Kernel Regression Envelope with SMI OscillatorThis script combines the predictive capabilities of the **Nadaraya-Watson estimator**, implemented by the esteemed jdehorty (credit to him for his excellent work on the `KernelFunctions` library and the original Nadaraya-Watson Envelope indicator), with the confirmation strength of the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** to create a dynamic trend reversal strategy. The core idea is to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions using the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and then confirm these signals with the SMI before entering a trade.
**Understanding the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope:**
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator is a non-parametric regression technique that essentially calculates a weighted average of past price data to estimate the current underlying trend. Unlike simple moving averages that give equal weight to all past data within a defined period, the Nadaraya-Watson estimator uses a **kernel function** (in this case, the Rational Quadratic Kernel) to assign weights. The key parameters influencing this estimation are:
* **Lookback Window (h):** This determines how many historical bars are considered for the estimation. A larger window results in a smoother estimation, while a smaller window makes it more reactive to recent price changes.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** This parameter controls the influence of different time frames in the estimation. Lower values emphasize longer-term price action, while higher values make the estimator more sensitive to shorter-term movements.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** This allows you to exclude the potentially volatile initial bars of a chart from the calculation, leading to a more stable estimation.
The script calculates the Nadaraya-Watson estimation for the closing price (`yhat_close`), as well as the highs (`yhat_high`) and lows (`yhat_low`). The `yhat_close` is then used as the central trend line.
**Dynamic Envelope Bands with ATR:**
To identify potential entry and exit points around the Nadaraya-Watson estimation, the script uses **Average True Range (ATR)** to create dynamic envelope bands. ATR measures the volatility of the price. By multiplying the ATR by different factors (`nearFactor` and `farFactor`), we create multiple bands:
* **Near Bands:** These are closer to the Nadaraya-Watson estimation and are intended to identify potential immediate overbought or oversold zones.
* **Far Bands:** These are further away and can act as potential take-profit or stop-loss levels, representing more extreme price extensions.
The script calculates both near and far upper and lower bands, as well as an average between the near and far bands. This provides a nuanced view of potential support and resistance levels around the estimated trend.
**Confirming Reversals with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):**
While the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies potential overextended conditions, the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** is used to confirm a potential trend reversal. The SMI, unlike a traditional stochastic oscillator, oscillates around a zero line. It measures the location of the current closing price relative to the median of the high/low range over a specified period.
The script calculates the SMI on a **higher timeframe** (defined by the "Timeframe" input) to gain a broader perspective on the market momentum. This helps to filter out potential whipsaws and false signals that might occur on the current chart's timeframe. The SMI calculation involves:
* **%K Length:** The lookback period for calculating the highest high and lowest low.
* **%D Length:** The period for smoothing the relative range.
* **EMA Length:** The period for smoothing the SMI itself.
The script uses a double EMA for smoothing within the SMI calculation for added smoothness.
**How the Indicators Work Together in the Strategy:**
The strategy enters a long position when:
1. The closing price crosses below the **near lower band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
2. The SMI crosses above its EMA, indicating positive momentum.
3. The SMI value is below -50, further supporting the oversold idea on the higher timeframe.
Conversely, the strategy enters a short position when:
1. The closing price crosses above the **near upper band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential overbought condition.
2. The SMI crosses below its EMA, indicating negative momentum.
3. The SMI value is above 50, further supporting the overbought idea on the higher timeframe.
Trades are closed when the price crosses the **far band** in the opposite direction of the trade. A stop-loss is also implemented based on a fixed value.
**In essence:** The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies areas where the price might be deviating significantly from its estimated trend. The SMI, calculated on a higher timeframe, then acts as a confirmation signal, suggesting that the momentum is shifting in the direction of a potential reversal. The ATR-based bands provide dynamic entry and exit points based on the current volatility.
**How to Use the Script:**
1. **Apply the script to your chart.**
2. **Adjust the "Kernel Settings":**
* **Lookback Window (h):** Experiment with different values to find the smoothness that best suits the asset and timeframe you are trading. Lower values make the envelope more reactive, while higher values make it smoother.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** Adjust to control the influence of different timeframes on the Nadaraya-Watson estimation.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** Increase this value if you want to exclude the initial, potentially volatile, bars from the calculation.
* **Stoploss:** Set your desired stop-loss value.
3. **Adjust the "SMI" settings:**
* **%K Length, %D Length, EMA Length:** These parameters control the sensitivity and smoothness of the SMI. Experiment to find settings that work well for your trading style.
* **Timeframe:** Select the higher timeframe you want to use for SMI confirmation.
4. **Adjust the "ATR Length" and "Near/Far ATR Factor":** These settings control the width and sensitivity of the envelope bands. Smaller ATR lengths make the bands more reactive to recent volatility.
5. **Customize the "Color Settings"** to your preference.
6. **Observe the plots:**
* The **Nadaraya-Watson Estimation (yhat)** line represents the estimated underlying trend.
* The **near and far upper and lower bands** visualize potential overbought and oversold zones based on the ATR.
* The **fill areas** highlight the regions between the near and far bands.
7. **Look for entry signals:** A long entry is considered when the price touches or crosses below the lower near band and the SMI confirms upward momentum. A short entry is considered when the price touches or crosses above the upper near band and the SMI confirms downward momentum.
8. **Manage your trades:** The script provides exit signals when the price crosses the far band. The fixed stop-loss will also close trades if the price moves against your position.
**Justification for Combining Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and SMI:**
The combination of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and the SMI provides a more robust approach to identifying potential trend reversals compared to using either indicator in isolation. The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope excels at identifying potential areas where the price is overextended relative to its recent history. However, relying solely on the envelope can lead to false signals, especially in choppy or volatile markets. By incorporating the SMI as a confirmation tool, we add a momentum filter that helps to validate the potential reversals signaled by the envelope. The higher timeframe SMI further helps to filter out noise and focus on more significant shifts in momentum. The ATR-based bands add a dynamic element to the entry and exit points, adapting to the current market volatility. This mashup aims to leverage the strengths of each indicator to create a more reliable trading strategy.
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Dynamic Volatility Heatmap (ATR)How the Script Works
Dynamic Thresholds:
atrLow and atrHigh are calculated as percentiles (20% and 80% by default) of ATR values over the last double the ATR period (28 days if ATR is 14).
This creates thresholds that adapt to recent market conditions.
Background Heatmap:
Green: ATR is below the low threshold, indicating calm markets (options are cheap).
Red: ATR is above the high threshold, signaling elevated volatility (options are expensive).
Yellow: ATR is within the normal range, showing neutral market conditions.
Overlay Lines:
]Dynamic lines for atrLow and atrHigh help visualize thresholds on the chart.
Interpretation for Trading
Green Zone (Low ATR):
Interpretation: The market is calm, and options are likely underpriced.
Trade Setup: Favor buying options (e.g., long straddles or long calls/puts) to profit from potential volatility increases.
Red Zone (High ATR):
Interpretation: The market is volatile, and options are likely overpriced.
Trade Setup: Favor selling options (e.g., credit spreads or iron condors) to benefit from volatility decay.
Yellow Zone (Neutral ATR):
Interpretation: Volatility is within typical levels, offering no strong signal.
Trade Setup: Combine with other indicators, such as gamma levels or Bollinger Bands, for confirmation.
5. Enhancing with Other Indicators
Combine with Bollinger Bands:
Overlay Bollinger Bands to identify price extremes and align them with volatility heatmap signals.
Tomas' Financial Conditions Z Score"The indicator is a composite z-score comprised of the following four components (equally-weighted):
Credit spreads - ICE BofA High Yield Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) and ICE BofA Corporate Index Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLC0A0CM)
Volatility indexes - VIX (S&P 500 implied volatility) and MOVE (US Treasury bond implied volatility)
I've got it set to a 160-day lookback period, which I think is roughly the best setting after some tinkering.
When the z-score is above zero, it throws a red signal - and when the z-score is below zero, it throws a green signal.
This indicator is a follow-on from the "traffic light financial conditions indicator" that I wrote a thread about a couple of months ago.
I moved on from that previous indicator because it is based on the Federal Reserve's NFCI, which is regularly revised, but I didn't take that into account at the time.
So not a great real-time indicator, if the signal can be subsequently revised in the opposite direction weeks later.
This new indicator is based on real-time market data, so there's no revisions, and it also updates daily, as opposed to weekly for the NFCI"
Bitcoin Cycle High/Low with functional Alert [heswaikcrypt]Introduction
Just as machines are fine-tuned for maximum efficiency, trading indicators must evolve to meet the demands of ever-changing markets.
Credit goes to the initial author, @NoCreditsLeft I only improved the existing Pi-cycle indicator with a functional alert and included a bull mode indicator in the script. The alert can help you get a live alert at candle close when the cycle tops, bottoms, and the potential bull phase switch occurs.
Philip Swift’s Pi Cycle Top Indicator is a brilliant example of leveraging mathematical relationships to signal critical turning points in Bitcoin’s price cycles. Historically, it has identified market and local tops with some relative accuracy, often within three days, as demonstrated in all the previous bull run cycles.
At its core, the Pi Cycle Indicator derives its name from the mathematical constant π (pi), achieved by using simple moving averages (MAs) in a specific ratio: 𝜋 = Long MA/short MA
The Bull mode switch is calculated using a crossover of the short exponentia moving average and the long moving average.
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Knowing when Bitcoin reaches its top—and receiving timely alerts about it—is crucial for successful trading. The indicator is designed to signal;
Potential Bitcoin tops: Purple label
Potential Bitcoin bottoms : green Label, and
Parabolic swing : Yellow diamond shape (relating to the market switching to a potential bull mode)
"Please note: This indicator is tailored for Bitcoin using historical data analysis and should not be considered definitive. However accurate it might be."
Setting alerts
To set the alert conditions, select any alert function call to get alert whenever the conditions are met. The script is configured on dialy TF; you can set it on 1D or weekly TF.
Enjoy and Trade smartly
Crypto Value RainbowThe best way to value Crypto value is comparing Crypto price against the available money supply circulating in the economy. There are 3 different 4 different type of money supply M0/M1/M2/M3 which denotes the level of money printed by central government to the final credit lend out to the economy via fractional banking system. This rainbow valuation measures the relative Crypto price against the M0/M1/M2/M3 from most popular currency that account for more than 75% of money supply in the world.
CV = US MS + EU MS + CN MS + JP MS + UK MS
CV = Crypto Value
MS = Money Supply
This can only be applied to a few crypto currency:
- BTCUSD Bitcoin
- ETHUSD Ehereum
- BNBUSD BNB
- SOLUSD Solana
- XRPUSD XRP
- TONUSD Toncoin
- DOGEUSD Dogecoin
- TRXUSD Tron
- ADAUSD Cardano
- AVAXUSD Avalanche
The rainbow color is the multiplier for the total Crypto Value by 1x,2x,3x,...,10x
LV Stock QualityCritical financial and technical values are listed in the table.
PIOTROSKI_F_SCORE (expect. >5) -> The Piotroski score is a discrete score between zero and nine that reflects nine criteria used to determine the strength of a firm's financial position. The Piotroski score is used to determine the best value stocks, with nine being the best and zero being the worst. Having a score bigger than 5 is a good sign for the strength of a firm's financial position
ROE (expect. >11) --> Return on equity (ROE) is a measure of a company's financial performance. It is calculated by dividing net income by shareholders' equity. Because shareholders' equity is equal to a company’s assets minus its debt, ROE is a way of showing a company's return on net assets. A “good” ROE will depend on the company’s industry and competitors.
EPS_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> This indicator is calculated as the percentage change in Basic earnings per share for one year. This indicator reflects the growth rate of a company's basic profit per share outstanding for one year. It is calculated based using only common shares. An increase in EPS growth may signal that a company is becoming more profitable and efficient in its operations. A decline in EPS growth may signal that a company is spending more or losing business share. EPS growth should be viewed alongside other metrics like revenue and costs.
CURRENT_RATIO (expect. >1.25) --> The current ratio measures a company’s ability to pay current, or short-term, liabilities (debt and payables) with its current, or short-term, assets (cash, inventory, and receivables). Current ratios over 1.00 indicate that a company's current assets are greater than its current liabilities, meaning it could more easily pay of short-term debts.
OPERATING_MARGIN(expect. >11) --> The operating margin measures how much profit a company makes on a dollar of sales after paying for variable costs of production, such as wages and raw materials, but before paying interest or tax.
RETURN_CAPITAL (expect. >11) --> Return of capital (ROC) is a payment that an investor receives as a portion of their original investment and that is not considered income or capital gains from the investment.
ALTMAN_Z_SCORE (expect. >1.8) --> The Altman Z-score is the output of a credit-strength test that gauges a publicly traded manufacturing company's likelihood of bankruptcy. An Altman Z-score close to 0 suggests a company might be headed for bankruptcy, while a score closer to 3 suggests a company is in solid financial positioning.
REVENUE_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> Quarterly revenue growth is an increase in a company's sales in one quarter compared to sales of a different quarter. Comparing a company's financials from one period to another gives a clear picture of its revenue growth rate and can help investors identify the catalyst for such growth.
SUSTAINABLE_GROWTH (expect. >11) --> The sustainable growth rate (SGR) is the maximum rate of growth that a company or social enterprise can sustain without having to finance growth with additional equity or debt. In other words, it is the rate at which the company can grow while using its own internal revenue without borrowing from outside sources.
DEBT TO INCOME (expect. <0.4) --> A debt-to-income (DTI) ratio is a financial metric used by lenders to determine your borrowing risk. Your DTI ratio represents the total amount of debt you owe compared to the total amount of money you earn each month.
NORMALIZED ATR (expect. <8, W) --> The Normalized Average True Range (Normalized ATR) is an indicator used to measure market volatility by normalizing the average true range values. It does this by dividing the Average True Range (ATR) by the asset's closing price, converting it into a percentage. This normalization allows for the comparison of volatility levels across different securities or market conditions, regardless of the asset's price levels. The Normalized ATR helps traders to adjust their strategies based on relative volatility, rather than absolute price movements.
INDEX expect. EMA10>EMA20 --> it is expected to have EMA 10 > EMA 20 in weekly basis graph. It is known that having a strong trend in index will also increases chance of strong trend on stock levels. You need to select INDEX Market of stock via settings.
M. RELATIVE STRENGTH expect. MRS>1 --> Stan Weinstein uses the Mansfield RS indicator as another relative strength indicator. The indicator measures the variation in the 52-week ratio of stock and market.
VOLUME CHANGE (expect. >30) --> Having an increase on volume comparing to previous week can be a good sign if it occurs at the same time of breakout.
PRICE CHANGE (expect. >5 and <20) --> Having an increase on price comparing to previous week can be a good sign if it occurs at the same time of breakout.
It is better to look on weekly basis graphs.
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Price Action Analyst [OmegaTools]Price Action Analyst (PAA) is an advanced trading tool designed to assist traders in identifying key price action structures such as order blocks, market structure shifts, liquidity grabs, and imbalances. With its fully customizable settings, the script offers both novice and experienced traders insights into potential market movements by visually highlighting premium/discount zones, breakout signals, and significant price levels.
This script utilizes complex logic to determine significant price action patterns and provides dynamic tools to spot strong market trends, liquidity pools, and imbalances across different timeframes. It also integrates an internal backtesting function to evaluate win rates based on price interactions with supply and demand zones.
The script combines multiple analysis techniques, including market structure shifts, order block detection, fair value gaps (FVG), and ICT bias detection, to provide a comprehensive and holistic market view.
Key Features:
Order Block Detection: Automatically detects order blocks based on price action and strength analysis, highlighting potential support/resistance zones.
Market Structure Analysis: Tracks internal and external market structure changes with gradient color-coded visuals.
Liquidity Grabs & Breakouts: Detects potential liquidity grab and breakout areas with volume confirmation.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Identifies bullish and bearish FVGs based on historical price action and threshold calculations.
ICT Bias: Integrates ICT bias analysis, dynamically adjusting based on higher-timeframe analysis.
Supply and Demand Zones: Highlights supply and demand zones using customizable colors and thresholds, adjusting dynamically based on market conditions.
Trend Lines: Automatically draws trend lines based on significant price pivots, extending them dynamically over time.
Backtesting: Internal backtesting engine to calculate the win rate of signals generated within supply and demand zones.
Percentile-Based Pricing: Plots key percentile price levels to visualize premium, fair, and discount pricing zones.
High Customizability: Offers extensive user input options for adjusting zone detection, color schemes, and structure analysis.
User Guide:
Order Blocks: Order blocks are significant support or resistance zones where strong buyers or sellers previously entered the market. These zones are detected based on pivot points and engulfing price action. The strength of each block is determined by momentum, volume, and liquidity confirmations.
Demand Zones: Displayed in shades of blue based on their strength. The darker the color, the stronger the zone.
Supply Zones: Displayed in shades of red based on their strength. These zones highlight potential resistance areas.
The zones will dynamically extend as long as they remain valid. Users can set a maximum number of order blocks to be displayed.
Market Structure: Market structure is classified into internal and external shifts. A bullish or bearish market structure break (MSB) occurs when the price moves past a previous high or low. This script tracks these breaks and plots them using a gradient color scheme:
Internal Structure: Short-term market structure, highlighting smaller movements.
External Structure: Long-term market shifts, typically more significant.
Users can choose how they want the structure to be visualized through the "Market Structure" setting, choosing from different visual methods.
Liquidity Grabs: The script identifies liquidity grabs (false breakouts designed to trap traders) by monitoring price action around highs and lows of previous bars. These are represented by diamond shapes:
Liquidity Buy: Displayed below bars when a liquidity grab occurs near a low.
Liquidity Sell: Displayed above bars when a liquidity grab occurs near a high.
Breakouts: Breakouts are detected based on strong price momentum beyond key levels:
Breakout Buy: Triggered when the price closes above the highest point of the past 20 bars with confirmation from volume and range expansion.
Breakout Sell: Triggered when the price closes below the lowest point of the past 20 bars, again with volume and range confirmation.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Fair value gaps (FVGs) are periods where the price moves too quickly, leaving an unbalanced market condition. The script identifies these gaps:
Bullish FVG: When there is a gap between the low of two previous bars and the high of a recent bar.
Bearish FVG: When a gap occurs between the high of two previous bars and the low of the recent bar.
FVGs are color-coded and can be filtered by their size to focus on more significant gaps.
ICT Bias: The script integrates the ICT methodology by offering an auto-calculated higher-timeframe bias:
Long Bias: Suggests the market is in an uptrend based on higher timeframe analysis.
Short Bias: Indicates a downtrend.
Neutral Bias: Suggests no clear directional bias.
Trend Lines: Automatic trend lines are drawn based on significant pivot highs and lows. These lines will dynamically adjust based on price movement. Users can control the number of trend lines displayed and extend them over time to track developing trends.
Percentile Pricing: The script also plots the 25th percentile (discount zone), 75th percentile (premium zone), and a fair value price. This helps identify whether the current price is overbought (premium) or oversold (discount).
Customization:
Zone Strength Filter: Users can set a minimum strength threshold for order blocks to be displayed.
Color Customization: Users can choose colors for demand and supply zones, market structure, breakouts, and FVGs.
Dynamic Zone Management: The script allows zones to be deleted after a certain number of bars or dynamically adjusts zones based on recent price action.
Max Zone Count: Limits the number of supply and demand zones shown on the chart to maintain clarity.
Backtesting & Win Rate: The script includes a backtesting engine to calculate the percentage of respect on the interaction between price and demand/supply zones. Results are displayed in a table at the bottom of the chart, showing the percentage rating for both long and short zones. Please note that this is not a win rate of a simulated strategy, it simply is a measure to understand if the current assets tends to respect more supply or demand zones.
How to Use:
Load the script onto your chart. The default settings are optimized for identifying key price action zones and structure on intraday charts of liquid assets.
Customize the settings according to your strategy. For example, adjust the "Max Orderblocks" and "Strength Filter" to focus on more significant price action areas.
Monitor the liquidity grabs, breakouts, and FVGs for potential trade opportunities.
Use the bias and market structure analysis to align your trades with the prevailing market trend.
Refer to the backtesting win rates to evaluate the effectiveness of the zones in your trading.
Terms & Conditions:
By using this script, you agree to the following terms:
Educational Purposes Only: This script is provided for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Use at your own risk.
No Warranty: The script is provided "as-is" without any guarantees or warranties regarding its accuracy or completeness. The creator is not responsible for any losses incurred from the use of this tool.
Open-Source License: This script is open-source and may be modified or redistributed in accordance with the TradingView open-source license. Proper credit to the original creator, OmegaTools, must be maintained in any derivative works.
Enhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic WeightEnhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic Weight
Overview of the Indicator :
The "Enhanced Economic Composite with Dynamic Weight" is a comprehensive tool that combines multiple economic indicators, technical signals, and dynamic weighting to provide insights into market and economic health. It adjusts based on current volatility and recession risk, offering a detailed view of market conditions.
What This Indicator Does :
Tracks Economic Health: Uses key economic and market indicators to assess overall market conditions.
Dynamic Weighting: Adjusts the importance of components like stock indices, gold, and bonds based on volatility (VIX) and yield curve inversion.
Technical Signals: Identifies market momentum shifts through key crossovers like the Golden Cross, Death Cross, Silver Cross, and Hospice Cross.
Recession Shading: Marks known recessions for historical context.
Economic Factors Considered :
TIP (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities): Reflects inflation expectations.
Gold: A safe-haven asset, increases in weight during volatility or rising momentum.
US Dollar Index (DXY): Measures USD strength, fixed weight of 10%, smoothed with EMA.
Commodities (DBC): Indicates global demand; weight increases with momentum or volatility.
Volatility Index (VIX): Reflects market risk, inversely related to market confidence.
Stock Indices (S&P 500, DJIA, NASDAQ, Russell 2000): Represent market performance, with weights reduced during high volatility or negative yield spread.
Yield Spread (10Y - 2Y Treasuries): Predicts recessions; negative spread reduces stock weighting.
Credit Spread (HYG - TLT): Indicates market risk through corporate vs. government bond yields.
How and Why Factors are Weighted:
Stock Indices get more weight in stable markets (low VIX, positive yield spread), while safe-haven assets like gold and bonds gain weight in volatile markets or during yield curve inversions. This dynamic adjustment ensures the composite reflects current market sentiment.
Technical Signals:
Golden Cross: 50 EMA crossing above 200 SMA, signaling bullish momentum.
Death Cross: 50 EMA below 200 SMA, indicating bearish momentum.
Silver Cross: 21 EMA crossing above 50 EMA, plotted only if below the 200-day SMA, signaling potential upside in downtrend conditions.
Hospice Cross: 50 EMA crosses below 21 EMA, plotted only if 21 EMA is below 200 SMA, a leading bearish signal.
Recession Shading:
Recession periods like the Great Recession, Early 2000s Recession, and COVID-19 Recession are shaded to provide historical context.
Benefits of Using This Indicator:
Comprehensive Analysis: Combines economic fundamentals and technical analysis for a full market view.
Dynamic Risk Adjustment: Weights shift between growth and safe-haven assets based on volatility and recession risk.
Early Signals: The Silver Cross and Hospice Cross provide early warnings of potential market shifts.
Recession Forecasting: Helps predict downturns through the yield curve and recession indicators.
Who Can Benefit:
Traders: Identify market momentum shifts early through crossovers.
Long-term Investors: Use recession warnings and dynamic adjustments to protect portfolios.
Analysts: A holistic tool for analyzing both economic trends and market movements.
This indicator helps users navigate varying market conditions by dynamically adjusting based on economic factors and providing early technical signals for market momentum shifts.
Advanced Stochastic ForLoopAdvanced Stochastic ForLoop
OVERVIEW
Advanced Stochastic ForLoop is an improved version of Stochastic it is designed to calculate an array of values 1 or -1 depending if soruce for calculations is above or below basis.
It takes avereage of values over a range of lengths, providing trend signals smothed based on various moving averages in order to get rid of noise.
It offers flexibility with different signal modes and visual customizations.
TYPE OF SIGNALS
-FAST (MA > MA or MA > 0.99)
-SLOW (MA > 0)
-THRESHOLD CROSSING (set by user treshold for both directions)
-FAST THRESHOLD (when theres an change in signal by set margin e.g 0.4 -> 0.2 means bearsih when FT is set to 0.1, when MA is > 0.99 it will signal bullish, when MA < -0.99 it will signal bearish)
Generaly Lime color of line indicates Bullish, Fuchsia indicates Bearish.
This colors are not set in stone so you can change them in settings.
Alerts included when line color is:
-Bullish Trend, line color is lime
-Bearish Trend, line color is fuchsia
Credit
Idea for this script was from one of indicators created by www.tradingview.com
Warning
This indicator can be really noisy depending on the settings, signal mode so it should be used preferably as a part of an strategy not as a stand alone indicator
Remember the lower the timeframe you use the more noise there is.
No single indicator should be used alone when making investment decisions.
Bollinger Bands ForLoopBollinger Bands ForLoop
OVERVIEW
BB ForLoop is an improved version of Bollinger Bands it is designed to calculate an array of values 1 or -1 depending if soruce for calculations is above or below basis.
It takes avereage of values over a range of lengths, providing trend signals smothed based on various moving averages in order to get rid of noise.
It offers flexibility with different signal modes and visual customizations.
TYPE OF SIGNALS
-FAST (MA > MA or MA > 0.99)
-SLOW (MA > 0)
-THRESHOLD CROSSING (when cross above/below treshold set independently for both directions)
-FAST THRESHOLD (when there's change in signal by set margin e.g (0.4 -> 0.2) means bearsih when FT is set to 0.1, when MA is > 0.99 it will signal bullish, when MA < -0.99 it will signal bearish)
Generaly Lime color of line indicates Bullish, Fuchsia indicates Bearish.
This colors are not set in stone so you can change them in settings.
-Bullish Trend, line color is lime
-Bearish Trend, line color is fuchsia
Credit
Idea for this script was from one of indicators created by www.tradingview.com
Warning
Be careful when using this indicator especialy combining DEMA with FT (Fast Treshold).
This indicator can be really noisy depending on the settings, signal mode so it should be used preferably as a part of an strategy not as a stand alone indicator
Remember the lower the timeframe you use the more noise there is.
No single indicator should be used alone when making investment decisions.
EMA-BAND-PIVOT-VCPThis indicator is named "EMA-BAND-PIVOT-VCP" and integrates multiple elements such as moving averages, volume, volatility contraction patterns (VCP), pivot points, and a table to display key market metrics.
Key Features:
Moving Averages: ( 4 - EMA) default settings 20 , 50 ,144 , 200 . Can be changed in settings.
Pivot Highs and Lows:
The script detects pivot highs and pivot lows using customizable left and right lengths and plots labels to mark these points on the chart.
TIG BAND : This is setting of 2 sma - with the high and low of 90 day average which forms like a band . Its a very strong indicator of trend . Buying is suggestable above this .This has to be tested on your own to knowhow it works wonders ( price magnet). Works on all timeframes . (credit : Bhushan Sir from TIG ) .These are the best buy areas.
Volatility Contraction :
It identifies specific price contraction pattern .
vc marked - used 4 candles - first candle is the mother bar ., 2,3 and 4th candles complete range ( high to low ) is within the range of mother candle.
lc marked -here the closing is considered not the wicks. used 8 candles., the 7 candles closing is within the range of motherbar. Crosses are plotted on the last candle
Table Display:
A table is displayed on the chart with data such as EMA values, relative volume (RVol), Average Daily Range (ADR), and volume ratios. This gives a comprehensive overview of current market conditions.(RVol) compared to the 50-period volume SMA, percentage volume change, and other metrics is also displayed.
Trailing Stop ProTrailing Stop Pro is a sophisticated TradingView indicator designed to enhance your trading strategy by dynamically managing trailing stops based on market volatility. This tool leverages the Average True Range (ATR) to adjust stop levels, providing traders with a robust mechanism to protect profits and minimize losses.
Key Features:
Dynamic Trailing Stops: Automatically adjusts stop levels using ATR, allowing for responsive and adaptive risk management.
Customizable Inputs: Tailor the indicator to your trading style with adjustable parameters such as ATR Length, ATR Multiplier, and Source Vector.
Visual Clarity: Distinct color settings for long and short stops, with adjustable line thickness and transparency, ensuring clear visualization on your charts.
Professional Grade: The "Pro" designation signifies advanced features suitable for both novice and experienced traders seeking reliable and efficient stop management.
How It Works:
To set up the indicator, begin by defining the Chrono Point, which specifies the exact time you want the trailing stop mechanism to activate. This allows for precise control over when your stops begin to trail. Next, set the Credit Unit as the initial entry price for your trade, serving as the baseline from which the trailing stops will adjust.
The indicator uses ATR-based adjustments to determine stop levels. Customize the sensitivity of the trailing stop by adjusting the ATR Length (default is 14) and ATR Multiplier (default is 0.5). A longer ATR length smooths out volatility, while a higher multiplier increases the distance of the stop from the price.
Select your Source Vector from "High/Low," "Close," or "Open" prices as the basis for stop calculation. This flexibility allows you to align the indicator with your preferred trading strategy. The indicator plots trailing stops directly on the chart, with color-coded lines indicating long (teal) and short (red) positions. You can adjust the line thickness and transparency for optimal visibility.
The Mission Status feature automatically detects whether the trade is long or short and adjusts the trailing stop accordingly. If the price hits the trailing stop, the trade is considered exited, and the indicator calculates the profit or loss percentage.
Benefits:
Risk Management: Protect your trades from adverse market movements while locking in profits as prices move favorably.
Automation: Reduce manual intervention with automatic stop adjustments, allowing you to focus on strategic decision-making.
User-Friendly Interface: Intuitive settings and clear visual cues make it easy to integrate into your existing trading workflow.
Conclusion:
Trailing Stop Pro is an essential tool for traders looking to enhance their risk management strategies with precision and ease. By automating the trailing stop process and providing clear visual feedback, this indicator empowers you to navigate the markets with confidence. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, Trailing Stop Pro offers the functionality and flexibility needed to optimize your trading performance.
The Trailing Stop Pro indicator is a tool designed to assist traders in managing risk and optimizing their trading strategies. However, it should not be considered as financial advice or a guarantee of profitability. Trading involves significant risk, and it is possible to lose more than your initial investment. Users are encouraged to thoroughly test the indicator in a demo environment and consider their own financial situation and risk tolerance before using it in live trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and users should seek advice from a qualified financial advisor if needed.
Helacator Ai ThetaHelacator Ai Theta is a state-of-the-art advanced script. It helps the trader find the possibility of a trend reversal in the market. By finding that point at which the three black crows pattern combines with the three white soldiers pattern, it is the most cherished pattern in technical analysis for its signal of strong bullish or bearish momentum. Therefore, it is a very strong predictive tool in the ability of shifting markets.
Key Highlights: Three White Soldiers and Three Black Crows Patterns
The script identifies these candlestick formations that consist of three consecutive candles, either bullish (Three White Soldiers) or bearish (Three Black Crows). These patterns help the trader identify possible trend reversal points as they provide an early signal of a change in the market direction. It is with great care that the script is written to evaluate the position and relationship between the candlesticks for maintaining the accuracy of pattern recognition. Moving Averages for Trend Filtering:
Two important ones used are moving averages for filtering any signals not in accordance with the general trend. The length of these MAs is variable, allowing the traders to be in a position to adapt the script for use under different market conditions. The moving averages ensure that signals are only taken in the direction that supports the general market flow, so it leads to more reliability within the signals. The MAs are not plotted on the chart for the sake of clarity, but they still perform a crucial function in signal filtering and can be displayed optionally for a more detailed investigation. Cooldown filter to reduce over-trading
This is part of what is implemented in the script to prevent generation of consecutive signals too quickly. All this helps to reduce market noise and not overtrade—only when market conditions are at their best. The cooldown period can be set to be adjusted according to the trader's preference, making the script more versatile in its use. Practical Considerations: Educational Purpose: This script is for educational purposes only and should be part of a comprehensive trading approach. Proper risk management techniques should be observed while at the same time taking into consideration prevailing market conditions before making any trading decision.
No Guaranteed Results: The script is aimed at bringing signal accuracy into improvement to align with the broader market trend and reducing noise, but past performance cannot guarantee future success. Traders should use this script within their broad trading approach. Clean and Simple Chart Display: The primary goal of this script is to have a clear and simple display on the chart. The signals are prominently marked with "BUY" and "SELL," and the color of the bars has changed according to the last signal, thus traders can easily read the output. Community and Open Source Open Source Contribution: This script is open for contribution by the TradingView community. Any suggestions regarding improvements are highly welcomed. Candlestick patterns, moving averages, and the combination of the cooldown filter are presented in such a way as to give traders something special, and any modifications or extra touch by the community is appreciated. Attribution and Transparency: The script is based on standard technical analysis principles and for all parts inspired by or derivated from other available open-source scripts, credit is given where it is due. In this way, transparency ensures that the script adheres to TradingView's standards and promotes a collaborative community environment.
OrderBlock Trend (CISD)OrderBlock Trend (CISD) Indicator
Overview:
The "OrderBlock Trend (CISD)" AKA: change in state of delivery by ICT inner circle trader this indicator is designed to help traders identify and visualize market trends based on higher timeframe candle behavior. This script leverages the concept of order blocks, which are price levels where significant buying or selling activity has occurred, to signal potential trend reversals or continuations. By analyzing bullish and bearish order blocks on a higher timeframe, the indicator provides visual cues and statistical insights into the market's current trend dynamics.
Key Features:
Higher Timeframe Analysis: The indicator uses a higher timeframe (e.g., Daily) to assess the trend direction based on the open and close prices of candles. This approach helps in identifying more significant and reliable trend changes, filtering out noise from lower timeframes.
Bullish and Bearish Order Blocks: The script detects the first bullish or bearish candle on the selected higher timeframe and uses these candles as reference points (order blocks) to determine the trend direction. A bullish trend is indicated when the current price is above the last bearish order block's open price, and a bearish trend is indicated when the price is below the last bullish order block's open price.
Visual Trend Indication: The indicator visually represents the trend using background colors and plot shapes:
A green background and a square shape above the bars indicate a bullish trend.
A red background and a square shape above the bars indicate a bearish trend.
Candle Count and Statistics: The script keeps track of the number of up and down candles during bullish and bearish trends, providing percentages of up and down candles in each trend. This data is displayed in a table, giving traders a quick overview of market sentiment during each trend phase.
User Customization: The higher timeframe can be adjusted according to the trader's preference, allowing flexibility in trend analysis based on different time horizons.
Concepts and Calculations:
The "OrderBlock Trend (CISD)" indicator is based on the concept of order blocks, a key area where institutional traders are believed to place large orders, creating significant support or resistance levels. By identifying these blocks on a higher timeframe, the indicator aims to highlight potential trend reversals or continuations. The use of higher timeframe data helps filter out minor fluctuations and focus on more meaningful price movements.
The candle count and percentage calculations provide additional context, allowing traders to understand the proportion of bullish or bearish candles within each trend. This information can be useful for assessing the strength and consistency of a trend.
How to Use:
Select the Higher Timeframe: Choose the higher timeframe (e.g., Daily) that best suits your trading strategy. The default setting is "D" (Daily), but it can be adjusted to other timeframes as needed.
Interpret the Trend Signals:
A green background indicates a bullish trend, while a red background indicates a bearish trend. The corresponding square shapes above the bars reinforce these signals.
Use the information on the proportion of up and down candles during each trend to gauge the trend's strength and consistency.
Trading Decisions: The indicator can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to make informed trading decisions. It is particularly useful for identifying trend reversals and potential entry or exit points based on the behavior of higher timeframe order blocks.
Customization and Optimization: Experiment with different higher timeframes and settings to optimize the indicator for your specific trading style and preferences.
Conclusion:
The "OrderBlock Trend (CISD)" indicator offers a comprehensive approach to trend analysis, combining the power of higher timeframe order blocks with clear visual cues and statistical insights. By understanding the underlying concepts and utilizing the provided features, traders can enhance their trend detection and decision-making processes in the markets.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is intended for educational purposes and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods. Always perform your own research and risk management before making trading decisions.
Some known bugs when you switch to lower timeframe while using daily timeframe data it didn't use the daily candle close to establish the trend change but your current time frame If some of you know how to fix it that would be great if you help me to I would try my best to fix this in the future :) credit to ChatGPT 4o
CRT Hourly/15m dividers and opensRange Separator is a unique tool designed to help traders visualize critical price levels and ranges on their charts. This script employs the innovative concepts of "Candles Are Ranges" and the "Power of 3 (PO3)" to enhance trading strategies by marking key time intervals and price levels.
What the Script Does:
Hourly Lines:
Automatically draws vertical lines at the start of each hour.
Provides an option to display only the current hour's line for a cleaner visual.
Allows customization of line color, width, and style.
15-Minute Lines:
Adds vertical lines at 15-minute intervals to highlight smaller time ranges.
Includes an option to draw horizontal lines at the 15-minute interval prices.
Offers customization for line color, width, and style.
Horizontal Lines:
Draws horizontal lines based on the opening, high, or low price of the selected timeframe.
Customizable options for line color, width, and style.
How the Script Works:
Candles Are Ranges: Each candle represents a price range (OHLC) on any timeframe. The script visually emphasizes these ranges, helping traders understand price action better.
Power of 3 (PO3): This concept divides price delivery into three stages: formation, turtle soup (stop hunting), and distribution/expansion. The script marks these intervals, aiding in identifying potential key levels for entries and exits.
How to Use the Script:
Adding the Script:
Apply the script to your chart and adjust the settings in the input menu.
Customize the appearance of hourly and 15-minute lines to suit your preference.
Analyzing the Chart:
Observe the hourly lines to determine higher timeframe biases.
Use 15-minute lines to identify more granular price movements.
Pay attention to horizontal lines that mark significant price levels based on your chosen criteria (open, high, low).
Trading Strategy:
Combine the script's visual aids with your understanding of the "Candles Are Ranges" and "Power of 3" concepts.
Use these visual cues to make informed decisions about potential entry and exit points.
What Makes it Original:
Integration of Candles Are Ranges and PO3 Concepts: Unlike traditional scripts that merely plot lines, this script uniquely integrates two powerful trading theories to provide a comprehensive view of price action.
Customizable Visual Aids: Offers extensive customization options for line colors, widths, and styles, allowing traders to tailor the script to their specific needs.
Enhanced Timeframe Analysis: By marking both hourly and 15-minute intervals, the script provides a detailed view of price ranges across multiple timeframes, enhancing the trader's ability to make informed decisions.
- Key script Parameters
Show Hourly Lines: Toggles the display of vertical lines marking each hour.
Hourly Lines Color: Sets the color of the hourly vertical lines.
Hourly Lines Width: Chooses the width of the hourly vertical lines (1, 2, or 3).
Hourly Lines Style: Selects the style of the hourly lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Horizontal Line Color: Defines the color of the horizontal lines drawn at hourly intervals.
Horizontal Line Width: Determines the width of the horizontal lines (1, 2, or 3).
Horizontal Line Style: Sets the style of the horizontal lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Horizontal Line Start Price: Specifies which price (Open, High, Low) the horizontal lines will start from.
Show Current Hour Only: Limits the display to only the current hour's horizontal line.
Show 15-Minute Lines: Toggles the display of vertical lines marking each 15-minute interval.
15-Minute Lines Color: Sets the color of the 15-minute vertical lines.
15-Minute Lines Width: Chooses the width of the 15-minute vertical lines (1, 2, or 3).
15-Minute Lines Style: Selects the style of the 15-minute lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Show 15-Minute Horizontal Lines: Toggles the display of horizontal lines at 15-minute intervals.
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Color: Defines the color of the horizontal lines drawn at 15-minute intervals.
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Width: Determines the width of the horizontal lines (1, 2, or 3).
15-Minute Horizontal Lines Style: Sets the style of the horizontal lines (Solid, Dashed, or Dotted).
Important Notes:
- Credit to @Yazdanian and his basic "Hourly separators" indicator that plots a simple vertical line every hour which provided the idea for this version and expanded on
- This script is designed to complement your trading strategy by providing visual aids and should be used alongside other technical analysis tools.
It is not intended to issue buy or sell signals but to help you understand price ranges and potential key levels.
Disclaimer: The script is provided as-is, and the authors are not responsible for any trading losses incurred using this script. Always perform your own analysis and use proper risk management.
Macro Risk On/Off SentimentOverview
As an Ichimoku trader, I've always found it crucial to understand the broader market sentiment before entering trades. That's why I developed this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of global market risk sentiment by analysing multiple factors across different asset classes. By combining nine key market indicators, it produces an overall risk sentiment score, giving me a clearer picture of the market's mood before I apply my Ichimoku strategy.
Rationale
While Ichimoku is powerful for identifying trends and potential entry points, I realised it doesn't always capture the broader market context. Markets don't exist in isolation—they're influenced by a myriad of factors including volatility, economic indicators, and cross-asset relationships. By creating this indicator, I aimed to fill that gap, providing myself with a macro view that complements my Ichimoku analysis.
How It Works
The indicator analyses nine different market factors:
VIX (Volatility Index): Measures market expectations of near-term volatility.
S&P 500 Performance: Represents the overall US stock market performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Indicates bond market sentiment and economic outlook.
Gold Price Movement: Often seen as a safe-haven asset.
US Dollar Index: Measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies.
Emerging Markets Performance: Represents risk appetite for higher-risk markets.
High Yield Bond Spreads: Indicates credit market risk sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio: An economic growth indicator.
Put/Call Ratio: Measures overall market sentiment based on options trading.
Each factor is assigned a score based on its z-score relative to its recent history, then weighted according to its perceived importance. The overall risk score is a weighted average of these individual scores.
How I Use It
Before applying my Ichimoku strategy, I first check this indicator to gauge the overall market sentiment:
I look at the blue line plotted on the chart, which represents the overall risk score.
I note the background colour: green for risk-on (positive score) and red for risk-off (negative score).
I check the label in the lower-left corner, which provides specific FX pair recommendations and market expectations.
In a risk-on environment (positive score):
I focus on long positions in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc.
I look for short opportunities in USD/CAD, USD/NOK, etc.
I expect commodities and yields to rise
In a risk-off environment (negative score):
I focus on long positions in USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD
I look for short opportunities in AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD
I expect increased volatility and falling yields
The strength of the sentiment is reflected in how close the score is to either 1 (strong risk-on) or -1 (strong risk-off). This helps me gauge how aggressive or conservative I should be with my Ichimoku trades.
Customisation
I've designed this indicator to be flexible. You can modify it to:
Adjust the lookback period and moving average length (both default to 30)
Change the weighting of different factors in the final score calculation
Include or exclude specific factors based on your analysis needs
By combining this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator with my Ichimoku analysis, I've found I can make more informed trading decisions, taking into account both the technical setups I see on the chart and the broader market context.
Flush Percent RangeFans of Woodies CCI may recognize the approach to this one. This is my attempt at using the same methods but for taking the highs and lows into account without the standard deviation of the CCI. The smoothness of other oscillators may not be ideal however the Williams Percent Range is a fast stochastic that also operates within a channel. This provides an alternative yet still complex view for the virtuoso. A unique feature is total utilization of the weighted moving average, from the standard to the more complex. A fun fact is the Hull Moving Average is actually calculated using weighted moving averages.
How to use:
The base length is for accuracy, the fast length is for catching all the moves(even the wrong ones sometimes.)
The bars back option will not flip the histogram/base trend to its bullish/bearish alternative until the base plot remains on the latter half of the oscillator for a certain number of bars. This can be set to zero if desired.
The factor controls the chop on the various levels. A higher number will increase it.
The oscillator levels are measuring slope, price relative to the average, and a summation of percent changes between the two. Both the baseline/histogram and the levels have color coding for bullishness, bearishness, and indecision(depending on the factor.) The fast line matches the indecision color by default. This is all customizable.
There are many potential ways to trade with this indicator. From hooks back toward the trend and range line crossovers to divergence and reversals. It's important to note the current performance of the oscillator levels. Time cycles may come in handy along with other forecasting tools.
Lastly, there are optional linear regression lines plotted on the chart. They're synchronized to the lengths in the oscillator. This is an additional visual aid to provide context to the direction of the channel.
Overall the Flush Percent Range is for analyzing multiple regression models within a single price channel. No smoothing, fast averages, and specified timeframes of highs/lows. Credit to Larry Williams for the original calculation and Ken Woods for design/methodology inspiration.
Moving Average CyclesMoving Average Cycles Indicator
Description:
The Moving Average Cycles indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify and analyze bullish and bearish cycles based on price movements relative to a moving average. This indicator offers valuable insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
Key Features:
Customizable Moving Average: Users can adjust the MA period and resolution (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) to suit their trading style.
Cycle Identification: The indicator tracks bull and bear cycles, providing visual cues through color-coded histograms.
Comprehensive Metrics: A detailed table displays crucial cycle statistics, including:
Current cycle information (candles and % distance from MA)
Maximum and average cycle lengths (in candles)
Maximum and average percentage distances from the MA
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to your chart and adjust the MA period and resolution as needed.
Green histograms represent bullish cycles, while red histograms indicate bearish cycles.
Use the metrics table to gain insights into historical cycle behavior and current market positioning.
This indicator is designed to complement your existing trading strategy by providing a clear visual representation of market cycles and detailed statistical information. It can be particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals and gauging the strength of current trends compared to the past.
Note: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This indicator is meant for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always combine multiple analysis tools and conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to use and modify it, but please provide appropriate credit if you build upon this work.
I hope you find this Moving Average Cycles indicator helpful in your trading journey. If you have any questions or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to leave a comment below.
Directional Movement Index DEThis script uses the existing built-in DMI indicator but adds two lines indicating strength of the ADX trend. The original author J. Welles Wilder, indicated a ADX trending strongly above 25 (yellow by default), and ADX trending weaker at a threshold of 20 or below (dashed yellow by default).
The default colours have been changed so that ADX is yellow, +DI is green, and -DI is red.
Calculation
Calculating the DMI can actually be broken down into two parts. First, calculating the +DI and -DI, and second, calculating the ADX. To calculate the +DI and -DI you need to find the +DM and -DM (Directional Movement). +DM and -DM are calculated using the High, Low and Close for each period. You can then calculate the following:
Current High - Previous High = UpMove
Previous Low - Current Low = DownMove
If UpMove > DownMove and UpMove > 0, then +DM = UpMove, else +DM = 0
If DownMove > Upmove and Downmove > 0, then -DM = DownMove, else -DM = 0
Once you have the current +DM and -DM calculated, the +DM and -DM lines can be calculated and plotted based on the number of user defined periods.
+DI = 100 times Exponential Moving Average of (+DM / Average True Range)
-DI = 100 times Exponential Moving Average of (-DM / Average True Range)
Now that -+DX and -DX have been calculated, the last step is calculating the ADX.
ADX = 100 times the Exponential Moving Average of the Absolute Value of (+DI - -DI) / (+DI + -DI)
The basics
DMI has a value between 0 and 100 and is used to measure the strength of the current trend. +DI and -DI are then used to measure direction. When combined, the indicator can provide some valuable insight. A general interpretation would be that during a strong trend (ADX above 25 but dependent on the analyst's interpretation), when the +DI is above the -DI, then a Bullish Market is defined. When -DI is above +DI, then a Bearish Market is at hand.
One thing to be considered is that what DMI values determine, strength or a potential signal, is up to the trader's interpretation. Acceptable values may change depending on the financial instrument being examined, therefore some historical analysis of the instrument in question would be prudent. A technical analyst can make better decisions based on what has occurred in historical examples.
All credit goes to the original script .
Adaptive Trend Lines [MAMA and FAMA]Updated my previous algo on the Adaptive Trend lines, however I have added new functionalities and sorted out the settings.
You can now switch between normalized and non-normalized settings, the colors have also been updated and look much better.
The MAMA and FAMA
These indicators was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities V. 19:10: MESA Adaptive Moving Averages). Everget wrote the initial functions for these in pine script. I have simply normalized the indicators and chosen to use the Laplace transformation instead of the hilbert transformation
How the Indicator Works:
The indicator employs a series of complex calculations, but we'll break it down into key steps to understand its functionality:
LaplaceTransform: Calculates the Laplace distribution for the given src input. The Laplace distribution is a continuous probability distribution, also known as the double exponential distribution. I use this because of the assymetrical return profile
MESA Period: The indicator calculates a MESA period, which represents the dominant cycle length in the price data. This period is continuously adjusted to adapt to market changes.
InPhase and Quadrature Components: The InPhase and Quadrature components are derived from the Hilbert Transform output. These components represent different aspects of the price's cyclical behavior.
Homodyne Discriminator: The Homodyne Discriminator is a phase-sensitive technique used to determine the phase and amplitude of a signal. It helps in detecting trend changes.
Alpha Calculation: Alpha represents the adaptive factor that adjusts the sensitivity of the indicator. It is based on the MESA period and the phase of the InPhase component. Alpha helps in dynamically adjusting the indicator's responsiveness to changes in market conditions.
MAMA and FAMA Calculation: The MAMA and FAMA values are calculated using the adaptive factor (alpha) and the input price data. These values are essentially adaptive moving averages that aim to capture the current trend more effectively than traditional moving averages.
But Omar, why would anyone want to use this?
The MAMA and FAMA lines offer benefits:
The indicator offers a distinct advantage over conventional moving averages due to its adaptive nature, which allows it to adjust to changing market conditions. This adaptability ensures that investors can stay on the right side of the trend, as the indicator becomes more responsive during trending periods and less sensitive in choppy or sideways markets.
One of the key strengths of this indicator lies in its ability to identify trends effectively by combining the MESA and MAMA techniques. By doing so, it efficiently filters out market noise, making it highly valuable for trend-following strategies. Investors can rely on this feature to gain clearer insights into the prevailing trends and make well-informed trading decisions.
This indicator is primarily suppoest to be used on the big timeframes to see which trend is prevailing, however I am not against someone using it on a timeframe below the 1D, just be careful if you are using this for modern portfolio theory, this is not suppoest to be a mid-term component, but rather a long term component that works well with proper use of detrended fluctuation analysis.
Dont hesitate to ask me if you have any questions
Again, I want to give credit to Everget and ChartPrime!
Code explanation as required by House Rules:
fastLimit = input.float(title='Fast Limit', step=0.01, defval=0.01, group = "Indicator Settings")
slowLimit = input.float(title='Slow Limit', step=0.01, defval=0.08, group = "Indicator Settings")
src = input(title='Source', defval=close, group = "Indicator Settings")
input.float: Used to create input fields for the user to set the fastLimit and slowLimit values.
input: General function to get user inputs, like the data source (close price) used for calculations.
norm_period = input.int(3, 'Normalization Period', 1, group = "Normalized Settings")
norm = input.bool(defval = true, title = "Use normalization", group = "Normalized Settings")
input.int: Creates an input field for the normalization period.
input.bool: Allows the user to toggle normalization on or off.
Color settings in the code:
col_up = input.color(#22ab94, group = "Color Settings")
col_dn = input.color(#f7525f, group = "Color Settings")
Constants and functions
var float PI = math.pi
laplace(src) =>
(0.5) * math.exp(-math.abs(src))
_computeComponent(src, mesaPeriodMult) =>
out = laplace(src) * mesaPeriodMult
out
_smoothComponent(src) =>
out = 0.2 * src + 0.8 * nz(src )
out
math.pi: Represents the mathematical constant π (pi).
laplace: A function that applies the Laplace transform to the source data.
_computeComponent: Computes a component of the data using the Laplace transform.
_smoothComponent: Smooths data by averaging the current value with the previous one (nz function is used to handle null values).
Alpha function:
_computeAlpha(src, fastLimit, slowLimit) =>
mesaPeriod = 0.0
mesaPeriodMult = 0.075 * nz(mesaPeriod ) + 0.54
...
alpha = math.max(fastLimit / deltaPhase, slowLimit)
out = alpha
out
_computeAlpha: Calculates the adaptive alpha value based on the fastLimit and slowLimit. This value is crucial for determining the MAMA and FAMA lines.
Calculating MAMA and FAMA:
mama = 0.0
mama := alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * nz(mama )
fama = 0.0
fama := alpha2 * mama + (1 - alpha2) * nz(fama )
Normalization:
lowest = ta.lowest(mama_fama_diff, norm_period)
highest = ta.highest(mama_fama_diff, norm_period)
normalized = (mama_fama_diff - lowest) / (highest - lowest) - 0.5
ta.lowest and ta.highest: Find the lowest and highest values of mama_fama_diff over the normalization period.
The oscillator is normalized to a range, making it easier to compare over different periods.
And finally, the plotting:
plot(norm == true ? normalized : na, style=plot.style_columns, color=col_wn, title = "mama_fama_diff Oscillator Normalized")
plot(norm == false ? mama_fama_diff : na, style=plot.style_columns, color=col_wnS, title = "mama_fama_diff Oscillator")
Example of Normalized settings:
Example for setup:
Try to make sure the lower timeframe follows the higher timeframe if you take a trade based on this indicator!
RSI Screener / Heatmap - By LeviathanThis script allows you to quickly scan the market by displaying the RSI values of up to 280 tickers at once and visualizing them in an easy-to-understand format using labels with heatmap coloring.
📊 Source
The script can display the RSI from a custom timeframe (MTF) and custom length for the following data:
- Price
- OBV (On Balance Volume)
- Open Interest (for crypto tickers)
📋 Ticker Selection
This script uses a different approach for selecting tickers. Instead of inputting them one by one via input.symbol(), you can now copy-paste or edit a list of tickers in the text area window. This approach allows users to easily exchange ticker lists between each other and, for example, create multiple lists of tickers by sector, market cap, etc., and easily input them into the script. Full credit to @allanster for his functions for extracting tickers from the text. Users can switch between 7 groups of 40 tickers each, totaling 280 tickers.
🖥️ Display Types
- Screener with Labels: Each ticker has its own color-coded label located at its RSI value.
- Group Average RSI: A standard RSI plot that displays the average RSI of all tickers in the group.
- RSI Heatmap (coming soon): Color-coded rows displaying current and historical values of tickers.
- RSI Divergence Heatmap (coming soon): Color-coded rows displaying current and historical regular/hidden bullish/bearish divergences for tickers.
🎨 Appearance
Appearance is fully customizable via user inputs, allowing you to change heatmap/gradient colors, zone coloring, and more.
Trend Regression Kernel [IkkeOmar]Kernel by @jdehorty huge shoutout to him! This is only an idea for how I use it when trading
All credit for the kernel goes to him, I did not make the kernel! I don't know how to make it more clear.
I use this to assist with top-down analysis.
timeframe I want to trade : timeframe to analyse with white noise and kernel:
1m : 1H
5m : 2H
15m : 4H
1H : 1D
In the chart you see that I have the 1H open, I use the white noise at a "lower setting length" (55 in this case), I change the source of to be the kernel on the higher timeframe. When a new trend is detected by the White noise I wait for price to retest the kernel before building a position. Another case described below:
Here i use the adaptive MCVF (I have made this free for everyone on TradingView) to buy when price is below the kernel while the trend for the white noise is bullish .
Notice that the Kernel is set on the 4H timeframe! The source of the white noise is the kernel!
Here is an example in a bearish trend:
Notice, I am on the 5m chart, kernel uses the 2H chart and the source of the white noise is the kernel.
I use the adaptive MCVF to help me get entries AFTER the first touch of the kernel.
Mandatory code explanation, with respect to the house rules:
Input settings:
Input Settings:
The script provides various input parameters to customize the indicator:
src: The source of price data, defaulted to closing prices.
h, r, x_0: Parameters for Kernel 1.
h2, r2, x_2: Parameters for Kernel 2.
Kernel Regression Functions:
Two functions kernel_regression1 and kernel_regression2 are defined to perform kernel regression calculations.
These functions estimate the trend using the Nadaraya-Watson kernel non-parametric regression method.
They take the source data (_src), the size of the data series (_size), and the lookback window (_h) as inputs.
They iterate over the data series and calculate the weighted sum of the values based on the specified kernel parameters.
The result is divided by the cumulative weight to obtain the estimated value.
Estimations:
The kernel_regression1 and kernel_regression2 functions are called with the respective parameters to estimate trends (yhat1 and yhat2).
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy and sell signals are generated based on crossover and crossunder conditions between the two trend estimates (yhat1 and yhat2).
buySignal is true when yhat1 crosses above yhat2.
SellSignal is true when yhat1 crosses below yhat2.
Plotting:
The average of the two trend estimates (yhat1 and yhat2) is calculated and plotted.
The color of the plot is determined based on whether yhat1 is greater than yhat2, less than yhat2, or equal to yhat2.
Buy and sell signals are plotted using triangle shapes below and above bars, respectively.
Alerts:
Alert conditions are set based on buy and sell signals. Alerts are triggered when a crossover (long signal) or crossunder (short signal) occurs.
The alerts include information about the signal type, symbol, and price.
It's important to mention that the buy and sell signals from the indicator is very discretionary, I rarely use them, and if I do it's if they are in confluence with a correction i am biased towards or if it has confluence with some of my other systems.
The adaptive MCVF and White noise is free for everyone on TradingView, linked below:)
Huge shoutout to @jdehorty, original kernel below:
