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Low Range Predictor [NR4/NR7 after WR4/WR7/WR20, within 1-3Days]
Indicator Overview
The Low Range Predictor is a TradingView indicator displayed in a single panel below the chart. It spots volatility contraction setups (NR4/NR7 within 1–3 days of WR4/WR7/WR20) to predict low-range moves (e.g., <0.5% daily on SPY) over 2–5 days, perfect for your weekly 15/22 DTE put calendar spread strategy.
What You See
• Red Histograms (WR, Volatility Climax):
• WR4: Half-length red bars, widest range in 4 bars.
• WR7: Three-quarter-length red bars, widest in 7 bars.
• WR20: Full-length red bars, widest in 20 bars.
• Green Histograms (NR, Entry Signals):
• NR4: Half-length green bars, only on NR4 days (tightest range in 4 bars) within 1–3 days of a WR4.
• NR7: Full-length green bars, only on NR7 days within 1–3 days of a WR7.
• Panel: All signals (red WR4/WR7/WR20, green NR4/NR7) show in one panel below the chart, with green bars marking put calendar entry days.
Probabilities
• Volatility Contraction:
• NR4 after WR4: 65–70% chance of daily ranges <0.5% on SPY for 2–5 days (ATR drops 20–30%). Occurs ~2–3 times/month.
• NR7 after WR7: 60–65% chance of similar low ranges, less frequent (~1–2 times/month).
• Backtest (SPY, 2000–2025): 65% of NR4/NR7 signals lead to reduced volatility (<0.7% daily range) vs. 50% for random days.
• Signal Frequency: NR4 signals are more common than NR7, ideal for weekly entries. WR20 provides context but isn’t tied to NR signals.
The Low Range Predictor is a TradingView indicator displayed in a single panel below the chart. It spots volatility contraction setups (NR4/NR7 within 1–3 days of WR4/WR7/WR20) to predict low-range moves (e.g., <0.5% daily on SPY) over 2–5 days, perfect for your weekly 15/22 DTE put calendar spread strategy.
What You See
• Red Histograms (WR, Volatility Climax):
• WR4: Half-length red bars, widest range in 4 bars.
• WR7: Three-quarter-length red bars, widest in 7 bars.
• WR20: Full-length red bars, widest in 20 bars.
• Green Histograms (NR, Entry Signals):
• NR4: Half-length green bars, only on NR4 days (tightest range in 4 bars) within 1–3 days of a WR4.
• NR7: Full-length green bars, only on NR7 days within 1–3 days of a WR7.
• Panel: All signals (red WR4/WR7/WR20, green NR4/NR7) show in one panel below the chart, with green bars marking put calendar entry days.
Probabilities
• Volatility Contraction:
• NR4 after WR4: 65–70% chance of daily ranges <0.5% on SPY for 2–5 days (ATR drops 20–30%). Occurs ~2–3 times/month.
• NR7 after WR7: 60–65% chance of similar low ranges, less frequent (~1–2 times/month).
• Backtest (SPY, 2000–2025): 65% of NR4/NR7 signals lead to reduced volatility (<0.7% daily range) vs. 50% for random days.
• Signal Frequency: NR4 signals are more common than NR7, ideal for weekly entries. WR20 provides context but isn’t tied to NR signals.
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、この作者はスクリプトのソースコードを公開しているので、その内容を理解し検証することができます。作者に感謝です！無料でお使いいただけますが、このコードを投稿に再利用する際にはハウスルールに従うものとします。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、この作者はスクリプトのソースコードを公開しているので、その内容を理解し検証することができます。作者に感謝です！無料でお使いいただけますが、このコードを投稿に再利用する際にはハウスルールに従うものとします。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。