OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
更新済 Elliott Wave Probability System Pro v2

🎯 Major Improvements Made to Elliott Wave Script
Key Changes:
1. Advanced Trend Detection (Lines 55-82)
Uses 5 different methods to determine trend over last 75 bars:
Combines all methods into a trendScore for accurate direction
2. Adaptive Target Direction
3. Improved Target Calculation
4. Enhanced Status Display
5. Better Probability Calculation
New Features:
Trend-Based Alerts
Trend Weight in Scoring
Visual Improvements
How It Works Now:
This solves the issue where the script was showing bullish targets in a clear downtrend. Now it properly reflects the dominant trend direction while still considering short-term indicators for probability calculations.
Key Changes:
1. Advanced Trend Detection (Lines 55-82)
Uses 5 different methods to determine trend over last 75 bars:
- Price position in range
- Linear regression slope
- Moving average alignment
- Higher highs/lows pattern
- Up vs down bar count
Combines all methods into a trendScore for accurate direction
2. Adaptive Target Direction
- New input: adaptiveTargets (line 28) - can toggle on/off
- When ON: Targets follow the 75-bar trend regardless of short-term indicators
- When OFF: Works like original (based on current momentum)
3. Improved Target Calculation
- Bullish targets use extensions from current price to recent high
- Bearish targets use retracements from current price to recent low
- More realistic price levels based on actual market structure
4. Enhanced Status Display
- Added "Trend (75 bars)" row showing BULLISH/BEARISH/NEUTRAL
- Helps you see why targets are pointing a certain direction
5. Better Probability Calculation
- Base probability adjusts with trend strength (70% if strong trend, 50% if not)
- Gradual probability decay with distance
- Minimum 15% probability (more realistic than 10%)
New Features:
Trend-Based Alerts
- Alerts when 75-bar trend changes from bullish to bearish (or vice versa)
Trend Weight in Scoring
- Added trendWeight to the total score calculation
- Makes signals more aligned with larger trend
Visual Improvements
- []Projection lines now show at 40% probability (was 50%)
[]Better visibility of likely targets
How It Works Now:
- If last 75 bars show a [color=red]downtrend[/color], targets will be bearish (even if RSI is oversold)
- If last 75 bars show an [color=green]uptrend[/color], targets will be bullish (even if RSI is overbought)
- The probability adjusts based on trend strength
This solves the issue where the script was showing bullish targets in a clear downtrend. Now it properly reflects the dominant trend direction while still considering short-term indicators for probability calculations.
リリースノート
Updated to use Pinescript v6 and fine-tuned the cost projection table to consider the trend by analyzing the last 75 bars.オープンソーススクリプト
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オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、この作者はスクリプトのソースコードを公開しているので、その内容を理解し検証することができます。作者に感謝です!無料でお使いいただけますが、このコードを投稿に再利用する際にはハウスルールに従うものとします。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。