TOTAL - Yikes
A lot of people will not like this post, but it needs to be said. April 2024 is looking to be a bad month for cryptocurrencies. Of course with the right factors this can change but let me voice my concerns for the short term.
Looking at the candle stick chart on the left, we can see March's monthly candle could not close above our 2021 monthly top candle. This is also in alignment with the 0.786. Based on technicals, this should at least bring the total marketcap down to the 0.618 around 2.15 T.
Of course, still macro bullish as the monthly RSI is likely to test our upper yellow trendline at some point in the cycle.
The line chart also show something scary for the short term. We see a double top forming. In my opinion, we will not see the euphoria of a full blown crypto bull market until the TOTAL surpasses and close a monthly candle above $2.63 T.
We will re-examine this chart with April's candle close. If we are able to close this month's candle above that double top level then the bearish thesis will be negated, but as things stand right now be more cautious.
Looking at the candle stick chart on the left, we can see March's monthly candle could not close above our 2021 monthly top candle. This is also in alignment with the 0.786. Based on technicals, this should at least bring the total marketcap down to the 0.618 around 2.15 T.
Of course, still macro bullish as the monthly RSI is likely to test our upper yellow trendline at some point in the cycle.
The line chart also show something scary for the short term. We see a double top forming. In my opinion, we will not see the euphoria of a full blown crypto bull market until the TOTAL surpasses and close a monthly candle above $2.63 T.
We will re-examine this chart with April's candle close. If we are able to close this month's candle above that double top level then the bearish thesis will be negated, but as things stand right now be more cautious.
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