OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Enhanced Price Direction Predictor

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📊 Core Mechanism: Rule-Based Scoring:

The indicator relies on a simplified scoring model where it checks for nine specific conditions on the bullish side and nine corresponding conditions on the bearish side.

Bullish/Bearish Score Calculation:The script initializes bullish_score and bearish_score to $0.0$.It then checks a predefined list of features (e.g., $5$-period Rate of Change, $5/20$ EMA crossover, RSI level, Order Flow direction) and adds a fixed point value (weight) to the appropriate score if the condition is met.

Overbought/Oversold Penalty:It includes a built-in risk-management element by applying a $-0.10$ penalty if the RSI is in extreme territory:RSI(14) $>$ 70 (Overbought) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bullish_score.RSI(14) $<$ 30 (Oversold) $\rightarrow$ Penalty to bearish_score.

Probability Conversion:The probability_up is calculated by taking the ratio of the bullish_score to the total_score (sum of bullish and bearish scores):$$\text{Probability\_Up} = \frac{\text{Bullish\_Score}}{\text{Bullish\_Score} + \text{Bearish\_Score}}$IF the total_score is zero (i.e., no strong conditions are met), the probability defaults to $0.5$ (neutral).

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