XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly Analysis

Weekly Analysis:

Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.

Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024

Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.

The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.

Weekly Chart: スナップショット

Daily Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.

In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.

This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH.

Price is now trading within an established internal range.

Daily Chart: スナップショット

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.

Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.

Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.


Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355

Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.

H4 Chart: スナップショット
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