BTC - complex B wave

2019年8月7日

This is analysis is an extension of the linked Elliot wave analysis. The current wave appears to be the second subset of a complex B wave.

2019年8月7日

トレード稼働中

Stop: 12405
Target 7321

2019年8月8日

ノート

Hourly and 21 min ADX both = 10; trend is extremely flat, new trend likely to form soon

2019年8月8日

ノート

6Hr fast SMA (77; Orange) finding resistance under slow SMA (235; Blue; Circled).
ADX touch 50 and drop, RSI overbought (arrows) = potential reversal

2019年8月8日

ノート

Fib Time Zone:
Short term breakdown on latest cycle:

2019年8月9日

ノート

My confidence in the position is much lower following this bullish bounce, I will still hold the position, since my invalidation point is the long term descending fib speed fan level above. I may de-risk by taking some profit on the position.

BB midline support on 77 SMA (Orange) is particularly concerning

2019年8月10日

ノート

Resistance under fast fib speed lines (circled)
Hourly BB midline bear cross through 77 SMA (yellow arrow)
Hourly RSI in oversold (often happens at the start of a trend; purple star)

2019年8月14日

ノート

Outcome of earlier forecast (above)