Volume pressure by GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA🔍 Volume Pressure by GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
🧠 Overview
“Volume Pressure” is a multi-timeframe, real-time table-based volume analysis tool designed to give traders a clear and immediate view of buying and selling pressure across custom-selected timeframes. By breaking down buy volume, sell volume, total volume, and their percentages, this indicator helps traders identify demand/supply imbalances and volume momentum in the market.
🎯 Purpose / Trading Use Case
This indicator is ideal for intraday and short-term traders who want to:
Spot aggressive buying or selling activity
Track volume dynamics across multiple timeframes *1 min time frame will give best results*
Use volume pressure as a confirming tool alongside price action or trend-based systems
It helps determine when large buying/selling activity is occurring and whether such behavior is consistent across timeframes—a strong signal of institutional interest or volume-driven trend shifts.
🧩 Key Features & Logic
Real-Time Table Display: A clean, dynamic table showing:
Buy Volume
Sell Volume
Total Volume
Buy % of total volume
Sell % of total volume
Multi-Time frame Analysis: Supports 8 user-selectable custom time frames from 1 to 240 minutes, giving flexibility to analyze volume pressure at various granularities.
Color-Coded Volume Bias:
Green for dominant Buy pressure
Red for dominant Sell pressure
Yellow for Neutral
Intensity-based blinking for extreme values (over 70%)
Dynamic Data Calculation:
Uses volume * (close > open) logic to estimate buy vs sell volumes bar-by-bar, then aggregates by timeframe.
⚙️ User Inputs & Settings
Timeframe Selectors (TF1 to TF8): Choose any 8 timeframes you want to monitor volume pressure across.
Text & Color Settings:
Customize text colors for Buy, Sell, Total volumes
Choose Buy/Sell bias colors
Enable/disable blinking for visual emphasis on extremes
Table Appearance:
Set header color, metric background, and text size
Table positioning: top-right, bottom-right, etc.
Blinking Highlight Toggle: Enable this to visually highlight when Buy/Sell % exceeds 70%—a sign of strong pressure.
📊 Visual Elements Explained
The table has 6 rows and 10 columns:
Row 0: Headers for Today and TF1 to TF8
Rows 1–3: Absolute values (Buy Vol, Sell Vol, Total Vol)
Rows 4–5: Relative percentages (Buy %, Sell %), with dynamic background color
First column shows the metric names (e.g., “Buy Vol”)
Cells blink using alternate background colors if volume pressure crosses thresholds
💡 How to Use It Effectively
Use Buy/Sell % rows to confirm potential breakout trades or identify volume exhaustion zones
Look for multi-timeframe confluence: If 5 or more TFs show >70% Buy pressure, buyers are in control
Combine with price action (e.g., breakouts, reversals) to increase conviction
Suitable for equities, indices, futures, crypto, especially on lower timeframes (1m to 15m)
🏆 What Makes It Unique
Table-based MTF Volume Pressure Display: Most indicators only show volume as bars or histograms; this script summarizes and color-codes volume bias across timeframes in a tabular format.
Customization-friendly: Full control over colors, themes, and timeframes
Blinking Alerts: Rare visual feature to capture user attention during extreme pressure
Designed with performance and readability in mind—even for fast-paced scalping environments.
🚨 Alerts / Extras
While this script doesn’t include TradingView alert functions directly, the visual blinking serves as a strong real-time alert mechanism.
Future versions may include built-in alert conditions for buy/sell bias thresholds.
🔬 Technical Concepts Used
Volume Dissection using close > open logic (to estimate buyer vs seller pressure)
Simple aggregation of volume over custom timeframes
Table plotting using Pine Script table.new, table.cell
Dynamic color logic for bias identification
Custom blinking logic using na(bar_index % 2 == 0 ? colorA : colorB)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool for analysis, not financial advice. Always backtest and validate strategies before using any indicator for live trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use at your own risk and apply proper risk management.
✍️ Author & Signature
Indicator Name: Volume Pressure
Author: GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
TradingView Username: prowelltraders
"威廉二世vs布雷达"に関するスクリプトを検索
My scriptImplied Volatility vs Historical Volatility
**Uncheck Plot box**
IV > HV = Overvalued
IV = HV = Fair Value
IV > HV = Undervalued
1. Pair with IV Rank: Use IV vs HV to confirm the setup, but IV Rank (50+, 70+) tells you how “high” IV is relative to its own history.
2. Timeframe: Use daily charts — IV is not meaningful on intraday timeframes.
3. Avoid noise: Use a smoothed HV (e.g., 20-day) and don’t chase small crossovers — look for clear divergence.
Correlation Drift📈 Correlation Drift
The Correlation Drift indicator is designed to detect shifts in market momentum by analyzing the relationship between correlation and price lag. It combines the principles of correlation analysis and lag factor measurement to provide a unique perspective on trend alignment and momentum shifts.
🔍 Core Concept:
The indicator calculates the Correlation vs PLF Ratio, which measures the alignment between an asset’s price movement and a chosen benchmark (e.g., BTCUSD). This ratio reflects how well the asset’s momentum matches the market trend while accounting for price lag.
📊 How It Works:
Correlation Calculation:
The script calculates the correlation between the asset and the selected benchmark over a specified period.
A higher correlation indicates that the asset’s price movements are in sync with the benchmark.
Price Lag Factor (PLF) Calculation:
The PLF measures the difference between long-term and short-term price momentum, dynamically scaled by recent volatility.
It highlights potential overextensions or lags in the asset’s price movements.
Combining Correlation and PLF:
The Correlation vs PLF Ratio combines these metrics to detect momentum shifts relative to the trend.
The result is a dynamic, smoothed histogram that visualizes whether the asset is leading or lagging behind the trend.
💡 How to Interpret:
Positive Values (Green/Aqua Bars):
Indicates bullish alignment with the trend.
Aqua: Rising bullish momentum, suggesting continuation.
Teal: Decreasing bullish momentum, signaling caution.
Negative Values (Purple/Fuchsia Bars):
Indicates bearish divergence from the trend.
Fuchsia: Falling bearish momentum, indicating increasing pressure.
Purple: Rising bearish momentum, suggesting potential reversal.
Clipping for Readability:
Values are clipped between -3 and +3 to prevent outliers from compressing the histogram.
This ensures clear visualization of typical momentum shifts while still marking extreme cases.
🚀 Best Practices:
Use Correlation Drift as a confirmation tool in conjunction with trend indicators (e.g., moving averages) to identify momentum alignment or divergence.
Look for transitions from positive to negative (or vice versa) as signals of potential trend shifts.
Combine with volume analysis to strengthen confidence in breakout or breakdown signals.
⚠️ Key Features:
Customizable Settings: Adjust the correlation length, PLF length, and smoothing factor to fine-tune the indicator for different market conditions.
Visual Gradient: The histogram changes color based on the strength and direction of the ratio, making it easy to identify shifts at a glance.
Zero Line Reference: Clearly distinguishes between bullish and bearish momentum zones.
🔧 Recommended Settings:
Correlation Length: 14 (for short to medium-term analysis)
PLF Length: 50 (to smooth out noise while capturing trend shifts)
Smoothing Factor: 3 (for enhanced clarity without excessive lag)
Benchmark Symbol: BTCUSD (or another relevant market indicator)
By providing a quantitative measure of trend alignment while accounting for price lag, the Correlation Drift indicator helps traders make more informed decisions during periods of momentum change. Whether you are trading crypto, forex, or equities, this tool can be a powerful addition to your momentum-based trading strategies.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
The Correlation Drift indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to aid in identifying potential shifts in market momentum and trend alignment. It is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Trading financial instruments, including cryptocurrencies, involves significant risk and may result in the loss of your capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and seek advice from a certified financial professional before making any trading decisions.
The developer (RWCS_LTD) is not responsible for any trading losses or adverse outcomes resulting from the use of this indicator. Users are encouraged to test and validate the indicator in a simulated environment before applying it to live trading. Use at your own risk.
Market Warning Dashboard Enhanced📊 Market Warning Dashboard Enhanced
A powerful macro risk dashboard that tracks and visualizes early signs of market instability across multiple key indicators—presented in a clean, professional layout with a real-time thermometer-style danger gauge.
🔍 Included Macro Signals:
Yield Curve Inversion: 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads
Credit Spreads: High-yield (HYG) vs Investment Grade (LQD)
Volatility Structure: VIX/VXV ratio
Breadth Estimate: SPY vs 50-day MA (as a proxy)
🔥 Features:
Real-time Danger Score: 0 (Safe) to 100 (Extreme Risk)
Descriptive warnings for each signal
Color-coded thermometer gauge
Alert conditions for each macro risk
Background shifts on rising systemic risk
⚠️ This dashboard can save your portfolio by alerting you to macro trouble before it hits the headlines—ideal for swing traders, long-term investors, and anyone who doesn’t want to get blindsided by systemic risk.
Aggressive Volume 📊 Indicator: Aggressive Volume – Simulated Buy/Sell Pressure
Aggressive Volume estimates delta volume using candle data to simulate the market’s internal buy/sell pressure. It helps visualize how aggressive buyers or sellers are moving the price without needing full order flow access.
⚙️ How It Works:
Calculates simulated delta volume based on candle direction and volume.
Bullish candles (close > open) suggest dominance by buyers.
Bearish candles (close < open) suggest dominance by sellers.
Delta is the difference between simulated buying and selling pressure.
🔍 Key Features:
Visual bars showing aggressive buyer vs seller dominance
Helps spot trend strength, momentum bursts, and potential reversals
Simple, effective, and compatible with any timeframe
Lightweight and ideal for scalping, day trading, and swing trading
💡 How to Use:
Look for strong positive delta during bullish trends for confirmation.
Watch for delta weakening or divergence as potential reversal signals.
Combine with trend indicators or price action for enhanced accuracy.
📊 Indicador: Volume Agressivo – Pressão de Compra/Venda Simulada
Volume Agressivo estima o delta de volume utilizando dados dos candles para simular a pressão interna de compra/venda do mercado. Ele ajuda a visualizar como os compradores ou vendedores agressivos estão movendo o preço, sem precisar de acesso completo ao fluxo de ordens.
⚙️ Como Funciona:
Calcula o delta de volume simulado com base na direção do candle e no volume.
Candles de alta (fechamento > abertura) indicam predominância de compradores.
Candles de baixa (fechamento < abertura) indicam predominância de vendedores.
O delta é a diferença entre a pressão de compra e venda simulada.
🔍 Principais Funcionalidades:
Barras visuais mostrando a dominância de compradores vs vendedores agressivos
Ajuda a identificar a força da tendência, explosões de momentum e possíveis reversões
Simples, eficaz e compatível com qualquer período de tempo
Leve e ideal para scalping, day trading e swing trading
💡 Como Usar:
Procure por delta positivo forte durante tendências de alta para confirmação.
Observe o delta enfraquecendo ou divergências como sinais de possível reversão.
Combine com indicadores de tendência ou price action para maior precisão.
Volumetric Tensegrity🧮 Volumetric Tensegrity unifies two of the Leading Indicator suite's critical engines — ZVOL ( volume anomaly detection ) and OBVX ( directional conviction ). Originally designed as a structural economizer for traders navigating strict indicator limits (e.g. < 10 slots per chart), it was forced to evolve beyond that constraint simply to fulfill it, albeit with a difference. The fatal flaw of traditional fusion, where two metrics are blended mathematically, is that they lose scale integrity (i.e. meaning). VTense encodes optical tensegrity to scale the amplitude of the ZVOL histogram and the slope of the OBVX spread independently, so that expansion and direction may coexist without either dominating the frame.
🧬 Tensegrity , by definition, is an intelligent design principle where elements in compression are suspended within a network of continuous tension, forming a stable, self-supporting structure . Originally conceived in esoteric biomorphology (c.f. Da Vinci, Snelson, Casteneda), tensegrity balances force through opposition, not rigidity. Applied to financial markets, Volumetric Tensegrity captures this same principle: price compresses, volume expands, conviction builds or fades — yet structure holds through the interplay. The result is not a prediction engine, but a pressure field — one that visualizes where structure might bend, break, or rebound based on how volume breathes.
🗜️ Rather than layering multiple indicators and consuming precious chart space, VTense frees up room for complementary overlays like momentum mapping, liquidity tiers, or volatility phase detection — making it ideal for modular traders operating in tight technical real estate.
🧠 Core Logic - VTense separates and preserves two essential structural forces:
• ZVOL Histogram : A Z-score-based expansion map that measures current volume deviation from its historical average. It reveals buildup zones, dormant stretches, and breakout pressure — regardless of price behavior.
• OBVX Spread : A directional conviction curve that tracks the difference between On-Balance Volume and its volume-weighted fast trend. It shows whether the crowd is leaning in (accumulation/distribution) or backing off.
🔊 ZVOL controls the amplitude of the histogram, while OBVX controls the curvature and slope of the spread. Without sacrificing breathing behavior or analytical depth, VTense provides a compact yet dynamic lens to track both expansion pressure and directional bias within a single footprint.
🌊 Volumetric Tensegrity forecasts breakout readiness, trend fatigue, and compression zones by measuring the volatility within volume . Unlike traditional tools that track volatility of price, this indicator reveals when effort becomes unstable — signaling inflection points before price reacts. Designed to decode rhythm shifts at the volume level, it operates as a pre-ignition scanner that thrives on low-timeframe charts (15m and under) while scaling effectively to 1H for validation.
🪖 From Generals to Scouts
👀 When used jointly, ZVOL + OBVX act as the general : deep-field analysts confirming stress, commitment, or exhaustion. VTense , by contrast, functions as a scout — capturing subtle buildup and alignment before structure fully reveals itself. The indicator aims to be a literal vanguard, establishing a position that can be confirmed or flexibly abandoned when the higher authority arrives to evaluate.
🥂 Use the ZVOL + OBVX pair when :
• You need independent axis control and manual dissection
• You’re building long-form confluence setups
• You have more indicator slots than you need
🔎 Use VTense when :
• You need compact clarity across multiple instruments
• You’re prioritizing confluence _detection_ over granular separation
• You’re building efficient multi-layered systems under slot constraints
🏗️ Structural Behavior and Interpretation
🫁 Z VOL Respiration Histogram : Structural Effort vs Baseline
🔵 Compression Coil – volume volatility is low and stable; the market is coiling
🟢 Steady Rhythm – volume is healthy but unremarkable; balanced participation
🟡 Passive/Absorbed Effort – expansion failing to manifest; watch for reversal
🟠 Clean Expansion – actionable volatility rise backed by structure
🔴 Volatile Blowout – chaos, climax; likely end-phase or fakeout
⚖️ ZVOL Respiration measures how hard the crowd is pressing — not just that volume is rising, but how statistically abnormal the surge is. Because it is rescaled proportionally to OBVX, the amplitude of the histogram reflects structural urgency without overwhelming the visual field.
🖐️ OBVX Spread : Real-Time Directional Conviction Behind Price Moves
🔑 The curvature of the spread reveals not just directional bias but crowd temp o: sharp slopes = urgent transitions; gradual slopes = building structural shifts. Curvature is key: sharp OBVX slope = urgency; gentle arcs = controlled drift or indecision.
• Green Rising : Accumulation — upward pressure from real buyers
• Red Falling : Distribution — sell pressure, downward slope
• Flat Curves : Transitional → uncertainty, microstructure digestion
🎭 Synchronized vs Divergent Behavior
⏱️ Synchronized (high-confluence) : often precedes structural breakouts, with internal conviction clearly visible before price resolves.
• ZVOL expands (yellow/orange/red) and OBVX climbs steeply green = strong bullish pressure
• ZVOL expands while OBVX steepens red = growing sell-side intent
🪤 Divergent (conflict tension) : flags potential traps, fakeouts, and liquidity sweeps.
• ZVOL expands sharply, but OBVX flattens or opposes → reactive expansion without crowd commitment
⛔️ Latent Drift + Structural Holding Patterns : tensegrity in action — the market holds tension without directional release.
• ZVOL compresses (blue) + OBVX meanders near zero → structure is resting, building up energy
• After prolonged drift, expect violent asymmetry when balance finally breaks
📚 Phase Interpretation: Dynamic Structural Read
• 1️⃣ Quiet Coil : Histogram flat, OBVX flat → no urgency
• 2️⃣ Initial Pulse : Yellow bars, OBVX slope builds → actionable tension
• 3️⃣ Structural Breath : Synchronized expansion and slope → directional commitment
• 4️⃣ Disagreement : Spike in ZVOL, flattening OBVX → exhaustion risk or false signal
💡 Suggested Use
• Run on 15m charts for breakout anticipation and 1H for validation
• Pair with ZVOL + OBVX to confirm crowd conviction behind the tension phase
• Use as a rhythm filter for the suite's trend indicators (e.g., RDI , SUPeR TReND 2.718 , et. al.)
• Ideal during low-volume regimes to detect pressure buildup before triggers
🧏🏻 Volumetric Tensegrity doesn’t signal. It breathes , and listens to pressure shifts before they speak in price. As a scout, it lets you see structural posture before signals align — helping you front-run resolution with clarity, not prediction.
Dskyz Options Flow Flux (OFF) - FuturesDskyz Options Flow Flux (OFF) - Futures
*This is a repost due to moderator intervention on use of ™ in my scripts. I'm in the process of getting this rectified. This was originally posted around mid-night CDT.
🧠 The Dskyz Options Flow Flux (OFF) - Futures indicator is a game changer for futures traders looking to tap into institutional activity with limited resources. Designed for TradingView this tool simulates options flow data (call/put volume and open interest) for futures contracts like MNQ MES NQ and ES giving u actionable insights through volume spike detection volatility adjustments and stunning visuals like aurora flux bands and round number levels. Whether u’re a beginner learning the ropes or a pro hunting for an edge this indicator delivers real time market sentiment and key price levels to boost ur trading game
Key Features
⚡ Simulated Options Flow: Breaks down call/put volume and open interest using market momentum and volatility
📈 Spike Detection: Spots big moves in volume and open interest with customizable thresholds
🧠 Volatility Filter: Adapts to market conditions using ATR for smarter spike detection
✨ Aurora Flux Bands: Glows with market sentiment showing u bullish or bearish vibes at a glance
🎯 Round Number Levels: Marks key psychological levels where big players might step in
📊 Interactive Dashboard: Real time metrics like sentiment score and volatility factor right on ur chart
🚨 Alerts: Get notified of bullish or bearish spikes so u never miss a move
How It Works
🧠 This indicator is built to make complex options flow analysis simple even with the constraints of Pine Script. Here’s the step by step:
Simulated Volume Data (Dynamic Split):
Pulls daily volume for ur chosen futures contract (MNQ1! MES1! NQ1! ES1!)
Splits it into call and put volume based on momentum (ta.mom) and volatility (ATR vs its 20 period average)
Estimates open interest (OI) for calls and puts (1.15x for calls 1.1x for puts)
Formula: callRatio = 0.5 + (momentum / close) * 10 + (volatility - 1) * 0.1 capped between 0.3 and 0.7
Why It Matters: Mimics how big players might split their trades giving u a peek into institutional sentiment
Spike Detection:
Compares current volume/OI to short term (lookbackShort) and long term (lookbackLong) averages
Flags spikes when volume/OI exceeds the average by ur set threshold (spikeThreshold for regular highConfidenceThreshold for strong)
Adjusts for volatility so u’re not fooled by choppy markets
Output: optionsSignal (2 for strong bullish -2 for strong bearish 1 for bullish -1 for bearish 0 for neutral)
Why It Matters: Pinpoints where big money might be stepping in
Volatility Filter:
Uses ATR (10 periods) and its 20 period average to calculate a volatility factor (volFactor = ATR / avgAtr)
Scales spike thresholds based on market conditions (volAdjustedThreshold = spikeThreshold * max(1 volFactor * volFilter))
Why It Matters: Keeps ur signals reliable whether the market is calm or wild
Sentiment Score:
Calculates a call/put ratio (callVolume / putVolume) and adjusts for volatility
Converts it to a 0 to 100 score (higher = bullish lower = bearish)
Formula: sentimentScore = min(max((volAdjustedSentiment - 1) * 50 0) 100)
Why It Matters: Gives u a quick read on market bias
Round Number Detection:
Finds the nearest round number (e.g. 100 for MNQ1! 50 for MES1!)
Checks for volume spikes (volume > 3 period SMA * spikeThreshold) and if price is close (within ATR * atrMultiplier)
Updates the top activity level every 15 minutes when significant activity is detected
Why It Matters: Highlights psychological levels where price often reacts
Visuals and Dashboard:
Combines aurora flux bands glow effects round number lines and a dashboard to make insights pop (see Visual Elements below)
Plots triangles for call/put spikes (green/red for strong lime/orange for regular)
Sets up alerts for key market moves
Why It Matters: Makes complex data easy to read at a glance
Inputs and Customization
⚙️ Beginners can tweak these settings to match their trading style while pros can dig deeper for precision:
Futures Symbol (symbol): Pick ur contract (MNQ1! MES1! NQ1! ES1!). Default: MNQ1!
Short Lookback (lookbackShort): Days for short term averages. Smaller = more sensitive. Range: 1+. Default: 5
Long Lookback (lookbackLong): Days for long term averages. Range: 5+. Default: 10
Spike Threshold (spikeThreshold): How big a spike needs to be (e.g. 1.1 = 10% above average). Range: 1.0+. Default: 1.1
High Confidence Threshold (highConfidenceThreshold): For strong spikes (e.g. 3.0 = 3x average). Range: 2.0+. Default: 3.0
Volatility Filter (volFilter): Adjusts for market volatility (e.g. 1.2 = 20% stricter in volatile markets). Range: 1.0+. Default: 1.2
Aurora Flux Transparency (glowOpacity): Controls band transparency (0 = solid 100 = invisible). Range: 0 to 100. Default: 65
Show Show OFF Dashboard (showDashboard): Toggles the dashboard with key metrics. Default: true
Show Nearest Round Number (showRoundNumbers): Displays round number levels. Default: true
ATR Multiplier for Proximity (atrMultiplier): How close price needs to be to a round number (e.g. 1.5 = within 1.5x ATR). Range: 0.5+. Default: 1.5
Functions and Logic
🧠 Here’s the techy stuff pros will love:
Simulated Volume Data : Splits daily volume into call/put volume and OI using momentum and volatility
Volatility Filter: Scales thresholds with volFactor = atr / avgAtr for adaptive detection
Spike Detection: Flags spikes and assigns optionsSignal (2, -2, 1, -1, 0) for sentiment
Sentiment Score: Converts call/put ratio into a 0-100 score for quick bias reads
Round Number Detection: Identifies key levels and significant activity for trading zones
Dashboard Display: Updates real time metrics like sentiment score and volatility factor
Visual Elements
✨ These visuals make data come alive:
Gradient Background: Green (bullish) red (bearish) or yellow (neutral/choppy) at 95% transparency to show trend
Aurora Flux Bands: Stepped bands (linewidth 3) around a 14 period EMA ± ATR * 1.8. Colors shift with sentiment (green red lime orange gray) with glow effects at 85% transparency
Round Number Visualization: Stepped lines (linewidth 2) at key levels (solid if active dashed if not) with labels (black background white text size.normal)
Visual Signals: Triangles above/below bars for spikes (size.small for strong size.tiny for regular)
Dashboard: Bottom left table (2 columns 10 rows) with a black background (29% transparency) gray border and metrics:
⚡ Round Number Activity: “Detected” or “None”
📈 Trend: “Bullish” “Bearish” or “Neutral” (colored green/red/gray)
🧠 ATR: Current 10 period ATR
📊 ATR Avg: 20 period SMA of ATR
📉 Volume Spike: “YES” (green) or “NO” (red)
📋 Call/Put Ratio: Current ratio
✨ Flux Signal: “Strong Bullish” “Strong Bearish” “Bullish” “Bearish” or “Neutral” (colored green/red/gray)
⚙️ Volatility Factor: Current volFactor
📈 Sentiment Score: 0-100 score
Usage and Strategy Recommendations
🎯 For Beginners: Use high confidence spikes (green/red triangles) for easy entries. Check the dashboard for a quick market read (sentiment score above 60 = bullish below 40 = bearish). Watch round number levels for support/resistance
💡 For Pros: Combine flux signals with round number activity for high probability setups. Adjust lookbackShort/lookbackLong for trending vs choppy markets. Use volFactor for position sizing (higher = smaller positions)
HMA Breakdown [NLR]Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a great trend-following tool — it's smooth, fast, and more responsive than traditional MAs like EMA or SMA. But the problem?
Sometimes it gives signals that look sharp but are misleading — especially in noisy markets or when the price is chopping around.
This script breaks down the inner mechanics of the HMA to give you more context:
Are the inputs to HMA actually diverging?
Is there momentum behind the move?
Is this trend about to reverse or just a pullback?
By plotting the components of HMA — and layering signal bands, color logic, and optional trend overlays — it gives you a visual breakdown of what's really going on under the hood.
What this indicator shows
HMA Trend (Main Line)
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is plotted in bold, colored red or green based on internal conditions (not just price slope).
WMA Components (Fast & Slow)
Shows the two WMAs used inside the HMA calculation:
WMA Half (faster) — reacts quickly to price
WMA Full (slower) — smoother, less reactive
Their difference and crossover gives you clues on whether momentum is building or fading.
Signal & Band Structure
A calculated upper band and lower band are used to track when HMA is leading or lagging momentum.
When the HMA is below the band, trend may be weakening - this helps you filter false signals.
TMA Candle (Optional Visual)
A synthetic candle shows whether the smoothed average is rising or falling compared to a few candles back.
This is a simple visual cue to spot inflection points in the trend.
EMA Trend Overlay (Optional)
A pair of short-term EMAs built on a smoothed source helps you catch micro-trends or align your entries with the bigger trend.
Can act as an early heads-up or a trend confirmation layer.
What problem it solves
Noisy Signals: Helps filter out weak or fake trend signals often seen in HMA-only systems.
Visual Breakdown: Lets you see how each component of the HMA is behaving — so you’re not flying blind.
Momentum Confirmation: Adds layered confirmation using fast-vs-slow WMA cross, signal bands, and mini trend overlays.
Best Used For:
Trend-following traders who use HMA or WMA strategies
Filtering entries/exits in momentum-based systems
Visually confirming when a trend is real vs fake
Probability Grid [LuxAlgo]The Probability Grid tool allows traders to see the probability of where and when the next reversal would occur, it displays a 10x10 grid and/or dashboard with the probability of the next reversal occurring beyond each cell or within each cell.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the tool displays deciles (percentiles from 0 to 90), users can enable, disable and modify each percentile, but two of them must always be enabled or the tool will display an error message alerting of it.
The use of the tool is quite simple, as shown in the chart above, the further the price moves on the grid, the higher the probability of a reversal.
In this case, the reversal took place on the cell with a probability of 9%, which means that there is a probability of 91% within the square defined by the last reversal and this cell.
🔹 Grid vs Dashboard
The tool can display a grid starting from the last reversal and/or a dashboard at three predefined locations, as shown in the chart above.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Raw Data vs Normalized Data
By default the tool displays the normalized data, this means that instead of using the raw data (price delta between reversals) it uses the returns between each reversal, this is useful to make an apples to apples comparison of all the data in the dataset.
This can be seen in the left side of the chart above (BTCUSD Daily chart) where normalize data is disabled, the percentiles from 0 to 40 overlap and are indistinguishable from each other because the tool uses the raw price delta over the entire bitcoin history, with normalize data enabled as we can see in the right side of the chart we can have a fair comparison of the data over the entire history.
🔹 Probability Beyond or Within Each Cell
Two different probability modes are available, the default mode is Probability Beyond Each Cell, the number displayed in each cell is the probability of the next reversal to be located in the area beyond the cell, for example, if the cell displays 20%, it means that in the area formed by the square starting from the last reversal and ending at the cell, there is an 80% probability and outside that square there is a 20% probability for the location of the next reversal.
The second probability mode is the probability within each cell, this outlines the chance that the next reversal will be within the cell, as we can see on the right chart above, when using deciles as percentiles (default settings), each cell has the same 1% probability for the 10x10 grid.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: The maximum length in bars used to identify a swing
Maximum Reversals: Maximum number of reversals included in calculations
Normalize Data: Use returns between swings instead of raw price
Probability: Choose between two different probability modes: beyond and inside each cell
Percentiles: Enable/disable each of the ten percentiles and select the percentile number and line style
🔹 Dashboard
Show Dashboard: Enable or disable the dashboard
Position: Choose dashboard location
Size: Choose dashboard size
🔹 Style
Show Grid: Enable or disable the grid
Size: Choose grid text size
Colors: Choose grid background colors
Show Marks: Enable/disable reversal markers
AltSeasonality - MTFAltSeason is more than a brief macro market cycle — it's a condition. This indicator helps traders identify when altcoins are gaining strength relative to Bitcoin dominance, allowing for more precise entries, exits, and trade selection across any timeframe.
The key for altcoin traders is that the lower the timeframe, the higher the alpha.
By tracking the TOTAL3/BTC.D ratio — a real-time measure of altcoin strength versus Bitcoin — this tool highlights when capital is rotating into or out of altcoins. It works as a bias filter, helping traders avoid low-conviction setups, especially in chop or during BTC-led conditions.
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It works well on the 1D chart to validate swing entries during strong altcoin expansion phases — especially when TOTAL3/BTC.D breaks out while BTCUSD consolidates.
On the 4H or 1D chart, rising TOTAL3/BTC.D + a breakout on your altcoin = high-conviction setup. If BTC is leading, fade the move or reduce size. Consider pairing with the Accumulation - Distribution Candles, optimized for the 1D (not shown).
🔍 Where this indicator really excels, however, is on the 1H and 15M charts, where short-term traders need fast bias confirmation before committing to a move. Designed for scalpers, intraday momentum traders, and tactical swing setups.
Use this indicator to confirm whether an altcoin breakout is supported by broad market flow — or likely to fail due to hidden BTC dominance pressure.
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🧠 How it works:
- TOTAL3 = market cap of altcoins (excl. BTC + ETH)
- BTC.D = Bitcoin dominance as % of total market cap
- TOTAL3 / BTC.D = a normalized measure of altcoin capital strength vs Bitcoin
- BTCUSD = trend baseline and comparison anchor
The indicator compares these forces side-by-side, using a normalized dual-line ribbon. There is intentionally no "smoothing".
When TOTAL3/BTC.D is leading, the ribbon shifts to an “altseason active” phase. When BTCUSD regains control, the ribbon flips back into BTC dominance — signaling defensive posture.
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💡 Strategy Example:
On the 1H chart, a crossover into altseason → check the 15M chart for confirmation. Consider adding the SUPeR TReND 2.718 for confirmation (not shown). If both align, you have trend + flow confluence. If BTCUSD is leading or ribbon is mixed, reduce exposure or wait for confirmation. Further confirmation via Volume breakouts in your specific coin.
⚙️ Features:
• MTF source selection (D, 1H, 15M)
• Normalized ribbon (TOTAL3/BTC.D vs BTCUSD)
• Cross-aware fill shading
• Custom color and transparency controls
• Optional crossover markers
• Midline + zone guides (0.2 / 0.5 / 0.8)
BIN Based Support and Resistance [SS]This indicator presents a version of an alternative way to determine support and resistance, using a method called "Bins".
Bins provide for a flexible and interesting way to determine support and resistance levels.
First off, let's discuss BINS:
Bins are ranges or containers into which your data points can be sorted. For example, if you're grouping ages, you might have bins like 0–18, 19–35, 36–50, and 51+. Any data point within these intervals gets placed in the corresponding bin.
Binning simplifies complex data sets by grouping values into categories. This is useful for such things as
Visualizing data in histograms or bar charts.
Reducing noise and highlighting trends.
This indicator groups the price action into 10 separate bins. It determines the Support / Resistance level by averaging the values in the Bins to find an iteration of the "central tendency" or average reoccurring value.
Pros and Cons
Since this is a different approach to support and resistance, I think its important to highlight some of the pros and advantages, but also be open about the cons.
First off the PROS
Bin Based Support and Resistance Levels dynamically adjust to ranges as opposed to hard / fast peaks and valleys. This makes them better at analyzing price action vs simply drawing lines at random peaks and valleys.
Because Bins are analyzing ALL PA within a period's max and min range, Bin Support and Resistance can actually be used similar to Volume profile, where you are able to identify a pseudo-POC, or areas where price tends to consolidate. Take a look at this example on SPY:
You can see these 2 SR lines are close together. This represents that this general price range is an area where price likes to accumulate/consolidate. You can see the SPY ended up coming back to this range and consolidating there for a bit.
This is a strength of using a BIN based approach to calculating support and resistance, because as indicated before, it looks at price action vs peaks and valleys.
As a tip, these areas are areas you want to wait for a break in one direction or the other.
The indicator provides for backtest results of the support and resistance lines, to see how many times certain areas acted as resistance or support. Because this is analyzing and distributing PA evenly throughout the period's max and min, the indicator can tell you which areas tend to have higher rejection zones and which have higher support zones.
Now the CONS
Because bin based SR take an average approach, the SR lines can sometimes be slightly broken before the ticker finds rejection:
To combat this, make sure there is confirmed support. How the indicator actually backtests these lines is by waiting to see if the ticker has 3 consecutive closes above the support line or below the resistance line. So these are things to be mindful of.
It doesn't consider pivots. Most support and resistance indicators either identify max and min peaks and valleys or use pivot points. Pivot points are a great way to identify peaks and valleys and thus by extension support and resistance. However, this is also somewhat of a strength, as using BINS forces the indicator to consider ALL price action and not just the extremes (highs and lows).
Can be slightly skewed in highly volatile environments. Any time there is a massive drop or rally, it can skew the indicator to give extreme ranges to both ends. For example, the Tariff news collapse on ES1!:
Owning to limitations in lookback length, sometimes the min and max range can be exceeded and other traditional areas of support / resistance is where a ticker will find support.
Using the indicator
Here are some basic use/functionalities of the indicator:
Selecting display of backtest results: You can select to have the backtest results shown in a table:
Or directly on the lines:
Inversely, you can toggle them off completely:
You can modify the lookback length. The suggested lookback length is between 250 to 500 candles on smaller timeframes. I also suggest 252 on daily timeframes (which represents 1 trading year).
And that's the indicator!
It is very easy to use, so you should pick it up in no time!
Enjoy and as always, 🚀🚀 safe trades! 🚀🚀
Psych Level ScreenerThis Script is intended for Pine Screener and is not designed as a indicator!!!
Pine Screener is something TradingView has recently added and is still only a Beta version.
Pine Screener itself is currently only available to members that are Premium and above.
What it does:
This screener will actively look for tickers that are close to Pysch level in your watchlist.
Psych level here refers to price levels that are round numbers such as 50,100,1000.
Users can specify the offset from a psych level (in %) and scanner will scan for tickers that are within the offset. For example if offset is set at 5% then it will scan for tickers that are within +/-5% of a ticker. (for $100 psych level it will scan for ticker in $95-105 range)
Once scan is completed you will be able to see:
- Current price of ticker
- Closest psych level for that ticker
- % and $ move required for it to hit that psych level
- Ticker's day range and Average range (with % of average range completed for the day)
- Ticker volume and average volume
Setting up:
www.tradingview.com
Above link will help you guide how to setup Pine screener.
Use steps below to guide you the setup for this specific screener:
1. Open Pine Screener (open new tab, select screener the "Pine")
2. At the top, click on "Choose Indicator" and select "Psych Level Screener"
3. At the top again, click "Indicator Psych Level Screener" and select settings.
4. Change setting to your needs. Hit Apply when done.
a)"% offset from Psych Level" will scan for any stocks in your watchlist which are +/- from the offset you chose for any given psych level. Default is 5. (e.g. If offset is 5%, it will scan for stocks that are between $95-$105 vs $100 psych level, $190-$210 for $200 psych level and so on)
b) ATR length is number of previous trading days you want to include in your calculation. Moving Average Type is calculation method.
c) Rvol length is number of previous trading days you want to include in your calculation.
5. On top left, click "Price within specified offset of Psych. Level" and select true. Then select "Scan" which is located at the top next to "Indicator Psych Level Screener". This will filter out all the stock that meets the condition.
6. At the end of the column on the right there is a "+" symbol. From there you can add/remove columns. 30min/1hr/4hr/1D Trend are disabled by default so if this is needed please enable them.
7. You can change the order of ticker by ascending and descending order of each column label if needed. Just click on the arrow that comes up when you move the cursor to any of the column items.
8. You can specify advanced filter settings based on the variables in the column. (e.g., set price range of stock to filter out further) To do so, click on the column variable name in interest, located above the screener table (or right below "scan") and select "manual setup".
How to read the column:
Current Price: Shows current price of the ticker when scan was done. Currently Pine Screener does NOT support pre/post-hours data so no PM and AH price.
Psych Level: Psych level the current price is near to.
% to Psych Level: Price movement in % necessary to get to the Psych level.
$ to Psych Level: Price movement in $ necessary to get to the Psych level.
DTR: Daily True Range of the stock. i.e. High - Low of the ticker on the day.
ATR: Average True Range of stock in the last x days, where x is a value selected in the setting. (See step 3 in Previous section)
DTR vs ATR: Amount of DTR a ticker has done in % with respect to ATR. (e.g., 90% means DTR is 90% of ATR)
Vol.: Volume of a ticker for the day. Currently Pine Screener does NOT support pre/post-hours data so no PM and AH volume.
Avg. Vol: Average volume of a ticker in the last x days, where x is a value selected in the setting. (See step 3 in Previous section)
Rvol: Relative volume in percentage, measured by the ratio of day's volume and average volume.
30min/1hr/4hr/1D Trend: Trend status to see if the chart is Bullish or Bearish on each of the time frame. Bullishness or Bearishness is defined by the price being over or under the 34/50 cloud on each of the time frame. Output of 1 is Bullish, -1 is Bearish. 0 means price is sitting inside the 34/50 cloud. Currently Pine Screener does NOT support pre/post-hours data so 34/50 cloud is based on regular trading hours data ONLY.
Some things user should be aware of:
- Pine Screener itself is currently only available to TradingView members with Premium Subscription and above. (I can't to anything about this as this is NOT set by me, I have no control) For more info: www.tradingview.com
- The Pine Screener itself is a Beta version and this screener can stop working anytime depending on changes made by TradingView themselves. (Again I cannot control this)
- Pine Screener can only run on Watchlists for now. (as of 03/31/2025) You will have to prepare your own watchlists. In a Watchlist no more than 1000 tickers may be added. (This is TradingView rules)
- Psych level included are currently 50 to 1500 in steps of 50. If you need a specific number please let me know. Will add accordingly.
- Unfortunately this screener does not update automatically, so please hit "scan" to get latest screener result.
- I cannot add 10min trend to the column as Pine Screener does NOT support 10min timeframe as of now. (03/31/2025)
- This code is only meant for Pine Screener. I do NOT recommend using this as an indicator.
- Currently Pine Screener does NOT support pre/post-hours data. So data such as Price, Volume and EMA values are based on market hours data ONLY! (If I'm wrong about this please correct me / let me know and will make look into and make changes to the code)
Other useful links about Pine Screener:
Quick overview of the Screener’s functionality: www.tradingview.com
what do you need to know before you start working? : www.tradingview.com
These links will go over the setting up with GIFs so is easier to understand.
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If there are other column variables that you think is worth adding please let me know! Will try add it to the screener!
If you have any questions let me know as well, will reply soon as I can!
Have a good trading day and hope it helps!
Fuzzy SMA with DCTI Confirmation[FibonacciFlux]FibonacciFlux: Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Donchian Trend Confirmation
Institutional-grade trend analysis combining adaptive Fuzzy Logic with Donchian Channel Trend Intensity for superior signal quality
Conceptual Framework & Research Foundation
FibonacciFlux represents a significant advancement in quantitative technical analysis, merging two powerful analytical methodologies: normalized fuzzy logic systems and Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI). This sophisticated indicator addresses a fundamental challenge in market analysis – the inherent imprecision of trend identification in dynamic, multi-dimensional market environments.
While traditional indicators often produce simplistic binary signals, markets exist in states of continuous, graduated transition. FibonacciFlux embraces this complexity through its implementation of fuzzy set theory, enhanced by DCTI's structural trend confirmation capabilities. The result is an indicator that provides nuanced, probabilistic trend assessment with institutional-grade signal quality.
Core Technological Components
1. Advanced Fuzzy Logic System with Percentile Normalization
At the foundation of FibonacciFlux lies a comprehensive fuzzy logic system that transforms conventional technical metrics into degrees of membership in linguistic variables:
// Fuzzy triangular membership function with robust error handling
fuzzy_triangle(val, left, center, right) =>
if na(val)
0.0
float denominator1 = math.max(1e-10, center - left)
float denominator2 = math.max(1e-10, right - center)
math.max(0.0, math.min(left == center ? val <= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (val - left) / denominator1,
center == right ? val >= center ? 1.0 : 0.0 : (right - val) / denominator2))
The system employs percentile-based normalization for SMA deviation – a critical innovation that enables self-calibration across different assets and market regimes:
// Percentile-based normalization for adaptive calibration
raw_diff = price_src - sma_val
diff_abs_percentile = ta.percentile_linear_interpolation(math.abs(raw_diff), normLookback, percRank) + 1e-10
normalized_diff_raw = raw_diff / diff_abs_percentile
normalized_diff = useClamping ? math.max(-clampValue, math.min(clampValue, normalized_diff_raw)) : normalized_diff_raw
This normalization approach represents a significant advancement over fixed-threshold systems, allowing the indicator to automatically adapt to varying volatility environments and maintain consistent signal quality across diverse market conditions.
2. Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) Integration
FibonacciFlux significantly enhances fuzzy logic analysis through the integration of Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI) – a sophisticated measure of trend strength based on the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes:
// DCTI calculation for structural trend confirmation
f_dcti(src, majorPer, minorPer, sigPer) =>
H = ta.highest(high, majorPer) // Major period high
L = ta.lowest(low, majorPer) // Major period low
h = ta.highest(high, minorPer) // Minor period high
l = ta.lowest(low, minorPer) // Minor period low
float pdiv = not na(L) ? l - L : 0 // Positive divergence (low vs major low)
float ndiv = not na(H) ? H - h : 0 // Negative divergence (major high vs high)
float divisor = pdiv + ndiv
dctiValue = divisor == 0 ? 0 : 100 * ((pdiv - ndiv) / divisor) // Normalized to -100 to +100 range
sigValue = ta.ema(dctiValue, sigPer)
DCTI provides a complementary structural perspective on market trends by quantifying the relationship between short-term and long-term price extremes. This creates a multi-dimensional analysis framework that combines adaptive deviation measurement (fuzzy SMA) with channel-based trend intensity confirmation (DCTI).
Multi-Dimensional Fuzzy Input Variables
FibonacciFlux processes four distinct technical dimensions through its fuzzy system:
Normalized SMA Deviation: Measures price displacement relative to historical volatility context
Rate of Change (ROC): Captures price momentum over configurable timeframes
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Evaluates cyclical overbought/oversold conditions
Donchian Channel Trend Intensity (DCTI): Provides structural trend confirmation through channel analysis
Each dimension is processed through comprehensive fuzzy sets that transform crisp numerical values into linguistic variables:
// Normalized SMA Deviation - Self-calibrating to volatility regimes
ndiff_LP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.3, norm_scale * 0.7, norm_scale * 1.1)
ndiff_SP := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, norm_scale * 0.05, norm_scale * 0.25, norm_scale * 0.5)
ndiff_NZ := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.1, 0.0, norm_scale * 0.1)
ndiff_SN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 0.5, -norm_scale * 0.25, -norm_scale * 0.05)
ndiff_LN := fuzzy_triangle(normalized_diff, -norm_scale * 1.1, -norm_scale * 0.7, -norm_scale * 0.3)
// DCTI - Structural trend measurement
dcti_SP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 60.0, 85.0, 101.0) // Strong Positive Trend (> ~85)
dcti_WP := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, 20.0, 45.0, 70.0) // Weak Positive Trend (~30-60)
dcti_Z := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -30.0, 0.0, 30.0) // Near Zero / Trendless (~+/- 20)
dcti_WN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -70.0, -45.0, -20.0) // Weak Negative Trend (~-30 - -60)
dcti_SN := fuzzy_triangle(dcti_val, -101.0, -85.0, -60.0) // Strong Negative Trend (< ~-85)
Advanced Fuzzy Rule System with DCTI Confirmation
The core intelligence of FibonacciFlux lies in its sophisticated fuzzy rule system – a structured knowledge representation that encodes expert understanding of market dynamics:
// Base Trend Rules with DCTI Confirmation
cond1 = math.min(ndiff_LP, roc_HP, rsi_M)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond1 * (dcti_SP > 0.5 ? 1.2 : dcti_Z > 0.1 ? 0.5 : 1.0))
// DCTI Override Rules - Structural trend confirmation with momentum alignment
cond14 = math.min(ndiff_NZ, roc_HP, dcti_SP)
strength_SB := math.max(strength_SB, cond14 * 0.5)
The rule system implements 15 distinct fuzzy rules that evaluate various market conditions including:
Established Trends: Strong deviations with confirming momentum and DCTI alignment
Emerging Trends: Early deviation patterns with initial momentum and DCTI confirmation
Weakening Trends: Divergent signals between deviation, momentum, and DCTI
Reversal Conditions: Counter-trend signals with DCTI confirmation
Neutral Consolidations: Minimal deviation with low momentum and neutral DCTI
A key innovation is the weighted influence of DCTI on rule activation. When strong DCTI readings align with other indicators, rule strength is amplified (up to 1.2x). Conversely, when DCTI contradicts other indicators, rule impact is reduced (as low as 0.5x). This creates a dynamic, self-adjusting system that prioritizes high-conviction signals.
Defuzzification & Signal Generation
The final step transforms fuzzy outputs into a precise trend score through center-of-gravity defuzzification:
// Defuzzification with precise floating-point handling
denominator = strength_SB + strength_WB + strength_N + strength_WBe + strength_SBe
if denominator > 1e-10
fuzzyTrendScore := (strength_SB * STRONG_BULL + strength_WB * WEAK_BULL +
strength_N * NEUTRAL + strength_WBe * WEAK_BEAR +
strength_SBe * STRONG_BEAR) / denominator
The resulting FuzzyTrendScore ranges from -1.0 (Strong Bear) to +1.0 (Strong Bull), with critical threshold zones at ±0.3 (Weak trend) and ±0.7 (Strong trend). The histogram visualization employs intuitive color-coding for immediate trend assessment.
Strategic Applications for Institutional Trading
FibonacciFlux provides substantial advantages for sophisticated trading operations:
Multi-Timeframe Signal Confirmation: Institutional-grade signal validation across multiple technical dimensions
Trend Strength Quantification: Precise measurement of trend conviction with noise filtration
Early Trend Identification: Detection of emerging trends before traditional indicators through fuzzy pattern recognition
Adaptive Market Regime Analysis: Self-calibrating analysis across varying volatility environments
Algorithmic Strategy Integration: Well-defined numerical output suitable for systematic trading frameworks
Risk Management Enhancement: Superior signal fidelity for risk exposure optimization
Customization Parameters
FibonacciFlux offers extensive customization to align with specific trading mandates and market conditions:
Fuzzy SMA Settings: Configure baseline trend identification parameters including SMA, ROC, and RSI lengths
Normalization Settings: Fine-tune the self-calibration mechanism with adjustable lookback period, percentile rank, and optional clamping
DCTI Parameters: Optimize trend structure confirmation with adjustable major/minor periods and signal smoothing
Visualization Controls: Customize display transparency for optimal chart integration
These parameters enable precise calibration for different asset classes, timeframes, and market regimes while maintaining the core analytical framework.
Implementation Notes
For optimal implementation, consider the following guidance:
Higher timeframes (4H+) benefit from increased normalization lookback (800+) for stability
Volatile assets may require adjusted clamping values (2.5-4.0) for optimal signal sensitivity
DCTI parameters should be aligned with chart timeframe (higher timeframes require increased major/minor periods)
The indicator performs exceptionally well as a trend filter for systematic trading strategies
Acknowledgments
FibonacciFlux builds upon the pioneering work of Donovan Wall in Donchian Channel Trend Intensity analysis. The normalization approach draws inspiration from percentile-based statistical techniques in quantitative finance. This indicator is shared for educational and analytical purposes under Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) license.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves risk. This indicator should be used as one component of a comprehensive analysis framework.
Shout out @DonovanWall
Industry Indices ComparisonA dynamic industry sector performance comparison indicator that helps traders and investors track relative strength across different market sectors in real-time.
- Compares up to 5 industry sector ETFs against a benchmark index (default: SPY)
- Displays key metrics including:
* Performance % over selected timeframe
* Relative performance vs benchmark
* Trend direction (▲ up, ▼ down, − neutral)
* Volume in millions (M) of shares traded
- Configurable timeframes: 1D, 1W, 1M, and 3M comparisons
- Color-coded performance indicators (green for outperformance, red for underperformance)
- Customizable table position and text size for optimal chart placement
The indicator helps identify:
1. Sector rotation patterns through relative performance
2. Leading and lagging sectors vs the broader market
3. Volume trends across different sectors
For traders, if you are considering two equally good setups, then choosing the setup belonging to a currently strong sector could be beneficial.
SMT Divergence [TakingProphets]The SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence indicator identifies potential market manipulation and smart money footprints by comparing price action between correlated instruments. It uses a dual-detection system to catch both frequent local SMTs and larger structural SMTs:
• Primary detection uses a shorter lookback period (default 5) to identify common SMT patterns
• Secondary detection uses a longer lookback period (default 8) to catch larger structural SMTs
• Automatically filters significant moves to prevent noise
• Labels are placed clearly outside of price action for better visibility
• Toggle between showing all SMTs or only significant liquidity sweeps
Compare any two instruments to spot divergences in their price action. Particularly useful for:
- Futures vs Spot markets
- Related currency pairs
- Index vs its components
- Any correlated instruments
Default settings are optimized for intraday trading but can be adjusted for different timeframes.
Note: This indicator works best when comparing closely correlated instruments and should be used alongside other technical analysis tools.
EMA Study Script for Price Action Traders, v2JR_EMA Research Tool Documentation
Version 2 Enhancements
Version 2 of the JR_EMA Research Tool introduces several powerful features that make it particularly valuable for studying price action around Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The key improvements focus on tracking and analyzing price-EMA interactions:
1. Cross Detection and Counting
- Implements flags for crossing bars that instantly identify when price crosses above or below the EMA
- Maintains running counts of closes above and below the EMA
- This feature helps students understand the persistence of trends and the frequency of EMA interactions
2. Bar Number Tracking
- Records the specific bar number when EMA crosses occur
- Stores the previous crossing bar number for reference
- Enables precise measurement of time between crosses, helping identify typical trend durations
3. Variable Reset Management
- Implements sophisticated reset logic for all counting variables
- Ensures accuracy when analyzing multiple trading sessions
- Critical for maintaining clean data when studying patterns across different timeframes
4. Cross Direction Tracking
- Monitors the direction of the last EMA cross
- Helps students identify the current trend context
- Essential for understanding trend continuation vs reversal scenarios
Educational Applications
Price-EMA Relationship Studies
The tool provides multiple ways to study how price interacts with EMAs:
1. Visual Analysis
- Customizable EMA bands show typical price deviation ranges
- Color-coded fills help identify "normal" vs "extreme" price movements
- Three different band calculation methods offer varying perspectives on price volatility
2. Quantitative Analysis
- Real-time tracking of closes above/below EMA
- Running totals help identify persistent trends
- Cross counting helps understand typical trend duration
Research Configurations
EMA Configuration
- Adjustable EMA period for studying different trend timeframes
- Customizable EMA color for visual clarity
- Ideal for comparing different EMA periods' effectiveness
Bands Configuration
Three distinct calculation methods:
1. Full Average Bar Range (ABR)
- Uses the entire range of price movement
- Best for studying overall volatility
2. Body Average Bar Range
- Focuses on the body of the candle
- Excellent for studying conviction in price moves
3. Standard Deviation
- Traditional statistical approach
- Useful for comparing to other technical studies
Signal Configuration
- Optional signal plotting for entry/exit studies
- Helps identify potential trading opportunities
- Useful for backtesting strategy ideas
Using the Tool for Study
Basic Analysis Steps
1. Start with the default 20-period EMA
2. Observe how price interacts with the EMA line
3. Monitor the data window for quantitative insights
4. Use band settings to understand normal price behavior
Advanced Analysis
1. Pattern Recognition
- Use the cross counting system to identify typical pattern lengths
- Study the relationship between cross frequency and trend strength
- Compare different timeframes for fractal analysis
2. Volatility Studies
- Compare different band calculation methods
- Identify market regimes through band width changes
- Study the relationship between volatility and trend persistence
3. Trend Analysis
- Use the closing price count system to measure trend strength
- Study the relationship between trend duration and subsequent reversals
- Compare different EMA periods for optimal trend following
Best Practices for Research
1. Systematic Approach
- Start with longer timeframes and work down
- Document observations about price behavior in different market conditions
- Compare results across multiple symbols and timeframes
2. Data Collection
- Use the data window to record significant events
- Track the number of bars between crosses
- Note market conditions when signals appear
3. Optimization Studies
- Test different EMA periods for your market
- Compare band calculation methods for your trading style
- Document which settings work best in different market conditions
Technical Implementation Notes
This tool is particularly valuable for educational purposes because it combines visual and quantitative analysis in a single interface, allowing students to develop both intuitive and analytical understanding of price-EMA relationships.
3 Drive Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] Three Drive Reversal🔵 Introduction
The Three Drive harmonic pattern closely resembles other price structures such as Wedge Pattern and Three Push Pattern, yet it stands out due to its precise use of Fibonacci ratios and symmetrical price movements.
This pattern comprises three consecutive and symmetrical price drives, each validated by key Fibonacci ratios (1.27 and 1.618), which help identify critical Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ).
Unlike the Wedge, which relies on converging trend lines and can indicate either continuation or reversal, and the Three Push, which lacks defined Fibonacci ratios and symmetry, the Three Drive pattern defines PRZ with greater accuracy, providing traders with high-probability trading opportunities.
This pattern appears in both bullish and bearish trends. After the completion of the third drive (Drive 3), it signals the market's readiness to reverse direction. The PRZ in this pattern serves as a crucial zone where price is highly likely to reverse, offering a strategic point for entering or exiting trades. Professional traders utilize the Three Drive pattern and PRZ as essential tools for analyzing and capitalizing on potential market reversals.
Bullish Pattern :
Bearish Pattern :
🔵 How to Use
The Three Drive harmonic pattern is an effective tool for identifying potential reversal points in the market. By utilizing Fibonacci extension levels (1.27 and 1.618) and focusing on the pattern’s symmetry, traders can pinpoint Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ) where the price is likely to change direction. This pattern works in both bearish and bullish scenarios, each with distinct characteristics and trading opportunities.
🟣 Bullish Three Drive Pattern
The bullish Three Drive pattern develops during a downtrend, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. Similar to its bearish counterpart, this pattern features three consecutive downward price movements (drives) with retracements in between. The third drive concludes within the PRZ, which serves as a strong support zone where the price is expected to reverse upwards.
The first drive begins with a downward movement, followed by a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. The second drive continues downward to reach a 1.27 or 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the retracement. Finally, the third drive aligns with the PRZ, where a confluence of Fibonacci levels creates a high-probability support zone.
In the PRZ, traders look for bullish confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bars) or increasing trading volume. Once confirmation is observed, the PRZ becomes an ideal entry point for a buy position. Stop-loss orders are placed slightly below the PRZ to minimize risk, while take-profit targets are set at key resistance levels or Fibonacci retracement levels.
🟣 Bearish Three Drive Pattern
The bearish Three Drive pattern forms during an uptrend, signaling a potential reversal to the downside. This pattern consists of three consecutive upward price movements (drives) and intermediate retracements. Each drive aligns with Fibonacci extension levels, and the third drive ends within the PRZ, indicating a high probability of a bearish reversal.
In the first drive, the price moves upward and then retraces to approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, forming the base for the second drive. The second drive then extends upward to the 1.27 or 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the preceding retracement. This process repeats for the third drive, which reaches the PRZ, typically defined by the convergence of Fibonacci levels from previous drives.
Once the PRZ is identified, traders look for confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing or pin bars) or declining trading volume. If confirmation is present, the PRZ becomes an optimal zone for entering a sell position. Stop-loss levels are typically placed slightly above the PRZ to protect against pattern failure, and take-profit targets are set at key support levels or Fibonacci retracement levels of the overall structure.
🟣 Three Drive Vs Wedge Pattern Vs 3 Push pattern
The Three Drive, Wedge, and Three Push patterns are all used to identify potential price reversal points, but they differ significantly in structure and application. The Three Drive pattern is based on three consecutive and symmetrical price movements, validated by precise Fibonacci ratios (1.27 and 1.618), to define Potential Reversal Zones (PRZ).
In contrast, the Wedge pattern relies on converging trend lines and does not require Fibonacci ratios; it can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. Meanwhile, the Three Push pattern shares similarities with Three Drive but lacks precise symmetry and Fibonacci-based validation.
Instead of a PRZ, Three Push focuses on identifying areas of support and resistance, often signaling weakening momentum in the current trend. Among these, the Three Drive pattern is more reliable for pinpointing high-probability reversal zones due to its strict Fibonacci-based and symmetrical structure.
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Format : If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
🔵 Conclusion
The Three Drive pattern is a highly effective harmonic tool for identifying potential reversal points in the market. By leveraging its symmetrical structure and precise Fibonacci ratios (1.27 and 1.618), this pattern provides traders with clear entry and exit signals, enhancing the accuracy of their trades.
Whether in bullish or bearish scenarios, the identification of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) serves as a critical aspect of this pattern, enabling traders to anticipate price movements with greater confidence.
Compared to similar patterns like Wedge and Three Push, the Three Drive pattern stands out for its stringent reliance on Fibonacci levels and symmetrical price movements, making it a more robust choice for forecasting reversals. However, as with any technical analysis tool, its effectiveness increases when combined with confirmation signals, such as candlestick patterns, volume analysis, and broader market context.
Mastering the Three Drive pattern requires practice and attention to detail, especially in accurately defining the PRZ and ensuring the pattern adheres to its criteria. Traders who consistently apply this pattern as part of a comprehensive trading strategy can capitalize on high-probability opportunities and improve their overall performance in the market.
52 Week High/Low Tracking TableThis Indicator helps the User to Quickly view Current Closing Price Compared to the Mentioned Period High and Low.
"Bars Back" indicate the period you need to look back. In case of Daily charts 260 Bars Back usually indicate 52 Weeks/1 year. This is set a default. But you can change it as well.
The Indicator will show the data for below:-
1) High - Highest Close price for the Mentioned Period
2) % from High - The Percentage difference between the Current Close Price Vs Highest Close price for the Mentioned Period. (-) indicate that the current close price is lesser then then High Price.
3) Low - Lowest Close price for the Mentioned Period
4) % from Low - The Percentage difference between the Current Close Price Vs Highest Close price for the Mentioned Period. (-) indicate that the current close price is lesser then then High Price.
You can add this indicator to Quickly Scan multiple stocks to see were they stand.
RS Rating for Indian MarketRS Rating for Trading View
This Trading View script calculates the Relative Price Strength (RS) Rating for a given stock. It's a measure of a stock's price performance over the last twelve months, compared to all stocks in a selected Index. The rating scale ranges from 1 (lowest) to 99 (highest).
Features
- Adaptation for Indian Market
- Option to choose the index to compare to (NSE:NIFTY, NSE:CNX500, NSE:NIFTYSMLCAP250, NSE:CNXSMALLCAP)
- Option to compare to a different index
- Option to hide the RS rating
- Option to plot RS new highs
- Option to adjust the offset of the line for display purposes
- Option to change the color of the RS Line & Rating
- Option to change the color of the dots for RS new highs
- Option to choose which new high to plot (RS New Highs, RS New Highs Before Price, Historical RS New Highs, Historical RS New Highs Before Price)
- Option to adjust the recent high look-back count
Please note that the script is designed to work best in the daily timeframe. Results may not be accurate in other timeframes.
This script uses three methods to calculate the RS Rating:
1. A method that calculates how the stock behaves vs SMA.
2. A classic performance method that calculates the performance of the stock's closing price vs the closing price 3 months back.
3. A method that measures how the stock performs against the comparative Symbol.
The final RS Rating is a combination of the results from these three methods. The script also includes some adjustments based on observations to improve the accuracy of the rating.
CVD Divergence Strategy.1.mmThis is the matching Strategy version of Indicator of the same name.
As a member of the K1m6a Lions discussion community we often use versions of the Cumulative Volume Delta indicator
as one of our primary tools along with RSI, RSI Divergences, Open interest, Volume Profile, TPO and Fibonacci levels.
We also discuss visual interpretations of CVD Divergences across multiple time frames much like RSI divergences.
RSI Divergences can be identified as possible Bullish reversal areas when the RSI is making higher low points while
the price is making lower low points.
RSI Divergences can be identified as possible Bearish reversal areas when the RSI is making lower high points while
the price is making higher high points.
CVD Divergences can also be identified the same way on any timeframe as possible reversal signals. As with RSI, these Divergences
often occur as a trend's momentum is giving way to lower volume and areas when profits are being taken signaling a possible reversal
of the current trending price movement.
Hidden Divergences are identified as calculations that may be signaling a continuation of the current trend.
Having not found any public domain versions of a CVD Divergence indicator I have combined some public code to create this
indicator and matching strategy. The calculations for the Cumulative Volume Delta keep a running total for the differences between
the positive changes in volume in relation to the negative changes in volume. A relative upward spike in CVD is created when
there is a large increase in buying vs a low amount of selling. A relative downward spike in CVD is created when
there is a large increase in selling vs a low amount of buying.
In the settings menu, the is a drop down to be used to view the results in alternate timeframes while the chart remains on current timeframe. The Lookback settings can be adjusted so that the divs show on a more local, spontaneous level if set at 1,1,60,1. For a deeper, wider view of the divs, they can be set higher like 7,7,60,7. Adjust them all to suit your view of the divs.
To create this indicator/strategy I used a portion of the code from "Cumulative Volume Delta" by @ contrerae which calculates
the CVD from aggregate volume of many top exchanges and plots the continuous changes on a non-overlay indicator.
For the identification and plotting of the Divergences, I used similar code from the Tradingview Technical "RSI Divergence Indicator"
This indicator should not be used as a stand-alone but as an additional tool to help identify Bullish and Bearish Divergences and
also Bullish and Bearish Hidden Divergences which, as opposed to regular divergences, may indicate a continuation.
CVD Divergence Indicator.1.mmAs a member of the K1m6a Lions discussion community we often use versions of the Cumulative Volume Delta indicator
as one of our primary tools along with RSI, RSI Divergences, Open interest, Volume Profile, TPO and Fibonacci levels.
We also discuss visual interpretations of CVD Divergences across multiple time frames much like RSI divergences.
RSI Divergences can be identified as possible Bullish reversal areas when the RSI is making higher low points while
the price is making lower low points.
RSI Divergences can be identified as possible Bearish reversal areas when the RSI is making lower high points while
the price is making higher high points.
CVD Divergences can also be identified the same way on any timeframe as possible reversal signals. As with RSI, these Divergences
often occur as a trend's momentum is giving way to lower volume and areas when profits are being taken signaling a possible reversal
of the current trending price movement.
Hidden Divergences are identified as calculations that may be signaling a continuation of the current trend.
Having not found any public domain versions of a CVD Divergence indicator I have combined some public code to create this
indicator and matching strategy. The calculations for the Cumulative Volume Delta keep a running total for the differences between
the positive changes in volume in relation to the negative changes in volume. A relative upward spike in CVD is created when
there is a large increase in buying vs a low amount of selling. A relative downward spike in CVD is created when
there is a large increase in selling vs a low amount of buying.
In the settings menu, the is a drop down to be used to view the results in alternate timeframes while the chart remains on current timeframe. The Lookback settings can be adjusted so that the divs show on a more local, spontaneous level if set at 1,1,60,1. For a deeper, wider view of the divs, they can be set higher like 7,7,60,7. Adjust them all to suit your view of the divs.
To create this indicator/strategy I used a portion of the code from "Cumulative Volume Delta" by @ contrerae which calculates
the CVD from aggregate volume of many top exchanges and plots the continuous changes on a non-overlay indicator.
For the identification and plotting of the Divergences, I used similar code from the Tradingview Technical "RSI Divergence Indicator"
This indicator should not be used as a stand-alone but as an additional tool to help identify Bullish and Bearish Divergences and
also Bullish and Bearish Hidden Divergences which, as opposed to regular divergences, may indicate a continuation.
RSI-Divergence Goggles [Trendoscope®]🎲 Introducing the RSI-Divergence Goggle
🎯 Revolutionizing Divergence Analysis in Trading
While the concept of divergence plays a crucial role in technical analysis, existing indicators in the community library have faced limitations, particularly in simultaneously displaying divergence lines on both price and oscillator graphs. This challenge stems from the fact that RSI and other oscillators are typically plotted in a separate pane from the price chart. Traditional Pine Script® indicators are confined to a single pane, thus restricting comprehensive divergence analysis.
🎯 Our Innovative Solution: RSI on the Price Pane
The RSI-Divergence Goggle breaks through these limitations. Our innovative approach involves plotting the RSI directly onto the price pane within a movable and resizable widget. This groundbreaking feature allows for the simultaneous drawing of zigzag patterns on both price and the oscillator, enabling the effective calculation and visualization of divergence lines on both.
🎯 The Foundation: Our Divergence Research and Rules
Our journey into divergence research began three years ago with the launch of the "Zigzag Trend Divergence Detector." The foundational rules established with this script remain pertinent and form the basis of all our subsequent divergence-based indicators.
🎯 Understanding Divergence: Key Concepts
Divergence Varieties : We identify two main types - Bullish Divergence (and its hidden counterpart) occurs at pivot lows, while Bearish Divergence (and its hidden version) appears at pivot highs.
Contextual Occurrence : Bullish divergence is a phenomenon of downtrends, whereas bearish divergence is unique to uptrend. Conversely, hidden bullish divergence arises in uptrends, and hidden bearish divergence in downtrends.
Oscillator Behavior : In standard divergence scenarios, the oscillator lags behind price, signaling potential reversals. In hidden divergence cases, the oscillator leads, suggesting trend continuation.
🎯 Visual Insights: Divergence and Hidden Divergence
For a clearer understanding, refer to our visual guides:
🎯 A Word of Caution
While divergence is a powerful tool, it's not a standalone guarantee of trend reversals or continuations. We recommend using these patterns in conjunction with support and resistance levels, as demonstrated in our "Divergence Based Support Resistance" implementation.
🎯 Using the RSI-Divergence Goggles
Upon applying the indicator to your chart, you'll be prompted to select two corner points, defining the widget's placement and size. This widget is the stage for your RSI plotting and divergence calculations. Choose these points carefully to ensure they encompass your area of interest without overlapping important price bars.
An example as below.
🎯 Innovative Features:
Plotting RSI: RSI values are scaled from 0 to 100 within the widget. This unique plotting may not align with individual bar values, but pivot labels and tooltips provide detailed RSI and retracement ratio information.
Zigzag and Pivots: Our adjusted RSI plots determine the zigzag pivot highs and lows, which may not always correspond with visible price pivots. However, calculations based on close prices ensure minimal deviation.
Divergence Display: Divergence types are identified following our established rules, with a simple moving average employed to discern the prevailing trend.
🎯 Trend Detection Mechanism
A simple moving average is used as base for determining the trend. If the difference between moving averages of the alternate pivots is positive, then the sentiment is considered to be uptrend. Else, we consider the sentiment to be in downtrend.
This is a simple method to identify trend, implemented via this indicator. The indicator does not provide alternative methods to identify trend. This is something that we can explore in the future.
🎯 Interactive and Customizable
The RSI-Divergence Goggle isn't just a static tool; it's an interactive feature on your chart. You can move or resize the widget, allowing for dynamic analysis and focused study on different chart segments.
Ultimate Seasonality Indicator [SS]Hello everyone,
This is my seasonality indicator. I have been working on it for like 2 months, so hope you like it!
What it does?
The Ultimate Seasonality indicator is designed to provide you, the trader, an in-depth look at seasonality. The indicator gives you the ability to do the following functions:
View the most bearish and bullish months over a user defined amount of years back.
View the average daily change for each respective months over a user defined amount of years back.
See the most closely correlated month to the current month to give potential insights of likely trend.
Plot out areas of High and Low Seasonality.
Create a manual seasonal forecast model by selecting the desired month you would like to model the current month data after.
Have the indicator develop an autoregressive seasonal model based on seasonally lagged variables, using principles of machine learning.
I will go over these functions 1 by 1, its a whopper of an indicator so I will try to be as clear and concise as possible.
Viewing Bullish vs Bearish Months, Average Daily Change & Correlation to Current Month
The indicator will break down the average change, as well as the number of bullish and bearish days by month. See the image below as an example:
In the table to the right, you will see a breakdown of each month over the past 3 years.
In the first column, you will see the average daily change. A negative value, means it was a particularly bearish month, a positive value means it was a particularly bullish month.
The next column over shows the correlation to the current dataset. How this works is the indicator takes the size of the monthly data for each month, and compares it to the last X number of days up until the last trading day. It will then perform a correlation assessment to see how closely similar the past X number of trading days are to the various monthly data.
The last 2 columns break down the number of Bullish and Bearish days, so you can see how many red vs green candles happened in each respective month over your set timeframe. In the example above, it is over the pats 3 years.
Plot areas of High and Low Seasonality
In the chart above, you will see red and green highlighted zones.
Red represents areas of HIGH Seasonality .
Green represents areas of LOW Seasonality .
For this function, seasonality is measured by the autocorrelation function at various lags (12 lags). When there is an average autocorrelation of greater than 0.85 across all seasonal lags, it is considered likely the result of high seasonality/trend.
If the lag is less than or equal to 0.05, it is indicative of very low seasonality, as there is no predominate trend that can be found by the autocorrelation functions over the seasonally lagged variables.
Create Manual Seasonal Forecasts
If you find a month that has a particularly high correlation to the current month, you can have the indicator create a seasonal model from this month, and fit it onto the current dataset (past X days of trading).
If we look at the example below:
We can see that the most similar month to the current data is September. So, we can ask the indicator to create a seasonal forecast model from only September data and fit it to our current month. This is the result:
You will see, using September data, our most likely close price for this month is 450 and our model is y= 1.4305x + -171.67.
We can accept the 450 value but we can use the equation to model the data ourselves manually.
For example, say we have a target price on the month of 455 based on our own analysis. We can calculate the likely close price, should this target be reached, by substituting this target for x. So y = 1.4305x + -171.67 becomes
y = 1.4305(455) +- 171.67
y = 479.20
So the likely close price would be 479.20. No likely, and thus its not likely we are to see 455.
HOWEVER, in this current example, the model is far too statistically insignificant to be used. We can see the correlation is only 0.21 and the R squared is 0.04. Not a model you would want to use!
You want to see a correlation of at least 0.5 or higher and an R2 of 0.5 or higher.
We can improve the accuracy by reducing the number of years we look back. This is what happens when we reduce the lookback years to 1:
You can see reducing to 1 year gives December as the most similar month. However, our R2 value is still far too low to really rely on this data whole-heartedly. But it is a good reference point.
Automatic Autoregressive Model
So this is my first attempt at using some machine learning principles to guide statistical analysis.
In the main chart above, you will see the indicator making an autoregressive model of seasonally lagged variables. It does this in steps. The steps include:
1) Differencing the data over 12, seasonally lagged variables.
2) Determining stationarity using DF test.
3) Determining the highest, autocorrelated lags that fall within a significant stationary result.
4) Creating a quadratic model of the two identified lags that best represents a stationary model with a high autocorrelation.
What are seasonally lagged variables?
Seasonally lagged variables are variables that represent trading months. So a lag of 25 would be 1 month, 50, 2 months, 75, 3 months, etc.
When it displays this model, it will show us what the results of the t-statistic are for the DF test, whether the data is stationary, and the result of the autocorrelation assessment.
It will then display the model detail in the tip table, which includes the equation, the current lags being used, the R2 and the correlation value.
Concluding Remarks
That's the indicator in a nutshell!
Hope you like it!
One final thing, you MUST have your chart set to daily, otherwise you will get a runtime error. This can ONLY be used on the daily timeframe!
Feel free to leave your questions, comments and suggestions below.
Note:
My "ultimate" indicators are made to give the functionality of multiple indicators in one. If you like this one, you may like some of my others:
Ultimate P&L Indicator
Ultimate Customizable EMA/SMA
Thanks for checking out the indicator!
