VIDYA with Dynamic Length Based on ICPThis script is a Pine Script-based indicator that combines two key concepts: the Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP) from Dr. John Ehlers and the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA). Here's an overview of how the script works:
Components:
Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP):
This part of the indicator uses Dr. John Ehlers' approach to detect the market cycle length dynamically. It calculates the phase of price movement by computing the in-phase and quadrature components of the price detrended over a specific period.
The ICP helps adjust the smoothing length dynamically, giving a real-time estimate of the dominant cycle in price action. The script uses a phase calculation, adjusts it for cycle dynamics, and smoothes it for more reliable readings.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average):
VIDYA is a moving average that dynamically adjusts its smoothing length based on the market conditions, in this case, using the RSI (Relative Strength Index) as a weight.
The length of VIDYA is determined by the dynamically calculated ICP, allowing it to adapt to changing market cycles.
This indicator performs several recursive layers of VIDYA smoothing (applying VIDYA multiple times) to provide a more refined result.
Key Features:
Dynamic Length: The length for the VIDYA calculation is derived from the smoothed ICP value, meaning that the smoothing adapts to the detected cycle length in real-time, making the indicator more responsive to market conditions.
Multiple VIDYA Layers: The script applies multiple layers of VIDYA smoothing (up to 5 iterations), further refining the output to smooth out market noise while maintaining responsiveness.
Plotting: The final smoothed VIDYA value and the smoothed ICP length are plotted. Additionally, overbought (70) and oversold (30) horizontal lines are provided for visual reference.
Application:
This indicator helps identify trends, smooths out price data, and adapts dynamically to market cycles. It's useful for detecting shifts in momentum and trends, and traders can use it to identify overbought or oversold conditions based on dynamically calculated thresholds.
インジケーターとストラテジー
Optimized WaveletsThe script, High-Resolution Volume-Price Pressure Indicator with Wavelets, utilizes wavelet transforms and high-resolution data to analyze market pressure based on volume and price dynamics. The approach combines volume data from smaller timeframes (1 second) with non-linear transformation techniques to generate a refined view of market conditions. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how it works:
Key Components:
Wavelet Transform:
A wavelet function is applied to the price and volume data to capture patterns over a set time period. This technique helps identify underlying structures in the data that might be missed with traditional moving averages.
High-Resolution Data:
The indicator fetches 1-second high-resolution data for price movements and volume. This allows the strategy to capture granular price and volume changes, crucial for short-term trading decisions.
Normalized Difference:
The script calculates the normalized difference in price and volume data. By comparing changes over the selected length, it standardizes these movements to help detect sudden shifts in market pressure.
Sigmoid Transformation:
After combining the price and volume wavelet data, a sigmoid function is applied to smooth out the resulting values. This non-linear transformation helps highlight significant moves while filtering out minor fluctuations.
Volume-Price Pressure:
The up and down volume differences, together with price movements, are combined to create a "Volume-Price Pressure Score." The final indicator reflects the pressure exerted on the market by both buyers and sellers.
Indicator Plot:
The final transformed score is plotted, showing how price and volume dynamics, combined through wavelet transformation, interact. The indicator can be used to identify potential market turning points or pressure buildups based on volume and price movement patterns.
This approach is well-suited for traders looking for advanced signal detection based on high-frequency data and can provide insight into areas where typical indicators may lag or overlook short-term volatility.
Sweep + MSS# Sweep + MSS Indicator
This indicator identifies market sweeps and Market Structure Shifts (MSS) to help traders recognize potential trend changes and market manipulations.
How it works:
1. Sweep Detection:
- Identifies when price briefly moves beyond a recent high/low (pivot point) and then reverses.
- Bullish sweep: Price drops below a recent low, then closes above it.
- Bearish sweep: Price rises above a recent high, then closes below it.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS):
- Occurs when price action invalidates a previous sweep level.
- Bullish MSS: Price closes above a bearish sweep level.
- Bearish MSS: Price closes below a bullish sweep level.
Key Features:
- Customizable pivot lookback length for sweep detection
- Minimum bar requirement after a sweep before MSS can trigger
- One MSS per sweep level to avoid multiple signals
- Visual representation with lines connecting sweep points to MSS triggers
- Emoji labels for easy identification (🐂-MSS for bullish, 🐻-MSS for bearish)
Logic Behind MSS:
The MSS aims to identify potential trend changes by recognizing when the market invalidates a previous sweep level. This often indicates a shift in market structure, suggesting that the previous trend may be weakening or reversing.
- A bullish MSS occurs when the price closes above a bearish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
- A bearish MSS occurs when the price closes below a bullish sweep level, potentially signaling a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
By requiring a minimum number of bars between the sweep and the MSS, the indicator helps filter out noise and focuses on more significant structural changes in the market.
This indicator can be a valuable tool for traders looking to identify potential trend changes and entry/exit points based on market structure analysis.
BTC ETF Flow Trading SignalsTracks large money flows (500M+) across major Bitcoin ETFs (IBIT, BTCO, FBTC, ARKB, BITB)
Generates long/short signals based on institutional money movement
Shows flow trends and strength of movements
This script provides a foundation for comparing ETF inflows and Bitcoin price. The effectiveness of the analysis depends on the quality of the data and your interpretation of the results. Key levels of 500M and 350M Inflow/Outflow Enjoy
Collaboration with Vivid Vibrations
Enjoy & improve!
Highest Single-Day Percentage Change (Close to Close)This Pine Script is designed to calculate and display the largest percentage change in stock price between consecutive days' closing prices. Here's a high-level breakdown of what the script does:
Daily Percentage Change Calculation:
It calculates how much the stock price changed from the previous day's close to the current day's close. The change is expressed as a percentage of the previous day's closing price.
Tracking the Highest Change:
The script keeps track of the largest percentage increase or decrease it has encountered in the dataset (from previous close to current close). It updates the value if a new day exceeds the current largest recorded percentage change.
Visual Representation:
The daily percentage changes are plotted as a line graph, allowing you to see how the stock's price fluctuates from one day to the next.
A separate line is drawn to represent the highest percentage change detected so far.
If a day's price change matches the highest recorded change, a label appears on the chart to highlight that specific point.
Dynamic Updates:
The script is dynamic, meaning it continually updates as new data comes in. So, as new days are added to the chart, the script checks if the percentage change exceeds the previously highest recorded value.
Why This Is Useful:
For traders and investors: It provides a quick way to identify which day saw the most significant price movement, helping to spot major market events or volatility.
For historical analysis: You can quickly find the most extreme single-day price swings in a stock's historical data, which might be useful for understanding past market behavior or making predictions about future moves.
Saturn Retrograde PeriodsSaturn Retrograde Periods Visualizer for TradingView
This Pine Script visualizes all Saturn retrograde periods since 2009, including the current retrograde ending on November 15, 2024. The script overlays yellow boxes on your TradingView chart to highlight the exact periods of Saturn retrograde. It's a great tool for astrologically-inclined traders or those interested in market timing based on astrological events.
Key Features:
Full Historical Coverage: Displays Saturn retrograde periods from 2009 (the inception of Bitcoin) to the current retrograde ending in November 2024.
Customizable Appearance: You can easily adjust the color and opacity of the boxes directly from the script's settings window, making it flexible for various chart styles.
Visual Clarity: The boxes span the full vertical range of your chart, ensuring the retrograde periods are clearly visible over any asset, timeframe, or price action.
How to Use:
Add the script to your TradingView chart.
Adjust the color and opacity in the settings to suit your preferences.
View all relevant Saturn retrograde periods and analyze how these astrological events may align with price movements in your selected asset.
This script is perfect for traders and analysts who want to combine astrology with financial market analysis!
scripted by chat.gpt - version 1.0
[EmreKb] Combined CandlesThis script combines multiple candlestick patterns into a single, unified candle when they are of the same type (bullish or bearish). Instead of displaying every individual candle on the chart, it merges consecutive candles based on their direction to simplify the visual analysis of price movements.
What It Does:
Combines Candles: If two or more consecutive candles are bullish (close price higher than open price) or bearish (close price lower than open price), the script merges them into a single candle, adjusting the high, low, and close values accordingly.
Displays Merged Candles: The merged candles are drawn on the chart. A green bar represents a bullish period, while a red bar represents a bearish period.
How It Works:
The script tracks whether each candle is bullish or bearish.
If a candle is the same type as the previous one, it updates the combined candle (adjusting the high, low, and close values).
When the type changes (from bullish to bearish or vice versa), it finalizes the current combined candle and starts a new one.
The merged candles are displayed on the chart at the end of the data series.
Use Case:
This script simplifies price action by grouping similar candles together, making it easier to identify trends and spot periods of sustained buying or selling pressure. It can help traders focus on the overall direction of the market rather than being distracted by small fluctuations between individual candles.
Wave Anchor IndicatorThe Wave Anchor Indicator is designed to mark the crossing of overbought and oversold levels of higher time frame momentum waves, based on the VuManChu Cipher B+Divergences Wave Trend Indicator. This tool is inspired by the TP Mint trading strategy, which relies heavily on the momentum waves of Market Cipher B or VuManChu Cipher B for identifying optimal entry and exit points.
Key Concept: Anchored Waves
In the TP Mint strategy, momentum waves in overbought (above 60) or oversold (below -60) conditions on higher time frames are considered "anchored." These anchored waves provide strong signals for entries and take-profit points when viewed on lower time frames. The Wave Anchor Indicator focuses on these anchor conditions to help traders make informed decisions by seeing higher time frame anchor states directly on the entry time frame chart.
How It Works
Labeling Signals:
- On lower time frames, such as the 15-minute chart, the indicator shows labels when higher
time frame momentum waves (1-hour and 4-hour) cross the overbought or oversold levels.
- Labels above price indicate overbought conditions, with green labels when the wave crosses
upward and red labels when crossing downward.
- Labels below price signal oversold conditions, with red for a downward cross and green for an
upward cross.
- Each label displays the time frame of the crossing momentum wave, providing context for
traders at a glance.
Time Frame Pairings:
- On the 15-minute time frame, the indicator tracks anchor conditions from the 1-hour and 4-
hour time frames.
- On the 1-hour chart, it monitors 4-hour and daily time frame anchor conditions.
Customization and Alerts
Flexible Display Options : Users can choose to display none, one, or both of the grouped higher time frame labels, depending on their strategy and preferences.
Alerts : The indicator also allows for custom alerts when a label appears, helping traders stay on top of key market movements without constantly monitoring the chart.
Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for traders who use momentum-based strategies across multiple time frames. It simplifies the process of identifying key entry and exit points by focusing on the anchor conditions from higher time frames, making it easier to execute the TP Mint strategy or similar methods.
Thank you to VuManChu and LazyBear for mamking the momentum wave code open source and allowing it’s use in this indicator.
Time Vertical LinesVLines - Time-Based Vertical Lines with Zones
This PineScript indicator creates vertical time lines with customizable zones between them. Perfect for marking trading sessions, key market times, or any time-based analysis.
Key Features:
- 5 configurable time lines
- 3 customizable zones (between lines 1-2, 2-3, and 4-5)
- Each zone features:
- Background shading
- Horizontal lines at high/low points
- Independent color controls
- Adjustable line styles and widths
- Time zone offset adjustment
- Option to show/hide historical lines
Installation Instructions:
1. Open TradingView's Pine Script Editor
2. Create a new script
3. Copy and paste the entire code
4. Add to Chart
Setup Guide:
1. Time Zone Adjustment:
- Find the "Time Zone Offset (Hours)" setting
- Adjust if lines appear at wrong times
- Example: If lines appear 3 hours early, set offset to 3
2. Basic Time Lines (1-3):
- Each line has settings for:
- Hour (0-23)
- Minute (0-59)
- Color
- Show/Hide toggle
3. Session Lines (4-5):
- Special lines typically used for session marking
- Same settings as basic lines
- Default red color to distinguish from other lines
4. Zone Customization:
Three separate zones are available:
- Zone 1-2 (between first and second lines)
- Zone 2-3 (between second and third lines)
- Zone 4-5 (between fourth and fifth lines)
Each zone can be customized with:
- Background color and transparency
- Horizontal line color
- Line style (Solid/Dashed/Dotted)
- Line width
- Individual show/hide toggles for zone and lines
5. Additional Settings:
- "Show Historical Lines" - toggle to show/hide lines on previous days
- Global line style and width settings for vertical lines
Suggested Uses:
1. Mark pre-market, market, and post-market sessions
2. Highlight specific trading windows
3. Track time-based support/resistance levels
4. Monitor price ranges during specific time periods
Tips:
- Start by setting just one zone to get familiar with the controls
- Use different colors for different sessions/time periods
- Adjust transparency to maintain chart visibility
- Use the show/hide toggles to focus on specific times
- The horizontal lines automatically mark the high/low range between time points
Daily Volume Metrics BoxDaily Volume Metrics Box
A powerful tool for monitoring intraday trading metrics in real-time. This indicator provides a clean, customizable display of key market statistics that reset daily.
🔑 Key Features:
- Daily Volume Distribution - Track positive and negative volume separately
- Net Volume Analysis - Monitor the balance of buying vs selling volume
- Average Candle Size - Dynamic calculation of recent price movement magnitude
- Flexible Positioning - Place the metrics box in any corner of your chart
- Auto-Reset - All metrics automatically reset at the start of each trading day
- Current Date Display - Always know which day's data you're viewing
📊 Metrics Explained:
1. Avg Size: Average candle size over your specified lookback period
2. Pos Vol: Accumulated volume from up-moves during the current day
3. Neg Vol: Accumulated volume from down-moves during the current day
4. Net Vol: The difference between positive and negative volume (Pos Vol - Neg Vol)
⚙️ Customization Options:
- Number of candles for average (1-∞)
- Background color and transparency
- Text color
- Box position (Top/Bottom, Left/Right)
- Distance from chart edge (1-5 bars)
📌 Usage Tips:
- Use larger lookback periods for more stable average candle size
- Position the box where it won't interfere with your chart analysis
- Monitor net volume for potential trend strength confirmation
- Compare positive and negative volume for insight into price momentum
🔄 Daily Reset:
All volume metrics reset at the start of each trading day, ensuring you're always looking at current day data only.
Perfect for day traders, swing traders, and anyone who wants to monitor intraday market dynamics with clean, organized metrics.
Note: This indicator works best on intraday timeframes where volume data is available.
Fluid Dynamics-Inspired Indicator with Bidirectional ScalingThe "Enhanced Fluid Dynamics-Inspired Indicator with Bidirectional Scaling" is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that draws inspiration from the principles of fluid dynamics to measure both upward and downward price movements, while also incorporating volatility and momentum into its calculations. The indicator aims to provide traders with a clear understanding of market dynamics by analyzing "streamflow" (price and volume movements) in both directions, enhanced with adaptive scaling techniques.
Key Features:
Bidirectional Price Momentum:
The indicator separately calculates positive and negative momentum using the price's rate of change. This allows for independent analysis of upward and downward price movements, providing a balanced view of the market's direction.
Streamflow Model:
The "streamflow" is calculated by multiplying volume flow with price momentum. This approach treats the market as a fluid system, where the momentum and volume of trades influence the flow of prices in both upward and downward directions. Streamflow is calculated independently for each direction.
Adaptive Volatility Scaling:
Volatility is dynamically calculated using the Average True Range (ATR) and is weighted to adjust to varying market conditions. An adaptive logarithmic scaling factor is applied to the volatility to capture the dynamic nature of market environments.
DRMA (Displaced Rolling Moving Average):
The indicator uses the DRMA function to smooth out price and volume data, improving the accuracy of its measurements. This allows the indicator to capture longer-term trends while still being responsive to short-term fluctuations.
Non-Linear Scaling and Normalization:
To ensure that the output values are within a usable range, the indicator employs a sigmoid-based non-linear scaling function. This helps normalize the composite output, making it easier to interpret overbought and oversold conditions.
Visual Representation:
The indicator plots two separate lines for upward and downward market movements, making it easy to distinguish between bullish and bearish trends. Background colors are also used to highlight periods of strong upward or downward momentum, as well as high volatility.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Upper and lower thresholds are used to signal potential overbought and oversold conditions. Alerts are triggered when the market moves into extreme levels, helping traders identify potential entry and exit points.
Usage:
This indicator is designed for traders who are looking for a more nuanced and dynamic tool to measure both bullish and bearish trends. By using bidirectional scaling, it provides clearer signals for market direction, while adaptive volatility and momentum adjustments ensure the indicator responds to different market environments. The alert conditions make it especially useful for timing trades in highly volatile conditions or when price movements reach extreme levels.
Fractal & Entropy Market Dynamics with Mexican Hat WaveletThis indicator combines fractal analysis, entropy, and wavelet theory to model market dynamics using a customized approach. It integrates advanced mathematical techniques to assess the complexity and structure of price action, while also incorporating volume and price volatility.
Key Concepts and Features:
Volume-Weighted Price:
The script calculates a volume-adjusted price using a moving average of volume to give more weight to periods with higher volume. This allows the indicator to account for the impact of trading volume on price movements, enhancing its sensitivity to significant price shifts.
Mexican Hat Wavelet Approximation:
The script employs the Mexican Hat Wavelet, a mathematical tool that approximates price movements based on the Laplacian of the price series. This helps capture localized oscillations in price, acting as a filter to highlight certain price dynamics over the specified length. This wavelet is commonly used to identify key inflection points and trends in financial data.
Fractal Dimension Calculation:
The fractal dimension is calculated to quantify the market's complexity. It measures how price moves between intervals, with higher values indicating chaotic or more volatile market behavior. This dimension captures the self-similarity in price movements across different time frames, a key feature of fractals.
Shannon Entropy Calculation:
Shannon Entropy is used to measure the randomness or uncertainty in the price action. It calculates the degree of unpredictability based on the price changes, providing insight into the market's informational efficiency. Higher entropy indicates more randomness, while lower entropy suggests more predictable trends.
Custom Normalization:
The script includes a custom normalization function that processes the composite score (derived from fractal dimension and entropy). This normalization helps scale the values into a consistent range, making it easier to interpret the output. The smoothing factor and RSI-based approach ensure that the normalized value reacts smoothly to the changes in market dynamics.
Composite Score:
The composite score is a weighted combination of the fractal dimension and entropy. This score aims to provide a holistic view of the market by combining the structural complexity (fractal) and randomness (entropy) into one unified metric.
Plotting and Visuals:
The indicator plots the normalized composite score on a scale where a baseline of 50 is provided for reference. The resulting plot helps traders visualize market dynamics, with the score fluctuating based on changes in the market's fractal dimension and entropy. A score above or below the baseline of 50 indicates potential market shifts.
Use Case:
The "Enhanced Fractal and Entropy Market Dynamics with Mexican Hat Wavelet" is useful for traders looking to identify market conditions where there is a balance between price structure and randomness. By integrating wavelets, fractals, and entropy, the indicator can provide insights into market complexity, helping traders recognize potential trend reversals, periods of consolidation, or increased volatility. This can be particularly effective for those employing swing trading or trend-following strategies
Macros ICT KillZones [TradingFinder] Times & Price Trading Setup🔵 Introduction
ICT Macros, developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as ICT (Inner Circle Trader), is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify the best trading opportunities during key time intervals like the London and New York trading sessions.
For traders aiming to capitalize on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), understanding and using these critical time zones can significantly improve trading outcomes.
In today’s highly competitive financial markets, identifying the moments when the market is seeking buy-side or sell-side liquidity, or filling price imbalances, is essential for maximizing profitability.
The ICT Macros indicator is built on the renowned ICT time and price theory, which enables traders to track and leverage key market dynamics such as breaks of highs and lows, imbalances, and liquidity hunts.
This indicator automatically detects crucial market times and optimizes strategies for traders by highlighting the specific moments when price movements are most likely to occur. A standout feature of ICT Macros is its automatic adjustment for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring that traders remain synced with the correct session times.
This means you can rely on accurate market timing without the need for manual updates, allowing you to focus on capturing profitable trades during critical timeframes.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Macros indicator helps you capitalize on trading opportunities during key market moments, particularly when the market is breaking highs or lows, filling Fair Value Gaps (FVG), or addressing imbalances. This indicator is particularly beneficial for traders who seek to identify liquidity, market volatility, and price imbalances.
🟣 Sessions
London Sessions
London Macro 1 :
UTC Time : 06:33 to 07:00
New York Time : 02:33 to 03:00
London Macro 2 :
UTC Time : 08:03 to 08:30
New York Time : 04:03 to 04:30
New York Sessions
New York Macro AM 1 :
UTC Time : 12:50 to 13:10
New York Time : 08:50 to 09:10
New York Macro AM 2 :
UTC Time : 13:50 to 14:10
New York Time : 09:50 to 10:10
New York Macro AM 3 :
UTC Time : 14:50 to 15:10
New York Time : 10:50 to 11:10
New York Lunch Macro :
UTC Time : 15:50 to 16:10
New York Time : 11:50 to 12:10
New York PM Macro :
UTC Time : 17:10 to 17:40
New York Time : 13:10 to 13:40
New York Last Hour Macro :
UTC Time : 19:15 to 19:45
New York Time : 15:15 to 15:45
These time intervals adjust automatically based on Daylight Saving Time (DST), helping traders to enter or exit trades during key market moments when price volatility is high.
Below are the main applications of this tool and how to incorporate it into your trading strategies :
🟣 Combining ICT Macros with Trading Strategies
The ICT Macros indicator can easily be used in conjunction with various trading strategies. Two well-known strategies that can be combined with this indicator include:
ICT 2022 Trading Model : This model is designed based on identifying market liquidity, structural price changes, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). By using ICT Macros, you can identify the key time intervals when the market is seeking liquidity, filling imbalances, or breaking through important highs and lows, allowing you to enter or exit trades at the right moment.
Silver Bullet Strategy : This strategy, which is built around liquidity hunting and rapid price movements, can work more accurately with the help of ICT Macros. The indicator pinpoints precise liquidity times, helping traders take advantage of market shifts caused by filling Fair Value Gaps or correcting imbalances.
🟣 Capitalizing on Price Volatility During Key Times
Large market algorithms often seek liquidity or fill Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the intervals marked by ICT Macros. These periods are when price volatility increases, and traders can use these moments to enter or exit trades.
For example, if sell-side liquidity is drained and the market fills an imbalance, the price might move toward buy-side liquidity. By identifying these moments, which may also involve breaking a previous high or low, you can leverage rapid market fluctuations to your advantage.
🟣 Identifying Liquidity and Price Imbalances
One of the important uses of ICT Macros is identifying points where the market is seeking liquidity and correcting imbalances. You can determine high or low liquidity levels in the market before each ICT Macro, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and price imbalances that need to be filled, using them to adjust your trading strategy. This capability allows you to manage trades based on liquidity shifts or imbalance corrections without needing a bias toward a specific direction.
🔵 Settings
The ICT Macros indicator offers various customization options, allowing users to tailor it to their specific needs. Below are the main settings:
Time Zone Mode : You can select one of the following options to define how time is displayed:
UTC : For traders who need to work with Universal Time.
Session Local Time : The local time corresponding to the London or New York markets.
Your Time Zone : You can specify your own time zone (e.g., "UTC-4:00").
Your Time Zone : If you choose "Your Time Zone," you can set your specific time zone. By default, this is set to UTC-4:00.
Show Range Time : This option allows you to display the time range of each session on the chart. If enabled, the exact start and end times of each interval are shown.
Show or Hide Time Ranges : Toggle on/off for visual clarity depending on user preference.
Custom Colors : Set distinct colors for each session, allowing users to personalize their chart based on their trading style.These settings allow you to adjust the key time intervals of each trading session to your preference and customize the time format according to your own needs.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Macros indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping them to identify key time intervals where the market seeks liquidity or fills Fair Value Gaps (FVG), corrects imbalances, and breaks highs or lows. This tool is especially valuable for traders using liquidity-based strategies such as ICT 2022 or Silver Bullet.
One of the key features of this indicator is its support for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring you are always in sync with the correct trading session timings without manual adjustments. This is particularly beneficial for traders operating across different time zones.
With ICT Macros, you can capitalize on crucial market opportunities during sensitive times, take advantage of imbalances, and enhance your trading strategies based on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps.
DualTrend [CHE]DualTrend Indicator for TradingView
Overview
Introducing the DualTrend indicator, a powerful tool designed to enhance your trading strategies on TradingView. Inspired by the renowned HalfTrend Indicator developed by everget, DualTrend combines dual amplitude settings to provide clearer trend signals and more precise entry and exit points. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this indicator is crafted to assist you in making informed trading decisions with greater confidence.
Key Features
- Dual Amplitude Settings
- Fast Amplitude: Configurable to quickly respond to market changes, ideal for short-term trading.
- Slow Amplitude: Smoother and less sensitive, perfect for identifying long-term trends.
- Channel Deviation Control
- Customize the channel deviation to adjust the sensitivity of the trend lines based on market volatility.
- Visual Trade Signals
- Buy Signals: Indicated by green upward-pointing triangles below the price bars.
- Sell Signals: Indicated by red downward-pointing triangles above the price bars.
- Easily distinguishable signals to streamline your trading decisions.
- Customizable Alerts
- Set up alerts for buy and sell signals to stay informed in real-time, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
- Clear Trend Lines
- Fast HalfTrend Line: Plotted in blue for quick trend identification.
- Slow HalfTrend Line: Plotted in orange for long-term trend analysis.
- User-Friendly Inputs
- Adjustable parameters to tailor the indicator to your specific trading style and market conditions.
How It Works
The DualTrend indicator calculates two HalfTrend lines based on different amplitude settings—Fast and Slow. These lines represent potential support and resistance levels derived from the average true range (ATR) and simple moving averages (SMA).
- Trend Detection:
- When the Fast HalfTrend line crosses above the Slow HalfTrend line, a Buy Signal is generated.
- Conversely, when the Fast HalfTrend line crosses below the Slow HalfTrend line, a Sell Signal is triggered.
- Adaptive Channels:
- The indicator dynamically adjusts the channels around the trend lines using ATR-based deviations, providing a responsive measure to market volatility.
Why Choose DualTrend ?
- Inspired by Excellence: Built upon the foundational principles of the HalfTrend Indicator by everget, DualTrend offers enhanced functionality and flexibility.
- Versatile Application: Suitable for various financial instruments, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
- Educational Purpose: Designed to help traders understand and implement trend-following strategies effectively.
Disclaimer
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Installation & Usage
1. Add to TradingView:
- Copy the provided Pine Script code.
- Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script editor.
- Paste the code and save the script as "DualTrend ".
- Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Customize Settings:
- Adjust the Fast Amplitude and Slow Amplitude to match your trading preferences.
- Modify the Channel Deviation to control the sensitivity of the trend lines.
- Toggle Show Arrows to display or hide buy/sell signals.
3. Set Up Alerts:
- Configure alerts based on the buy and sell signals to receive real-time notifications.
Conclusion
Elevate your trading strategy with the DualTrend indicator. Leveraging the proven methodology of the HalfTrend Indicator by everget, this tool offers dual trend analysis, customizable settings, and clear visual signals to help you navigate the markets with precision. Whether you're aiming to capture short-term movements or identify long-term trends, DualTrend is your reliable companion on TradingView.
Happy Trading!
Best regards
Chervolino
This indicator is inspired by the well-known Everget HalfTrend:
Bernoulli Price Dynamics with IntraBar Volume (Bidirectional)This indicator adapts the principles of Bernoulli’s equation from fluid dynamics to analyze price and volume dynamics in the market. By incorporating intrabar volume data and splitting price movements into upward and downward components, it provides a bidirectional view of the market's kinetic and potential energies. This approach helps assess market pressure in both upward and downward directions, offering insights into potential price movement with energy-based mechanics.
Key Features:
Intrabar Volume Integration: The indicator collects up and down volume data from a lower timeframe, such as seconds or minutes, to provide more granular insights.
Bidirectional Market Pressure: By separating upward and downward price movements, it calculates market pressure in both directions, which is akin to fluid pressure. The separation enables tracking of distinct upward and downward energy flows in the market.
Energy Calculation:
Kinetic Energy: This represents the "movement" aspect of the price, weighted by volume. It is calculated for both upward and downward movements based on price velocity squared.
Potential Energy: This represents the "position" aspect of the price, calculated as the product of volume and the current price level. It is also separated into upward and downward components.
Market Pressure: The difference between the total energy (sum of kinetic and potential energies) and the highest observed total energy over a defined period (N). This provides an insight into the current momentum of price movement in both directions.
Visualization:
Market Pressure Up/Down: Plots the calculated market pressure for upward (green) and downward (red) movements.
Kinetic and Potential Energies: Provides individual plots for kinetic and potential energy in both directions to analyze the behavior of price and volume in more detail.
This indicator can be used to track market momentum and potential reversals by understanding the energy and pressure dynamics in both upward and downward price movements.
Enhanced volumeHi all!
This indicator plots volume at the bottom of the chart and the volume Moving Average (with the choice of Simple Moving Average (SMA) (default), Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)) and desired length (defaults to 20). It then changes the transparency of the volume (and the bars body) based on the close and the volume. It also changes the bar transparency. All these visual changes can be configured in the "Style" tab in the indicators settings.
The opacity will be high when the close is considered to be a "Strong close (%)" and has a bigger volume than any of the red closing in the last 10 bars. This "Strong close (%)" is defaulted to 50 which means that the bar needs to close equal or higher than 50% of the bar.
You also have an option to include red bars, which are excluded by default.
This indicator can help you to spot bars with relevant volume and find reversals.
I hope this explanation makes sense, let me know otherwise. Also let me know if you have any suggestions on improvements.
Best of trading luck!
FuTech V-Spike & V-HighlighterFuTech V-Spike & V-Highlighter
In the context of trading and technical analysis, this volume spike & volume highlighter indicator is the perfect indicator used to assess market activity and make informed trading decisions.
Let's Understand in brief as below :
1) Volume Spike :
A volume spike refers to a sudden, significant increase in trading volume compared to the average volume over a specific period.
This spike can indicate heightened interest in a particular security, often preceding price movements.
Traders may look for volume spikes as signals for potential buy or sell opportunities because they can suggest that a stock is experiencing increased activity, possibly due to news, earnings releases, or other catalysts.
Characteristics of a Volume Spike:
Assess the sudden increase in trading volume.
It Can occur in both upward and downward price movements.
Often compared to the average volume over a defined period (e.g., the last 20 days).
2) Volume Highlighter:
A volume highlighter emphasizes significant changes in trading volume on a price chart. This indicator typically uses color coding to highlight periods of high volume, making it easier for traders to identify volume spikes at a glance.
How this indicator works:
a) Volume Spike will calculate the highest volume spike as per the user defined threshold multiplier. (Multiplier = when volume exceeds a certain threshold)
b) The threshold Multiplier can be set based on a fixed number or as a multiple of the Exponential Moving Average volume. Volume Spike Multiplier default is 1.5, means the EMA volume should cross 1.5 times the user defined lookback period
c) The result is derived from the user defined lookback candles by using its EMA instead of SMA, which will give us more precise results.
d) By default, last 10 candles EMA average is used to calculate the Volume Spike but you can choose your lookback period as many days, weeks, months, years of your choice !
e) In Volume Spike -
- Green candle will show Yellow color Bar as Bullish sentiments, whereas
- Red candle will show Black Bar as Bearish sentiments.
f) Volume Highlighter will highlight the candles background if the highest volume is crossing as per the the user defined lookback period
g) Default Lookback period is 20, Color coding (e.g., Blue for bullish spikes, Red for bearish spikes) helps traders quickly assess the volume context.
h) Volume Highlighter plotting shapes and positions can be modified
Illustration:
From the Above pic,
If last Volume Spike is 10 lookback candles, Spike multiplier is 1.5 and Highlighter lookback candles is 20,
Then yellow candle means the spike in volume which is 1.5 times higher than the last 10 candles
Highlighting color defines the highest volumes trading from the last 20 candles which is either Blue (Bullish) or Red (Bearish) sentiments
Conclusion :
Using FuTech V-Spike & V-Highlighter indicator - will help traders identify potential trading opportunities and better understand market dynamics.
By analyzing volume in conjunction with price movements, traders can make more informed decisions based on market sentiment.
Thank you !
Jai Swaminarayan Dasna Das !
He Hari ! Bas Ek Tu Raji Tha !
RV- Dynamic Trend AnalyzerRV Dynamic Trend Analyzer
The RV Dynamic Trend Analyzer is a powerful TradingView indicator designed to help traders identify and capitalize on trends across multiple time frames—daily, weekly, and monthly. With dynamic adjustments to key technical indicators like EMA and MACD, the tool adapts to different chart periods, ensuring more accurate signals. Whether you are swing trading or holding longer-term positions, this indicator provides reliable buy/sell signals, breakout opportunities, and customizable visual elements to enhance decision-making. Its intelligent use of EMAs and MACD values ensures high potential returns, making it suitable for traders seeking strong, data-driven strategies. Below are its core features and their respective benefits.
Supertrend Indicator:
Importance: The Supertrend is a trend-following tool that helps traders identify the market’s direction by offering clear buy and sell signals based on price movement relative to the Supertrend line.
Benefits:
Helps filter out market noise and enables traders to stay in trends longer.
The pullback detection feature enhances trade timing by identifying potential entry points during retracements.
ATH/ATL & 52-Week High/Low with Candle Coloring:
Importance: Tracking all-time highs (ATH), all-time lows (ATL), and 52-week high/low levels helps traders identify key support and resistance levels.
Benefits:
Offers insights into the strength of price movements and potential reversal zones.
Candle coloring improves visual analysis, allowing quick identification of bullish or bearish conditions at critical levels.
Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Importance: The ability to view indicators like RSI and MACD across multiple time frames provides a more in-depth and comprehensive view of market behavior, allowing traders to make informed decisions that align with both short-term and long-term trends.
Benefits:
Align Strategies Across Time frames: By using multiple time frames, traders can align their strategies with larger trends (such as weekly or daily) while executing trades on lower time frames (like 1-minute or 5-minute charts). This improves the accuracy of trade entries and exits.
Reduce False Signals: Viewing key technical indicators like RSI and MACD across different time frames reduces the likelihood of false signals by offering a broader market context, filtering out noise from smaller time frames.
Customization of Table Display: Traders can customize the position and size of a table that displays RSI and MACD values for selected time frames. This flexibility enhances visibility and ease of analysis.
Time frame-Specific Data: The code allows for displaying RSI and MACD data for up to seven different time frames, making it highly customizable for traders depending on their preferred analysis period.
Visual Clarity: The table displays key values such as RSI and MACD histogram readings in a visually clear format, with color coding to quickly indicate overbought/oversold levels or MACD crossovers.
Pivot Points:
Importance: Pivot points serve as key support and resistance levels that help predict potential price movements.
Benefits:
Assists in identifying potential reversal zones and breakout points, aiding in trade planning.
Displaying pivot points across multiple time frames enhances market insight and improves strategic planning.
Quarterly Earnings Table:
Importance: Understanding a company’s quarterly earnings releases is crucial, as these events often lead to significant price volatility. Traders can leverage this information to adjust their strategies around earnings reports and prevent unexpected losses.
Benefits:
Helps traders anticipate potential price movements due to earnings reports.
Allows traders to avoid sudden losses by being aware of important earnings announcements and adjusting positions accordingly.
Customizable Visuals for Traders:
Dark Mode: Toggle between dark and light themes based on your chart's color scheme.
Mini Mode: A condensed version that visually simplifies the data, making it quicker to interpret through color-coded traffic lights (green for positive, red for negative).
Table Size & Position: Customize the size and position of the table for better visibility on your charts.
Data Period (FQ vs FY): Easily switch between displaying quarterly or yearly data based on the selected period.
Top-Left Cell Display: Option to display Free Float or Market Cap in the top-left cell for quick reference.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with Adjustable Lengths:
Importance: EMAs are essential for identifying trends and generating reliable buy/sell signals. The indicator plots four EMAs that dynamically adjust based on the selected time frame.
Benefits:
Dynamic Time frame Logic: EMA lengths and sources automatically adapt based on whether the user selects daily, weekly, or monthly time frames. This ensures the EMAs are relevant for the chosen strategy.
Multiple EMAs: By incorporating four different EMAs, users can observe both short-term and long-term trends simultaneously, improving their ability to identify key trend shifts.
Breakout Arrow Functionality:
Importance: This feature visually signals potential buy/sell opportunities based on the interaction between EMAs and MACD crossovers.
Benefits:
Crossover Signals: Arrows are plotted when EMAs and MACD cross, indicating breakout opportunities and aiding in quick trade decisions.
RSI Filter Option: Users can apply an optional RSI filter to refine buy/sell signals, reducing false signals and improving overall accuracy.
Disclaimer:
Before engaging in actual trading, we strongly recommend back testing the this indicator to ensure it fits your trading style and risk tolerance. Be sure to adjust your risk-reward ratio and set appropriate stop-loss levels to safeguard your investments. Proper risk management is key to successful trading.
Relative VolatilityRelative Volatility is a technical indicator designed to assess changes in market volatility by comparing fast and slow Average True Range (ATR) values. It operates by subtracting a slower ATR (e.g., 50-period ATR) from a faster ATR (e.g., 20-period ATR) and visualizing the result as a histogram. This enables traders to determine whether volatility is increasing or decreasing over time.
This indicator can help traders recognize volatility trends, which can inform decisions related to trade entries, exits, and risk management.
Interpreting Volatility Changes
Increasing Volatility: When the histogram is above zero, it indicates that the fast ATR is greater than the slow ATR, signifying an increase in short-term volatility compared to the long-term average. This may suggest heightened market activity and potential trading opportunities.
Decreasing Volatility: When the histogram is below zero, it shows that the fast ATR is less than the slow ATR, indicating a decrease in short-term volatility relative to the long-term average. This may suggest consolidating markets or reduced trading activity.
Relative Volatility assists traders in monitoring and analyzing changes in market volatility, providing insights that can enhance trading strategies and decision-making processes.
Savitzky-Golay Z-Score [BackQuant]Savitzky-Golay Z-Score
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a powerful trading indicator that combines the precision of the Savitzky-Golay filter with the statistical strength of the Z-Score. This advanced indicator is designed to detect trend shifts, identify overbought or oversold conditions, and highlight potential divergences in the market, providing traders with a unique edge in detecting momentum changes and trend reversals.
Core Concept: Savitzky-Golay Filter
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a widely-used smoothing technique that preserves important signal features such as peak detection while filtering out noise. In this indicator, the filter is applied to price data (default set to HLC3) to smooth out volatility and produce a cleaner trend line. By specifying the window size and polynomial degree, traders can fine-tune the degree of smoothing to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
Z-Score: Measuring Deviation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates how far the current price is from its mean in terms of standard deviations. In trading, the Z-Score can be used to identify extreme price moves that are likely to revert or continue trending. A positive Z-Score means the price is above the mean, while a negative Z-Score indicates the price is below the mean.
This script calculates the Z-Score based on the Savitzky-Golay filtered price, enabling traders to detect moments when the price is diverging from its typical range and may present an opportunity for a trade.
Long and Short Conditions
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score generates clear long and short signals based on the Z-Score value:
Long Signals : When the Z-Score is positive, indicating the price is above its smoothed mean, a long signal is generated. The color of the bars turns green, signaling upward momentum.
Short Signals : When the Z-Score is negative, indicating the price is below its smoothed mean, a short signal is generated. The bars turn red, signaling downward momentum.
These signals allow traders to follow the prevailing trend with confidence, using statistical backing to avoid false signals from short-term volatility.
Standard Deviation Levels and Extreme Levels
This indicator includes several features to help visualize overbought and oversold conditions:
Standard Deviation Levels: The script plots horizontal lines at +1, +2, -1, and -2 standard deviations. These levels provide a reference for how far the current price is from the mean, allowing traders to quickly identify when the price is moving into extreme territory.
Extreme Levels: Additional extreme levels at +3 and +4 (and their negative counterparts) are plotted to highlight areas where the price is highly likely to revert. These extreme levels provide important insight into market conditions that are far outside the norm, signaling caution or potential reversal zones.
The indicator also adapts the color shading of these extreme zones based on the Z-Score’s strength. For example, the area between +3 and +4 is shaded with a stronger color when the Z-Score approaches these values, giving a visual representation of market pressure.
Divergences: Detecting Hidden and Regular Signals
A key feature of the Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences, both regular and hidden:
Regular Bullish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a lower low while the Z-Score forms a higher low. It signals that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bullish reversal could be near.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a higher low while the Z-Score forms a lower low. It signals that bullish momentum may continue after a temporary pullback.
Regular Bearish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a higher high while the Z-Score forms a lower high, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish reversal may be near.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a lower high while the Z-Score forms a higher high, indicating that bearish momentum may continue after a temporary rally.
These divergences are plotted directly on the chart, making it easier for traders to spot when the price and momentum are out of sync and when a potential reversal may occur.
Customization and Visualization
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score offers a range of customization options to fit different trading styles:
Window Size and Polynomial Degree: Adjust the window size and polynomial degree of the Savitzky-Golay filter to control how much smoothing is applied to the price data.
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the lookback period for calculating the Z-Score, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity to short-term or long-term price movements.
Display Options: Choose whether to display standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence labels on the chart.
Bar Color: Color the price bars based on trend direction, with green for bullish trends and red for bearish trends, allowing traders to easily visualize the current momentum.
Divergences: Enable or disable divergence detection, and adjust the lookback periods for pivots used to detect regular and hidden divergences.
Alerts and Automation
To ensure you never miss an important signal, the indicator includes built-in alert conditions for the following events:
Positive Z-Score (Long Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Negative Z-Score (Short Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses below zero, signaling a potential short opportunity.
Shifting Momentum: Alerts when the Z-Score is shifting up or down, providing early warning of changing market conditions.
These alerts can be configured to notify you via email, SMS, or app notification, allowing you to stay on top of the market without having to constantly monitor the chart.
Trading Applications
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a versatile tool that can be applied across multiple trading strategies:
Trend Following: By smoothing the price and calculating the Z-Score, this indicator helps traders follow the prevailing trend while avoiding false signals from short-term volatility.
Mean Reversion: The Z-Score highlights moments when the price is far from its mean, helping traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and capitalize on potential reversals.
Divergence Trading: Regular and hidden divergences between the Z-Score and price provide early warning of trend reversals, allowing traders to enter trades at opportune moments.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is an advanced statistical tool designed to provide a clearer view of market trends and momentum. By applying the Savitzky-Golay filter and Z-Score analysis, this indicator reduces noise and highlights key areas where the market may reverse or accelerate, giving traders a significant edge in understanding price behavior.
Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and insights you need to navigate complex markets with confidence.
Freak VolumeFreak Volume is a technical indicator designed to identify bars with exceptionally high trading volume. It operates by calculating the mean volume over a specified period and determines high volume thresholds using both multiples of the mean and standard deviations from this mean.
High Volume Identification:
Standard Deviation Threshold: Bars with volume exceeding a specified number of standard deviations above the mean are highlighted within the indicator and on the corresponding candlesticks on the chart.
Mean Multiple Threshold: Bars with volume exceeding a multiple of the average volume are also highlighted. This highlighting is secondary to the standard deviation threshold, meaning standard deviation-based highlights take precedence.
Price Range Plotting: The indicator offers an option to display the price range of high volume candles, which may serve as potential supply and demand zones or support and resistance levels.
Freak Volume assists traders in visually identifying significant volume spikes that could indicate important market activity or potential turning points by providing multiple methods of high volume detection.
Supply and demandHi all!
This is my take on supply/demand. The gist is that it creates a zone if there is a big enough reaction. This is configurable in settings as "Minimum range (ATR factor)" (the Average True Length of length 14) that is the distance that the price must travel and "Reaction bars" that is the maximum number of bars that price must travel this distance. The zones that are shown are the ones that have a retest, break and retest or is unmitigated (untouched). If a zone is mitigated (entered) or broken it is temporarily hidden. For a zone to be created it needs to have this reaction and the previous bar does not.
So this script will show you zones that are fresh (unmitigated), retested or broken and retested. This means that the zones that are shown have "proven" that they are good zones through this. Basically it means that the script creates a bunch of zones and then picks the good once. This makes the script have some latency, but will hopefully give you good zones. A zone is completely removed if it's broken twice (it's okay if it's broken once and can still have a retest after it has flipped from previous supply (or resistance) into demand (or support)).
Here is a zone (the one that has the lowest opacity) that is broken and retested that could have resulted in a good long trade (the settings are default but has a stop in the beginning of 2024):
You have a setting to remove zones that are pierced (broken by price wicks). The following zone is pierced by price (in the beginning of May) that will not be shown after the start of May if you have "Pierced" checked (the indicator has default settings but a stop in the middle of April):
You have a trend section. Zones that create a reaction upwards can only be created if the trend is considered to be up, and vice versa. The options here are "SMA50" (the current price needs to be over the Simple Moving Average of length 50) and "SMA50, SMA200" (price needs to be over the Simple Moving Average of length 50 and the Simple Moving Average of length 50 needs to be over the Simple Moving Average of length 200). If these conditions are met the trend is considered to be up, otherwise it's down. You can disable this by choosing "No detection".
The zones that are shown also need to be within a limit (of the current price). This limit is 10 (factor of the Average True Range if length 14) by default. Set this to 0 to deactivate. This is useful for not showing zones that are far away from current price and therefore unlikely to be interacted with.
You can stop the calculation of zones (through the "Stop" value in the settings). This is useful to see if previous zones were any good. I used it in my testing of the script but left it because it can be nice to have.
The zones created by the script have different transparency based upon the zone's interaction. The clearest zones are the ones that are unmitigated, the second clearest ones are the ones having a retest and lastly the zones which are most unclear are the ones having a break and then a retest.
You can see the concept of this script to be a mix of supply/demand and support/resistance, having zones being unmitigated (untouched) as the most important but also show the zones having an interaction (in the form of a retest or a break and retest).
This is from a previous supply (or resistance) zone that has flipped into demand (or support) and has shown to be a good zone through a retest followed by a rally (default settings):
This zone has multiple retest and then rallies that could have given a good long trades (it has the default settings but a "Stop" time at 2022-01-14):
TODO:
- Create zones based on pivots
- Handle overlapping zones
- Incorporate volume in the creation and/or interaction with zones
- Add alerts
- Add ability to set maximum zone width
- Add ability to set the maximum number of retest bars
- ...?
The example for this publication has the default settings bit a "Stop" and a tighter "Limit" of 4.
I hope this explanation makes sense, let me know otherwise. Also let me know if you have any suggestions on improvements.
Best of trading luck!
Earnings Surprise Indicator (Post-Earnings Announcement Drift)What It Does:
- Displays a company's actual earnings vs. analysts' estimates over time
- Shows "earnings surprises" - when actual results beat or miss expectations
- Helps identify trends in a company's financial performance
How It Works:
- Green bars: Positive surprise (earnings beat estimates)
- Red bars: Negative surprise (earnings missed estimates)
- Yellow line: Analysts' earnings estimates
Correlation with Post Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): PEAD is the tendency for a stock's price to drift in the direction of an earnings surprise for several weeks or months after the announcement.
Why It Matters:
- Positive surprises often lead to upward price drift
- Negative surprises often lead to downward price drift
- This drift can create trading opportunities
How to Use It:
1. Spot Trends:
- Consistent beats may indicate strong company performance
- Consistent misses may signal underlying issues
2. Gauge Market Expectations:
- Large surprises may lead to significant price movements
3. Timing Decisions:
- Consider long positions after positive surprises
- Consider short positions or exits after negative surprises
4. Risk Management:
- Be cautious of reversal if the drift seems excessive
- Use in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis
Key Takeaways:
- Earnings surprises can be fundamental-leading indicators of future stock performance, especially when correlated with analyst projections
- PEAD suggests that markets often underreact to earnings news initially
- This indicator helps visualize the magnitude and direction of surprises
- It can be a valuable tool for timing entry and exit points in trades
