- weekly is forming right shoulder in distribution cycle right at 1600 psych + positive gamma level - consistent with /ES local top of 4060 (or 4200 on impulse wave) - invalidated if break above 1630s - high risk counter trend trade against current market conditions & positive gamma ratios - BTO Feb 1400p @ 10.85 - IV on puts is cheap + upcoming ER should elevate Feb premiums - gamma conditions for this week and next week's expiry outlined below