OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Gould 10Y + 4Y pattern
Description:
Overview This indicator is a comprehensive tool for macro-market analysis, designed to visualize historical market cycles on your chart. It combines Edson Gould’s famous Decennial Pattern with a Customizable 4-Year Cycle (e.g., 2002 base) to help traders identify long-term trends, potential market bottoms, and strong bullish years.
This tool is ideal for long-term investors and analysts looking for cyclical confluence on monthly or yearly timeframes (e.g., SPX, NDX).
Key Concepts
Edson Gould’s Decennial Pattern (10-Year Cycle)
Based on the theory that the stock market follows a psychological cycle determined by the last digit of the year.
5 (Strongest Bull): Historically the strongest performance years.
7 (Panic/Crash): Years often associated with market panic or crashes.
2 (Bottom/Buy): Years that often mark major lows.
Custom 4-Year Cycle (Target Year Strategy)
Identify recurring 4-year opportunities based on a user-defined base year.
Default Setting (Base 2002): Highlights years like 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022... which have historically been significant market bottoms or excellent buying opportunities.
When a "Target Year" arrives, the indicator highlights the background and displays a distinct Green "Target Year" Label.
Features
Real-time Dashboard: A table in the top-right corner displays the current year's status for both the 10-Year and 4-Year cycles, including a countdown to the next target year.
Dynamic Labels: Automatically marks every year on the chart with its Decennial status (e.g., "Strong Bull (5)", "Panic (7)").
Visual Highlighting:
Target Years: Distinct green background and labels for easy identification of the 4-year cycle.
Significant Decennial Years: Special small markers for years ending in 5 and 7.
Fully Customizable: You can change the base year for the 4-year cycle, toggle the dashboard, and adjust colors via the settings menu.
How to Use
Apply this indicator to high-timeframe charts (Weekly or Monthly) of major indices like S&P 500 or Nasdaq.
Look for confluence between the 10-Year Pattern (e.g., Year 6 - Bullish) and the 4-Year Cycle (Target Year) to confirm long-term bias.
Disclaimer This tool is for educational and research purposes only based on historical cycle theories. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk.
Overview This indicator is a comprehensive tool for macro-market analysis, designed to visualize historical market cycles on your chart. It combines Edson Gould’s famous Decennial Pattern with a Customizable 4-Year Cycle (e.g., 2002 base) to help traders identify long-term trends, potential market bottoms, and strong bullish years.
This tool is ideal for long-term investors and analysts looking for cyclical confluence on monthly or yearly timeframes (e.g., SPX, NDX).
Key Concepts
Edson Gould’s Decennial Pattern (10-Year Cycle)
Based on the theory that the stock market follows a psychological cycle determined by the last digit of the year.
5 (Strongest Bull): Historically the strongest performance years.
7 (Panic/Crash): Years often associated with market panic or crashes.
2 (Bottom/Buy): Years that often mark major lows.
Custom 4-Year Cycle (Target Year Strategy)
Identify recurring 4-year opportunities based on a user-defined base year.
Default Setting (Base 2002): Highlights years like 2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022... which have historically been significant market bottoms or excellent buying opportunities.
When a "Target Year" arrives, the indicator highlights the background and displays a distinct Green "Target Year" Label.
Features
Real-time Dashboard: A table in the top-right corner displays the current year's status for both the 10-Year and 4-Year cycles, including a countdown to the next target year.
Dynamic Labels: Automatically marks every year on the chart with its Decennial status (e.g., "Strong Bull (5)", "Panic (7)").
Visual Highlighting:
Target Years: Distinct green background and labels for easy identification of the 4-year cycle.
Significant Decennial Years: Special small markers for years ending in 5 and 7.
Fully Customizable: You can change the base year for the 4-year cycle, toggle the dashboard, and adjust colors via the settings menu.
How to Use
Apply this indicator to high-timeframe charts (Weekly or Monthly) of major indices like S&P 500 or Nasdaq.
Look for confluence between the 10-Year Pattern (e.g., Year 6 - Bullish) and the 4-Year Cycle (Target Year) to confirm long-term bias.
Disclaimer This tool is for educational and research purposes only based on historical cycle theories. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always manage your risk.
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、このスクリプトの作者はコードをオープンソースとして公開してくれました。トレーダーが内容を確認・検証できるようにという配慮です。作者に拍手を送りましょう！無料で利用できますが、コードの再公開はハウスルールに従う必要があります。
免責事項
この情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または推奨する金融、投資、トレード、その他のアドバイスや推奨を意図するものではなく、それらを構成するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。
オープンソーススクリプト
TradingViewの精神に則り、このスクリプトの作者はコードをオープンソースとして公開してくれました。トレーダーが内容を確認・検証できるようにという配慮です。作者に拍手を送りましょう！無料で利用できますが、コードの再公開はハウスルールに従う必要があります。
免責事項
この情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または推奨する金融、投資、トレード、その他のアドバイスや推奨を意図するものではなく、それらを構成するものでもありません。詳細は利用規約をご覧ください。