Both the current bear market top to bottom and previous bear market is within the same timeframe within a 2 week candle. Both the last 2 bull markets lasted the same time within 2 weeks. Nearly eactly 50% through each bull market was the top of an automatic rally (Wyckoff AR) or key pivot RH3. This would put the top of the next automatic rally at May 2024 and the end of the bull market at Mid Oct 2025 4 year cycle
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The first major rally after the year long bear market always reaches 0.786 before the halving. Check this rule for yourside. This is always the steepest rally pre - halving as it is the first upside in the making of a macro triangle or automatic rally Wyckoff method. This would take us to $50k but that might not hit until early 2024. Next halving is May 2024. We can definitely have 40% pull backs and 6 month consolidations up until the halving but we always test 0.786 log fib before halving. 免責事項
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