My call on the new 4 year cycle high!

2020年1月18日

Ok listed below are the things I am basing the prediction on.

1) The next high is close to the upper parabolic band.
2) Following low to low 4 year cycle with the peak translating left. Assuming this is the 3rd 4 yr cycle in a larger 16 yr cycle with 3rd cycle peak shifting closer to the center of the 4 yr cycle. (4th cycle shifting farther left) Based on Bob Loukas's explanation of the universal 4 year low-low cycles across all markets.
3) A new high for next 4 yr cycle based on the declining simple rate of return of the first 3 parabolic runs:
- #1 cycle: 318,864% return
- #2 cycle: 58,474% return (18.34% of #1 return)
- #3 cycle: 11,960% return (20.45% of #2 return)
- Estimated #4 return 22.76% of return #3 = 2722% return = Around $86,000 depending on exchange (suspiciously close to the Asuka prophecy call of $87,000)
4) Stock 2 Flow model putting the price in the $100,000 range sometime after the halving.
5) Throwing in the Asuka prophecy for good measure since it correlates so well with points 1, 2, and almost exactly with 3 and not that far off #4, the S2F model.

That puts my call for a new 4 year high as follows:

Between Oct 2020 - June 20201 with a high between $80,000 - $120,000 (more likely 80-100,000 and between oct - Mar)

I know there are so many other factors that one can look at to make an estimation but these are the things that work for me and when I finally looked at them all together I was surprised at the correlations between them so that's what I am sticking with unless important new information comes to light!!!