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r - g Oscillator | Norm + Sigma-Bands
The r–g Oscillator measures the macro-liquidity regime by tracking the gap between real interest rates (r) and nominal GDP growth (g).
It approximates real rate pressure using the 10-Year Treasury yield minus the 5-Year/5-Year forward inflation expectation, and compares that to either Real or Nominal U.S. GDP YoY growth.
Green (g > r): Expansionary backdrop — growth outpaces real yields; liquidity tailwinds.
Red (r > g): Contractionary backdrop — real rates restrictive; liquidity headwinds.
The σ-bands (standard-deviation envelopes) highlight statistically extreme expansions or contractions in the r–g spread.
The “sweet-spot” shading marks moments when r–g breaks strongly above/below zero — early-cycle thrusts or late-cycle stress.
Optional normalization rescales r–g between –1 and +1 to compare across cycles.
Use:
Track shifts in the macro tide rather than short-term waves. Sustained green phases typically align with bull-market environments; red phases often coincide with tightening cycles or recessions. Combine with faster liquidity or breadth measures (e.g., WRESBAL ROC) for tactical confirmation.
It approximates real rate pressure using the 10-Year Treasury yield minus the 5-Year/5-Year forward inflation expectation, and compares that to either Real or Nominal U.S. GDP YoY growth.
Green (g > r): Expansionary backdrop — growth outpaces real yields; liquidity tailwinds.
Red (r > g): Contractionary backdrop — real rates restrictive; liquidity headwinds.
The σ-bands (standard-deviation envelopes) highlight statistically extreme expansions or contractions in the r–g spread.
The “sweet-spot” shading marks moments when r–g breaks strongly above/below zero — early-cycle thrusts or late-cycle stress.
Optional normalization rescales r–g between –1 and +1 to compare across cycles.
Use:
Track shifts in the macro tide rather than short-term waves. Sustained green phases typically align with bull-market environments; red phases often coincide with tightening cycles or recessions. Combine with faster liquidity or breadth measures (e.g., WRESBAL ROC) for tactical confirmation.
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保護スクリプト
このスクリプトのソースコードは非公開で投稿されています。 しかし、無料かつ制限なしでご利用いただけます ― 詳細についてはこちらをご覧ください。
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。