VixTrixVixTrix - Because markets move in both directions.
VixTrix was born from a fundamental limitation in traditional volatility indicators: they only measure downside panic, completely missing the greed-driven extremes that form market tops.
How It Works:
Dual-Component Analysis:
vixBear = Panic selling intensity (distance from recent highs)
vixBull = FOMO buying intensity (distance from recent lows)
Oscillator = vixBear - vixBull = Net fear/greed imbalance
When the oscillator is positive, fear dominates (potential bottom forming). When negative, greed dominates (potential top forming).
Professional-Grade Filtering:
The magic happens with the symmetric RMS (Root Mean Square) bands. Unlike fixed percentage bands or standard deviation, RMS:
Creates mathematically symmetric positive/negative thresholds
Naturally adapts to changing volatility regimes
Provides statistical significance to extremes
VixTrix also adds selectable MA smoothing for the RMS calculation:
WMA (default): Balanced – middle-ground approach
VWMA: Volume-weighted – filters low-volume noise
EMA: Responsive – catches quick reversals
SMA: Stable – for swing trading
HMA: Fast and smooth – ideal for day trading
Signals require triple confirmation:
Statistical Extreme: Oscillator beyond RMS band
Price Action Confirmation: Correct candle color (bullish for bottoms, bearish for tops)
Momentum Continuation: Oscillator still moving toward extreme (exhaustion)
This multi-filter approach reduces premature entries and false signals while maintaining early positioning at potential reversal points.
Why This Matters for Your Trading:
In bull markets, traditional fear indicators sit near zero, giving no warning of impending tops.
VixTrix identifies when greed becomes excessive – when FOMO buying reaches statistical extremes that often precede corrections.
In range-bound markets, VixTrix excels at identifying overreactions in both directions, providing high-probability mean reversion opportunities.
During crashes, it captures the panic selling with the same precision as VixFix, but with better timing through its momentum confirmation.
VixTrix spots continuations through:
"No Signal" = Healthy Trend – Oscillator stays between RMS bands (no exhaustion)
Failed Extremes – Touches band but no triple confirmation = trend likely continues
Hidden Divergence – Price makes higher low while oscillator makes shallower low = uptrend continues
Controlled Emotions – Oscillator negative but not extreme in uptrends (greed present but not excessive)
Key Insight: When VixTrix doesn't give a signal during a pullback, institutions aren't panicking – they're just pausing before resuming the trend.
Green columns = Bullish exhaustion (potential bottoms)
Red columns = Bearish exhaustion (potential tops)
Golden RMS bands = Dynamic thresholds adapting to current volatility
Background highlights = Active signal conditions
The Result: A professional-grade oscillator that works in all market conditions – trending up, trending down, or ranging – by measuring the complete emotional spectrum driving price action.
VIX CBOE Volatility Index
Volume Crisis Created by Alphaomega18
🎯 What is the Crisis Detector Pro?
The Crisis Detector Pro is an advanced multi-component indicator that detects market crisis situations by simultaneously analyzing:
Volume: Anomalies and volume spikes
VIX: Volatility Index (S&P 500)
ATR: True volatility (all assets)
Open Interest: Estimated open interest (futures contracts)
The indicator calculates a Composite Crisis Score (0-100) that combines these elements to alert you to critical market moments.
📊 Indicator Components
1️⃣ Volume Analysis
Anomaly detection: Compares current volume to its moving average
Classification:
🟡 Moderate: 1.5x - 2x average
🟠 High: 2x - 3x average
🔴 Extreme: > 3x average
Bollinger Bands: Detects volume breakouts
Clusters: Identifies 3+ consecutive days of anomalies
2️⃣ VIX (Fear Index)
S&P 500 only
Default thresholds:
🟡 Moderate: VIX > 20
🟠 High: VIX > 30
🔴 Extreme: VIX > 40
3️⃣ ATR (Average True Range)
Measures true volatility
Compatible with all assets (stocks, futures, forex, crypto)
Compares current ATR to its average
4️⃣ Open Interest (OI)
Estimation based on Volume / 2
Detects changes > 25%
Inverted colors:
🔴 Red: OI increase (new positions)
🟢 Green: OI decrease (position closing)
⚙️ Main Parameters
Calculations:
Moving Average Period: 20 (default)
Standard Deviation Period: 20
ATR Period: 14
Volume Thresholds:
Moderate: 1.5x
High: 2.0x
Extreme: 3.0x
Composite Score (Weights):
Volume: 35%
VIX: 25%
ATR: 20%
Open Interest: 20%
📈 Visual Signals
Top of Chart:
🟡 Yellow triangle: Moderate alert (Score 50-70)
🟠 Orange triangle: High alert (Score 70-85)
🔴 Red triangle: EXTREME CRISIS (Score 85-100)
⚠️ Purple cross: Reinforced signal (Volume + Volatility simultaneous)
Bottom of Chart:
💎 Purple diamond: 50-day volume record
⬛ Fuchsia square: Cluster (3+ abnormal days)
Volume Bars:
Gray: Normal volume
🟡 Yellow: Moderate volume
🟠 Orange: High volume
🔴 Red: Extreme volume
Open Interest Curve:
🔵 Blue: Normal variation
🔴 Red: Increase > 25%
🟢 Green: Decrease > 25%
🎯 How to Use the Indicator
1. Initial Setup
For S&P 500 / US Indices:
Enable VIX ✅
Enable ATR ✅
Enable OI ✅
Composite Score ✅
For Other Assets (Forex, Crypto, Stocks):
Disable VIX ❌
Enable ATR ✅
Enable OI (optional)
Composite Score ✅
2. Crisis Score Interpretation
ScoreLevelMeaningAction0-50Normal ✅Calm marketNormal trading50-70Vigilance 🟡Volatility risingIncreased monitoring70-85Danger 🟠Critical situationReduce exposure85-100Crisis 🔴MAXIMUM ALERTCapital protection
3. Trading Strategies
Directional Trading:
Reinforced signal ⚠️ = Powerful move in progress
Enter in direction of movement with confirmation
Tight stops, quick targets
Risk Management:
Score > 70 → Reduce position size by 50%
Score > 85 → Stop trading or ultra-short positions
Cluster detected → Avoid new trades
Scalping/Day Trading:
Extreme volume 🔴 = Scalping opportunities
Wait for confirmation before entering
Exit quickly on spikes
Swing Trading:
Avoid opening swings during crises
Protect existing positions (trailing stops)
Wait for return to normal (Score < 50)
4. Open Interest (Futures):
OI Increase (🔴 Red):
New positions opened
Strong market conviction
Movement may intensify
OI Decrease (🟢 Green):
Position closing
Profit-taking or stop losses
Possible reversal
🔔 Configurable Alerts
The indicator includes 8 types of alerts:
🟡 Moderate Crisis Alert: Score 50-70
🟠 HIGH Crisis ALERT: Score 70-85
🔴 MAJOR CRISIS: Score 85-100
⚠️ REINFORCED SIGNAL: Extreme Volume + Volatility simultaneous
💎 RECORD Volume: Highest volume over 50 days
📊 Cluster DETECTED: 3+ consecutive abnormal days
📈 OI SPIKE >25%: Sharp Open Interest increase
📉 OI DECLINE >25%: Sharp Open Interest decrease
Setup: Right-click on chart → "Add Alert" → Select alert
💡 Optimization Tips
Scalping (1-5min):
MA Period: 10-15
Moderate Threshold: 1.3x
High Threshold: 1.8x
Volume Weight: 50%
Day Trading (15min-1H):
MA Period: 20 (default)
Thresholds: Default
Composite Score: Enabled
Swing Trading (4H-Daily):
MA Period: 30-50
StdDev Multiplier: 2.5
ATR Period: 20
Volatile Markets (Crypto):
Moderate Threshold: 1.8x
High Threshold: 2.5x
Extreme Threshold: 4.0x
ATR Weight: 30%
📊 Statistics Table
The real-time table displays:
Crisis Score: 0-100 with color coding
Current volume: Value and ratio
Volume Score: Contribution to total score
Open Interest: Estimated value and % change
VIX: Current value (if enabled)
ATR: Ratio to average
Global STATUS: Normal ✅ / Vigilance 🟡 / Danger 🟠 / Crisis 🔴
⚠️ Warnings and Limitations
❌ Limitations:
Open Interest is estimated (Volume / 2), not real value
VIX only works for S&P 500
False signals possible in very volatile markets
✅ Best Practices:
Always combine with classic technical analysis
Never trade solely on alerts
Adapt thresholds to your asset and timeframe
Backtest before using live
Respect your risk management plan
🎓 Real Use Cases
Example 1: Flash Crash
Extreme volume 🔴 + Extreme ATR 🔴 + Reinforced signal ⚠️
Composite score > 90
Action: No new trades, protect existing positions
Example 2: Fed Announcement
VIX > 35 + Moderate volume 🟡 + OI rising 🔴
Composite score: 65
Action: Reduce position size, widen stops
Example 3: Volatility Squeeze
Cluster detected + Volume record 💎 + OI declining 🟢
Action: Scalping opportunity in breakout direction
📈 Performance
Real-time detection (0 lag)
Compatible all markets and timeframes
Low resource consumption
Complete history preserved
IV vs Realised Volatility (VIX/HV Comparator)VIX / HV Comparator – Implied vs Realised Volatility
This indicator compares Implied Volatility (IV) from a volatility index (VIX, India VIX, etc.) with the Realised / Historical Volatility (HV) of the current chart symbol.
It helps you see whether options are pricing volatility as rich or cheap relative to what the underlying is actually doing.
What it does
Pulls IV from any user-selected vol index symbol (e.g. CBOE:VIX for SPX, NSEINDIA:INDIAVIX for Nifty).
Calculates realised volatility from the chart’s price data using returns over a user-defined lookback.
Annualises HV so IV and HV are displayed on the same percentage scale, on any timeframe (intraday or higher).
Optionally shows an IV/HV ratio in a separate pane to highlight when options are rich or cheap relative to realised volatility.
How to read it
Main panel:
Orange line – Implied Volatility (IV) from your chosen vol index.
Aqua line – Realised / Historical Volatility (HV) of the current chart symbol.
Fill between lines:
Green shading -> IV > HV -> options are priced richer than what the underlying is currently realising.
Red shading -> HV > IV -> realised vol is higher than the options market is implying.
Sub-panel (optional):
IV / HV ratio
- Above 1 -> IV > HV (vol rich).
- Below 1 -> IV < HV (vol cheap).
- Horizontal guides (for example 1.2 / 0.8) help frame “significantly rich/cheap” zones.
A small label on the latest bar displays the current IV, HV and their difference in vol points.
Inputs (key ones)
IV Index Symbol – choose the volatility index that corresponds to your underlying (VIX, India VIX, etc.).
Realised Vol Lookback – number of bars used to compute HV (for example 20).
Trading Days per Year and Active Hours per Day – used for annualising HV so it stays consistent across timeframes.
IV Scale Factor – adjust if your IV index is quoted in decimals (0.15) instead of points (15).
Practical uses
Context for options trades – Quickly see if current IV is high or low relative to realised volatility when deciding on strategies (premium selling vs buying, spreads, hedges).
Vol regime analysis – Track shifts where HV starts to rise above IV (real stress building) or IV spikes far above HV (fear premium / insurance bid).
Cross-timeframe checks – Use on intraday charts for short-term trading context, or on daily/weekly charts for bigger picture vol regimes.
This tool is not a stand-alone signal generator. It is meant to be a volatility dashboard you combine with your usual price action, trend, and options strategy rules to understand how the options market is pricing risk vs what the underlying is actually delivering.
VIX Termstructure Indicator (Overlay)This indicator visualizes the VIX futures term structure directly on your chart background and highlights three key volatility regimes using color coding. It helps identify when the volatility curve is in normal contango, inverted (backwardation), or undergoing a curve flip between the front-month VIX futures.
What the indicator does
The script pulls and compares:
VIX spot index: VIX
Front-month VIX futures: VX1!
Second-month VIX futures: VX2!
All data is requested on the daily timeframe and used to classify the current volatility environment. The indicator then colors the background of your chart according to the detected VIX term structure:
Green background – Contango:
VIX spot is below the front-month futures (VIX < VX1!).
This is typically associated with more “normal” market conditions and lower perceived short-term stress.
Red background – Inverted curve (Backwardation):
VIX spot is above the front-month futures (VIX > VX1!).
This often signals elevated fear, stress, or risk-off conditions in the market.
Yellow background – Curve flip between VX1! and VX2!:
The front-month futures are trading above the second-month futures (VX1! > VX2!).
This can indicate a transition phase in the volatility term structure and may precede or accompany shifts in market sentiment.
How it works
The script fetches the daily close values of VIX, VX1!, and VX2!. It checks whether the front-month futures are above the second-month futures to detect a curve flip. It compares VIX with VX1! to determine if the curve is contango or inverted. Based on these conditions, the chart background is colored with a semi-transparent overlay:
Red has priority when VIX is above VX1! (inverted curve).
If not inverted, yellow is shown when a curve flip VX1! > VX2! is detected.
Otherwise, the background is green (normal contango).
Use cases
This overlay is designed as a context tool for indices, ETFs, Options, or individual stocks that are sensitive to volatility and risk sentiment. Typical applications include:
Identifying periods of heightened risk (red / inverted curve) to adjust position sizing or risk exposure.
Confirming risk-on environments (green / contango) where volatility is more contained.
Monitoring yellow curve-flip phases as potential early warnings of changing volatility regimes.
The indicator does not generate buy/sell signals on its own, but it can be a valuable regime filter or confirmation layer alongside other technical tools.
Notes
This is an overlay indicator: it colors the background of your active chart.
All VIX-related data is evaluated on the daily timeframe, regardless of the chart timeframe.
Make sure that the symbols VIX, VX1!, and VX2! are available on your broker/data feed in TradingView.
VIX vs VIX1Y SpreadSpread Calculation: Shows VIX1Y minus VIX
Positive = longer-term vol higher (normal contango)
Negative = near-term vol elevated (inverted term structure)
Can help identify longer term risk pricing of equity assets.
Macro Risk Trinity [OAS|VIX|MOVE]The Obsolescence of Single-Metric Risk Models
For decades, the CBOE VIX served as the undisputed "fear gauge" of Wall Street. However, the modern financial market structure has evolved to a point where relying on a single univariate indicator is not only insufficient but potentially dangerous. Two structural shifts have fundamentally altered the predictive power of the VIX:
The 0DTE Blind Spot: The VIX calculates implied volatility based on options expiring in 23 to 37 days. Today, massive institutional hedging flows occur intraday via 0DTE (Zero Days to Expiration) options. This creates a "Gamma Suppression" effect: Market makers hedging these short-term flows often dampen realized volatility intraday, effectively bypassing the VIX calculation window. This leads to a suppression of the index, masking risk even during fragile market phases (Bandi et al., 2023).
Goodhart’s Law: "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." Because algorithmic volatility targeting strategies and risk-parity funds use the VIX as a mechanical trigger to deleverage, market participants have developed an incentive to suppress implied volatility via short-volatility strategies to prevent triggering cascading margin calls.
The Theoretical Framework: Why this Model Works
To accurately navigate this complex environment, the Macro Risk Trinity moves beyond simple price action. It employs a multivariate analysis of the financial system's three core pillars: Rates, Credit, and Equity. The logic is derived from three specific areas of financial research:
1. The Origin of Shock: Volatility Spillover Theory
Macroeconomic shocks typically do not start in the stock market; they originate in the US Treasury market. The MOVE Index acts as the "VIX for Bonds." Research by Choi et al. (2022) demonstrates that bond variance risk premiums are a leading indicator for equity distress. Since the "Risk-Free Rate" is the denominator in every Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, instability here forces a repricing of all risk assets downstream.
2. The Foundation: Structural Credit Models (Merton)
While stock prices are often driven by sentiment and liquidity, corporate bond spreads ( High Yield Option Adjusted Spread ) are driven by balance sheets and math. Based on the seminal Merton Model (1974), equity can be viewed as a call option on a firm's assets, while debt carries a short put option risk.
The Thesis: If the VIX (Equity) is low, but OAS (Credit) is widening, a divergence occurs. Mathematically, credit spreads cannot widen indefinitely without eventually pulling equity valuations down. This indicator identifies that specific divergence.
3. The Fragility: Knightian Uncertainty
By monitoring the VVIX (Volatility of Volatility), we detect demand for tail-risk protection. When the VIX is suppressed (low) but VVIX is rising, it signals that "Smart Money" is buying Out-of-the-Money crash protection despite calm waters. This is often a precursor to liquidity events where the VIX "uncoils" violently.
The Solution: Dual Z-Score Normalization
You cannot simply overlay the VIX (an index) with a Credit Spread (a percentage). To make them comparable, this script utilizes a Dual Z-Score Engine.
It calculates the statistical deviation from both a Fast (Quarterly/63-day) and a Slow (Yearly/252-day) mean. This standardizes all data into a single "Stress Unit," allowing us to see exactly when Credit Stress exceeds Equity Fear.
Decoding the Macro Regimes
The indicator aggregates these data streams to visualize the current market regime via the chart's background color:
Systemic Shock (Red Background): The critical convergence. Both Credit Spreads (Solvency) and Equity Volatility (Fear) spike simultaneously beyond extreme statistical thresholds (> 2.0 Sigma). Correlations approach 1, and liquidity evaporates.
Macro Risk / Rates Shock (Yellow Background): Equities are calm, but the MOVE Index is panicking. A warning signal from the plumbing of the financial system regarding inflation or Fed policy errors.
Credit Stress (Maroon Background): The "Silent Killer." The VIX is low (often suppressed), but Credit Spreads (OAS) are widening. This signals a deterioration of the real economy ("Slow Bleed") while the stock market is in denial.
Structural Fragility (Purple Background): VIX is low, but VVIX is rising. A sign of excessive leverage and "Volmageddon" risk (Gamma Squeeze).
Bull Cycle (Green Background): The "Buy the Dip" signal. Even if prices fall and VIX spikes, the background remains green as long as Corporate Credit (OAS) remains stable. This indicates the sell-off is technical, not fundamental.
Technical Specifications
Engineered for the Daily (1D) timeframe.
Institutional Lookbacks: 63 Days (Quarterly) / 252 Days (Yearly).
OAS Lag Buffer: Includes logic to handle the ~24h reporting delay of Federal Reserve (FRED) data to prevent signal flickering.
Scientific Bibliography
This tool is not based on heuristics but on peer-reviewed financial literature:
Bandi, F. M., et al. (2023). The spectral properties of 0DTE options and their impact on VIX. Journal of Econometrics.
Choi, J., Mueller, P., & Vedolin, A. (2022). Bond Variance Risk Premiums. Review of Finance.
Cremers, M., et al. (2008). Explaining the Level and Time-Variation of Credit Spreads. Review of Financial Studies.
Griffin, J. M., & Shams, A. (2018). Manipulation in the VIX? The Review of Financial Studies.
Merton, R. C. (1974). On the Pricing of Corporate Debt. The Journal of Finance.
Author's Note: The Reality of Markets & Overfitting
While this tool is built on robust academic principles, we must address the reality of quantitative modeling: There is no Holy Grail.
This indicator relies on Z-Scores, which assume that future volatility distributions will somewhat resemble the past (Mean Reversion). In data science, calibrating lookback periods (like 63/252 days) always carries a risk of Overfitting to past cycles.
Markets are adaptive systems. If the correlation between Credit Spreads and Equity Volatility breaks (e.g., due to massive fiscal intervention/QE or new derivative products), signals may temporarily diverge. This tool is designed to identify stress, not to predict the future price. It will rhyme with the market, but it will not always repeat it perfectly.
Use it as a compass to gauge the environment, not as an autopilot for your trading.
Use responsibly and always manage your risk.
Disclaimer: This indicator relies on external data feeds from FRED and CBOE. Data availability is subject to TradingView providers.
Contango/Backwardation Monitor
This is an indicator to display the spread difference between two products. I designed it around VX1! and VX2! but any other two products can be chosen. It is a simple subtraction of VX2-VX1. I will go through the options first and what they do followed by what contango/backwardation is in my own words. You will need the data package for VX futures for the default version to work.
INPUTS
-Apply Smoothing: choose to apply smoothing or not.
-Smoothing Method: choose between SMA,EMA,WMA, etc.
-Line Width: Width of line if line is chosen style(can be changed in style section)
-Threshold 1-5: This is the level at which the line will change colors(defaults are for VX)
-Color 1-5: The color the line will change to when crossing threshold.
Towards Backwardation: Background color change when line is slanted down
Towards Contango: Background color change when line is slanted up
Bars to Confirm Trend: This is my method to cut down on background color changes. It is how many bars consecutive going back needed to change color.
STYLE
-All colors and whatnot can be changed here(threshold colors can be changed here or on the input page).
T1 Line-T5 line: These are simple horizontal lines that can be used to denote threshold areas or whatever you want.
Contango/Backwardation-These terms are used mostly with futures to define the calendar spread between two contracts. Contango is when that spread is is getting longer and backwardation is when that spread is closing. In terms of VIX futures, Contango would imply that volatility is stabilizing and the S and P will likely gain. Backwardation, woudl eb the opposite.
The most simple way to read this indicator with default settings- If the line is up, red, and the background is red, then you can assume S and P prices are going down. And if the opposite is true, then prices are likely going up.
Please feel free to ask any questions and I will do my best to answer them.
Buy The F*cking Dip [DotGain]How to Interpret the "Buy The F*cking Dip" (BTFD) Indicator
Main Purpose and Timeframe
The BTFD indicator is a confluence indicator designed to identify rare moments of extreme capitulation and panic in the market. As the name suggests, its primary focus is identifying significant buying opportunities ("Dips") on high timeframes.
Recommended Timeframes: Minimum Daily chart, ideally Weekly chart.
Primary Signal: The green "Buy" triangle is the default signal to watch for.
The Buy Signal (Green Triangle)
A green "Buy" triangle appears only when all three of the following conditions are met simultaneously. It signals not just a minor pullback, but a potentially macro-level oversold condition.
High Panic (CM Williams Vix Fix): The market is in a state of heightened volatility or "fear." This indicates that sellers are acting out of panic.
Structurally Oversold (Deviation from MA): The price has deviated extremely far (default: >10%) below its long-term moving average (default: 200-period EMA). This signals that the price is "cheap" in the big picture.
Short-Term Overextended (TRMAD): The price has fallen extremely hard and fast relative to its recent volatility (ATR) (default: < -3.0). This signals "maximum pain" on a short-term level.
In summary, a green triangle means: The market is panicky, structurally undervalued, and extremely oversold short-term. These are often the moments when long-term bottoms are formed.
The Sell Signal (Red Triangle)
The indicator can also identify the exact opposite: moments of extreme euphoria or "blow-off tops."
Disabled by Default: The red "Sell" triangle is disabled by default in the settings (display=display.none), as the indicator's focus is on buying.
Meaning (if enabled): It signals that the market (1) has high volatility, (2) is structurally overbought (far above its 200 MA), and (3) is extremely overextended (euphoric) on a short-term basis.
Visual Adjustments (In the "Style" Tab)
By default, only the green "Buy" triangle is active. You can, however, enable other visuals in the indicator's "Style" settings tab:
Buy (Green Triangle): On by default.
Sell (Red Triangle): Off by default.
Signal Bar Color: Colors the candle green/red. Off by default.
Signal Background: Shows a transparent green/red background. Off by default.
Have fun :)
Disclaimer
This "Buy The F*cking Dip" (BTFD) indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not, and should not be construed as, financial, investment, or trading advice.
The signals generated by this tool (both "Buy" and "Sell") are the result of a specific set of algorithmic conditions. They are not a direct recommendation to buy or sell any asset. All trading and investing in financial markets involves substantial risk of loss. You can lose all of your invested capital.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The signals generated may produce false or losing trades. The creator (© DotGain) assumes no liability for any financial losses or damages you may incur as a result of using this indicator.
You are solely responsible for your own trading and investment decisions. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consider your personal risk tolerance before making any trades.
VIX Term Structure Tracker [VX1!/VX2!]1. Data Preparation
The script starts by fetching four key data series on a daily ("D") timeframe:
VIX (CBOE:VIX): The spot VIX index, a real-time measure of market expectations of future volatility.
VX1! (CBOE:VX1!): The price of the front-month (nearest to expiration) VIX futures contract.
VX2! (CBOE:VX2!): The price of the next-month VIX futures contract.
SPX (SP:SPX): The S&P 500 Index, which serves as a benchmark for the overall market.
2. Term Structure and Market Psychology
The core of the indicator lies in analyzing the relationship between the futures prices.
term_slope = vx2 - vx1: This calculates the difference between the next-month and front-month VIX futures prices.
Contango: If vx2 > vx1, the slope is positive, and the market is in contango. This is the "normal" state, where traders expect volatility to be lower in the future. The script colors this background a light green.
Backwardation: If vx2 < vx1, the slope is negative, and the market is in backwardation. This is a rare state indicating elevated fear. It means traders are willing to pay a premium for short-term protection against volatility, implying that an increase in fear is imminent. The script colors this background a light red.
3. Roll Yield Calculation
roll_yield = ((vx1 - vix) / days_to_expiry) * 100: This calculates the estimated return (or loss) from rolling a futures position from the spot VIX to the front-month future. This is a key metric for understanding the cost of holding VIX futures. A negative roll yield means it is expensive to hold a long VIX position.
4. Equilibrium and Z-Score
This section of the code provides a statistical measure to determine how extreme the current term structure is compared to its historical average.
avg_slope = ta.sma(term_slope, 252): This calculates the one-year simple moving average of the term structure slope.
z_score: This is the most powerful part of the indicator. It measures how many standard deviations the current term_slope is from its one-year average.
A Z-score of +2 or higher indicates the market is in an extreme state of contango (complacency), where volatility is abnormally low.
A Z-score of -2 or lower indicates an extreme state of backwardation (fear), where there's an abnormal surge in short-term volatility expectations.
5. Visualizations & Signals
The script presents a comprehensive view of these metrics on the chart.
plot(term_slope): Shows a blue line representing the VIX term structure slope.
bgcolor(...): Visually highlights periods of contango (light green) and backwardation (light red).
plot(roll_yield): Displays a column chart showing the roll yield, indicating the cost or benefit of holding VIX futures.
plot(z_score): Shows an orange line representing the Z-score, with horizontal lines at +2 and -2 to highlight extreme conditions.
plotshape(...): These are your trading signals. A red arrow pointing up (shape.labelup) appears at the bottom of the chart when the Z-score drops below -2 (extreme backwardation), and a green arrow pointing down (shape.labeldown) appears at the top when the Z-score goes above +2 (extreme contango).
6. Interpretation and Trading Signals
The script provides a clear framework for interpreting market sentiment:
Extreme Backwardation Signal (Red Arrow Up): When the Z-score falls to -2 or below, it signals a period of extreme market fear. This is often an excellent contrarian signal for buying the VIX (or related products) and/or for caution in long equity positions.
Extreme Contango Signal (Green Arrow Down): When the Z-score rises to +2 or above, it signals a period of extreme market complacency. This can be a contrarian signal for selling the VIX (or related products) and/or for potential short-term weakness in the S&P 500.
The VIX/SPX Risk Ratio also provides a good visual of volatility relative to the S&P 500, with an increasing ratio signaling a rising risk environment.
Ultimately, this indicator provides a powerful way to visualize the VIX futures term structure and use statistical analysis (Z-score) to find high-probability signals of extreme market sentiment.
[ayana] TFPS - TradFi Pressure ScoreTFPS - TradFi Pressure Score: Your Market Pressure Barometer
Understand what moves Wall Street, before it moves Crypto.
This indicator is your real-time barometer for the influence of traditional financial markets (TradFi) on Crypto. It measures the combined pressure from four key quadrants—Risk Appetite (S&P 500), Market Stress (VIX), Liquidity (DXY), and Macro Expectations (US10Y)—to answer one question: "Do I have a tailwind or a headwind from the global markets?"
How to Read Your "Cockpit" in 60 Seconds
The Main Line (Overall Market Pressure)
GREEN / ABOVE 0: Bullish Tailwind. The macro environment is supportive for Crypto.
RED / BELOW 0: Bearish Headwind. The macro environment is creating pressure on Crypto.
BRIGHT Color: Pressure is ACCELERATING.
DARK Color: Pressure is DECELERATING (losing momentum).
The Dashboard (Your Command Center)
Lead/Lag Analysis: The game-changer. Tells you if TradFi is currently leading the price or vice-versa. This is your key to knowing whether to watch macro news or focus on crypto-specifics.
TradFi Influence (R²): Shows you HOW RELEVANT the macro pressure is right now. High R² means Wall Street's influence is dominant. Low R² means crypto is moving on its own narrative.
Dynamic Weights: Reveals the market's primary NARRATIVE. Is the pressure coming from Fear (VIX), Liquidity (DXY), or general Risk Appetite (SPX)?
Extreme Signals (Reversal Zones)
Stress Cloud (Z-Score): Large, opaque bars warn of statistically EXTREME greed or fear levels.
Extreme Dots: Pinpoint the moments when pressure has likely reached an unsustainable peak, often preceding turning points.
Key Strategies & Use Cases
As a Trend Filter: Simply avoid fighting the color. Don't force long trades when the TFPS shows a strong red headwind.
For Precision Entry/Exits: Use the Extreme Dots and a decelerating color on the Main Line to time your entries in confluence with your own strategy.
For Strategic Decisions: Use the Lead/Lag and R² metrics to decide where to focus your attention and how to manage portfolio risk based on the current macro regime.
Configuration
For best results, leave the engine settings on their default (auto-adaptive) mode. The indicator's core intelligence lies in its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics automatically. You can adjust the visual theme to match your chart.
VIX Filter/RSI/EMA Bias/Cum-TICK w/ Exhaustion Zone DashboardThis all-in-one dashboard gives intraday traders a real-time visual read of market conditions, combining volatility regime, trend bias, momentum exhaustion, and internal strength — all in a fully customizable overlay that won’t clutter your chart.
📉 VIX Market Regime Detector
Identifies "Weak", "Normal", "Volatile", or "Danger" market states based on customizable VIX ranges and symbol (e.g., VXN or VIX).
📊 RSI Momentum Readout
Displays real-time RSI from any selected timeframe or symbol, with adjustable length, OB/OS thresholds, and color-coded exhaustion alerts.
📈 EMA Trend Bias Scanner
Compares fast and slow EMAs to define bullish or bearish bias, using your preferred timeframe, symbol, and EMA lengths — ideal for multi-timeframe setups.
🧠 Cumulative TICK Pressure & Exhaustion Engine
Analyzes internal market strength using cumulative TICK data to classify conditions as:
-Strong / Mild Bullish or Bearish Pressure
-Choppy / No Edge
-⚠️ Exhaustion Zones — when raw TICK values hit extreme highs/lows, a separate highlight box appears in the dashboard, warning of potential turning points
All logic is customizable, including TICK symbol, timeframes, thresholds, and lookback periods.
Scalpers and day traders who want fast, visual insight into market internals, exhaustion, and trend bias.
Synthetic VX3! & VX4! continuous /VX futuresTradingView is missing continuous 3rd and 4th month VIX (/VX) futures, so I decided to try to make a synthetic one that emulates what continuous maturity futures would look like. This is useful for backtesting/historical purposes as it enables traders to see how their further out VX contracts would've performed vs the front month contract.
The indicator pulls actual realtime data (if you subscribe to the CBOE data package) or 15 minute delayed data for the VIX spot (the actual non-tradeable VIX index), the continuous front month (VX1!), and the continuous second month (VX2!) continually rolled contracts. Then the indicator's script applies a formula to fairly closely estimate how 3rd and 4th month continuous contracts would've moved.
It uses an exponential mean‑reversion to a long‑run level formula using:
σ(T) = θ+(σ0−θ)e−kT
You can expect it to be off by ~5% or so (in times of backwardation it might be less accurate).
Risk Distribution HistogramStatistical risk visualization and analysis tool for any ticker 📊
The Risk Distribution Histogram visualizes the statistical distribution of different risk metrics for any financial instrument. It converts risk data into histograms with quartile-based color coding, so that traders can understand their risk, tail-risks, exposure patterns and make data-driven decisions based on empirical evidence rather than assumptions.
The indicator supports multiple risk calculation methods, each designed for different aspects of market analysis, from general volatility assessment to tail risk analysis.
Risk Measurement Methods
Standard Deviation
Captures raw daily price volatility by measuring the dispersion of price movements. Ideal for understanding overall market conditions and timing volatility-based strategies.
Use case: Options trading and volatility analysis.
Average True Range (ATR)
Measures true range as a percentage of price, accounting for gaps and limit moves. Valuable for position sizing across different price levels.
Use case: Position sizing and stop-loss placement.
The chart above illustrates how ATR statistical distribution can be used by looking at the ATR % of price distribution. For example, 90% of the movements are below 5%.
Downside Deviation
Only considers negative price movements, making it ideal for checking downside risk and capital protection rather than capturing upside volatility.
Use case: Downside protection strategies and stop losses.
Drawdown Analysis
Tracks peak-to-trough declines, providing insight into maximum loss potential during different market conditions.
Use case: Risk management and capital preservation.
The chart above illustrates tale risk for the asset (TQQQ), showing that it is possible to have drawdowns higher than 20%.
Entropy-Based Risk (EVaR)
Uses information theory to quantify market uncertainty. Higher entropy values indicate more unpredictable price action, valuable for detecting regime changes.
Use case: Advanced risk modeling and tail-risk.
VIX Histogram
Incorporates the market's fear index directly into analysis, showing how current volatility expectations compare to historical patterns. The CAPITALCOM:VIX histogram is independent from the ticker on the chart.
Use case: Volatility trading and market timing.
Visual Features
The histogram uses quartile-based color coding that immediately shows where current risk levels stand relative to historical patterns:
Green (Q1): Low Risk (0-25th percentile)
Yellow (Q2): Medium-Low Risk (25-50th percentile)
Orange (Q3): Medium-High Risk (50-75th percentile)
Red (Q4): High Risk (75-100th percentile)
The data table provides detailed statistics, including:
Count Distribution: Historical observations in each bin
PMF: Percentage probability for each risk level
CDF: Cumulative probability up to each level
Current Risk Marker: Shows your current position in the distribution
Trading Applications
When current risk falls into upper quartiles (Q3 or Q4), it signals conditions are riskier than 50-75% of historical observations. This guides position sizing and portfolio adjustments.
Key applications:
Position sizing based on empirical risk distributions
Monitoring risk regime changes over time
Comparing risk patterns across timeframes
Risk distribution analysis improves trade timing by identifying when market conditions favor specific strategies.
Enter positions during low-risk periods (Q1)
Reduce exposure in high-risk periods (Q4)
Use percentile rankings for dynamic stop-loss placement
Time volatility strategies using distribution patterns
Detect regime shifts through distribution changes
Compare current conditions to historical benchmarks
Identify outlier events in tail regions
Validate quantitative models with empirical data
Configuration Options
Data Collection
Lookback Period: Control amount of historical data analyzed
Date Range Filtering: Focus on specific market periods
Sample Size Validation: Automatic reliability warnings
Histogram Customization
Bin Count: 10-50 bins for different detail levels
Auto/Manual Bin Width: Optimize for your data range
Visual Preferences: Custom colors and font sizes
Implementation Guide
Start with Standard Deviation on daily charts for the most intuitive introduction to distribution-based risk analysis.
Method Selection: Begin with Standard Deviation
Setup: Use daily charts with 20-30 bins
Interpretation: Focus on quartile transitions as signals
Monitoring: Track distribution changes for regime detection
The tool provides comprehensive statistics including mean, standard deviation, quartiles, and current position metrics like Z-score and percentile ranking.
Enjoy, and please let me know your feedback! 😊🥂
VIX-Price Covariance MonitorThe VIX-Price Covariance Monitor is a statistical tool that measures the evolving relationship between a security's price and volatility indices such as the VIX (or VVIX).
It can give indication of potential market reversal, as typically, volatility and the VIX increase before markets turn red,
This indicator calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient using the formula:
ρ(X,Y) = cov(X,Y) / (σₓ × σᵧ)
Where:
ρ is the correlation coefficient
cov(X,Y) is the covariance between price and the volatility index
σₓ and σᵧ are the standard deviations of price and the volatility index
Enjoy!
Features
Dual Correlation Periods: Analyze both short-term and long-term correlation trends simultaneously
Adaptive Color Coding: Correlation strength is visually represented through color intensity
Market Condition Assessment: Automatic interpretation of correlation values into actionable market insights
Leading/Lagging Analysis: Optional time-shift analysis to detect predictive relationships
Detailed Information Panel: Real-time statistics including current correlation values, historical averages, and trading implications
Interpretation
Positive Correlation (Red): Typically bearish for price, as rising VIX correlates with falling markets. This is what traders should be looking for.
Negative Correlation (Green): Typically bullish for price, as falling VIX correlates with rising markets
How to use it
Apply the indicator to any chart to see its correlation with the default VIX index
Adjust the correlation length to match your trading timeframe (shorter for day trading, longer for swing trading)
Enable the secondary correlation period to compare different timeframes simultaneously
For advanced analysis, enable the Leading/Lagging feature to detect if VIX changes precede or follow price movements
Use the information panel to quickly assess the current market condition and potential trading implications
TrendBoxThis indicator is called "TrendBox," designed to help traders analyze daily price ranges using several technical indicators. Below is a breakdown of its functionality, purpose, and key components:
Purpose
The script overlays indicators on a chart to assess whether the price is above or below key levels and moving in a trend.
VIX-based expected range (index fund targeted)
- This helps calculate the expected dealers range based on VIX implications. You can expect to see ranges be bought on and sold on. Moving outside this range creates heightened volatility and most of the time a gamma squeeze follows.
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
- This allows you to understand the mid point or average pricing of the daily session. If you're paying a premium or getting a discount on the daily session.
Daily Market Open
- Identifying the market open price is a key level on a daily session and allows you to identify some level of intraday trend.
Daily 4-period VWMA
- This is a crucial role of our indicator and showing short term time frame bias. Seeing price move over the top of our daily 4 level establishes a short term trend and can be used as a distribution guide, closing positions when we see longer time frame candles close under it. Vice versa for shorting.
It also displays a status box (optional) summarizing whether the price is above or below these levels, helping traders quickly evaluate market conditions.
Williams VIX For Bottoms [DCD]Williams VIX Original - Authentic Volatility Fear Gauge
What This Indicator Does
The Williams VIX Fix measures market fear by calculating how far current lows deviate from recent highs, identifying potential market bottoms during high volatility periods. This implementation provides Larry Williams' original formula in its purest form.
How It Works
Core Formula:
VIX Fix = ((Highest High over 22 periods - Current Low) / Highest High over 22 periods) × 100
The calculation process:
Measures Relative Distance: Compares current low to highest high over lookback period
Converts to Percentage: Normalizes values for cross-market comparison
Applies Statistical Analysis: Uses Bollinger Bands (2 std dev) around VIX Fix values
Filters with Percentiles: 85th percentile threshold removes noise
Signal Generation
Green Flash Signals trigger when either condition is met:
VIX Fix exceeds upper Bollinger Band (2 standard deviations above 20-period MA)
VIX Fix exceeds Range High (85th percentile of recent values)
This dual-condition approach reduces false signals while capturing genuine volatility spikes.
What Makes This Original
Pure Formula Implementation: Uses Williams' exact original calculation without modifications
Dual Confirmation System: Combines Bollinger Bands with percentile analysis
Professional Visualization: Histogram display, background highlighting, and live value table
Comprehensive Alerts: Signal start/end notifications plus Green Flash alerts
How to Use
Primary Purpose: Spot high-probability reversal zones during market fear climaxes
Signal Interpretation:
Green triangle + background highlight = High volatility reversal zone
Higher VIX Fix values = Stronger fear/better reversal potential
Use with price action confirmation for best results
Optimal Settings:
Timeframes: 4H, Daily, Weekly
Markets: All (stocks, crypto, forex, commodities)
Combine with support levels and candlestick patterns
Key Parameters:
VIX Fix Length (22): Lookback period for highest high
Std Dev Multiplier (2.0): Bollinger Band sensitivity
Percentile High (0.85): Only top 15% of readings trigger signals
The VIX Fix excels at identifying market fear climaxes that coincide with significant price bottoms, making it valuable for swing traders seeking high-probability entries during market stress.
Volatility Barometer (VB)Volatility Barometer (VB)
The Volatility Barometer (VB) is a comprehensive market sentiment indicator designed to measure aggregate stress and fear in the equity market. It consolidates three critical volatility metrics into a single, easy-to-interpret score, providing a broader view of market conditions than any single metric alone.
Core Components
The barometer synthesizes information from:
VIX Index (VIX): The standard measure of implied 30-day stock market volatility.
VVIX Index (VVIX): The volatility of the VIX itself, often seen as the "volatility of volatility." High VVIX readings can signal uncertainty about the VIX's future path.
VIX Futures Term Structure (VX1!−VX2!): The spread between the front-month and second-month VIX futures. A positive spread (contango) is typical, while a negative spread (backwardation) often signals imminent market stress.
How It Works
To create a unified view, the indicator normalizes each of these three components using a Z-score. The Z-score measures how many standard deviations a value is from its historical mean over a user-defined period (defaulting to 252 days, or one trading year).
These three standardized Z-scores are then combined into a final VB Score using a weighted average. Users can customize these weights in the indicator's settings to emphasize the components they find most important.
How to Interpret
The VB Score is plotted as a single line that oscillates around a zero level, with its color changing to reflect the prevailing market regime:
High Stress (Red Line): When the score rises above the "High stress threshold" (default: 1.5), it indicates heightened market fear and risk-off sentiment. This is a period of significant stress, often associated with market downturns.
Low Stress (Green Line): When the score falls below the "Low stress threshold" (default: -1.0), it signals complacency and low perceived risk in the market. Extreme low readings can sometimes precede volatility spikes.
Neutral (Blue Line): Scores between the high and low thresholds represent normal market conditions.
By providing a weighted, multi-faceted view of volatility, the Volatility Barometer helps traders and investors identify market regimes, confirm trading biases, and anticipate potential shifts in market sentiment.
Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer [TradeDots]The Options Volatility Strategy Analyzer is a specialized tool designed to help traders assess market conditions through a detailed examination of historical volatility, market benchmarks, and percentile-based thresholds. By integrating multiple volatility metrics (including VIX and VIX9D) with color-coded regime detection, the script provides users with clear, actionable insights for selecting appropriate options strategies.
📝 HOW IT WORKS
1. Historical Volatility & Percentile Calculations
Annualized Historical Volatility (HV): The script automatically computes the asset’s historical volatility using log returns over a user-defined period. It then annualizes these values based on the chart’s timeframe, helping you understand the asset’s typical volatility profile.
Dynamic Percentile Ranks: To gauge where the current volatility level stands relative to past behavior, historical volatility values are compared against short, medium, and long lookback periods. Tracking these percentile ranks allows you to quickly see if volatility is high or low compared to historical norms.
2. Multi-Market Benchmark Comparison
VIX and VIX9D Integration: The script tracks market volatility through the VIX and VIX9D indices, comparing them to the asset’s historical volatility. This reveals whether the asset’s volatility is outpacing, lagging, or remaining in sync with broader market volatility conditions.
Market Context Analysis: A built-in term-structure check can detect market stress or relative calm by measuring how VIX compares to shorter-dated volatility (VIX9D). This helps you decide if the present environment is risk-prone or relatively stable.
3. Volatility Regime Detection
Color-Coded Background: The analyzer assigns a volatility regime (e.g., “High Asset Vol,” “Low Asset Vol,” “Outpacing Market,” etc.) based on current historical volatility percentile levels and asset vs. market ratios. A color-coded background highlights the regime, enabling traders to quickly interpret the market’s mood.
Alerts on Regime Changes & Spikes: Automated alerts warn you about any significant expansions or contractions in volatility, allowing you to react swiftly in changing conditions.
4. Strategy Forecast Table
Real-Time Strategy Suggestions: At the close of each bar, an on-chart table generates suggested options strategies (e.g., selling premium in high volatility or buying premium in low volatility). These suggestions provide a quick summary of potential tactics suited to the current regime.
Contextual Market Data: The table also displays key statistics, such as VIX levels, asset historical volatility percentile, or ratio comparisons, helping you confirm whether volatility conditions warrant more conservative or more aggressive strategies.
🛠️ HOW TO USE
1. Select Your Timeframe: The script supports multiple timeframes. For short-term trading, intraday charts often reveal faster shifts in volatility. For swing or position trading, daily or weekly charts may be more stable and produce fewer false signals.
2. Check the Volatility Regime: Observe the background color and on-chart labels to identify the current regime (e.g., “HIGH ASSET VOL,” “LOW VOL + LAGGING,” etc.).
3. Review the Forecast Table: The table suggests strategy ideas (e.g., iron condors, long straddles, ratio spreads) depending on whether volatility is elevated, subdued, or spiking. Use these as a starting point for designing trades that match your risk tolerance.
4. Combine with Additional Analysis: For optimal results, confirm signals with your broader trading plan, technical tools (moving averages, price action), and fundamental research. This script is most effective when viewed as one component in a comprehensive decision-making process.
❗️LIMITATIONS
Directional Neutrality: This indicator analyzes volatility environments but does not predict price direction (up/down). Traders must combine with directional analysis for complete strategy selection.
Late or Missed Signals: Since all calculations require a bar to close, sharp intrabar volatility moves may not appear in real-time.
False Positives in Choppy Markets: Rapid changes in percentile ranks or VIX movements can generate conflicting or premature regime shifts.
Data Sensitivity: Accuracy depends on the availability and stability of volatility data. Significant gaps or unusual market conditions may skew results.
Market Correlation Assumptions: The system assumes assets generally correlate with S&P 500 volatility patterns. May be less effective for:
Small-cap stocks with unique volatility drivers
International stocks with different market dynamics
Sector-specific events disconnected from broad market
Cryptocurrency-related assets with independent volatility patterns
RISK DISCLAIMER
Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Options strategies can result in significant losses, including the total loss of premium paid. The complexity of options strategies requires thorough understanding of the risks involved.
This indicator provides volatility analysis for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and volatility regimes may shift without warning.
No trading system can guarantee profits, and all trading involves the risk of loss. The indicator's regime classifications and strategy suggestions should be used as part of a comprehensive trading plan that includes proper risk management, directional analysis, and consideration of broader market conditions.
BBS – Bond Breadth Signal"When bonds scream, breadth collapses, and fear spikes — BBS listens."
🧠 BBS – Bond Breadth Signal
A reversal timing tool built on macro conviction, not price noise.
The Bond Breadth Signal (BBS) was developed to identify major market inflection points by combining four key market stress indicators:
1) 10-Year Yield ROC – Measures sharp moves in the bond market
2) Z-Score of the 10Y – Captures statistical extremes
3) NSHF (Net Highs–Lows) – Signals internal market strength or weakness
4) TLT ROC + VIX – Confirmations of flight to safety and volatility-driven fear
When all conditions align, BBS marks either a For-Sure Buy or For-Sure Sell — these are rare, high-confidence signals designed to cut through noise and focus on true market dislocations.
🔧 Features:
-Background color and signal arrows on confirmation days
-Signals remain visually active for 3 days for added clarity
-Fully adjustable thresholds and alert toggles
-Plot panel for yield, TLT, NSHF, VIX, and Z-score visuals
This tool isn’t designed to fire every day. It’s meant to wait for those moments when the market truly bends — not just wiggles.
Best used on major indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM) to assess macro turning points.
Jesus Vix Spike ComboThis script will:
Show you vix spikes with your 4 different settings.
Draw a white line at the start of each vix.
Draw a dotted green line for 3 spikes in 6 minutes.
Draw a dotted pink line for 3 spikes in 16 minutes.
Draw a green line extending right if it takes out a past low in the last 200 bars plus a spike.
It will also:
Place a white dot on the 5th candle if the price rises past the vix starting point,
a white omega sign on the 6th candle if price rises past the vix starting point,
and a large white dot on the 7th candle past the vix starting point if the price is higher.
It will also:
Show higher time frame EMAs and other emas.
Has some alerts added also.
I have only been using this on the 1 minute chart with $OANDA:SPX500USD.
Ill write about the strategy I use for this soon. But basically you wait for a drop and for some prominent lows to be taken out, then a vix, then your white dot, omega then the large white dot to enter, expect a 100% expansion from the vix low. More aggressive entry's would be the first white dot or 3 green candles in a row. Backtest to see.
Thanks for checking it out. Let me know if it can be better.
The original script is from Xxattaxx and Christ Moody I believe, thank you for sharing all your hard work.
ATR Volatility giua64ATR Volatility giua64 – Smart Signal + VIX Filter
📘 Script Explanation (in English)
Title: ATR Volatility giua64 – Smart Signal + VIX Filter
This script analyzes market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) and compares it to its moving average to determine whether volatility is HIGH, MEDIUM, or LOW.
It includes:
✅ Custom or preset configurations for different asset classes (Forex, Indices, Gold, etc.).
✅ An optional external volatility index input (like the VIX) to refine directional bias.
✅ A directional signal (LONG, SHORT, FLAT) based on ATR strength, direction, and external volatility conditions.
✅ A clean visual table showing key values such as ATR, ATR average, ATR %, VIX level, current range, extended range, and final signal.
This tool is ideal for traders looking to:
Monitor the intensity of price movements
Filter trading strategies based on volatility conditions
Identify momentum acceleration or exhaustion
⚙️ Settings Guide
Here’s a breakdown of the user inputs:
🔹 ATR Settings
Setting Description
ATR Length Number of periods for ATR calculation (default: 14)
ATR Smoothing Type of moving average used (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA)
ATR Average Length Period for the ATR moving average baseline
🔹 Asset Class Preset
Choose between:
Manual – Define your own point multiplier and thresholds
Forex (Pips) – Auto-set for FX markets (high precision)
Indices (0.1 Points) – For index instruments like DAX or S&P
Gold (USD) – Preset suitable for XAU/USD
If Manual is selected, configure:
Setting Description
Points Multiplier Multiplies raw price ranges into useful units (e.g., 10 for Gold)
Low Volatility Threshold Threshold to define "LOW" volatility
High Volatility Threshold Threshold to define "HIGH" volatility
🔹 Extended Range and VIX
Setting Description
Timeframe for Extended High/Low Used to compare larger price ranges (e.g., Daily or Weekly)
External Volatility Index (VIX) Symbol for a volatility index like "VIX" or "EUVI"
Low VIX Threshold Below this level, VIX is considered "low" (default: 20)
High VIX Threshold Above this level, VIX is considered "high" (default: 30)
🔹 Table Display
Setting Description
Table Position Where the visual table appears on the chart (e.g., bottom_center, top_left)
Show ATR Line on Chart Whether to display the ATR line directly on the chart
✅ Signal Logic Summary
The script determines the final signal based on:
ATR being above or below its average
ATR rising or falling
ATR percentage being significant (>2%)
VIX being high or low
Conditions Signal
ATR rising + high volatility + low VIX LONG
ATR falling + high volatility + high VIX SHORT
ATR flat or low volatility or low %ATR FLAT
Triad Macro Gauge__________________________________________________________________________________
Introduction
__________________________________________________________________________________
The Triad Macro Gauge (TMG) is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment impacting financial markets. By synthesizing three critical market signals— VIX (volatility) , Credit Spreads (credit risk) , and the Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT) —this indicator offers a probabilistic assessment of market sentiment, helping traders identify bullish or bearish macro conditions.
Holistic Macro Analysis: Combines three distinct macroeconomic indicators for multi-dimensional insights.
Customization & Flexibility: Adjust weights, thresholds, lookback periods, and visualization styles.
Visual Clarity: Dynamic table, color-coded plots, and anomaly markers for quick interpretation.
Fully Consistent Scores: Identical values across all timeframes (4H, daily, weekly).
Actionable Signals: Clear bull/bear thresholds and volatility spike detection.
Optimized for timeframes ranging from 4 hour to 1 week , the TMG equips swing traders and long-term investors with a robust tool to navigate macroeconomic trends.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Indicators
__________________________________________________________________________________
VIX (CBOE:VIX): Measures market volatility (negatively weighted for bearish signals).
Credit Spreads (FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2EY): Tracks high-yield bond spreads (negatively weighted).
Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT): Evaluates equity sentiment relative to treasuries (positively weighted).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Originality and Purpose
__________________________________________________________________________________
The TMG stands out by combining VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT into a single, cohesive indicator. Its unique strength lies in its fully consistent scores across all timeframes, a critical feature for multi-timeframe analysis.
Purpose: To empower traders with a clear, actionable tool to:
Assess macro conditions
Spot market extremes
Anticipate reversals
__________________________________________________________________________________
How It Works
__________________________________________________________________________________
VIX Z-Score: Measures volatility deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
Credit Z-Score: Tracks credit spread deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
Ratio Z-Score: Assesses SPY/TLT strength (positively weighted for bullish signals).
TMG Score: Weighted composite of z-scores (bullish > +0.30, bearish < -0.30).
Anomaly Detection: Identifies extreme volatility spikes (z-score > 3.0).
All calculations are performed using daily data, ensuring that scores remain consistent across all chart timeframes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Visualization & Interpretation
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script visualizes data through:
A dynamic table displaying TMG Score , VIX Z, Credit Z, Ratio Z, and Anomaly status, with color gradients (green for positive, red for negative, gray for neutral/N/A).
A plotted TMG Score in Area, Histogram, or Line mode , with adaptive opacity for clarity.
Bull/Bear thresholds as horizontal lines (+0.30/-0.30) to signal market conditions.
Anomaly markers (orange circles) for volatility spikes.
Crossover signals (triangles) for bull/bear threshold crossings.
The table provides an immediate snapshot of macro conditions, while the plot offers a visual trend analysis. All values are consistent across timeframes, simplifying multi-timeframe analysis.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Script Parameters
__________________________________________________________________________________
Extensive customization options:
Symbol Selection: Customize VIX, Credit Spreads, SPY, TLT symbols
Core Parameters: Adjust lookback periods, weights, smoothing
Anomaly Detection: Enable/disable with custom thresholds
Visual Style: Choose display modes and colors
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
The Triad Macro Gauge by Ox_kali is a cutting-edge tool for analyzing macroeconomic trends. By integrating VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT, TMG provides traders with a clear, consistent, and actionable gauge of market sentiment.
Recommended for: Swing traders and long-term investors seeking to navigate macro-driven markets.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Credit & Inspiration
__________________________________________________________________________________
Special thanks to Caleb Franzen for his pioneering work on macroeconomic indicator blends – his research directly inspired the core framework of this tool.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Notes & Disclaimer
__________________________________________________________________________________
This is the initial public release (v2.5.9). Future updates may include additional features based on user feedback.
Please note that the Triad Macro Gauge is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
VIX bottom/top with color scale [Ox_kali]📊 Introduction
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The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” script is designed to provide an intuitive, color-coded visualization of the VIX (Volatility Index), helping traders interpret market sentiment and volatility extremes in real time.
It segments the VIX into clear threshold zones, each associated with a specific market condition—ranging from fear to calm—using a dynamic color-coded system.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
Intuitive Risk Interpretation: Color-coded zones make it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance.
Dynamic Trend Detection: A 200-period SMA of the VIX is plotted and dynamically colored based on trend direction.
Customization and Flexibility: All colors are editable in the parameters panel, grouped under “## Color parameters ##”.
Visual Clarity: Key thresholds are marked with horizontal lines for quick reference.
Practical Trading Tool: Helps identify high-risk and low-risk environments based on volatility levels.
🔍 Key Indicators
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VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) : Measures market volatility and investor fear.
SMA 200 : Long-term trendline of the VIX, with color-coded direction (green = uptrend, red = downtrend).
Color-coded VIX Levels:
🔴 33+ → Something bad just happened
🟠 23–33 → Something bad is happening
🟡 17–23 → Something bad might happen
🟢 14–17 → Nothing bad is happening
✅ 12–14 → Nothing bad will ever happen
🔵 <12 → Something bad is going to happen
🧠 Originality and Purpose
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Unlike traditional VIX indicators that only plot a line, this script enhances interpretation through visual segmentation and dynamic trend tracking.
It serves as a risk-awareness tool that transforms the VIX into a simple, emotional market map.
This is the first version of the script, and future updates may include alerts, background fills, and more advanced features.
⚙️ How It Works
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The script maps the current VIX value to a range and applies the corresponding color.
It calculates a SMA 200 and colors it green or red depending on its slope.
It displays horizontal dotted lines at key thresholds (12, 14, 17, 23, 33).
All colors are configurable via input parameters under the group: "## Color parameters ##".
🧭 Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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The VIX line changes color based on market condition zones.
The SMA line shows long-term direction with dynamic color.
Horizontal threshold lines visually mark the transitions between volatility zones.
Ideal for quickly identifying periods of fear, caution, or stability.
🛠️ Script Parameters
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Grouped under “## Color parameters ##”, the following elements are customizable:
🎨 VIX Zone Colors:
33+ → Red
23–33 → Orange
17–23 → Yellow
14–17 → Light Green
12–14 → Dark Green
<12 → Blue
📈 SMA Colors:
Uptrend → Green
Downtrend → Red
These settings allow users to match the script’s visuals to their preferred chart style or theme.
✅ Conclusion
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The “VIX Bottom/Top with Color Scale” is a clean, powerful script designed to simplify how traders view volatility.
By combining long-term trend data with real-time color-coded sentiment analysis, this script becomes a go-to reference for managing risk, timing trades, or simply staying in tune with market mood.
🧪 Notes
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This is version 1 of the script. More features such as alert conditions, background fill, and dashboard elements may be added soon. Feedback is welcome!
💡 Color code concept inspired by the original VIX interpretation chart by @nsquaredvalue on Twitter. Big thanks for the visual clarity! 💡
⚠️ Disclaimer
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This script is a visual tool designed to assist in market analysis. It does not guarantee future performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
