bageltokki

NG long soon?

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bageltokki アップデート済   
NYMEX:NG1!   天然ガス先物(当限つなぎ足)
6
scenario 1: possibly a further drop, then a bounce and a accumulation/wave 2 going on before a breakout.
scenario 2: retrace up, further down, making new low before continuing rally

optimal safe entry is when NG goes sideways after making new lows
トレード稼働中:
buy stop UGAZ 21.31
コメント:
purple line nailed it. had ugaz at 20.30 average (multiple entries).

closed half at 22.5 on Friday. waiting for possible wave 4 to finish and doubling down then.
コメント:

grabbed more UGAZ on Thursday at 18.6. will grab remaining 50% of position once UNG breaks range and closes above 7.93. either purple arrow or orange arrow going to play out. Both indicate a 3-3-5 flat pattern finishing up (wave 2).


accumulation or distribution going on for 9 weeks now, move is gonna be huge, whether up or down, just have to be there to catch it. my case for bullish is that i see a possible wave 1 and 2 (wave 2 expanding flat) in red. weekly close above the blue line would be good for bull case. fundamentals support bull NG as well.. (coal phase out, increasing demand for NG turbine plants etc.)
コメント:

yellow boxes indicate possible waves 2 and 4 of wave 1 (sideways movement/narrow range)
手動でトレードを終了しました:
well that didn't go as expected :(
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