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Session SFPThis script is a powerful, multi-timeframe tool designed to identify high-probability Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs) at key historical levels. Instead of looking for traditional "pivots" (like a 3-bar swing), this indicator finds the actual high and low of a previous higher-timeframe (HTF) bar (e.g., the previous weekly high/low) and waits for a lower-timeframe (LTF) candle to sweep that level and fail. This allows you to spot liquidity sweeps and potential reversals at significant, structural price points. How It Works The indicator's logic is based on a simple, two-timeframe process: Level Detection: First, it finds the high and low of the previous bar on your chosen "Level Timeframe" (e.g., W for Weekly, D for Daily). It plots these as small 'x' markers on your chart. SFP Identification: Second, it watches price action on a lower "SFP Timeframe" (e.g., 240 for 4H). A potential SFP is identified when a candle's wick sweeps above a key high or below a key low. Confirmation: The SFP is only confirmed after the SFP candle closes back below the high (for a bearish SFP) or above the low (for a bullish SFP). It then waits for a set number of "Confirmation Bars" to pass. If price does not close back over the level during this window, the signal is locked in, and a label is printed. How to Use (Key Settings) Level Timeframe (Most Important): This is the timeframe for the levels you want to trade. Set this to W to find SFPs of the previous weekly high/low. Set it to D to find SFPs of the previous daily high/low. SFP Timeframe: This is the timeframe you want to use to find the SFP candle itself. This should be lower than your Level Timeframe (e.g., 240 or 60). Level Lookback: This controls how many old levels the script will track. A value of 10 on a W Level Timeframe will track the highs and lows of the last 10 weeks. Confirmation Bars: This is your "patience" filter. It's the number of SFP Timeframe bars that must close without reclaiming the level after the SFP. A value of 0 will confirm the SFP immediately on the candle's close. Enable Wick % Filter: A quality filter. If checked, this ensures the SFP candle's rejection wick is a significant percentage of the candle's total range. Chart Visuals 'x' Markers: These are the historical highs and lows from your "Level Timeframe". You can turn these on or off in the settings. SFP Label: When an SFP is fully confirmed, a label (Bearish SFP or Bullish SFP) will appear, detailing the level that was swept and the timeframes used. SFP Line: A solid horizontal line is drawn from the 'x' marker to the SFP candle to highlight the sweep. Colored Boxes (Optional): If you are viewing a chart timeframe lower than your "SFP Timeframe", you can enable background boxes to highlight the exact SFP candle and its confirmation bars.
Pine Script® インジケーター
nickbonenkampの投稿
Session Moving AveragesAdds EMAs and SMAs to chart using 8am-8pm EST values. Completely configurable in settings. Some platforms allow users to configure what time frame they would like to view market data. One popular selection is 8am-8pm EST as 8am is when institutional orders go through. An argument can be made that price action before 8am EST is not valid yet moving averages will use that data. This matters less for shorter moving averages such as a 9 or 20 ema, but it dramatically changes the 200 or the 50 sma for example. This script allows you to ignore that pre-market data (or any data you choose to configure in the settings) and select up to 3 moving averages (either Exponential or Simple) for a set time. By default the moving averages include the 9-ema (gray), 20-ema (green), and 200-sma (purple) and is set to 8am-8pm EST This is configurable in the settings including the time frame you would like the moving averages to start using market data. By default the script will use your charts timeframe. You are able to use multi-time frames with this script just scroll down to "timeframe", then click "chart" in settings... this will then allow you to select a timeframe. A popular choice is 5-minute value of 8am-8pm EST moving averages. This means regardless of the time frame you are on (sub 1-minute, 1-minute, etc.) the script will display 5-minute data. Final note: In settings you are able to turn on/off shapes (the gray lines at the bottom) which shows when the data is being used. This can be helpful on certain tickers that trade continuously such as /ES or /NQ.
Pine Script® インジケーター
Scott_IIの投稿
4
Session Time RangesHave you ever wondered if you are trading at the right time of the day or feel like all the good trades happen when you are sleeping? Well now you can check your theory :) This Script allows you to highlight a time range on your chart over a 24hour time period. For example 3AM to 6AM The script has two time variables, set your start time and end time based on a 24 hour clock and set the time zone offset variable to match your charts time zone. For example New York -4 (for utc just enter 0 for no offset ) This is a quick script I put together so hopefully it is error free enjoy :)
Pine Script® インジケーター
melodicfishの投稿
EMA + PDH/PDL 2 Days [Scalping-Algo]🎯 Overview A clean, focused scalping indicator designed for 2-minute and 4-minute stock charts. Combines trend-following EMAs with key daily support/resistance zones to identify high-probability scalp entries. 🛠️ What's Included ComponentDescription🟡 EMA 13Fast momentum line🟣 EMA 48Medium trend filter🔴 EMA 200Major trend direction🔵 PDH/PDLPrevious day high & low zones🟠 PDH-2/PDL-22 days ago high & low zones ⏰ Session Filter Only displays levels during regular trading hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM EST) to keep your chart clean during pre/post market. 📊 How to Use for Scalping ✅ Long Setup (2m/4m chart) Price above EMA 200 (bullish bias) Price pulls back to PDH/PDL zone or EMA 48 EMA 13 crosses above EMA 48 Enter on bounce from zone Target: next resistance zone or 1:2 R/R ❌ Short Setup (2m/4m chart) Price below EMA 200 (bearish bias) Price rallies into PDH/PDL zone or EMA 48 EMA 13 crosses below EMA 48 Enter on rejection from zone Target: next support zone or 1:2 R/R 💡 Pro Tips TipWhy🔥 Trade the first hourMost volume & volatility🎯 Zone confluenceBest setups when PDH/PDL aligns with EMAs⚡ Quick exitsScalping = small gains, don't overstay🚫 Avoid chopSkip trades when price is stuck between zones📉 Respect EMA 200Don't long below it, don't short above it 🔵 Zone Colors Explained Blue zones → Yesterday's high/low (stronger levels) Orange zones → 2 days ago high/low (secondary levels) Zone thickness → 20 ticks buffer for natural price noise ⚙️ Best Settings TimeframeBest For2 minuteQuick scalps, 5-15 cent targets4 minuteSlightly larger moves, less noise 📌 Recommended Pairs Works best on liquid stocks with tight spreads: SPY, QQQ, AAPL, TSLA, AMD, NVDA, META, AMZN ⚠️ Risk Management RuleSuggestion🛑 Stop lossBelow/above the zone (tight)🎯 Take profit1:2 or 1:3 risk/reward minimum📏 Position sizeMax 1-2% account risk per trade 🚀 Quick Start Add indicator to 2m or 4m chart Wait for price to reach a colored zone Confirm trend direction with EMA 200 Look for EMA 13/48 alignment Enter with tight stop, scale out at targets
Pine Script® インジケーター
A1TradingHubの投稿
AMDX/XAMD indicatorThe AMDX/XAMD indicator is designed to highlight specific trading sessions on the chart using distinct colors and optional vertical lines. Users can choose between two session types, AMDX or XAMD, and customize the visual appearance of the sessions. This tool is particularly useful for traders who want to analyze market behavior during different trading periods. Meaning of AMDX: A: Accumulation M: Manipulation D: Distribution X: Continuation Or Reversal Features: Session Highlighting: AMDX Sessions: Split into four segments - A, M, D, X. XAMD Sessions: Split into four segments - X, A, M, D. Customizable Colors: Choose individual colors for each session (A, M, D, X). Adjust the transparency of the session boxes for better visual integration with the chart. Drawing Styles: Box Style: Draws colored boxes around the session ranges. Line Style: Draws vertical lines at session start and end times. Vertical Lines: Option to enable or disable vertical lines at session boundaries. Customizable line style: Solid, Dotted, or Dashed. Session Labels: Automatically labels each session for easy identification. Customization Options: Session Type: Select between AMDX and XAMD session types. Colors: Set custom colors for each session and vertical lines. Border Width: Adjust the width of the session box borders. Transparency: Control the transparency level of the session boxes. Drawing Style: Choose between Box and Line styles for session representation. Vertical Lines: Enable or disable vertical lines and select the line style. How It Works: The indicator calculates the start and end times for each session based on the selected session type (AMDX or XAMD). It then draws either boxes or lines to highlight these sessions on the chart. The indicator also includes options to draw vertical lines at the session boundaries and labels each session with a corresponding letter (A, M, D, X). Use Cases: Market Session Analysis: Easily identify and analyze market behavior during different trading sessions. Intraday Trading: Helps intraday traders to focus on specific time segments of the trading day. Visual Segmentation: Provides a clear visual segmentation of the trading day, aiding in better decision-making. Times for AMDX/XAMD session: A Session: 18:00 (previous day) to 03:00 (current day) M Session: 03:00 to 09:00 D Session: 09:00 to 12:00 X Session: 12:00 to 18:00 Time for the XAMD session : X Session: 18:00 (previous day) to 00:00 (current day) A Session: 00:00 to 09:00 M Session: 09:00 to 12:00 D Session: 12:00 to 18:00
Pine Script® インジケーター
Noxthinmarketの投稿
3
Time Zone PSenseiTitle: Time Zone PS Indicator Author: Orlando Depablos Description: The Time Zone PS Indicator is a tool designed to help traders visualize different trading sessions on their charts. It allows users to specify three different trading sessions: the start of the day, the London session, and the New York (NYC) session. Each session is represented by a distinct color-coded background on the chart. Features: Customizable Sessions: Traders can define the start time and end time for each trading session according to their preference. This flexibility enables users to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies session time zones. Session Display Control: Users have the option to choose whether they want to display each trading session on the chart. This feature allows for a clutter-free charting experience, where traders can focus on the sessions relevant to their analysis. Visual Clarity: The indicator uses distinct colors for each trading session, making it easy for traders to differentiate between different time zones. This visual clarity aids in quickly identifying key trading periods throughout the day. How to Use: Setting Up Sessions: Use the input options to define the start and end times for the start of the day, the London session, and the NYC session. Adjust these values based on your trading preferences and time zone. Display Preferences: Toggle the display options to choose which trading sessions you want to visualize on the chart. This allows for a customizable charting experience tailored to your specific needs. Interpreting the Chart: Once configured, the indicator will display color-coded backgrounds on the chart corresponding to the defined trading sessions. Interpret these visual cues to identify key trading periods and plan your trading strategies accordingly. Originality: The Time Zone PS Indicator adds value to the TradingView community by providing traders with a customizable tool to visualize different trading sessions. While similar indicators exist, this script offers flexibility and ease of use, enhancing the charting experience for traders across various time zones. Use Cases: Session-Based Analysis: Traders can use the indicator to analyze price action within specific trading sessions, such as the London or NYC session, to identify potential trading opportunities. Time Zone Adjustment: Traders operating in different time zones can adjust the indicator settings to align with their local trading hours, ensuring accurate visualization of relevant trading sessions. Strategy Development: The indicator can aid in the development of trading strategies that capitalize on price movements during specific trading sessions, helping traders optimize their trading performance. Chart Visualization: The indicator provides a clear and concise visualization of different trading sessions on the chart. Each session is represented by a color-coded background, allowing traders to quickly identify key trading periods and make informed trading decisions.
Pine Script® インジケーター
mc_boscの投稿
2
Volume Profile [Makit0]VOLUME PROFILE INDICATOR v0.5 beta Volume Profile is suitable for day and swing trading on stock and futures markets, is a volume based indicator that gives you 6 key values for each session: POC, VAH, VAL, profile HIGH, LOW and MID levels. This project was born on the idea of plotting the RTH sessions Value Areas for /ES in an automated way, but you can select between 3 different sessions: RTH, GLOBEX and FULL sessions. Some basic concepts: - Volume Profile calculates the total volume for the session at each price level and give us market generated information about what price and range of prices are the most traded (where the value is) - Value Area (VA): range of prices where 70% of the session volume is traded - Value Area High (VAH): highest price within VA - Value Area Low (VAL): lowest price within VA - Point of Control (POC): the most traded price of the session (with the most volume) - Session HIGH, LOW and MID levels are also important There are a huge amount of things to know of Market Profile and Auction Theory like types of days, types of openings, relationships between value areas and openings... for those interested Jim Dalton's work is the way to come I'm in my 2nd trading year and my goal for this year is learning to daytrade the futures markets thru the lens of Market Profile For info on Volume Profile: TV Volume Profile wiki page at www.tradingview.com For info on Market Profile and Market Auction Theory: Jim Dalton's book Mind over markets (this is a MUST) BE AWARE: this indicator is based on the current chart's time interval and it only plots on 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 15 and 30 minutes charts. This is the correlation table TV uses in the Volume Profile Session Volume indicator (from the wiki above) Chart Indicator 1 - 5 1 6 - 15 5 16 - 30 10 31 - 60 15 61 - 120 30 121 - 1D 60 This indicator doesn't follow that correlation, it doesn't get the volume data from a lower timeframe, it gets the data from the current chart resolution. FEATURES - 6 key values for each session: POC (solid yellow), VAH (solid red), VAL (solid green), profile HIGH (dashed silver), LOW (dashed silver) and MID (dotted silver) levels - 3 sessions to choose for: RTH, GLOBEX and FULL - select the numbers of sessions to plot by adding 12 hours periods back in time - show/hide POC - show/hide VAH & VAL - show/hide session HIGH, LOW & MID levels - highlight the periods of time out of the session (silver) - extend the plotted lines all the way to the right, be careful this can turn the chart unreadable if there are a lot of sessions and lines plotted SETTINGS - Session: select between RTH (8:30 to 15:15 CT), GLOBEX (17:00 to 8:30 CT) and FULL (17:00 to 15:15 CT) sessions. RTH by default - Last 12 hour periods to show: select the deph of the study by adding periods, for example, 60 periods are 30 natural days and around 22 trading days. 1 period by default - Show POC (Point of Control): show/hide POC line. true by default - Show VA (Value Area High & Low): show/hide VAH & VAL lines. true by default - Show Range (Session High, Low & Mid): show/hide session HIGH, LOW & MID lines. true by default - Highlight out of session: show/hide a silver shadow over the non session periods. true by default - Extension: Extend all the plotted lines to the right. false by default HOW TO SETUP BE AWARE THIS INDICATOR PLOTS ONLY IN THE FOLLOWING CHART RESOLUTIONS: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 15 AND 30 MINUTES CHARTS. YOU MUST SELECT ONE OF THIS RESOLUTIONS TO THE INDICATOR BE ABLE TO PLOT - By default this indicator plots all the levels for the last RTH session within the last 12 hours, if there is no plot try to adjust the 12 hours periods until the seesion and the periods match - For Globex/Full sessions just select what you want from the dropdown menu and adjust the periods to plot the values - Show or hide the levels you want with the 3 groups: POC line, VA lines and Session Range lines - The highlight and extension options are for a better visibility of the levels as POC or VAH/VAL THANKS TO @watsonexchange for all the help, ideas and insights on this and the last two indicators (Market Delta & Market Internals) I'm working on my way to a 'clean chart' but for me it's not an easy path @PineCoders for all the amazing stuff they do and all the help and tools they provide, in special the Script-Stopwatch at that was key in lowering this indicator's execution time All the TV and Pine community, open source and shared knowledge are indeed the best way to help each other IF YOU REALLY LIKE THIS WORK, please send me a comment or a private message and TELL ME WHAT you trade, HOW you trade it and your FAVOURITE SETUP for pulling out money from the market in a consistent basis, I'm learning to trade (this is my 2nd year) and I need all the help I can get GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING
Pine Script® インジケーター
makit0の投稿
65
ICT Opening Range Projections (tristanlee85)ICT Opening Range Projections This indicator visualizes key price levels based on ICT's (Inner Circle Trader) "Opening Range" concept. This 30-minute time interval establishes price levels that the algorithm will refer to throughout the session. The indicator displays these levels, including standard deviation projections, internal subdivisions (quadrants), and the opening price. 🟪 What It Does The Opening Range is a crucial 30-minute window where market algorithms establish significant price levels. ICT theory suggests this range forms the basis for daily price movement. This script helps you: Mark the high, low, and opening price of each session. Divide the range into quadrants (premium, discount, and midpoint/Consequent Encroachment). Project potential price targets beyond the range using configurable standard deviation multiples . 🟪 How to Use It This tool aids in time-based technical analysis rooted in ICT's Opening Range model, helping you observe price interaction with algorithmic levels. Example uses include: Identifying early structural boundaries. Observing price behavior within premium/discount zones. Visualizing initial displacement from the range to anticipate future moves. Comparing price reactions at projected standard deviation levels. Aligning price action with significant times like London or NY Open. Note: This indicator provides a visual framework; it does not offer trade signals or interpretations. 🟪 Key Information Time Zone: New York time (ET) is required on your chart. Sessions: Supports multiple sessions, including NY midnight, NY AM, NY PM, and three custom timeframes. Time Interval: Supports multi-timeframe up to 15 minutes. Best used on a 1-minute chart for accuracy. 🟪 Session Options The Opening Range interval is configurable for up to 6 sessions: Pre-defined ICT Sessions: NY Midnight: 12:00 AM – 12:30 AM ET NY AM: 9:30 AM – 10:00 AM ET NY PM: 1:30 PM – 2:00 PM ET Custom Sessions: Three user-defined start/end time pairs. This example shows a custom session from 03:30 - 04:00: 🟪 Understanding the Levels The Opening Price is the open of the first 1-minute candle within the chosen session. At session close, the Opening Range is calculated using its High and Low . An optional swing-based mode uses swing highs/lows for range boundaries. The range is divided into quadrants by its midpoint ( Consequent Encroachment or CE): Upper Quadrant: CE to high (premium). Lower Quadrant: Low to CE (discount). These subdivisions help visualize internal range dynamics, where price often reacts during algorithmic delivery. 🟪 Working with Ranges By default, the range is determined by the highest high and lowest low of the 30-minute session: A range can also be determined by the highest/lowest swing points: Quadrants outline the premium and discount of a range that price will reference: Small ranges still follow the same algorithmic logic, but may be deemed insignificant for one's trading. These can be filtered in the settings by specifying a minimum ticks limit. In this example, the range is 42 ticks (10.5 points) but the indicator is configured for 80 ticks (20 points). We can select which levels will plot if the range is below the limit. Here, only the 00:00 opening price is plotted: You may opt to include the range high/low, quadrants, and projections as well. This will plot a red (configurable) range bracket to indicate it is below the limit while plotting the levels: 🟪 Price Projections Projections extend beyond the Opening Range using standard deviations, framing the market beyond the initial session and identifying potential targets. You define the standard deviation multiples (e.g., 1.0, 1.5, 2.0). Both positive and negative extensions are displayed, symmetrically projected from the range's high and low. The Dynamic Levels option plots only the next projection level once price crosses the previous extreme. For example, only the 0.5 STDEV level plots until price reaches it, then the 1.0 level appears, and so on. This continues up to your defined maximum projections, or indefinitely if standard deviations are set to 0. This example shows dynamic levels for a total of 6 sessions, only 1 of which meet a configured minimum limit of 50 ticks: Small ranges followed by significant displacement are impacted the most with the number of levels plotted. You may hide projections when configuring the minimum ticks. A fixed standard deviation will plot levels in both directions, regardless of the price range. Here, we plot up to 3.0 which hiding projections for small ranges: 🟪 Legal Disclaimer This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves substantial risk, and you could lose a significant amount of money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before making any trading or investment decisions. The creators and distributors of this indicator assume no responsibility for your trading outcomes.
Pine Script® インジケーター
tristanlee85の投稿
10
Custom V2 KillZone US / FVG / EMAThis indicator is designed for traders looking to analyze liquidity levels, opportunity zones, and the underlying trend across different trading sessions. Inspired by the ICT methodology, this tool combines analysis of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), session management, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to provide a structured and disciplined approach to trading effectively. Indicator Features Identifying the Underlying Trend with Two EMAs The indicator uses two EMAs on different, customizable timeframes to define the underlying trend: EMA1 (default set to a daily timeframe): Represents the primary underlying trend. EMA2 (default set to a 4-hour timeframe): Helps identify secondary corrections or impulses within the main trend. These two EMAs allow traders to stay aligned with the market trend by prioritizing trades in the direction of the moving averages. For example, if prices are above both EMAs, the trend is bullish, and long trades are favored. Analysis of Market Sessions The indicator divides the day into key trading sessions: Asian Session London Session US Pre-Open Session Liquidity Kill Session US Kill Zone Session Each session is represented by high and low zones as well as mid-lines, allowing traders to visualize liquidity levels reached during these periods. Tracking the price levels in different sessions helps determine whether liquidity levels have been "swept" (taken) or not, which is essential for ICT methodology. Liquidity Signal ("OK" or "STOP") A specific signal appears at the end of the "Liquidity Kill" session (just before the "US Kill Zone" session): "OK" Signal: Indicates that liquidity conditions are favorable for trading the "US Kill Zone" session. This means that liquidity levels have been swept in previous sessions (Asian, London, US Pre-Open), and the market is ready for an opportunity. "STOP" Signal: Indicates that it is not favorable to trade the "US Kill Zone" session, as certain liquidity conditions have not been met. The "OK" or "STOP" signal is based on an analysis of the high and low levels from previous sessions, allowing traders to ensure that significant liquidity zones have been reached before considering positions in the "Kill Zone". Detection of Fair Value Gaps (FVG) in the US Kill Zone Session When an "OK" signal is displayed, the indicator identifies Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the "US Kill Zone" session. These FVGs are areas where price may return to fill an "imbalance" in the market, making them potential entry points. Bullish FVG: Detected when there is a bullish imbalance, providing a buying opportunity if conditions align with the underlying trend. Bearish FVG: Detected when there is a bearish imbalance, providing a selling opportunity in the trend direction. FVG detection aligns with the ICT Silver Bullet methodology, where these imbalance zones serve as probable entry points during the "US Kill Zone". How to Use This Indicator Check the Underlying Trend Before trading, observe the two EMAs (daily and 4-hour) to understand the general market trend. Trades will be prioritized in the direction indicated by these EMAs. Monitor Liquidity Signals After the Asian, London, and US Pre-Open Sessions The high and low levels of each session help determine if liquidity has already been swept in these areas. At the end of the "Liquidity Kill" session, an "OK" or "STOP" label will appear: "OK" means you can look for trading opportunities in the "US Kill Zone" session. "STOP" means it is preferable not to take trades in the "US Kill Zone" session. Look for Opportunities in the US Kill Zone if the Signal is "OK" When the "OK" label is present, focus on the "US Kill Zone" session. Use the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) as potential entry points for trades based on the ICT methodology. The identified FVGs will appear as colored boxes (bullish or bearish) during this session. Use ICT Methodology to Manage Your Trades Follow the FVGs as potential reversal zones in the direction of the trend, and manage your positions according to your personal strategy and the rules of the ICT Silver Bullet method. Customizable Settings The indicator includes several customization options to suit the trader's preferences: EMA: Length, source (close, open, etc.), and timeframe. Market Sessions: Ability to enable or disable each session, with color and line width settings. Liquidity Signals: Customization of colors for the "OK" and "STOP" labels. FVG: Option to display FVGs or not, with customizable colors for bullish and bearish FVGs, and the number of bars for FVG extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cet indicateur est conçu pour les traders souhaitant analyser les niveaux de liquidité, les zones d’opportunité, et la tendance de fond à travers différentes sessions de trading. Inspiré de la méthodologie ICT, cet outil combine l'analyse des moyennes mobiles exponentielles (EMA), la gestion des sessions de marché, et la détection des Fair Value Gaps (FVG), afin de fournir une approche structurée et disciplinée pour trader efficacement.
Pine Script® インジケーター
LauryGinalの投稿
Opening Range Breakout with Multi-Timeframe Liquidity]═══════════════════════════════════════ OPENING RANGE BREAKOUT WITH MULTI-TIMEFRAME LIQUIDITY ═══════════════════════════════════════ A professional Opening Range Breakout (ORB) indicator enhanced with multi-timeframe liquidity detection, trading session visualization, volume analysis, and trend confirmation tools. Designed for intraday trading with comprehensive alert system. ─────────────────────────────────────── WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOES ─────────────────────────────────────── This indicator combines multiple trading concepts: - Opening Range Breakout (ORB) - Customizable time period detection with automatic high/low identification - Multi-Timeframe Liquidity - HTF (Higher Timeframe) and LTF (Lower Timeframe) key level detection - Trading Sessions - Tokyo, London, New York, and Sydney session visualization - Volume Analysis - Volume spike detection and strength measurement - Multi-Timeframe Confirmation - Trend bias from higher timeframes - EMA Integration - Trend filter and dynamic support/resistance - Smart Alerts - Quality-filtered breakout notifications ─────────────────────────────────────── HOW IT WORKS ─────────────────────────────────────── OPENING RANGE BREAKOUT (ORB): Concept: The Opening Range is a period at the start of a trading session where price establishes an initial high and low. Breakouts beyond this range often indicate the direction of the day's trend. Detection Method: - Default: 15-minute opening range (configurable) - Custom Range: Set specific session times with timezone support - Automatically identifies ORH (Opening Range High) and ORL (Opening Range Low) - Tracks ORB mid-point for reference Range Establishment: 1. Session starts (or custom time begins) 2. Tracks highest high and lowest low during the period 3. Range confirmed at end of opening period 4. Levels extend throughout the session Breakout Detection: - Bullish Breakout: Close above ORH - Bearish Breakout: Close below ORL - Mid-point acts as bias indicator Visual Display: - Shaded box during range formation - Horizontal lines for ORH, ORL, and mid-point - Labels showing level values - Color-coded fills based on selected method Fill Color Methods: 1. Session Comparison: - Green: Current OR mid > Previous OR mid - Red: Current OR mid < Previous OR mid - Gray: Equal or first session - Shows day-over-day momentum 2. Breakout Direction (Recommended): - Green: Price currently above ORH (bullish breakout) - Red: Price currently below ORL (bearish breakout) - Gray: Price inside range (no breakout) - Real-time breakout status MULTI-TIMEFRAME LIQUIDITY: Two-Tier System for comprehensive level identification: HTF (Higher Timeframe) Key Liquidity: - Default: 4H timeframe (configurable to Daily, Weekly) - Identifies major institutional levels - Uses pivot detection with adjustable parameters - Suitable for swing highs/lows where large orders rest LTF (Lower Timeframe) Key Liquidity: - Default: 1H timeframe (configurable) - Provides precision entry/exit levels - Finer granularity for intraday trading - Captures minor swing points Calculation Method: - Pivot high/low detection algorithm - Configurable left bars (lookback) and right bars (confirmation) - Timeframe multiplier for accurate multi-timeframe detection - Automatic level extension Mitigation System: - Tracks when levels are swept (broken) - Configurable mitigation type: Wick or Close-based - Option to remove or show mitigated levels - Display limit prevents chart clutter Asset-Specific Optimization: The indicator includes quick reference settings for different assets: - Major Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD): Default settings optimal - Crypto (BTC/ETH): Left=12, Right=4, Display=7 - Gold: HTF=1D, Left=20 TRADING SESSIONS: Four Major Sessions with Full Customization: Tokyo Session: - Default: 04:00-13:00 UTC+4 - Asian trading hours - Often sets daily range London Session: - Default: 11:00-20:00 UTC+4 - Highest liquidity period - Major institutional activity New York Session: - Default: 16:00-01:00 UTC+4 - US market hours - High-impact news events Sydney Session: - Default: 01:00-10:00 UTC+4 - Earliest Asian activity - Lower volatility Session Features: - Shaded background boxes - Session name labels - Optional open/close lines - Session high/low tracking with colored lines - Each session has independent color settings - Fully customizable times and timezones VOLUME ANALYSIS: Volume-Based Trade Confirmation: Volume MA: - Configurable period (default: 20) - Establishes average volume baseline - Used for spike detection Volume Spike Detection: - Identifies when volume exceeds MA * multiplier - Default: 1.5x average volume - Confirms breakout strength Volume Strength Measurement: - Calculates current volume as percentage of average - Shows relative volume intensity - Used in alert quality filtering High Volume Bars: - Identifies bars above 50th percentile - Additional confirmation layer - Indicates institutional participation MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFIRMATION: Trend Bias from Higher Timeframes: HTF 1 (Trend): - Default: 1H timeframe - Uses EMA to determine intermediate trend - Compares current timeframe EMA to HTF EMA HTF 2 (Bias): - Default: 4H timeframe - Uses 50 EMA for longer-term bias - Confirms overall market direction Bias Classifications: - Bullish Bias: HTF close > HTF 50 EMA AND Current EMA > HTF1 EMA - Bearish Bias: HTF close < HTF 50 EMA AND Current EMA < HTF1 EMA - Neutral Bias: Mixed signals between timeframes EMA Stack Analysis: - Compares EMA alignment across timeframes - +1: Bullish stack (lower TF EMA > higher TF EMA) - -1: Bearish stack (lower TF EMA < higher TF EMA) - 0: Neutral/crossed Usage: - Filters false breakouts - Confirms trend direction - Improves trade quality EMA INTEGRATION: Dynamic EMA for Trend Reference: Features: - Configurable period (default: 20) - Customizable color and width - Acts as dynamic support/resistance - Trend filter for ORB trades Application: - Above EMA: Favor long breakouts - Below EMA: Favor short breakouts - EMA cross: Potential trend change - Distance from EMA: Momentum gauge SMART ALERT SYSTEM: Quality-Filtered Breakout Notifications: Alert Types: 1. Standard ORB Breakout 2. High Quality ORB Breakout Quality Criteria: - Volume Confirmation: Volume > 1.2x average - MTF Confirmation: Bias aligned with breakout direction Standard Alert: - Basic breakout detection - Price crosses ORH or ORL - Icon: 🚀 (bullish) or 🔻 (bearish) High Quality Alert: - Both volume AND MTF confirmed - Stronger probability setup - Icon: 🚀⭐ (bullish) or 🔻⭐ (bearish) Alert Information Includes: - Alert quality rating - Breakout level and current price - Volume strength percentage (if enabled) - MTF bias status (if enabled) - Recommended action One Alert Per Bar: - Prevents alert spam - Uses flag system to track sent alerts - Resets on new ORB session ─────────────────────────────────────── HOW TO USE ─────────────────────────────────────── OPENING RANGE SETUP: Basic Configuration: 1. Select time period for opening range (default: 15 minutes) 2. Choose fill color method (Breakout Direction recommended) 3. Enable historical data display if needed Custom Range (Advanced): 1. Enable Custom Range toggle 2. Set specific session time (e.g., 0930-0945) 3. Select appropriate timezone 4. Useful for specific market opens (NYSE, LSE, etc.) LIQUIDITY LEVELS SETUP: Quick Configuration by Asset: - Forex: Use default settings (Left=15, Right=5) - Crypto: Set Left=12, Right=4, Display=7 - Gold: Set HTF=1D, Left=20 HTF Liquidity: - Purpose: Major support/resistance levels - Recommended: 4H for day trading, 1D for swing trading - Use as profit targets or reversal zones LTF Liquidity: - Purpose: Entry/exit refinement - Recommended: 1H for day trading, 4H for swing trading - Use for position management Mitigation Settings: - Wick-based: More sensitive (default) - Close-based: More conservative - Remove or Show mitigated levels based on preference TRADING SESSIONS SETUP: Enable/Disable Sessions: - Master toggle for all sessions - Individual session controls - Show/hide session names Session High/Low Lines: - Enable to see session extremes - Each session has custom colors - Useful for range trading Customization: - Adjust session times for your broker - Set timezone to match your location - Customize colors for visibility VOLUME ANALYSIS SETUP: Enable Volume Analysis: 1. Toggle on Volume Analysis 2. Set MA length (20 recommended) 3. Adjust spike multiplier (1.5 typical) Usage: - Confirm breakouts with volume - Identify climactic moves - Filter false signals MULTI-TIMEFRAME SETUP: HTF Selection: - HTF 1 (Trend): 1H for day trading, 4H for swing - HTF 2 (Bias): 4H for day trading, 1D for swing Interpretation: - Trade only with bias alignment - Neutral bias: Be cautious - Bias changes: Potential reversals EMA SETUP: Configuration: - Period: 20 for responsive, 50 for smoother - Color: Choose contrasting color - Width: 1-2 for visibility Usage: - Filter trades: Long above, Short below - Dynamic support/resistance reference - Trend confirmation ALERT SETUP: TradingView Alert Creation: 1. Enable alerts in indicator settings 2. Enable ORB Breakout Alerts 3. Right-click chart → Add Alert 4. Select this indicator 5. Choose "Any alert() function call" 6. Configure delivery method (mobile, email, webhook) Alert Filtering: - All alerts include quality rating - High Quality alerts = Volume + MTF confirmed - Standard alerts = Basic breakout only ─────────────────────────────────────── TRADING STRATEGIES ─────────────────────────────────────── CLASSIC ORB STRATEGY: Setup: 1. Wait for opening range to complete 2. Price breaks and closes above ORH or below ORL 3. Volume > average (if enabled) 4. MTF bias aligned (if enabled) Entry: - Bullish: Buy on break above ORH - Bearish: Sell on break below ORL - Consider retest entries for better risk/reward Stop Loss: - Bullish: Below ORL or range mid-point - Bearish: Above ORH or range mid-point - Adjust based on volatility Targets: - Initial: Range width extension (ORH + range width) - Secondary: HTF liquidity levels - Final: Session high/low or major support/resistance ORB + LIQUIDITY CONFLUENCE: Enhanced Setup: 1. Opening range established 2. HTF liquidity level near or beyond ORH/ORL 3. Breakout occurs with volume 4. Price targets the liquidity level Entry: - Enter on ORB breakout - Target the HTF liquidity level - Use LTF liquidity for position management Management: - Partial profits at ORB + range width - Move stop to breakeven at LTF liquidity - Final exit at HTF liquidity sweep ORB REJECTION STRATEGY (Counter-Trend): Setup: 1. Price breaks above ORH or below ORL 2. Weak volume (below average) 3. MTF bias opposite to breakout 4. Price closes back inside range Entry: - Failed bullish break: Short below ORH - Failed bearish break: Long above ORL Stop Loss: - Beyond the failed breakout level - Or beyond session extreme Target: - Opposite end of opening range - Range mid-point for partial profit SESSION-BASED ORB TRADING: Tokyo Session: - Typically narrower ranges - Good for range trading - Wait for London open breakout London Session: - Highest volume and volatility - Strong ORB setups - Major liquidity sweeps common New York Session: - Strong trending moves - News-driven volatility - Good for momentum trades Sydney Session: - Quieter conditions - Suitable for range strategies - Sets up Tokyo session EMA-FILTERED ORB: Rules: - Only take bullish breaks if price > EMA - Only take bearish breaks if price < EMA - Ignore counter-trend breaks Benefits: - Reduces false signals - Aligns with larger trend - Improves win rate ─────────────────────────────────────── CONFIGURATION GUIDE ─────────────────────────────────────── OPENING RANGE SETTINGS: Time Period: - 15 min: Standard for most markets - 30 min: Wider range, fewer breakouts - 60 min: For slower markets or swing trades Custom Range: - Use for specific market opens - NYSE: 0930-1000 EST - LSE: 0800-0830 GMT - Set timezone to match exchange Historical Display: - Enable: See all previous session data - Disable: Cleaner chart, current session only LIQUIDITY SETTINGS: Left Bars (5-30): - Lower: More frequent, sensitive levels - Higher: Fewer, more significant levels - Recommended: 15 for most markets Right Bars (1-25): - Confirmation period - Higher: More reliable, less frequent - Recommended: 5 for balance Display Limit (1-20): - Number of active levels shown - Higher: More context, busier chart - Recommended: 7 for clarity Extension Options: - Short: Levels visible near formation - Current: Extended to current bar (recommended) - Max: Extended indefinitely VOLUME SETTINGS: MA Length (5-50): - Shorter: More responsive to spikes - Longer: Smoother baseline - Recommended: 20 for balance Spike Multiplier (1.0-3.0): - Lower: More sensitive spike detection - Higher: Only extreme spikes - Recommended: 1.5 for day trading MULTI-TIMEFRAME SETTINGS: HTF 1 (Trend): - 5m chart: Use 15m or 1H - 15m chart: Use 1H or 4H - 1H chart: Use 4H or 1D HTF 2 (Bias): - One level higher than HTF 1 - Provides longer-term context - Don't use same as HTF 1 EMA SETTINGS: Length: - 20: Responsive, more signals - 50: Smoother, stronger filter - 200: Long-term trend only Style: - Choose contrasting color - Width 1-2 for visibility - Match your trading style ─────────────────────────────────────── BEST PRACTICES ─────────────────────────────────────── Chart Timeframe Selection: - ORB Trading: Use 5m or 15m charts - Session Review: Use 1H or 4H charts - Swing Trading: Use 1H or 4H charts Quality Over Quantity: - Wait for high-quality alerts (volume + MTF) - Avoid trading every breakout - Focus on confluence setups Risk Management: - Position size based on range width - Wider ranges = smaller positions - Use stop losses always - Take partial profits at targets Market Conditions: - Best results in trending markets - Reduce position size in choppy conditions - Consider session overlaps for volatility - Avoid trading near major news if inexperienced Continuous Improvement: - Track win rate by session - Note which confluence factors work best - Adjust settings based on market volatility - Review performance weekly ─────────────────────────────────────── PERFORMANCE OPTIMIZATION ─────────────────────────────────────── This indicator is optimized with: - max_bars_back declarations for efficient processing - Conditional calculations based on enabled features - Proper memory management for drawing objects - Minimal recalculation on each bar Best Practices: - Disable unused features (sessions, MTF, volume) - Limit historical display to reduce rendering - Use appropriate timeframe for your strategy - Clear old drawing objects periodically ─────────────────────────────────────── EDUCATIONAL DISCLAIMER ─────────────────────────────────────── This indicator combines established trading concepts: - Opening Range Breakout theory (price action) - Liquidity level detection (pivot analysis) - Session-based trading (time-of-day patterns) - Volume analysis (confirmation technique) - Multi-timeframe analysis (trend alignment) All calculations use standard technical analysis methods: - Pivot high/low detection algorithms - Moving averages for trend and volume - Session time filtering - Timeframe security functions The indicator identifies potential trading setups but does not predict future price movements. Success requires proper application within a complete trading strategy including risk management, position sizing, and market context. ─────────────────────────────────────── USAGE DISCLAIMER ─────────────────────────────────────── This tool is for educational and analytical purposes. Opening Range Breakout trading involves substantial risk. The alert system and quality filters are designed to identify potential setups but do not guarantee profitability. Always conduct independent analysis, use proper risk management, and never risk capital you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading intraday breakouts requires experience and discipline. ─────────────────────────────────────── CREDITS & ATTRIBUTION ─────────────────────────────────────── ORIGINAL SOURCE: This indicator builds upon concepts from LuxAlgo's-ORB
Pine Script® インジケーター
Fx-Jithinの投稿
1
4H Candle Curves4H Candle Curves - Detailed User Guide OVERVIEW This indicator reveals curve vs continuation behavior in NQ Futures by analyzing how price responds after breaking the first-hour range. Based on 10+ years of statistical analysis (2013-2025, 3,136+ trading days), it identifies which 4-hour sessions exhibit mean reversion (curve) behavior versus trend continuation when Q2 (second hour) breaks Q1 (first hour) extremes. ⚠️ IMPORTANT: This indicator is specifically designed for NQ FUTURES ONLY. All curve probabilities and statistics were derived from a decade-long dataset of NQ 1-minute bars. Using this on other instruments will produce inaccurate results. CORE CONCEPT: THE CURVE What is a "Curve"? A curve occurs when price breaks out of the first hour's range in Q2 (hour 2), but then reverses direction in the second half (Q3+Q4) to make a new extreme on the opposite side. Curve Example (Upside Break → Downside Reversal): Q1 (Hour 1): Price establishes range 25,000 - 25,050 Q2 (Hour 2): Price breaks ABOVE Q1 high, reaches 25,100 Q3+Q4 (Hours 3-4): Price curves back down, makes new LOW below 25,000 Result: Q2 broke high, but second half curved back to make new low below Q1 = CURVE What is "Continuation"? Continuation occurs when Q2 breaks Q1 range and the second half extends further in the same direction. Continuation Example (Upside Break → Further Upside): Q1 (Hour 1): Price establishes range 25,000 - 25,050 Q2 (Hour 2): Price breaks ABOVE Q1 high, reaches 25,100 Q3+Q4 (Hours 3-4): Price continues higher, makes new HIGH above 25,100 Result: Q2 broke high, second half made new high above Q2 = CONTINUATION THE CRITICAL DISCOVERY: 6AM IS THE CURVE SESSION Curve Probabilities by Session: When Q2 Breaks Q1 HIGH: 6AM: 60.6% curve (new low below Q1) | 38.5% continuation 2AM: 38.4% curve | 46.7% continuation (balanced) 10AM: 17.2% curve | 60.4% continuation ← STRONG continuation bias 6PM: 29.6% curve | 59.0% continuation 10PM: 27.5% curve | 55.1% continuation When Q2 Breaks Q1 LOW: 6AM: 64.4% curve (new high above Q1) | 35.0% continuation ← HIGHEST curve 2AM: 42.8% curve | 43.3% continuation (balanced) 10AM: 16.7% curve | 51.6% continuation ← STRONG continuation bias 6PM: 33.7% curve | 51.1% continuation 10PM: 33.1% curve | 48.6% continuation Key Insight: 6AM is THE ONLY SESSION with >60% curve probability in both directions. This makes it a uniquely exploitable mean reversion session. When Q2 breaks Q1 range during 6AM, expect the second half to curve back 60-64% of the time. 10AM shows the opposite: Strong continuation bias (60% when Q2 breaks high, 52% when Q2 breaks low). 10AM breakouts tend to follow through. HOW IT WORKS: THE QUARTER SYSTEM The Six 4-Hour Candles (EST): Each trading day (6pm-5pm) is divided into six 4-hour periods: 6PM (18:00-22:00) - Evening/Globex open | Blue box 10PM (22:00-02:00) - Asia session | Purple box 2AM (02:00-06:00) - Early London | Orange box 6AM (06:00-10:00) - Late London + NY Open | Green box ← THE CURVE SESSION 10AM (10:00-14:00) - NY Morning | Red box ← THE CONTINUATION SESSION 2PM (14:00-17:00) - NY Afternoon | Yellow box (3 hours only) The Four Quarters: Each 4-hour candle (except 2PM) is divided into four 1-hour quarters: Q1 (Hour 1, minutes 0-60): Establishes initial range Q2 (Hour 2, minutes 60-120): Tests Q1 range - breaks or holds? Q3 (Hour 3, minutes 120-180): Second half begins Q4 (Hour 4, minutes 180-240): Second half completes 2PM candle only has 3 hours (14:00-17:00), so quarters are adjusted accordingly. The Three-Step Analysis: STEP 1: Q1 Establishes Range The first hour sets the high and low for the session. This becomes the reference range. STEP 2: Q2 Break Detection The indicator monitors whether Q2 (hour 2) breaks above Q1 high or below Q1 low. STEP 3: Second Half Response Once Q2 breaks Q1 range, the indicator tracks what happens in Q3+Q4: Does price CURVE back to make new extreme on opposite side? Does price CONTINUE to make new extreme in same direction? Or does price stay within the established range? VISUAL ELEMENTS EXPLAINED 1. 4-Hour Candle Boxes Colored boxes display the high-to-low range of each 4H candle: Blue = 6PM (evening session start) Purple = 10PM (Asia session) Orange = 2AM (early London) Green = 6AM ← THE CURVE SESSION (watch for mean reversion) Red = 10AM ← THE CONTINUATION SESSION (trend follow-through) Yellow = 2PM (afternoon close, 3 hours only) 2. Quarter Separator Lines Vertical dotted lines mark the boundaries between quarters (1H, 2H, 3H marks). This helps you see: When Q1 ends (after 1 hour) When Q2 ends / second half begins (after 2 hours) When Q3 ends (after 3 hours) 3. Candle Name Labels At the 2-hour mark (Q2/Q3 boundary), a label shows: Candle name (e.g., "6am") Directional indicator: 🔼 = Q2 broke Q1 HIGH 🔽 = Q2 broke Q1 LOW ⚠️ = Q2 broke BOTH Q1 high and low (extended range) No symbol = Q2 stayed within Q1 range THE LIVE STATUS TABLE Located in your chosen corner (default: bottom-right), this table shows real-time analysis of the current 4H candle. Header Row: "LIVE: CANDLE" - Shows which 4H session you're currently in Quarter Row: "Quarter: Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 (Hour X)" - Shows which quarter you're currently forming STATUS Section: The status updates dynamically based on what has happened: During Q1-Q2 (First Half): "⏳ Q1 Building..." - First hour forming, range being established "⏳ Q2 Building..." - Second hour in progress, Q2 within Q1 range so far "🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH" - Q2 has broken above Q1 high "🔽 Q2 Broke Q1 LOW" - Q2 has broken below Q1 low "⚠️ Q2 Broke BOTH Q1 Extremes" - Q2 extended range in both directions During Q3-Q4 (Second Half): "✓ CURVE CONFIRMED" - Q2 broke one direction, second half reversed to opposite side "✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED" - Q2 broke one direction, second half extended further same direction "⏳ 2nd Half In Progress" - Q2 broke Q1, waiting to see if curve or continuation "📊 No Q2 Break Occurred" - Q2 stayed within Q1 range (no curve/continuation setup) EXPECTATION Section: Shows the probabilities based on the current state: When Q2 breaks Q1 high in 6AM: EXPECT 2nd half: CURVE (low < Q1): 60.6% CONT (high > Q2): 38.5% This tells you there's a 60.6% chance the second half will curve back to make a new low below Q1, versus 38.5% chance it continues higher above Q2. When curve/continuation is confirmed: Q2 broke high → 2nd half made new LOW below Q1 Curve: 60.6% Shows what actually happened and the historical probability. Color Coding: Purple background = Curve confirmed (mean reversion occurred) Green background = Continuation confirmed (upside extension) Red background = Continuation confirmed (downside extension) Blue background = Second half in progress, watching Yellow background = No Q2 break (no setup) Gray background = Still in first half, building THE CURVE REFERENCE TABLE Located in your chosen corner (default: bottom-left), this table provides a quick reference for all sessions. Table Structure: TOP SECTION: "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 HIGH" BOTTOM SECTION: "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 LOW" How to Read: "Curve" column = % of time second half makes new extreme on OPPOSITE side "Cont" column = % of time second half makes new extreme in SAME direction "Winner" column = Which behavior is more likely Purple highlight = Curve is the winner (higher %) Blue highlight = Continuation is the winner 🔥 symbol = Strong edge (>60%) Quick Reference Usage: You're in 10AM session, Q2 just broke Q1 high. Look at top section, 10AM row: Curve: 17.2% Cont: 60.4% Winner: CONT Interpretation: 10AM breakouts tend to follow through. Only 17% chance of curving back. Trade with the break, not against it. PRACTICAL TRADING EXAMPLES Example 1: Perfect 6AM Curve Setup Scenario: 6AM candle in progress 7:00 AM: Q1 ends, range is 18,000 - 18,050 7:30 AM: Price breaks above 18,050, reaches 18,075 (Q2 broke Q1 high) Live table shows: "🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH" Expectation: "CURVE (low < Q1): 60.6%" Trading Decision: Even though price broke to new highs, the 60.6% curve probability suggests looking for short opportunities expecting price to curve back below 18,000 in Q3-Q4. Typical Outcome: 8:15 AM (Q3): Price starts declining 9:15 AM (Q4): Price makes new low at 17,990 Result: ✓ CURVE CONFIRMED Example 2: 10AM Continuation Signal Scenario: 10AM candle in progress 11:00 AM: Q1 ends, range is 18,100 - 18,150 11:45 AM: Price breaks above 18,150, reaches 18,180 (Q2 broke Q1 high) Live table shows: "🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH" Expectation: "CONT (high > Q2): 60.4%" Trading Decision: With 60.4% continuation probability, breakout likely to follow through. Look for long opportunities expecting extension above 18,180 in Q3-Q4. Typical Outcome: 12:30 PM (Q3): Price continues higher to 18,200 1:15 PM (Q4): Price makes new high at 18,225 Result: ✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED Example 3: Using Reference Table During Live Trading You see Q2 breaking Q1 low during 2AM session: Quick reference check: 2AM row, "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 LOW" section Curve: 42.8% | Cont: 43.3% | Winner: Balanced Interpretation: This is a coin flip - 2AM session is balanced when Q2 breaks low. Don't force a directional bias. Wait for second half price action confirmation or skip the setup. Example 4: No Setup Scenario Scenario: 6AM candle, Q2 ends at 8:00 AM Q2 stayed within Q1 range (no break above or below) Live table shows: "📊 No Q2 Break Occurred" Trading Decision: No curve/continuation setup exists. This analysis only applies when Q2 breaks Q1 range. Monitor for different strategies or wait for next 4H candle. UNDERSTANDING THE UNDERLYING METHODOLOGY Data Foundation: Instrument: NQ Futures (E-mini NASDAQ-100) Timeframe: 1-minute bars for precise quarter tracking Period: January 2013 - December 2025 Sample: 3,136+ complete trading days Total 4H Candles Analyzed: ~18,800+ individual sessions Analysis Process: For each 4H candle in the dataset: Calculate Q1 high and low (first hour range) Track whether Q2 breaks Q1 high, Q1 low, both, or neither When Q2 breaks Q1 range, measure second half response: Did Q3+Q4 make new low below Q1? (curve when Q2 broke high) Did Q3+Q4 make new high above Q1? (curve when Q2 broke low) Did Q3+Q4 make new high above Q2? (continuation when Q2 broke high) Did Q3+Q4 make new low below Q2? (continuation when Q2 broke low) Calculate percentages for each session Why NQ-Specific? Different futures contracts exhibit different intraday personality: NQ (NASDAQ): Tech-heavy, volatility-prone 6AM shows extreme curve behavior (60-64%) due to NY Open reversal tendency 10AM shows strong continuation (60%) as trends establish ES (S&P 500) would show different probabilities because: Lower volatility than NQ Different institutional participation patterns Different response to macro events The indicator's probabilities are calibrated specifically to NQ behavior patterns. Using it on ES, RTY, or other instruments will produce misleading signals. ORIGINALITY & INNOVATION What Makes This Indicator Unique: Quarter-Based Curve Analysis: Unlike traditional indicators that only identify breakouts, this tracks what happens after the breakout. The curve vs continuation framework is novel and provides directional edge. Session-Specific Behavior: Recognizes that 6AM behaves fundamentally differently than 10AM. Most indicators apply the same logic across all sessions. This indicator provides session-specific probabilities. Statistical Validation: Every probability shown is backed by 10+ years of data (2,900+ candles per session). Not based on theory or discretionary observation. Real-Time Quarter Tracking: Precisely identifies which quarter you're in and what stage of the pattern is forming. Provides forward-looking probabilities based on current state. The 6AM Discovery: The 60-64% curve probability in 6AM is a quantified, repeatable edge that contradicts traditional "breakout = continuation" assumptions. This session exhibits mean reversion characteristics that most traders miss. Dual-Direction Analysis: Tracks both upside breaks (Q2 > Q1 high) and downside breaks (Q2 < Q1 low) separately, as they can have different probabilities. Visual Quarter System: The combination of colored boxes, quarter separators, and real-time labels provides instant visual understanding of pattern stage and expected behavior. HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR Step 1: Identify Current 4H Candle Check which colored box you're in and what session it represents. Step 2: Wait for Q2 to Complete The setup doesn't exist until Q2 (hour 2) breaks Q1 range. Monitor the live table. Step 3: Check Q2 Break Status Did Q2 break Q1 high? Q1 low? Both? Or neither? Step 4: Consult Reference Table Look up current session in curve reference table. What's the probability? Step 5: Apply Session-Specific Strategy For 6AM (60-64% curve): Q2 breaks high → Expect curve back for new low Q2 breaks low → Expect curve back for new high Strategy: FADE the Q2 break, look for reversal entries in Q3-Q4 For 10AM (52-60% continuation): Q2 breaks high → Expect continuation higher Q2 breaks low → Expect continuation lower Strategy: TRADE WITH the Q2 break, look for continuation entries in Q3-Q4 For 2AM (38-43% curve, 43-47% continuation): Balanced probabilities Strategy: Wait for Q3 price action to confirm direction, or skip For 6PM/10PM (50-59% continuation): Moderate continuation bias Strategy: Lean with the break but use tight stops Step 6: Monitor Live Status Watch the live table for confirmation: "✓ CURVE CONFIRMED" = Mean reversion occurred "✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED" = Follow-through occurred "⏳ 2nd Half In Progress" = Still developing BEST PRACTICES Focus on 6AM for curve trades - This is THE high-probability mean reversion session Focus on 10AM for continuation trades - This is THE high-probability breakout session Be cautious with 2AM - Balanced probabilities mean lower edge Use quarter separators - Enter trades early in Q3 after Q2 break, don't wait for Q4 Combine with price action - Don't blindly fade 6AM or follow 10AM; wait for confirming price structure Respect the 60% rule - 6AM curve happens 60% of time, which means 40% it doesn't. Manage risk accordingly Watch for "No Q2 Break" - If Q2 doesn't break Q1, this analysis doesn't apply Consider overnight context - If 6AM opens with huge gap, curve probability may be affected SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION Display Settings: Show 4H Candle Boxes - Toggle colored range boxes Box Colors - Customize color for each session Show Quarter Separators - Show/hide 1H, 2H, 3H lines Show Candle Name Labels - Show/hide session labels at 2H mark Separator Line Style - Solid/Dashed/Dotted Max Historical Candles - How many past 4H candles to display (1-50) Table Settings: Show Live Status Table - Toggle real-time analysis table Show Curve Reference Table - Toggle probability reference table Table Positions - Place tables in any corner Table Text Size - Tiny/Small/Normal LIMITATIONS & DISCLAIMERS NQ FUTURES ONLY - All probabilities are NQ-specific, do not use on other instruments Requires Q2 break - No curve/continuation setup exists if Q2 stays within Q1 range Probabilities, not certainties - 60% means it happens 6 out of 10 times, not every time Lower timeframe noise - 1-minute tracking can be choppy, consider using 5min+ for entries Gap days - Large overnight gaps may affect curve/continuation probabilities Not standalone - Use as confluence with your strategy, not as sole decision factor Historical performance - Past statistics don't guarantee future results WHY THE CURVE CONCEPT MATTERS Traditional trading wisdom says: "Breakout = Continuation" This indicator proves that's not always true. Specifically, during the 6AM session (late London + NY Open), when Q2 breaks the Q1 range, price curves back to the opposite extreme 60-64% of the time. This creates a unique exploitable edge: Most breakout traders go LONG when Q2 breaks Q1 high But in 6AM, 60.6% of the time, price curves back down for new low Shorting the breakout (counter-intuitive) is the higher-probability trade The 10AM session shows the opposite: Breakouts in 10AM tend to follow through (52-60%) Traditional "trade the breakout" strategy works better here By knowing which session you're in, you can adapt your strategy to match the session's personality. FINAL NOTES This indicator distills 10+ years of NQ intraday behavior into actionable, session-specific probabilities. The discovery that 6AM exhibits 60-64% curve behavior while 10AM exhibits 52-60% continuation behavior provides a statistical edge for mean reversion and trend-following traders respectively. The highest-probability setups: 6AM Q2 break → FADE (60-64% edge for curve) 10AM Q2 break → FOLLOW (52-60% edge for continuation) 2AM = SKIP (balanced probabilities, no clear edge) Master the 6AM curve and 10AM continuation first. These two sessions provide the clearest statistical edges. Remember: Trade with proper risk management. This tool provides probabilities based on historical behavior, not predictions of future performance.
Pine Script® インジケーター
lucymatosの投稿
1