[SHORT ONLY] Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Mean Reversion Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Internal Bar Strength (IBS) Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify trading opportunities based on the closing price's position within the daily price range. It enters a short position when the IBS indicates overbought conditions and exits when the IBS reaches oversold levels. This strategy is Short-Only and was designed to be used on the Daily timeframe for Stocks and ETFs.
█ WHAT IS INTERNAL BAR STRENGTH (IBS)?
Internal Bar Strength (IBS) measures where the closing price falls within the high-low range of a bar. It is calculated as:
IBS = (Close - Low) / (High - Low)
- Low IBS (≤ 0.2) : Indicates the close is near the bar's low, suggesting oversold conditions.
- High IBS (≥ 0.8) : Indicates the close is near the bar's high, suggesting overbought conditions.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A Short Signal is triggered when:
The IBS value rises to or above the Upper Threshold (default: 0.9).
The Closing price is greater than the previous bars High (close>high ).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
An exit Signal is generated when the IBS value drops to or below the Lower Threshold (default: 0.3). This prompts the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Upper Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy enters trades. Default is 0.9.
Lower Threshold: The IBS level at which the strategy exits short positions. Default is 0.3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for Stocks and ETFs markets and performs best when prices frequently revert to the mean.
The strategy can be optimized further using additional conditions such as using volume or volatility filters.
It is sensitive to extreme IBS values, which help identify potential reversals.
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the Upper/Lower Thresholds for specific instruments and market conditions.
TLT
SPY/TLT Strategy█ STRATEGY OVERVIEW
The "SPY/TLT Strategy" is a trend-following crossover strategy designed to trade the relationship between TLT and its Simple Moving Average (SMA). The default configuration uses TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) with a 20-period SMA, entering long positions on bullish crossovers and exiting on bearish crossunders. **This strategy is NOT optimized and performs best in trending markets.**
█ KEY FEATURES
SMA Crossover System: Uses price/SMA relationship for signal generation (Default: 20-period)
Dynamic Time Window: Configurable backtesting period (Default: 2014-2099)
Equity-Based Position Sizing: Default 100% equity allocation per trade
Real-Time Visual Feedback: Price/SMA plot with trend-state background coloring
Event-Driven Execution: Processes orders at bar close for accurate backtesting
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY CONDITION
TLT closing price crosses ABOVE SMA
Occurs within specified time window
Generates market order at next bar open
2. EXIT CONDITION
TLT closing price crosses BELOW SMA
Closes all open positions immediately
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
SMA Period: Simple Moving Average length (Default: 20)
Start Time and End Time: The time window for trade execution (Default: 1 Jan 2014 - 1 Jan 2099)
Security Symbol: Ticker for analysis (Default: TLT)
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
Ideal Market Conditions: Strong trending environments
Potential Drawbacks: Whipsaws in range-bound markets
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the MA Period and EMA Filter settings for specific instruments
Options Betting Range - Extended# Options Betting Range - Extended
**Options Betting Range - Extended** is a versatile TradingView indicator designed to assist traders in identifying and visualizing optimal options trading ranges for multiple symbols. By leveraging predefined prediction and execution dates along with specific high and low price points, this indicator dynamically draws trendlines to highlight potential options betting zones, enhancing your trading strategy and decision-making process.
## **Key Features**
- **Multi-Symbol Support:** Automatically adapts to popular symbols such as SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, TLT, and GOOG, providing tailored options betting ranges for each.
- **Dynamic Trendlines:** Draws both dashed and solid trendlines based on user-defined prediction and execution dates, clearly marking high and low price boundaries.
- **Customizable Parameters:** Easily configure prediction and execution dates, high and low prices, and timezones to suit your specific trading requirements.
- **Single Execution:** Ensures that each trendline is drawn only once per specified prediction date, preventing clutter and maintaining chart clarity.
- **Clear Visual Indicators:** Utilizes color-coded labels to denote high (green) and low (red) price points, making it easy to identify critical trading levels at a glance.
## **How It Works**
1. **Initialization:**
- Upon adding the indicator to your chart, it initializes with predefined symbols and their corresponding high and low price points for two trendlines each.
2. **Configuration:**
- **Trendline 1:**
- **Prediction Date:** Set the year, month, and day when the trendline should be predicted.
- **Execution Date:** Define the year, month, and day when the trendline will be executed.
- **Timezone:** Choose the appropriate timezone to ensure accurate date matching.
- **Trendline 2:**
- Similarly, configure the prediction and execution dates along with the timezone.
3. **Trendline Drawing:**
- On reaching the specified prediction date, the indicator draws dashed trendlines representing the high and low price ranges.
- Solid trendlines are then drawn to solidify the high and low price boundaries.
- Labels are added to clearly mark the high and low price points on the chart.
4. **Visualization:**
- The trendlines and labels provide a visual framework for potential options trading ranges, allowing traders to make informed decisions based on these predefined levels.
## **How to Use**
1. **Add the Indicator:**
- Open your TradingView chart and apply the **Options Betting Range - Extended** indicator.
2. **Select a Symbol:**
- Ensure that the chart is set to one of the supported symbols (e.g., SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, TLT, GOOG) to activate the corresponding trendline configurations.
3. **Configure Trendline Parameters:**
- Access the indicator settings to input your desired prediction and execution dates, high and low prices, and select the appropriate timezone for each trendline.
4. **Monitor Trendlines:**
- As the chart progresses to the specified prediction dates, observe the dynamically drawn trendlines and labels indicating the options betting ranges.
5. **Make Informed Trades:**
- Utilize the visual cues provided by the trendlines to identify optimal entry and exit points for your options trading strategies.
## **Benefits**
- **Enhanced Strategy Visualization:** Clearly outlines potential trading ranges, aiding in the formulation and execution of precise options strategies.
- **Time-Saving Automation:** Automatically draws trendlines based on your configurations, reducing the need for manual chart analysis.
- **Improved Decision-Making:** Provides objective price levels for trading, minimizing emotional bias and enhancing analytical precision.
## **Important Considerations**
- **Timezone Accuracy:** Ensure that the timezones selected in the indicator settings align with your chart's timezone to maintain accurate date matching.
- **Chart Timeframe:** The prediction dates should correspond to the timeframe of your chart (e.g., daily, hourly) to ensure that trendlines are triggered correctly.
- **Visible Price Range:** Verify that the high and low prices set for trendlines are within the visible range of your chart to ensure that all trendlines and labels are clearly visible.
## **Conclusion**
**Options Betting Range - Extended** is a powerful tool for traders seeking to automate and visualize their options trading ranges across multiple symbols. By providing clear, customizable trendlines based on specific prediction and execution dates, this indicator enhances your ability to identify and act upon strategic trading opportunities with confidence.
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MOVE/VXTLT CorrelationMany know of the VIX for equity trading. Yet, many are unaware that there is the same kind of volatility measure for trading bonds, called the MOVE Index.
"The Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate (MOVE) Index is a yield curve weighted index of the normalized implied volatility on 1-month Treasury options which are weighted on the 2, 5, 10, and 30 year contracts."
With this script one can see the the correlation and divergences between bonds and its volatility measure to make educated decisions in trading or hedging.
The idea of this script comes from NicTheMajestic.
