BTCUSD: Time at mode weekly uptrend still active

2015年8月15日

I'm not buying more, but I'm not selling either.
It seems that btcusd is bottoming around here, as shown by the price chart.
We can observe falling volume in the selloff, and more than 5 days without new lows.
It's a complex chart, and conventional analysis methods won't work well with it.
The trend is mostly formed by the current mining production, the markets that operate with bitcoin and the influence of speculators.

I'd say that speculation isn't the driving force here, maybe we're in a stabilization phase for Bitcoin.
If we don't fall fast below 246 it's more probable to rise slowly towards 390.68.
I'm lending BTC currently, the rates are good and you can split your capital in multiple assets, like Bitcoin, part altcoins thanks to poloniex (great site to check out) and part usd 'tokens' thanks to Bitfinex.
The only problem is you can't operate there if you are from New York.

For now, taking trades in BTCUSD is dangerous and prone to random walk style behavior until heavy handed players show up again. Margin trading at okcoin is akin to gambling, I won't bother...same can be said about margin trading altcoins at poloniex, when you have 10-50% range bars, and 2.5x leverage, only the house wins in the long run. (and the liquidity providers ;) )

Cheers,
Ivan.