=hline(80, title="Overbought", color=#787B86)
hline(50, "Middle Band", color=color.new(#787B86, 50))
oversold=hline(20, title="Oversold", color=#787B86)
fill(overbought, oversold, color=color.rgb(126, 87, 194, 90), title="Background")
This Money Wave Script is culled from. the Money Flow Index with visual representation to help traders identify money flow. In addition, the waves can be smoothened. Here’s a detailed overview based on its functionality, color coding, usage, risk management, and a concluding summary.
Functionality
The Money Wave Script operates as an oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into an asset over a specified period. It calculates the MFI by considering both price and volume, which allows it to assess buying and selling pressures more accurately than traditional indicators that rely solely on price data.
Color Coding
The indicator employs a color-coded scheme to enhance visual interpretation:
Green Area: Indicates bullish conditions when the normalized Money wave is above zero, suggesting buying pressure.
Red Area: Indicates bearish conditions when the normalized Money wave is below zero, suggesting selling pressure.
Background Colors: The background changes to green when the MoneyWave exceeds the upper threshold (overbought) and red when it falls below the lower threshold (oversold), providing immediate visual cues about market conditions.
Usage
Traders utilize the Money Wave indicator in various ways:
Identifying Overbought and Oversold Levels: By observing the MFI readings, traders can determine when an asset may be overbought or oversold, prompting potential entry or exit points.
Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergences between price and the MFI to anticipate potential reversals. For example, if prices are making new highs but the MFI is not, it could indicate weakening momentum.
Trend Confirmation: The indicator can help confirm trends by showing whether buying or selling pressure is dominating.
Customizable Settings: Users can adjust parameters such as the MFI length , Smoothen index and overbought/oversold thresholds to tailor the indicator to their trading strategies.
Conclusion
The Money Wave indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to analyze market conditions based on the flow of money into and out of assets. Its combination of price and volume analysis, along with clear visual cues, makes it an effective choice for identifying overbought and oversold conditions, spotting divergences, and confirming trends.
Price Action UltimateThe Price Action Ultimate indicator is an innovative tool designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of price action based on either volume or touches. By default, the indicator displays touches, offering a unique perspective on price levels that have been frequently interacted with by the market.
At its core, the indicator divides the price range of a specified lookback period into a number of rows (default 25). For each row, it calculates either the volume traded or the number of times the price touched that level. This data is then visualized in two ways: as a histogram and as horizontal lines on the chart.
The histogram, displayed on the right side of the chart, represents the distribution of touches (or volume) across different price levels. Each bar in the histogram shows the number of touches and the percentage of total touches for that price level. The color of the bars ranges from a user-defined low activity color to a high activity color, providing a quick visual reference for the most active price levels.
The horizontal lines drawn across the chart represent the most significant levels based on touches (or volume). By default, the indicator displays the top 3 levels, but this can be adjusted. The thickness of these lines corresponds to the relative importance of each level - thicker lines indicate more touches or higher volume. This feature allows traders to quickly identify key support and resistance levels based on historical price action.
One of the most innovative aspects of this indicator is the option to fade older levels over time. When enabled, this feature gradually increases the transparency of lines as they age, with newer levels appearing more prominently. This helps traders focus on the most recent and relevant price action while still maintaining awareness of older, potentially significant levels.
The indicator offers flexibility in its display options. Users can choose to show levels based on volume, touches, or both. This allows traders to compare and contrast different perspectives on price action. Additionally, the indicator includes options to display a volume profile and a background fill for the analysis range, further enhancing its visual appeal and informational content.
What makes this indicator particularly valuable is its ability to provide a clear, uncluttered view of key price levels without relying on complex calculations or multiple indicators. It distills price action down to its essence - where price has spent the most time or where the most trading activity has occurred. This can be incredibly useful for identifying potential support and resistance levels, areas of consolidation, or possible breakout points.
For traders focused on price action strategies, this indicator offers a powerful tool to enhance their analysis. It provides a data-driven approach to identifying significant price levels, which can be used to inform entry and exit decisions, set stop losses, or anticipate potential market reactions.
This indicator is a tool to aid in market analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine multiple forms of analysis and practice proper risk management when trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
MTF Regression with Forecast### **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter - Enhanced with Long Regression**
Unlock advanced market insights with our **MTF Regression** indicator, meticulously designed for traders seeking comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis combined with powerful forecasting tools. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator offers a suite of features to enhance your trading strategy.
#### **🔍 Key Features:**
- **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Regression:**
- **Fast, Slow, & Long Regressions:** Analyze price trends across multiple timeframes to capture both short-term movements and long-term trends.
- **Customizable Price Inputs:**
- **Flexible Price Selection:** Choose between Close, Open, High, or Low prices to suit your trading style.
- **Price Transformation:** Option to apply Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for smoother trend analysis.
- **Diverse Regression Methods:**
- **Multiple Algorithms:** Select from Linear, Exponential, Hull Moving Average (HMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or Spline regressions to best fit your analysis needs.
- **Integrated External Data:**
- **10-Year Treasury Yield:** Incorporate macroeconomic indicators to refine regression accuracy.
- **Additional Variables:** Enhance your analysis by integrating data from other tickers (e.g., NASDAQ:AAPL).
- **Advanced Filtering Options:**
- **VWAP Filter:** Align signals with the Volume Weighted Average Price for improved trade entries.
- **Price Action Filter:** Ensure price behavior supports the generated signals for higher reliability.
- **Enhanced Signal Generation:**
- **Bullish & Bearish Signals:** Identify potential trend reversals and continuations with clear visual cues.
- **Predictive Signals:** Forecast future price movements with forward-looking arrows based on regression slopes.
- **Slope & Acceleration Thresholds:** Customize minimum slope and acceleration levels to fine-tune signal sensitivity.
- **Forecasting Capabilities:**
- **Projection Lines:** Visualize future price trends by extending regression lines based on current slope data.
- **User-Friendly Interface:**
- **Organized Settings Groups:** Easily navigate through price inputs, regression settings, integration options, and more.
- **Customizable Alerts:** Stay informed with configurable alerts for bullish, bearish, and predictive signals.
#### **📈 Why Choose MTF Regression Indicator?**
- **Comprehensive Analysis:** Combines multiple regression techniques and external data sources for a well-rounded market view.
- **Flexibility:** Highly customizable to fit various trading strategies and preferences.
- **Enhanced Decision-Making:** Provides clear signals and forecasts to support informed trading decisions.
- **Efficiency:** Optimized to deliver reliable performance without overloading your trading platform.
Elevate your trading game with the **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter** indicator. Harness the power of multi-timeframe analysis and predictive forecasting to stay ahead in the dynamic markets.
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*Feel free to reach out for more information or support. Happy Trading!*
Unlock the Power of Seasonality: Monthly Performance StrategyThe Monthly Performance Strategy leverages the power of seasonality—those cyclical patterns that emerge in financial markets at specific times of the year. From tax deadlines to industry-specific events and global holidays, historical data shows that certain months can offer strong opportunities for trading. This strategy was designed to help traders capture those opportunities and take advantage of recurring market patterns through an automated and highly customizable approach.
The Inspiration Behind the Strategy:
This strategy began with the idea that market performance is often influenced by seasonal factors. Historically, certain months outperform others due to a variety of reasons, like earnings reports, holiday shopping, or fiscal year-end events. By identifying these periods, traders can better time their market entries and exits, giving them an advantage over those who solely rely on technical indicators or news events.
The Monthly Performance Strategy was built to take this concept and automate it. Instead of manually analyzing market data for each month, this strategy enables you to select which months you want to focus on and then executes trades based on predefined rules, saving you time and optimizing the performance of your trades.
Key Features:
Customizable Month Selection: The strategy allows traders to choose specific months to test or trade on. You can select any combination of months—for example, January, July, and December—to focus on based on historical trends. Whether you’re targeting the historically strong months like December (often driven by the 'Santa Rally') or analyzing quieter months for low volatility trades, this strategy gives you full control.
Automated Monthly Entries and Exits: The strategy automatically enters a long position on the first day of your selected month(s) and exits the trade at the beginning of the next month. This makes it perfect for traders who want to benefit from seasonal patterns without manually monitoring the market. It ensures precision in entering and exiting trades based on pre-set timeframes.
Re-entry on Stop Loss or Take Profit: One of the standout features of this strategy is its ability to re-enter a trade if a position hits the stop loss (SL) or take profit (TP) level during the selected month. If your trade reaches either a SL or TP before the month ends, the strategy will automatically re-enter a new trade the next trading day. This feature ensures that you capture multiple trading opportunities within the same month, instead of exiting entirely after a successful or unsuccessful trade. Essentially, it keeps your capital working for you throughout the entire month, not just when conditions align perfectly at the beginning.
Built-in Risk Management: Risk management is a vital part of this strategy. It incorporates an Average True Range (ATR)-based stop loss and take profit system. The ATR helps set dynamic levels based on the market’s volatility, ensuring that your stops and targets adjust to changing market conditions. This not only helps limit potential losses but also maximizes profit potential by adapting to market behavior.
Historical Performance Testing: You can backtest this strategy on any period by setting the start year. This allows traders to analyze past market data and optimize their strategy based on historical performance. You can fine-tune which months to trade based on years of data, helping you identify trends and patterns that provide the best trading results.
Versatility Across Asset Classes: While this strategy can be particularly effective for stock market indices and sector rotation, it’s versatile enough to apply to other asset classes like forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. Each asset class may exhibit different seasonal behaviors, allowing you to explore opportunities across various markets with this strategy.
How It Works:
The trader selects which months to test or trade, for example, January, April, and October.
The strategy will automatically open a long position on the first trading day of each selected month.
If the trade hits either the take profit or stop loss within the month, the strategy will close the current position and re-enter a new trade on the next trading day, provided the month has not yet ended. This ensures that the strategy continues to capture any potential gains throughout the month, rather than stopping after one successful trade.
At the start of the next month, the position is closed, and if the next month is also selected, a new trade is initiated following the same process.
Risk Management and Dynamic Adjustments:
Incorporating risk management with this strategy is as easy as turning on the ATR-based system. The strategy will automatically calculate stop loss and take profit levels based on the market’s current volatility, adjusting dynamically to the conditions. This ensures that the risk is controlled while allowing for flexibility in capturing profits during both high and low volatility periods.
Maximizing the Seasonal Edge:
By automating entries and exits based on specific months and combining that with dynamic risk management, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy takes advantage of seasonal patterns without requiring constant monitoring. The added re-entry feature after hitting a stop loss or take profit ensures that you are always in the game, maximizing your chances to capture profitable trades during favorable seasonal periods.
Who Can Benefit from This Strategy?
This strategy is perfect for traders who:
Want to exploit the predictable, recurring patterns that occur during specific months of the year.
Prefer a hands-off, automated trading approach that allows them to focus on other aspects of their portfolio or life.
Seek to manage risk effectively with ATR-based stop losses and take profits that adjust to market conditions.
Appreciate the ability to re-enter trades when a take profit or stop loss is hit within the month, ensuring that they don't miss out on multiple opportunities during a favorable period.
In summary, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy provides traders with a comprehensive tool to capitalize on seasonal trends, optimize their trading opportunities throughout the year, and manage risk effectively. The built-in re-entry system ensures you continue to benefit from the market even after hitting targets within the same month, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to maximize their edge in any market.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The Monthly Performance Strategy is designed to help traders identify seasonal trends, but past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to carefully consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading goals before using any strategy. Always use appropriate risk management and consult with a professional financial advisor if necessary. The use of this strategy does not eliminate the risk of losses, and traders should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment. Be sure to test the strategy on a demo account before applying it in live markets.
D_Rock's MA IndicatorD_Rock's Moving Average Indicator
This is an indicator version of my strategy linked here
**Overview:**
The basic concept of this indicator is to generate a signal when a faster/shorter length moving average crosses over (for Longs) or crosses under (for Shorts) a medium/longer length moving average. All of which are customizable. This indicator can work on any timeframe, however the daily is the timeframe used for the default settings and screenshots, as it was designed to be a multi-day swing strategy. Once a signal has been confirmed with a candle close, based on user options, the strategy is to enter the trade on the open of the next candle.
The crossover strategy is nothing new to trading, but what can make this strategy unique and helpful, is the addition of further confirmation points before a signal is generated along with the ability to show multiple moving averages on the chart if you choose. Each moving average pair can also be turned into a "cloud" instead of the traditional lines, for additional viewing preferences. Just about everything visual can be toggled on/off as well.
This indicator is a Trend (MA) indicator with optional confirmation points using a Momentum (MACD) indicator. While a Volume-based indicator is not shown here, one could consider using their favorite from that category to further compliment the signal idea.
If you would like to see the backtesting results for your favorite moving average crossover/under, please see my strategy version linked here .
Shoutout given to Ripster's Clouds Indicator as pieces of that code were taken and modified to create both the Cloud visualization effects, and the Moving Average Pair Plots that are implemented in this strategy.
MOVING AVERAGE OPTIONS
Select between and change the length & type of up to 5 pairs (10 total) of moving averages
The "Show Cloud-x" option will display a fill color between the "a" and "b" pairs
All moving averages lines can be toggled on/off in the "Style" tab, as well as adjusting their colors.
Visualization features do not affect calculations, meaning you could have all or nothing on the chart and the strategy will still produce results
SIGNAL CHOICES
Choose the fast/shorter length MA and the medium/longer length MA to determine the entry signal
CONFIRMATION OPTIONS
Both of these have customizable values and can be toggled on/off
A candle close over a slower/much longer length moving average
An additional cross-over (cross-under for Shorts) on the MACD indicator using default MACD values. While the MACD indicator is not necessary to have on the chart, it can help to add that for visualization. The calculations will perform whether the indicator is on the chart or not.
ADDITIONAL PLOTS
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence):
- The MACD is an optional confirmation indicator for this strategy.
- Plotting the indicator is not necessary for the strategy to work, but it can be helpful to visually see the status and position of the MACD if this feature is enabled in the strategy
- This helps to identify if there is also momentum behind the entry signal
Trend Following ADX + Parabolic SAR### Strategy Description: Trend Following using **ADX** and **Parabolic SAR**
This strategy is designed to follow market trends using two popular indicators: **Average Directional Index (ADX)** and **Parabolic SAR**. The strategy attempts to enter trades when the market shows a strong trend (using ADX) and confirms the trend direction using the Parabolic SAR. Here's a breakdown:
### Key Indicators:
1. **ADX (Average Directional Index)**:
- **Purpose**: ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of direction.
- **Usage**: The strategy uses ADX to confirm that the market is trending. When ADX is above a certain threshold (e.g., 25), it indicates a strong trend.
- **Directional Indicators**:
- **DI+ (Directional Indicator Plus)**: Indicates upward movement strength.
- **DI- (Directional Indicator Minus)**: Indicates downward movement strength.
2. **Parabolic SAR**:
- **Purpose**: Parabolic SAR is a trend-following indicator used to identify potential reversals in the price direction.
- **Usage**: It provides specific price points above or below which the strategy confirms buy or sell signals.
### Strategy Logic:
#### **Entry Conditions**:
1. **Long Position** (Buy):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI+ > DI-**, indicating the upward trend is stronger than the downward.
- The price is above the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the upward trend.
2. **Short Position** (Sell):
- **ADX** is above the threshold (default: 25), indicating a strong trend.
- **DI- > DI+**, indicating the downward trend is stronger than the upward.
- The price is below the **Parabolic SAR** level, confirming the downward trend.
#### **Exit Conditions**:
- Positions are closed when an opposite signal is detected.
- For example, if a long position is open and the conditions for a short position are met, the long position is closed, and a short position is opened.
### Parameters:
1. **ADX Period**: Defines the length of the period for the ADX calculation (default: 14).
2. **ADX Threshold**: The minimum value of ADX to confirm a strong trend (default: 25).
3. **Parabolic SAR Start**: The initial step for the SAR (default: 0.02).
4. **Parabolic SAR Increment**: The step increment for SAR (default: 0.02).
5. **Parabolic SAR Max**: The maximum step for SAR (default: 0.2).
### Example Trade Flow:
#### **Long Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI+ > DI-, indicating the market is trending upward.
3. The price is above the Parabolic SAR, confirming the upward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a long (buy) position.
5. Exit the long position when a short signal is triggered (i.e., DI- > DI+, price below Parabolic SAR).
#### **Short Trade**:
1. ADX > 25, confirming a strong trend.
2. DI- > DI+, indicating the market is trending downward.
3. The price is below the Parabolic SAR, confirming the downward direction.
4. **Action**: Enter a short (sell) position.
5. Exit the short position when a long signal is triggered (i.e., DI+ > DI-, price above Parabolic SAR).
### Strengths of the Strategy:
- **Trend-Following**: It performs well in markets with strong trends, whether upward or downward.
- **Dual Confirmation**: The combination of ADX and Parabolic SAR reduces false signals by ensuring both trend strength and direction are considered before entering a trade.
### Weaknesses:
- **Range-Bound Markets**: This strategy may perform poorly in choppy, non-trending markets because both ADX and SAR are trend-following indicators.
- **Lagging Nature**: Since both ADX and SAR are lagging indicators, the strategy may enter trades after the trend has already started, potentially missing early profits.
### Customization:
- **ADX Threshold**: You can increase the threshold if you only want to trade in very strong trends, or lower it to capture more moderate trends.
- **SAR Parameters**: Adjusting the SAR `start`, `increment`, and `max` values will make the Parabolic SAR more or less sensitive to price changes.
### Summary:
This strategy combines the ADX and Parabolic SAR to take advantage of strong market trends. By confirming both trend strength (ADX) and trend direction (Parabolic SAR), it aims to enter high-probability trades in trending markets while minimizing false signals. However, it may struggle in sideways or non-trending markets.
For Educational purposes only !!!
(Early Test) Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator**. It is designed to refocus traders on essential aspects of trading, such as risk management and probabilistic returns, thereby catering to both short-term swing traders and long-term investors aiming for tax-efficient positions.
## The Motivation Behind the Indicator
### Overemphasis on Price: A Common Trading Pitfall
Many traders concentrate heavily on price charts and technical indicators, often neglecting the underlying principles of risk management and probabilistic analysis. This overemphasis on price can lead to:
- **Overtrading:** Making frequent trades based solely on price movements without considering the associated risks.
- **Poor Risk Management:** Failing to set appropriate stop-loss levels or position sizes, increasing the potential for significant losses.
- **Emotional Trading:** Letting emotions drive trading decisions rather than objective analysis, which can result in impulsive and irrational trades.
### The Need for Balanced Focus
To achieve sustained trading success, it is crucial to balance price analysis with robust risk management and probabilistic strategies. Key areas of focus include:
1. **Risk Management:** Implementing strategies to protect capital, such as setting stop-loss orders and determining appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance.
2. **Probabilistic Analysis:** Assessing the likelihood of various market outcomes to make informed trading decisions.
3. **Swing Trading Percent Returns:** Capitalizing on short- to medium-term price movements by buying assets below their average return and selling them above.
## Introducing the Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
The **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** is designed to integrate these essential elements into a comprehensive tool that aids traders in making informed, risk-aware decisions. Below, we explore the key components and functionalities of this indicator.
### Key Components of the Indicator
1. **Average Return (%)**
- **Definition:** The mean percentage return for each week across multiple years.
- **Purpose:** Serves as a benchmark to identify weeks with above or below-average performance, guiding buy and sell decisions.
2. **Positive Percentage (%)**
- **Definition:** The proportion of weeks that yielded positive returns.
- **Purpose:** Indicates the consistency of positive returns, helping traders gauge the reliability of certain weeks for trading.
3. **Volatility (%)**
- **Definition:** The standard deviation of weekly returns.
- **Purpose:** Measures the variability of returns, providing insights into the risk associated with trading during specific weeks.
4. **Kelly Ratio**
- **Definition:** A mathematical formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the logarithmic growth of capital.
- **Purpose:** Balances potential returns against risks, guiding traders on the appropriate position size to take.
5. **Adjusted Kelly Fraction**
- **Definition:** The Kelly Ratio adjusted based on user-defined risk tolerance and external factors like Federal Reserve (Fed) stance.
- **Purpose:** Personalizes the Kelly Criterion to align with individual risk preferences and market conditions, enhancing risk management.
6. **Position Size ($)**
- **Definition:** The calculated amount to invest based on the Adjusted Kelly Fraction.
- **Purpose:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with risk management strategies, preventing overexposure to any single trade.
7. **Max Drawdown (%)**
- **Definition:** The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained.
- **Purpose:** Assesses the worst-case scenario for losses, crucial for understanding potential capital erosion.
### Functionality and Benefits
- **Weekly Data Aggregation:** Aggregates weekly returns across multiple years to provide a robust statistical foundation for decision-making.
- **Quarterly Filtering:** Allows users to filter weeks based on quarters, enabling seasonality analysis and tailored strategies aligned with specific timeframes.
- **Dynamic Risk Adjustment:** Incorporates the Dynamic Kelly Criterion to adjust position sizes in real-time based on changing risk profiles and market conditions.
- **User-Friendly Visualization:** Presents all essential metrics in an organized Summary Table, facilitating quick and informed decision-making.
## The Origin of the Kelly Criterion and Addressing Its Limitations
### Understanding the Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. in 1956, is a formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the long-term growth of capital. The formula considers both the probability of winning and the payout ratio, balancing potential returns against the risk of loss.
**Kelly Formula:**
\
Where:
- \( b \) = the net odds received on the wager ("b to 1")
- \( p \) = probability of winning
- \( q \) = probability of losing ( \( q = 1 - p \) )
### The Risk of Ruin
While the Kelly Criterion is effective in optimizing growth, it carries inherent risks:
- **Overbetting:** If the input probabilities or payout ratios are misestimated, the Kelly Criterion can suggest overly aggressive position sizes, leading to significant losses.
- **Assumption of Constant Probabilities:** The criterion assumes that probabilities remain constant, which is rarely the case in dynamic markets.
- **Ignoring External Factors:** Traditional Kelly implementations do not account for external factors such as Federal Reserve rates, margin requirements, or market volatility, which can impact risk and returns.
### Addressing Traditional Limitations
Recognizing these limitations, the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** introduces enhancements to the traditional Kelly approach:
- **Incorporation of Fed Stance:** Adjusts the Kelly Fraction based on the current stance of the Federal Reserve (neutral, dovish, or hawkish), reflecting broader economic conditions that influence market behavior.
- **Margin and Leverage Considerations:** Accounts for margin rates and leverage, ensuring that position sizes remain within manageable risk parameters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Continuously updates position sizes based on real-time risk assessments and probabilistic analyses, mitigating the risk of ruin associated with static Kelly implementations.
## How the Indicator Aids Traders
### For Short-Term Swing Traders
Short-term swing traders thrive on capitalizing over weekly price movements. The indicator aids them by:
- **Identifying Favorable Weeks:** Highlights weeks with above-average returns and favorable volatility, guiding entry and exit points.
- **Optimal Position Sizing:** Utilizes the Adjusted Kelly Fraction to determine the optimal amount to invest, balancing potential returns with risk exposure.
- **Probabilistic Insights:** Provides metrics like Positive Percentage (%) and Kelly Ratio to assess the likelihood of favorable outcomes, enhancing decision-making.
### For Long-Term Tax-Free Investors
This is effectively a drop-in replacement for DCA which uses fixed position size that doesn't change based on market conditions, as a result, it's like catching multiple falling knifes by the blade and smiling with blood on your hand... I don't know about you, but I'd rather juggle by the hilt and look like an actual professional...
Long-term investors, especially those seeking tax-free positions (e.g., through retirement accounts), benefit from:
- **Consistent Risk Management:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with long-term capital preservation strategies.
- **Seasonality Analysis:** Allows for strategic positioning based on historical performance trends across different weeks and quarters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Adapts to changing market conditions, maintaining optimal risk profiles over extended investment horizons.
### Developers
Please double check the logic and functionality because I think there are a few issue and I need to crowd source solutions and be responsible about the code I publish. If you have corrections, please DM me or leave a respectful comment.
I want to publish this by the end of the year and include other things like highlighting triple witching weeks, adding columns for volume % stats, VaR and CVaR, alpha, beta (to see the seasonal alpha and beta based off a benchmark ticker and risk free rate ticker and other little goodies.
Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System
Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System
The TFM 10% Market Timing System
The Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System is a powerful trading tool designed using Pine Script™, following the principles outlined by Dave S. Landry. This script helps traders identify optimal entry and exit points based on moving averages and market trends.
What the Script Does:
Visual representation of trend strength.
As long as it is trending in green band, trend is very strong and price is contained within 5% of the high.
As price drops to yellow band, strength is weakening and caution is advised. Price is between 5% to 10% away from52 week high.
As price drops in red band, it is to be avoided as trend is rolling over. Price is more than 10% way from 52 week high.
Moving Averages Calculation:
Users can choose between Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for daily, weekly, and monthly periods. The script calculates the moving averages to provide trend direction.
Trend Color Coding:
Moving averages are displayed in different colors based on market conditions: green indicates an uptrend, red for a downtrend, and gray for neutral conditions.
Highs Calculation:
The script calculates the 52-week and 12-month closing highs, which are crucial for identifying potential breakout points.
Level Definition:
Traders can set levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage changes from these highs, allowing for flexible risk management strategies.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
The script defines specific buy conditions: when the price is within 10% of the highest close and trading above the moving averages, and sell conditions: when the price falls below these thresholds.
Visual Indicators:
Buy and sell signals are visually represented on the chart with arrows, making it easy for traders to see potential trading opportunities at a glance.
Performance Labels:
The script includes performance labels that track the number of bars above or below the moving averages and the percentage change from the moving average, providing users with key metrics to evaluate their trades.
Interactive Table:
A table summarizing the buy and sell rules is displayed on the chart, ensuring that traders have quick access to the system’s trading logic.
Benefits of Using the TFM 10% System:
Streamlined Decision Making:
The script simplifies the trading process by clearly outlining buy and sell signals, making it accessible even for novice traders.
Customizable Parameters:
Users can tailor the script to their preferences by adjusting moving average types and lengths, ATR levels, and percentage thresholds. Bands are interchange able for ATR and Percent below 52 week high for volatility looks. But buy and sell are fixed in 10% threshold.
Risk Management:
By utilizing ATR and percentage levels, traders can effectively manage their risk, making the trading process more systematic.
Comprehensive Market Analysis:
The combination of multiple time frames (daily, weekly, monthly) allows for a well-rounded analysis of market trends, enhancing trading accuracy.
VR1 DEMA - Liquidity IdentifierThis custom Pine Script indicator, titled "VR1 DEMA - Liquidity Identifier", is designed to help traders identify periods of significant resistance to price movement, often indicating high liquidity areas where the market may encounter difficulty moving in one direction. The indicator analyzes the relationship between volume and price range, combined with bar volume conditions, to provide enhanced signals of potential liquidity buildup.
Key Features:
Customizable EMA Lengths:
Users can define the lengths of both the fast and slow Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), with default values of 5 for the fast EMA and 13 for the slow EMA. These EMAs are calculated from the ratio of volume to price range, smoothing the data to detect trends in liquidity.
Dynamic Fast EMA Color:
The fast EMA changes color based on its relationship to the slow EMA:
Red when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, signaling stronger resistance or greater liquidity.
White when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, indicating potentially weaker resistance.
Liquidity Signal with Multiplier Condition:
The background of the chart changes to white when the volume-to-price ratio exceeds 1.5 times the fast EMA. This highlights potential areas of liquidity buildup where price movement may encounter stronger resistance. The 1.5 multiplier is adjustable, allowing for sensitivity customization.
Volume Condition for Enhanced Signals:
A new condition is added that requires the actual bar volume to exceed 1.2 times the 5-period EMA of average bar volume. This ensures that the background color only changes when there is not only increased liquidity but also significantly higher trading volume. The 1.2 multiplier is user-adjustable for further refinement.
Combined Liquidity and Volume Filtering:
Both conditions (volume-to-price ratio and actual volume) must be met for the background color to change. This double-filtering helps traders spot moments of unusual market activity more accurately.
Optional Volume/Price Range Visualization:
An optional plot of the volume-to-price ratio is included, providing a visual representation of how volume interacts with price movement in real-time. This can be enabled or disabled based on user preference.
User-Friendly Customization:
The script includes inputs for adjusting the fast and slow EMA lengths, as well as the multipliers for the volume-to-price ratio and actual volume conditions. These customizable parameters allow traders to tailor the indicator to their specific market strategies.
Use Case:
This indicator is particularly useful for identifying periods of high liquidity and resistance in the market, where price movement may stall or reverse. By combining volume-to-price ratio analysis with actual volume conditions, the indicator provides more reliable signals for detecting potential breakouts, reversals, or consolidation periods. The color-coded fast EMA and background shading make it easy to spot key moments of increased market activity and liquidity.
Auto Anchored Swing VWAP'sThe Auto Anchored Swing VWAP's indicator automatically anchors Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) lines to recent swing highs and swing lows. VWAPs often act as key support or resistance levels because they represent the average price at which the majority of trading volume has occurred over a given time.
What is VWAP? VWAP is an essential tool in trading, representing the average price of a security over a specific period, weighted by volume. It helps traders identify the average price at which most trades have been executed, providing a balanced view of price action over time.
Anchored VWAPs: Unlike traditional VWAPs, which start from the beginning of the day, anchored VWAPs allow traders to "anchor" the calculation to a specific point in time or a pivot on the chart, in this case a swing high and swing low. This version of VWAP follows the price action from a selected point forward.
When the price is above the VWAP, it indicates that the majority of traders have paid less for the asset, creating a potential support zone as buyers may step in at or near this level. On the other hand, when the price is below the VWAP, it suggests that most traders have paid a higher price, which can lead to a resistance level where sellers may appear to defend their positions.
Anchored VWAPs, in particular, provide more precise support and resistance levels by starting from a specific swing high, swing low, or other significant point on the chart. This allows traders to track how price interacts with these levels after a certain bar.
The selectable pivot lookback length in this indicator defines the number of bars to the left and right of a potential swing high or swing low that must be lower (for a swing high) or higher (for a swing low) in order to confirm the pivot. In other words, it controls how many surrounding bars need to validate a local price extreme before it is considered a true swing point.
For example, if the lookback length is set to 9, a swing high is identified when there are 9 bars to the left and 9 bars to the right that all have lower highs than the current bar. The same logic applies for swing lows, where the price must be lower than the highs of the bars to the left and right for it to be considered a swing low.
This parameter allows traders to control the sensitivity of the swing points used to anchor VWAPs. A smaller lookback value will identify more frequent and short-term swing highs and lows, making the VWAPs more responsive to recent price action. Conversely, a larger lookback value will result in fewer but more significant swing points.
Pine Script
Utilization of Pine Script’s Enum Feature: This indicator leverages Pine Script's new enum feature for the selection of the VWAP lines (solid, dashed, or dotted) style.
Day & Swing Trading EMA Clouds with Adaptive LevelsDay & Swing Trading EMA Clouds with Adaptive Levels is a tool designed for traders who need a flexible indicator that adapts to both short-term (day trading) and long-term (swing trading) strategies. The indicator blends EMA clouds and adaptive support/resistance levels, making it suitable for analyzing trend strength and key price zones.
How It Works:
EMA Clouds for Trend Detection:
This indicator uses three EMAs (Fast, Intermediate, Slow) to create two clouds:
Fast Cloud: The area between the fast and Intermediate EMAs.
Slow Cloud: The area between the Intermediate and slow EMAs.
The cloud colors change based on trend direction:
Positive (uptrend): When the fast EMA is above the Intermediate EMA (turquoise) or the Intermediate EMA is above the slow EMA (teal).
Negative (downtrend): When the fast EMA is below the Intermediate EMA (pink) or the Intermediate EMA is below the slow EMA (magenta).
Traders can use these clouds to visually gauge market momentum and trend reversals.
Adaptive EMA Settings Based on Trading Mode:
The EMA lengths adjust automatically depending on whether you're in Day Trading or Swing Trading mode:
Day Trading Mode uses shorter periods to capture quick price movements:
Fast EMA: 5-period
Mid EMA: 13-period
Slow EMA: 21-period
Swing Trading Mode uses longer periods to capture broader trends:
Fast EMA: 12-period
Mid EMA: 26-period
Slow EMA: 50-period
This dynamic adjustment allows you to switch between trading styles seamlessly, with the EMAs reflecting the most relevant timeframes for each strategy.
Adaptive Support and Resistance Levels:
Depending on the selected trading mode, the indicator dynamically plots key levels:
Day Trading Mode: Previous day’s high, low, and midpoint, as well as 2-day levels.
Swing Trading Mode: Previous month’s high, low, and midpoint, as well as 2-month levels.
These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, giving traders critical areas to monitor for potential reversals or breakouts.
Buy & Sell Signals:
Visual buy/sell signals are generated when the fast EMA crosses above or below the slow EMA. These signals can help traders identify potential trend reversals.
Customization:
You can fully adjust the transparency and colors of the clouds to fit your personal preferences and trading style.
Why This Combination?
Combining EMA clouds with adaptive levels provides traders with a complete picture. The clouds highlight the underlying market momentum and trend strength, while the adaptive levels offer potential entry/exit points based on historical price action. This unique mashup allows traders to follow trends and plan trades around key support and resistance zones.
3-Bar (Outside Bar) Scanner with Table Display# 3-Bar (Outside Bar) Scanner with Table Display
## Overview
The **3-Bar (Outside Bar) Scanner with Table Display** is a custom TradingView indicator designed for traders who utilize **The Strat** methodology. This indicator scans for **3-bar (Outside Bar)** patterns across multiple symbols and displays the results in a convenient table format directly on your chart.
## Purpose
- **Efficient Multi-Symbol Scanning**: Monitor up to four symbols simultaneously for 3-bar patterns without the need to switch between charts.
- **Real-Time Updates**: The table dynamically updates with new price data, providing immediate insights into potential trading opportunities.
- **Visual Clarity**: Displays whether a 3-bar is bullish ("3 Up") or bearish ("3 Down"), helping you quickly interpret market sentiment.
## How It Works
- **Data Retrieval**: The indicator uses `request.security()` to fetch high, low, open, and close prices for the specified symbols and timeframe.
- **3-Bar Detection**:
- **Outside Bar Criteria**: Checks if the current candle's high is higher than the previous candle's high and the current low is lower than the previous low.
- **Direction Determination**:
- **"3 Up"**: If the candle closes higher than it opens (bullish candle).
- **"3 Down"**: If the candle closes lower than it opens (bearish candle).
- **Table Display**:
- The table shows the **Symbol**, **Timeframe**, and **State** ("3 Up", "3 Down", or blank if no pattern detected).
- Customizable colors and positioning to fit your chart's aesthetics.
## Best Use Cases
- **Rapid Market Analysis**: Ideal for traders needing a quick overview of multiple assets for potential 3-bar setups.
- **Strategic Decision-Making**: Helps identify key reversal or continuation patterns in alignment with **The Strat** principles.
- **Scalable Monitoring**: By utilizing TradingView's multi-chart layouts, you can expand monitoring beyond four symbols.
## Instructions for Use
### Adding the Indicator to Your Chart
1. **Copy the Code**: Use the provided Pine Script code for the indicator.
2. **Create a New Indicator**:
- In TradingView, click on **Pine Editor** at the bottom of the platform.
- Paste the code into the editor.
3. **Save and Add to Chart**:
- Click **Save** and give your indicator a name.
- Click **Add to Chart** to apply it.
### Customizing the Inputs
- **Symbols**:
- **Symbol 1**: Leave blank to use the current chart's symbol or enter a specific symbol (e.g., `AAPL`).
- **Symbol 2 to Symbol 4**: Enter additional symbols or leave them blank.
- **Timeframe**: Select your desired timeframe (e.g., `D` for Daily, `60` for 60-minute).
- **Table Colors**:
- Customize header and data colors for better visibility against your chart background.
### Interpreting the Table
- **Symbol**: Displays the symbol without the exchange prefix for clarity.
- **Timeframe**: Shows the timeframe applied to the analysis.
- **State**:
- **"3 Up"**: A bullish outside bar where the candle closed higher than it opened.
- **"3 Down"**: A bearish outside bar where the candle closed lower than it opened.
- **Blank**: No 3-bar pattern detected on the latest candle.
### Monitoring More Than Four Symbols
- **Multi-Chart Layout**:
- Use TradingView's multi-chart feature to display multiple charts within a single workspace.
- Apply the indicator to each chart. For example:
- **Four-Chart Grid**: Monitor up to 16 symbols by setting up four charts, each with the indicator tracking four symbols.
- **Steps**:
1. Arrange your workspace into a multi-chart layout.
2. Add the indicator to each chart.
3. Input different symbols into the indicator on each chart.
## Example Usage
Suppose you want to monitor the following symbols on a Daily timeframe:
- **Symbol 1**: *(Leave blank to use the current chart's symbol, e.g., `SPY`)*
- **Symbol 2**: `AAPL`
- **Symbol 3**: `TSLA`
- **Symbol 4**: `AMZN`
After adding the indicator and entering these symbols:
- **SPY**: The table shows "3 Up" in the State column, indicating a bullish outside bar.
- **AAPL**: No 3-bar pattern detected; the State column is blank.
- **TSLA**: The table shows "3 Down," indicating a bearish outside bar.
- **AMZN**: The table shows "3 Up," indicating another bullish outside bar.
This setup allows you to quickly assess which symbols are exhibiting significant patterns that may warrant further analysis or action.
## Notes
- **Customization**: Feel free to adjust the table's position and colors to suit your preferences.
- **Limitations**:
- Be aware of TradingView's limitations on `request.security()` calls, which may vary based on your subscription plan.
- The indicator is designed to monitor up to four symbols per instance due to these limitations.
- **Scalability**:
- By using multi-chart layouts, you can effectively monitor more symbols without overloading a single chart.
- This approach allows you to scale up your monitoring capabilities to fit your trading strategy.
## Conclusion
The **3-Bar (Outside Bar) Scanner with Table Display** is a valuable tool for traders who utilize **The Strat** methodology. It streamlines the process of identifying key 3-bar patterns across multiple symbols and timeframes, enhancing your ability to make informed trading decisions quickly.
By integrating this indicator into your trading routine, you can:
- Stay alert to significant market movements.
- Reduce the time spent manually scanning charts.
- Increase efficiency in executing your trading strategy.
---
Feel free to share this indicator with the Strat community. Feedback and suggestions are welcome to further enhance its functionality. Happy trading!
Flexible Moving Average StrategyThis strategy offers flexibility to choose between SMA and EMA, and allows users to set the review frequency to Daily, Weekly, or Monthly. It adapts to different market conditions by providing full control over the length and timeframe of the Moving Average.
### Key Features:
- **Moving Average Method**: Select between SMA and EMA.
- **Review Frequency**: Choose Daily, Weekly, or Monthly review periods.
- **Customizable**: Set the Moving Average length and timeframe.
- **Entry/Exit Rules**:
- **Enter Long**: When the close price is above the Moving Average at the end of the period.
- **Exit**: When the close price falls below the Moving Average.
### Parameters:
- **Review Frequency**: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
- **Moving Average Method**: SMA or EMA
- **Length & Timeframe**: Fully adjustable
This strategy suits traders who prefer a flexible, trend-following approach based on long-term price movements.
EMA CheatsheetEMA Clouds Indicator: A Comprehensive Guide for Traders
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Clouds indicator is a dynamic tool designed to provide traders with visual cues about the current trend and potential shifts in market momentum. The EMA is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent price data, making it highly responsive to price changes compared to a Simple Moving Average (SMA). When used in the form of clouds, EMAs are layered on top of each other to form a visual representation of bullish and bearish trends.
Understanding EMA Clouds
EMA Clouds consist of two or more EMAs, typically a short-term EMA (e.g., 9-period) and a longer-term EMA (e.g., 21-period). When these two EMAs are plotted together, they create a "cloud" between them. The interaction between these EMAs gives traders critical insights into the market's trend:
Bullish Clouds: When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, the market is considered to be in a bullish trend. This creates a green (or lighter colored) cloud between the EMAs, signaling upward momentum. Bullish clouds suggest that buyers are in control, and the price is likely to continue higher.
Bearish Clouds: Conversely, when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, the market is considered to be in a bearish trend. This forms a red (or darker colored) cloud between the EMAs, indicating downward momentum. Bearish clouds imply that sellers are dominating the market, and the price is likely to decline.
Key Components of the EMA Clouds Indicator:
Short-Term EMA: This is the fast-moving average (e.g., 9-period EMA) and reacts quickly to recent price changes. It’s used to detect short-term shifts in momentum.
Long-Term EMA: This is the slower-moving average (e.g., 21-period EMA), which smooths out price data over a longer period and identifies the general trend direction.
Cloud: The area between the short-term and long-term EMAs. When this cloud is green (bullish), it indicates that the short-term trend is stronger than the long-term trend. When the cloud turns red (bearish), it suggests that the short-term trend is weaker than the long-term trend.
Cloud Thickness: The thickness of the cloud provides additional information about the strength of the trend. A thicker cloud suggests strong price divergence between short and long-term trends, which could indicate a robust trend. A thinner cloud, on the other hand, may signal trend weakness or consolidation.
Long Signal Consecutive Lower Shadows - Correct Bars ColoredThis script identifies and highlights consecutive lower shadows on candlesticks in TradingView. A lower shadow is the portion of the candlestick between the low price and the lower of the open or close prices, often indicating price rejection at lower levels.
Key Features:
Threshold Settings: The user can customize the minimum length of the lower shadow (lowerShadowThreshold) and the maximum allowable price difference between consecutive lows (priceDifferenceThreshold).
Bar Coloring: When two consecutive bars meet the lower shadow condition, both bars are colored (default green).
Alerts: An alert is triggered when consecutive lower shadows are detected, allowing users to be notified of potential market reversals or buy opportunities.
TASC 2024.10 Adaptive Oscillator Threshold█ OVERVIEW
This script introduces a more dynamic approach to generating trading signals using the RSI indicator and a threshold that adapts to price trends and dispersion. This methodology comes from Francesco Bufi's article "Overbought/Oversold Oscillators: Useless Or Just Misused" from the October 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
According to Francesco Bufi's observations, an oscillator-based buy signal should have a threshold that varies with the trend direction: higher during uptrends and lower during downtrends. Additionally, the level should decrease as the distance from the price to its mean increases to reduce signals in volatile conditions. Accordingly, Bufi proposes a formula for an adaptive buy level whose value is proportional to the trend (linear regression slope) and inversely proportional to the typical distance between price and its mean (standard deviation). Traders can apply this method to any oscillator to add adaptivity without modifying the oscillator's calculations, as it's simply an adaptive technique for interpreting the calculated values.
This script demonstrates the application of Bufi's Adaptive Threshold (BAT) in a simple RSI-based strategy and allows users to compare its performance to the traditional fixed-threshold approach. Bufi's observations suggest that using the BAT instead of a static threshold can help improve the backtest performance of oscillator-based systems.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading systems outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Daily Moving Average for Intraday TimeframesThis indicator provides a dynamic tool for visualizing the Daily Moving Average (DMA) on intraday timeframes.
It allows you to analyze how the price behaves in relation to the daily moving average in timeframes from 1 minute up to 1 day.
KEY FEATURES
DMA on Intraday timeframes only : This indicator is designed to work exclusively on intraday charts with timeframes between 1 minute and 1 day. It will not function on tick, second-based, or daily-and-above charts.
Color-Coded Zones for Trend Identification :
Green Zone: The price is above a rising DMA, signaling a bullish momentum.
Red Zone: The price is below a falling DMA, signaling a bearish momentum.
Yellow Zone: Signaling uncertainty or mixed conditions, where either the price is above a falling DMA or below a rising/flat DMA.
Configurable DMA Period : You can adjust the number of days over which the DMA is calculated (default is 5 days). This can be customized based on your trading strategy or market preferences.
24/7 Market Option : For assets that trade continuously (e.g., cryptocurrencies), activate the "Is trading 24/7?" setting to ensure accurate calculations.
WHAT IS THE DMA AND WHY USE IT INTRADAY?
The Daily Moving Average is a Simple Moving Average indicator used to smooth out price fluctuations over a specified period (in days) and reveal the underlying trend.
Typically, a SMA takes price value for the current timeframe and reveal the trend for this timeframe. It gives you the average price for the last N candles for the given timeframe.
But what makes the Intraday DMA interesting is that it shows the underlying trend of the Daily timeframe on a chart set on a shorter timeframe . This helps to align intraday trades with broader market movements.
HOW IS THE DMA CALCULATED?
If we are to build a N-day Daily Moving Average using a Simple Moving Average, we need to take the amount of candles A needed in that timeframe to account for a period of a day and multiply it by the number of days N of the desired DMA.
So for instance, let say we want to compute the 5-Day DMA on the 10 minute timeframe :
In the 10 minute timeframe there are 39 candles in a day in the regular session.
We would take the 39 candles per day and then multiply that by 5 days. 39 x 5 = 195.
So a 5-day moving average is represented by a simple moving average with a period of 195 when looking at a 10 minute timeframe.
So for each period, to create a 5-day DMA, you would have to set the period of your simple moving average like so :
- 195 minutes = 10 period
- 130 minutes = 15 period
- 65 minutes = 30 period
- 30 minutes = 65 period
- 15 minutes = 130 period
- 10 minutes = 195 period
- 5 minutes = 390 period
and so on.
This indicator attempts to do this calculation for you on any intraday timeframe and whatever the period you want to use is for your DMA. You can create a 10-day moving average, a 30-day moving average, etc.
Magic Order Blocks [MW]Add a slim design, minimalist view of the most relevant higher and lower order blocks to your chart. Use our novel method of filtering that uses both the the number of consecutive bullish or bearish candles that follow the order block, and the number of ATRs that the asset’s price changed following the order block. View just the order blocks above and below the current price, or view the backgrounds for each and every one. And, if you're up to it, dig into a comprehensive view of the data for each order block candle.
Settings:
General Settings
Minimum # of Consecutive Bars Following Order Block
Show Bullish Order Blocks Below / Hide Last Bullish Block
Show Bearish Order Blocks Above / Hide Last Bearish Block
Use ATR Filter - Select # of ATRs Below
Closest Order Block is Followed by This Many ATRs
Preferences
Right Offset of Indicator Label
Show Mid-Line from Recent Order Block Indicator Label
Use ATRs Instead of Consecutive Candles in Label Indicator
Show Timestamp of Recent Order Block
Show Large Order Block Detail Labels
Show Small Order Block Labels
Background Settings
Show Background for Recent Order Block Indicator Label
# of Backgrounds to Show Before Now
Show All Bullish Order Block Backgrounds
Show All Bearish Order Block Backgrounds
Calculations
This indicator creates a matrix of each order block that is followed by the user-specified number of consecutive bullish or bearish candles. The data can be further filtered by the number of ATRs that the price moves after the order block - also user-defined. The most recent bearish order block above the current price takes arrays from the initial filtered matrix of arrays, filters once more by the “mid-price” of the order block (the average between the order block candle high and low) and selects the last element from this order block matrix. The same follows for the latest bearish order block above the current price.
How to Use
An order block refers to a price range or zone on a chart where large institutional orders have been placed, causing a significant shift in market direction. These zones are crucial because they often indicate areas of strong buying or selling interest, which can lead to future support or resistance levels. Traders use order blocks to identify potential points of market reversal or continuation.
The Magic Order Blocks default view shows the most recent overhead bearish order block above the current price, and the most recent bullish order block below. These can presumably act as support or resistance levels, because they reflect the last price where a significant price move occurred. “Significant” meaning that the order block candle was followed by many consecutive bullish or bearish candles. Based on the user-defined settings, it can also mean that price moved multiples of the asset's average true range (ATR). More consecutive candles means that the duration of the move lasted a long time. A higher ATR move indicates that the price moved impulsively in one direction.
The default view also shows a label to the right of the current price that provides the price level, the time stamp of the order block (optional), and a sequence of bars that show the significance of the level. By default, these bars represent the number of ATRs that price rose or fell following the order block, but they can be toggled to show the number of consecutive bullish or bearish candles that followed the order block.
Although the default view provides the zones that are most relevant to the current price, past order block candles can also be identified visually with labels as well with translucent backgrounds color-coded for bullish or bearish bias. Overlapping backgrounds can identify an area that has been repeatedly been an area of support or resistance.
A detailed view of each order block can also be viewed the includes the following data points:
Bar Index
Timestamp
Consecutive Accumulated Volume
Consecutive Bars
Price Change over Consecutive Bars
Price/Volume Ratio Over Consecutive Bars
Mid Price of Order Block
High Price of Order Block
Low Price of Order Block
ATRs over Consecutive Bars
- Other Usage Notes and Limitations:
The calculations used only provide an estimated relationship or a close approximation, and are not exact.
It's important for traders to be aware of the limitations of any indicator and to use them as part of a broader, well-rounded trading strategy that includes risk management, fundamental analysis, and other tools that can help with reducing false signals, determining trend direction, and providing additional confirmation for a trade decision. Diversifying strategies and not relying solely on one type of indicator or analysis can help mitigate some of these risks.
Things to keep in mind. Longer timeframes don’t necessarily have a as many consecutive candle drops or gains as with shorter timeframes, so be sure to adjust your settings when moving to 1 hour, 1 day, or 1 week timeframes from 1 minute, 5 minute, or 15 minute timeframes.
Bull Bear Power With EMA FilterDescription of Indicator:
This Pine Script indicator colors price bars based on the open price in relation to custom moving averages (EMA/SMA), Bull/Bear Power (BBPower), and an optional VWAP filter. The bar colors help identify bullish and bearish conditions with added visual cues for price positioning relative to VWAP.
Key Features:
Customizable Moving Averages (EMA/SMA):
The user can select between EMA or SMA for both short-term and long-term moving averages.
Default moving averages are set to 5 (short-term) and 9 (long-term) but can be adjusted by the user.
Bullish Condition (Blue or Purple Bars):
A bar is colored blue if the following conditions are met:
The open price is above both the short-term and long-term moving averages.
The short-term moving average (MA 1) is above the long-term moving average (MA 2).
BBPower (open price minus the 13-period EMA) is positive, indicating bullish strength.
If the VWAP filter is enabled and the price opens below VWAP, the bullish bars will turn purple.
Bearish Condition (Yellow or Orange Bars):
A bar is colored yellow if the following conditions are met:
The open price is below both the short-term and long-term moving averages.
The short-term moving average (MA 1) is below the long-term moving average (MA 2).
BBPower is negative or zero, indicating bearish market conditions.
If the VWAP filter is enabled and the price opens above VWAP, the bearish bars will turn orange.
VWAP Filter (Optional):
An optional filter allows the user to add VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) to the bar coloring logic.
When the VWAP filter is enabled, it provides additional information about price positioning relative to VWAP, turning bullish bars purple and bearish bars orange depending on whether the price opens above or below VWAP.
Usage:
Bullish Trend: Look for blue or purple bars to identify potential bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend: Look for yellow or orange bars to spot bearish conditions in the market.
The indicator allows users to customize the length and type of moving averages (EMA or SMA), as well as decide whether to apply the VWAP filter.
This indicator provides traders with clear visual signals to quickly assess the strength of bullish or bearish conditions based on the price's position relative to custom moving averages, BBPower, and VWAP, helping with trend identification and potential trade setups.
