Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager MNQ [HERMAN]Title: Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager MNQ
Description:
The Volatility-Dynamic Risk Manager is a dedicated risk management utility designed specifically for traders of Micro Nasdaq 100 Futures (MNQ).
Many traders struggle with position sizing because they use a fixed Stop Loss size regardless of market conditions. A 10-point stop might be safe in a slow market but easily stopped out in a high-volatility environment. This indicator solves that problem by monitoring real-time volatility (using ATR) and automatically suggesting the appropriate Stop Loss size and Position Size (Contracts) to keep your dollar risk constant.
Note: This tool is hardcoded for MNQ (Micro Nasdaq) with a tick value calculation of $2 per point.
📈 How It Works
-This script operates on a logical flow that adapts to market behavior:
-Volatility Measurement: It calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined length (Default: 14) to gauge the current "speed" of the market.
-State Detection: Based on the current ATR, the script classifies the market into one of three states:
Low Volatility: The market is chopping or moving slowly.
Normal Volatility: Standard trading conditions.
High Volatility: The market is moving aggressively.
Dynamic Stop Loss Selection: Depending on the detected state, the script selects a pre-defined Stop Loss (in points) that you have configured for that specific environment.
Position Sizing Calculation: Finally, it calculates how many MNQ contracts you can trade so that if your Stop Loss is hit, you do not lose more than your defined "Max Risk per Trade."
🧮 Methodology & Calculations
Since this script handles risk management, transparency in calculation is vital.
Here is the exact math used:
ATR Calculation: Contracts = Max Risk / Risk Per Contract
⚙️ Settings
You can fully customize the behavior of the risk manager via the settings panel:
Risk Management
-Max Risk per Trade ($): The maximum amount of USD you are willing to lose on a single trade.
Volatility Thresholds (ATR)
-ATR Length: The lookback period for volatility calculation.
-Upper Limit for LOW Volatility: If ATR is below this number, the market is "Low Volatility."
-Lower Limit for HIGH Volatility: If ATR is above this number, the market is "High Volatility." (Anything between Low and High is considered "Normal").
Stop Loss Settings (Points)
-SL for Low/Normal/High: Define how wide your stop loss should be in points for each of the three market states.
Visual Settings
-Color Theme: Switch between Light and Dark modes.
-Panel Position: Move the dashboard to any corner or center of your chart.
-Panel Size: Adjust the scale (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
📊 Dashboard Overview
-The on-screen panel provides a quick-glance summary for live execution:
-Market State: Color-coded status (Green = Low Vol, Orange = Normal, Red = High Vol).
-Current ATR: The live volatility reading.
-Suggested SL: The Stop Loss size you should enter in your execution platform.
-CONTRACTS: The calculated position size.
-Est. Loss: The actual dollar amount you will lose if the stop is hit (usually slightly less than your Max Risk due to rounding down).
Who is this for?
-Discretionary and systematic futures traders on MNQ (/MNQ or MES also works with small adjustments)
-Anyone who wants perfect risk consistency regardless of whether the market is asleep or exploding
-Traders who hate manual position-size calculations on every trade
No repainting
Works on any timeframe
Real-time updates on every bar
Overlay indicator (no signals, pure risk-management tool)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for informational and educational purposes only. It calculates mathematical position sizes based on user inputs. It does not execute trades, nor does it guarantee profits. Past performance (volatility) is not indicative of future results. Always manually verify your order size before executing trades on your broker platform.
"Volatility"に関するスクリプトを検索
Volatility Regime Classifier | ATRP Percentile ZonesThis indicator helps you understand the current volatility environment of any asset by comparing recent ATR-based values to its historical range.
It defines four regimes:
🔴 Low Volatility: Volatility is decreasing
🟢 Normal: Volatility is increasing but still below average
🟠 High: Volatility is elevated
🟣 Extreme: Volatility is very high compared to recent history
⚙️ How it works
We calculate the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage of price (ATRP), then compare a short-term ATR to a longer-term one. Their difference shows whether volatility is picking up or slowing down.
To make the signal more adaptive, we look at the distribution of recent volatility over a rolling window. We compute the 50th and 70th percentiles of that history to set dynamic thresholds.
About distribution & percentiles
Volatility in financial markets doesn't follow a normal (Gaussian) distribution, it's often skewed, with sudden spikes and fat tails. That means fixed thresholds (like "ATR > 20") can be misleading or irrelevant across assets and timeframes.
Using percentiles solves this:
The 50th percentile marks the middle of the recent volatility range.
The 70th percentile captures a zone where volatility is unusually high, but not too rare, which keeps the signal usable and not overly sensitive.
These levels offer a balance:
⚖️ not too reactive, not too slow — just enough to highlight meaningful shifts.
✅ Use cases
Spot changes in market conditions
Filter or adapt strategies depending on the regime
Adjust position sizing and risk dynamically
EWMA Volatility EstimatorThis script calculates EWMA Volatility (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Volatility).
Commonly used model in financial risk management.
It estimates recent price volatility by applying more weight to the most recent returns, capturing volatility clustering while remaining responsive to fast market shifts.
The method uses a decay factor (λ) of 0.94, the standard value used in models like RiskMetrics, and converts the variance estimate into annualized volatility in percentage terms.
This is not a forecasting tool. It’s an estimator that reflects the magnitude of recent price moves in a statistically robust way.
It can be helpful for:
Understanding regime shifts in market behavior
Designing position sizing rules based on recent volatility
Filtering entries during high or low volatility phases
How It Works
Computes log returns of the closing price.
Squares the returns to get a proxy for variance.
Applies an exponential moving average to the squared returns using an equivalent EMA period based on λ = 0.94.
Converts the result to volatility by taking the square root and scaling to a percentage.
Key Characteristics
Backward-looking estimator
Reacts faster than standard rolling-window volatility
Smooths noise while still being sensitive to recent spikes
This script is educational and informational. It is not financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Always test any tool as part of a broader strategy before using it in live markets.
Volatility with Power VariationVolatility Analysis using Power Variation
The "Volatility with Power Variation" indicator is designed to measure market volatility. It focuses on providing traders with a clear understanding of how much the market is moving and how this movement changes over time.. This indicator helps in identifying potential periods of market expansion or contraction, based on volatility.
What the indicator does:
This indicator analyzes volatility which refers to the degree of variation in the returns of a financial instrument over time. It's an important measure to understand how much the price and returns of a asset fluctuates. High volatility means large price swings, meanwhile low volatility indicates smaller and consolidating movements. Realized (Historical) Volatility refers to volatility based on past price data.
Power Variation
Power Variation is an extension of the traditional methods used to calculate realized volatility. Instead of simply summing up squared returns (as done in calculating variance), Power Variation raises the magnitude of returns to a power p . This allows the indicator to capture different types of market behavior depending on the chosen value of p .
When P = 2, the Power variation behaves like a traditional variance measure. Lower values of p (e.g., p=1) make the indicator more sensitive to smaller price changes, meanwhile higher values make it more responsive to large jumps, but smaller price moves wont affect the measure that much or won't most likely.
Bipower Variation
Bipower variation is another method used to analyze the changes in price. It specifically isolates the continuous part of price movements from the jumps, which can help by understanding whether volatility is coming from regular market activity or from sharp, sudden moves.
How to Use the Indicator.
Understand Realized and Historical Volatility. Volatility after periods of low volatility you can eventually expect a expansion or an increase in volatility. Conversely, after periods of high volatility, the market often contracts and volatility decreases. If the variation plot is really low and you start seeing it increasing, shown by the standard deviation channels and moving average and you see it trending and increasing then that means you can expect for volatility to increase which means more price moves and expansions. Also if the scaling seems messed up, then use the logarithmic chart scale.
[Pandora] Vast Volatility Treasure TroveINTRODUCTION:
Volatility enthusiasts, prepare for VICTORY on this day of July 4th, 2024! This is my "Vast Volatility Treasure Trove," intended mostly for educational purposes, yet these functions will also exhibit versatility when combined with other algorithms to garner statistical excellence. Once again, I am now ripping the lid off of Pandora's box... of volatility. Inside this script is a 'vast' collection of volatility estimators, reflecting the indicators name. Whether you are a seasoned trader destined to navigate financial strife or an eagerly curious learner, this script offers a comprehensive toolkit for a broad spectrum of volatility analysis. Enjoy your journey through the realm of market volatility with this code!
WHAT IS MARKET VOLATILITY?:
Market volatility refers to various fluctuations in the value of a financial market or asset over a period of time, often characterized by occasional rapid and significant deviations in price. During periods of greater market volatility, evolving conditions of prices can move rapidly in either direction, creating uncertainty for investors with results of sharp declines as well as rapid gains. However, market volatility is a typical aspect expected in financial markets that can also present opportunities for informed decision-making and potential benefits from the price flux.
SCRIPT INTENTION:
Volatility is assuredly omnipresent, waxing and waning in magnitude, and some readers have every intention of studying and/or measuring it. This script serves as an all-in-one armada of volatility estimators for TradingView members. I set out to provide a diverse set of tools to analyze and interpret market volatility, offering volatile insights, and aid with the development of robust trading indicators and strategies.
In today's fast-paced financial markets, understanding and quantifying volatility is informative for both seasoned traders and novice investors. This script is designed to empower users by equipping them with a comprehensive suite of volatility estimators. Each function within this script has been meticulously crafted to address various aspects of volatility, from traditional methods like Garman-Klass and Parkinson to more advanced techniques like Yang-Zhang and my custom experimental algorithms.
Ultimately, this script is more than just a collection of functions. It is a gateway to a deeper understanding of market volatility and a valuable resource for anyone committed to mastering the complexities of financial markets.
SCRIPT CONTENTS:
This script includes a variety of functions designed to measure and analyze market volatility. Where applicable, an input checkbox option provides an unbiased/biased estimate. Below is a brief description of each function in the original order they appear as code upon first publish:
Parkinson Volatility - Estimates volatility emphasizing the high and low range movements.
Alternate Parkinson Volatility - Simpler version of the original Parkinson Volatility that I realized.
Garman-Klass Volatility - Estimates volatility based on high, low, open, and close prices using a formula that adjusts for biases in price dynamics.
Rogers-Satchell-Yoon Volatility #1 - Estimates volatility based on logarithmic differences between high, low, open, and close values.
Rogers-Satchell-Yoon Volatility #2 - Similar estimate to Rogers-Satchell with the same result via an alternate formulation of volatility.
Yang-Zhang Volatility - An advanced volatility estimate combining both strengths of the Garman-Klass and Rogers-Satchell estimators, with weights determined by an alpha parameter.
Yang-Zhang (Modified) Volatility - My experimental modification slightly different from the Yang-Zhang formula with improved computational efficiency.
Selectable Volatility - Basic customizable volatility calculation based on the logarithmic difference between selected numerator and denominator prices (e.g., open, high, low, close).
Close-to-Close Volatility - Estimates volatility using the logarithmic difference between consecutive closing prices. Specifically applicable to data sources without open, high, and low prices.
Open-to-Close Volatility - (Overnight Volatility): Estimates volatility based on the logarithmic difference between the opening price and the last closing price emphasizing overnight gaps.
Hilo Volatility - Estimates volatility using a method similar to Parkinson's method, which considers the logarithm of the high and low prices.
Vantage Volatility - My experimental custom 'vantage' method to estimate volatility similar to Yang-Zhang, which incorporates various factors (Alpha, Beta, Gamma) to generate a weighted logarithmic calculation. This may be a volatility advantage or disadvantage, hence it's name.
Schwert Volatility - Estimates volatility based on arithmetic returns.
Historical Volatility - Estimates volatility considering logarithmic returns.
Annualized Historical Volatility - Estimates annualized volatility using logarithmic returns, adjusted for the number of trading days in a year.
If I omitted any other known varieties, detailed requests for future consideration can be made below for their inclusion into this script within future versions...
BONUS ALGORITHMS:
This script also includes several experimental and bonus functions that push the boundaries of volatility analysis as I understand it. These functions are designed to provide additional insights and also are my ideal notions for traders looking to explore other methods of volatility measurement.
VOLATILITY APPLICATIONS:
Volatility estimators serve a common role across various facets of trading and financial analysis, offering insights into market behavior. These tools are already in instrumental with enhancing risk management practices by providing a deeper understanding of market dynamics and the inherent uncertainty in asset prices. With volatility estimators, traders can effectively quantifying market risk and adjust their strategies accordingly, optimizing portfolio performance and mitigating potential losses. Additionally, volatility estimations may serve as indication for detecting overbought or oversold market conditions, offering probabilistic insights that could inform strategic decisions at turning points. This script
distinctly offers a variety of volatility estimators to navigate intricate financial terrains with informed judgment to address challenges of strategic planning.
CODE REUSE:
You don't have to ask for my permission to use/reuse these functions in your published scripts, simply because I have better things to do than answer requests for the reuse of these functions.
Notice: Unfortunately, I will not provide any integration support into member's projects at all. I have my own projects that require way too much of my day already.
VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicatorhere what the indictor do !
The "VIX, ATR, and Volatility Indicator" combines the Volatility Index (VIX), Average True Range (ATR), and moving averages to provide insights into market volatility.
VIX (Volatility Index):
The VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, while a lower value suggests lower volatility.
ATR (Average True Range):
The ATR is a technical indicator that measures the average range between high and low prices over a specified period. It provides a sense of the market's volatility by considering price movements. Higher ATR values indicate greater volatility, while lower values indicate lower volatility.
Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates both an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a specific period (e.g., 50).
Moving averages smooth out price data to identify trends and potential areas of support or resistance.
Volatility Detection:
By comparing the current closing price to the EMA and SMA, the indicator determines if there is high volatility.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, it indicates potential high volatility.
Visualization:
The VIX and ATR are typically plotted on the chart, providing a visual representation of market volatility and price range.
Additionally, markers or labels may be used to highlight periods of high volatility when the current price exceeds the moving averages.
what are the VIX and ATR
Volatility Index (VIX):
Monitor the VIX value from financial platforms or market data providers. A higher VIX value indicates increased market volatility, suggesting potential trading opportunities. Conversely, a lower VIX value indicates lower volatility, which may influence your trading strategy.
Average True Range (ATR):
Calculate the ATR manually or use charting platforms that provide ATR as an indicator.
Plot the ATR on your trading chart to visualize the range of price movements.
Determine suitable entry and exit points based on ATR values. For example, higher ATR values may indicate larger potential price swings, while lower ATR values may suggest a more stable market.
how it work
Fetching VIX Data:
The request.security function is used to fetch the daily VIX data from the "CBOE:VIX" symbol. It retrieves the closing price of the VIX for each day.
Calculating ATR:
The ta.atr function calculates the Average True Range (ATR) with a period of 14. ATR measures the average range between the high and low prices over the specified period, providing an indication of market volatility.
Calculating Moving Averages:
Two types of moving averages are calculated: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA). Both moving averages are calculated using a period of 50, but you can adjust the period as needed.
The ta.ema function calculates the Exponential Moving Average, which places greater weight on recent prices.
The ta.sma function calculates the Simple Moving Average, which gives equal weight to all prices in the period.
Identifying High Volatility:
The indicator determines if there is high volatility by comparing the current closing price to both the EMA and SMA.
If the current closing price is higher than either the EMA or SMA, the isHighVolatility variable is set to true, indicating potential high volatility.
Plotting the Indicators:
The VIX and ATR are plotted using the plot function, assigning colors and line widths for visual differentiation.
The plotshape function is used to plot markers below the bars to indicate highly volatile periods. The isHighVolatility variable determines when the markers appear.
ATR Volatility AlertsOverview:
This is a dynamic alert tool based on the Average True Range (ATR), designed to help traders detect sudden price movements that exceed normal volatility levels. Whether you are trading breakouts or monitoring for abnormal spikes, this indicator visualizes these events on the chart and triggers system alerts when the price move exceeds your specified ATR multiplier.
Key Features:
Fully Customizable ATR Range:
You can adjust the ATR Length (Default: 14) and the Multiplier (Default: 1.5x).
Tip: Increase the multiplier (e.g., to 2.0 or 3.0) to catch only extreme volatility, or lower it for scalping smaller moves.
Visual Chart Signals:
Visual markers appear instantly when a bar's movement exceeds the ATR threshold.
Green Triangle: Indicates an Upward Spike.
Red Triangle: Indicates a Downward Spike.
Flexible System Alerts:
Designed to integrate seamlessly with TradingView's alert system. You can choose from three specific alert directions based on your strategy:
1.Price Spike Up: Triggers only on sharp upward moves.
2.Price Spike Down: Triggers only on sharp downward moves.
3.Bidirectional Volatility Alert: Triggers on BOTH huge pumps and dumps.
How to Set Alerts:
Click the "Create Alert" button in TradingView.
Select ATR Volatility Alerts in the "Condition" dropdown.
Choose the specific logic you need:
· Select Price Spike Up for bullish monitoring.
· Select Price Spike Down for bearish monitoring.
· Select Bidirectional Volatility Alert to watch for any volatility expansion.
Hourly Volatility Explorer📊 Hourly Volatility Explorer: Master The Market's Pulse
Unlock the hidden rhythms of price action with this sophisticated volatility analysis tool. The Hourly Volatility Explorer reveals the most potent trading hours across multiple time zones, giving you a strategic edge in timing your trades.
🌟 Key Features:
⏰ Multi-Timezone Analysis
• GMT (UTC+0)
• EST (UTC-5) - New York
• BST (UTC+1) - London
• JST (UTC+9) - Tokyo
• AEST (UTC+10) - Sydney
Perfect for tracking major market sessions and their overlaps!
📈 Dynamic Visualization
• Color-gradient hourly bars for instant pattern recognition
• Real-time volatility comparison
• Interactive data table with comprehensive statistics
• Automatic highlighting of peak volatility periods
🎯 Strategic Applications:
Day Trading:
• Identify optimal trading windows
• Avoid low-liquidity periods
• Capitalize on session overlaps
• Fine-tune entry/exit timing
Risk Management:
• Set appropriate stop losses based on hourly volatility
• Adjust position sizes for different market hours
• Optimize risk-reward ratios
• Plan around high-impact hours
Global Market Analysis:
• Track volatility across all major sessions
• Spot institutional trading patterns
• Identify quiet vs. active periods
• Monitor 24/7 market dynamics
💡 Perfect For:
• Forex traders navigating global sessions
• Crypto traders in 24/7 markets
• Day traders optimizing execution times
• Algorithmic traders fine-tuning strategies
• Risk managers calibrating exposure
📊 Advanced Features:
• Rolling 3-month analysis for reliable patterns
• Precise pip movement calculations
• Sample size tracking for statistical validity
• Real-time current hour comparison
• Color-coded visual system for instant insights
⚡ Pro Trading Tips:
• Use during major session overlaps for maximum opportunity
• Compare patterns across different instruments
• Combine with volume analysis for deeper insights
• Track seasonal variations in hourly patterns
• Build trading schedules around peak hours
🎓 Educational Value:
• Understand market microstructure
• Learn global market dynamics
• Master timezone relationships
• Develop timing intuition
🛠️ Customization:
• Adjustable lookback period
• Flexible pip multiplier
• Multiple timezone options
• Visual preference settings
Whether you're scalping the 1-minute chart or managing longer-term positions, the Hourly Volatility Explorer provides the precise timing intelligence needed for today's global markets.
Transform your trading schedule from guesswork to science. Know exactly when markets move, why they move, and how to position yourself for maximum opportunity.
#TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #Volatility #MarketTiming #DayTrading #Forex #Crypto #TradingView #PineScript #MarketAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #GlobalMarkets #FinancialMarkets #TradingTools #MarketStructure #PriceAction #Scalping #SwingTrading #AlgoTrading
Jurik Volatility BandsVolatility is a core concept in trading and impacts our trading strategies. Therefore, all traders should have some sort of volatility indicator displayed to gauge the current volatility and future expected moves.
Jurik Volatility Bands displays the price inside a volatility channel. In this way, we can measure the current price action in accordance with its volatility.
Usage
The indicator is mainly used for scalping and intraday trading. Whenever the price touches either the upper or lower volatility band, we can consider it a volatility move. It can lead to a pullback or breakout move. However, we know that when the volatility is high, we expect more significant price moves and should prepare ourselves for it.
Disclaimer: No financial advice, only for educational/entertainment purposes.
Cross Asset VolatilityThis script brings together a number of volatility indexes from the CBOE in one space making it easier to use rather than adding a number of different securities to one chart. One could create a template with these securities attached, but sometimes, you don't want to switch charts, for whatever reason, and adding an indicator for is quick and simple.
One note is that due some securities exhibit much larger volatility than others (i.e. oil vs bonds) and it can be difficult to see clearly those securities whose volatilities are low, and hence we have added the ability to calculate the values as a Log value to make the indicator more readable. Another way to do this is to change the Y-axis on the chart to Logarithmic while leaving the indicator at its default settings (i.e. the checkbox for using Log calculations remains unchecked).
Volatility DashboardThis indicator calculates and displays volatility metrics for a specified number of bars (rolling window) on a TradingView chart. It can be customized to display information in English or Thai and can position the dashboard at various locations on the chart.
Inputs
Language: Users can choose between English ("ENG") and Thai ("TH") for the dashboard's language.
Dashboard Position: Users can specify where the dashboard should appear on the chart. Options include various positions such as "Bottom Right", "Top Center", etc.
Calculation Method: Currently, the script supports "High-Low" for volatility calculation. This method calculates the difference between the highest and lowest prices within a specified timeframe.
Bars: Number of bars used to calculate the volatility.
Display Logic
Fills the islast_vol_points array with the calculated volatility points.
Sets the table cells with headers and corresponding values:
=> Highest Volatility: The maximum value in the islast_vol_points array
=> Mean Volatility: The average value in the islast_vol_points array,
=> Lowest Volatility: The minimum value in the islast_vol_points array, Number of Bars: The rolling window size.
[-_-] Volatility Calibrated ATRDescription:
An indicator based on ATR adjusted for volatility of the market. It uses Heikin Ashi data to find short and long opportunities and displays a dynamic stop loss level. Additionally, it has alerts for when the trend changes (which is an entry signal).
How it works:
It works by dynamically calculating the Period for ATR which depends on current volatility level that is calculated by a function that uses Standard Deviation of price. ATR is then smoothed by Weighted Moving Average and multiplied by ATR Factor, resulting in a plot that changes its colour to red when we're in a downtrend and green when in an uptrend. This plot should be used as a dynamic Stop Loss level. Trend change is determined by price crossing the dynamic Stop Loss level. The squared red and green labels appear when the trend changes, and should be used as Entry signals.
Parameters:
- Source -> data used for calculations
- ATR Factor -> higher values produce less noise and longer trends, lower values give more signals
Relative Strength Volatility Adjusted Ema [CC]The Relative Strength Volatility Adjusted Exponential Moving Average was created by Vitali Apirine (Stocks and Commodities Mar 2022) and this is his final indicator of his recent Relative Strength series. I published both of the previous indicators, Relative Strength Volume Adjusted Exponential Moving Average and Relative Strength Exponential Moving Average
This indicator is particularly unique because it uses the Volatility Index (VIX) symbol as the default to determine volatility and uses this in place of the current stock's price into a typical relative strength calculation. As you can see in the chart, it follows the price much closer than the other two indicators and so of course this means that this indicator is best for choppy markets and the other two are better for trending markets. I would of course recommend to experiment with this one and see what works best for you.
I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
Implied Volatility LevelsOverview:
The Implied Volatility Levels Indicator is a powerful tool designed to visualize different levels of implied volatility on your trading chart. This indicator calculates various implied volatility levels based on historical price data and plots them as dynamic dotted lines, helping traders identify significant market thresholds and potential reversal points.
Features:
Multi-Level Implied Volatility: The indicator calculates and plots multiple levels of implied volatility, including the mean and both positive and negative standard deviation multiples.
Dynamic Updates: The levels update in real-time, reflecting the latest market conditions without cluttering your chart with outdated information.
Customizable Parameters: Users can adjust the lookback period and the standard deviation multiplier to tailor the indicator to their trading strategy.
Visual Clarity: Implied volatility levels are displayed using distinct colors and dotted lines, providing clear visual cues without obstructing the view of price action.
Support for Multiple Levels: Includes additional levels (up to ±5 standard deviations) for in-depth market analysis.
How It Works:
The indicator computes the standard deviation of the closing prices over a user-defined lookback period. It then calculates various implied volatility levels by adding and subtracting multiples of this standard deviation from the mean price. These levels are plotted as dotted lines on the chart, offering traders a clear view of the current market's volatility landscape.
Usage:
Identify Key Levels: Use the plotted lines to spot potential support and resistance levels based on implied volatility.
Analyze Market Volatility: Understand how volatile the market is relative to historical data.
Plan Entry and Exit Points: Make informed trading decisions by observing where the price is in relation to the implied volatility levels.
Parameters:
Lookback Period (Days): The number of days to consider for calculating historical volatility (default is 252 days).
Standard Deviation Multiplier: A multiplier to adjust the distance of the levels from the mean (default is 1.0).
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to incorporate volatility analysis into their technical strategy, providing a robust framework for anticipating market movements and potential reversals.
[SGM GARCH Volatility]I'm excited to share with you a Pine Script™ that I developed to analyze GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) volatility. This script allows you to calculate and plot GARCH volatility on TradingView. Let's see together how it works!
Introduction
Volatility is a key concept in finance that measures the variation in prices of a financial asset. The GARCH model is a statistical method that predicts future volatility based on past volatilities and prediction residuals (errors).
Indicator settings
We define several parameters for our indicator:
length = input.int(20, title="Length")
p = input.int(1, title="Lag order (p)")
q = input.int(1, title="Degree of moving average (q)")
cluster_value = input(0.2,title="cluster value")
length: The period used for the calculations, default 20.
p: The order of the delay for the GARCH model.
q: The degree of the moving average for the GARCH model.
cluster_value: A threshold value used to color the graph.
Calculation of logarithmic returns
We calculate logarithmic returns to capture price changes:
logReturns = math.log(close) - math.log(close )
Initializing arrays
We initialize arrays to store residuals and volatilities:
var float residuals = array.new_float(length, 0)
var float volatilities = array.new_float(length, 0)
We add the new logarithmic returns to the tables and keep their size constant:
array.unshift(residuals, logReturns)
if (array.size(residuals) > length)
array.pop(residuals)
We then calculate the mean and variance of the residuals:
meanResidual = array.avg(residuals)
varianceResidual = array.stdev(residuals, meanResidual)
volatility = math.sqrt(varianceResidual)
We update the volatility table with the new value:
array.unshift(volatilities, volatility)
if (array.size(volatilities) > length)
array.pop(volatilities)
GARCH volatility is calculated from accumulated data:
var float garchVolatility = na
if (array.size(volatilities) >= length and array.size(residuals) >= length)
alpha = 0.1 // Alpha coefficient
beta = 0.85 // Beta coefficient
omega = 0.01 // Omega constant
sumVolatility = 0.0
for i = 0 to p-1
sumVolatility := sumVolatility + beta * math.pow(array.get(volatilities, i), 2)
sumResiduals = 0.0
for j = 0 to q-1
sumResiduals := sumResiduals + alpha * math.pow(array.get(residuals, j), 2)
garchVolatility := math.sqrt(omega + sumVolatility + sumResiduals)
Plot GARCH volatility
We finally plot the GARCH volatility on the chart and add horizontal lines for easier visual analysis:
plt = plot(garchVolatility, title="GARCH Volatility", color=color.rgb(33, 149, 243, 100))
h1 = hline(0.1)
h2 = plot(cluster_value)
h3 = hline(0.3)
colorGarch = garchVolatility > cluster_value ? color.red: color.green
fill(plt, h2, color = colorGarch)
colorGarch: Determines the fill color based on the comparison between garchVolatility and cluster_value.
Using the script in your trading
Incorporating this Pine Script™ into your trading strategy can provide you with a better understanding of market volatility and help you make more informed decisions. Here are some ways to use this script:
Identification of periods of high volatility:
When the GARCH volatility is greater than the cluster value (cluster_value), it indicates a period of high volatility. Traders can use this information to avoid taking large positions or to adjust their risk management strategies.
Anticipation of price movements:
An increase in volatility can often precede significant price movements. By monitoring GARCH volatility spikes, traders can prepare for potential market reversals or accelerations.
Optimization of entry and exit points:
By using GARCH volatility, traders can better identify favorable times to enter or exit a position. For example, entering a position when volatility begins to decrease after a peak can be an effective strategy.
Adjustment of stops and objectives:
Since volatility is an indicator of the magnitude of price fluctuations, traders can adjust their stop-loss and take-profit orders accordingly. Periods of high volatility may require wider stops to avoid being exited from a position prematurely.
That's it for the detailed explanation of this Pine Script™ script. Don’t hesitate to use it, adapt it to your needs and share your feedback! Happy analysis and trading everyone!
RECON ATR Volatility PercentageThe original Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a technical analysis indicator designed to measure volatility. The higher the ATR the higher the volatility.
The RECON ATR Volatility Percentage indicator calculates the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage.
Suggested chart timeframes: 1h, 4h and 1D seem to produce the most useful intel but can be used on lower timeframes as well.
The Recon ATR Volatility Percentage can be utilized for identifying trading pairs with a desired amount of volatility, for example deploying a grid trading strategy on pairs that are trending up with a high amount of volatility (say over 50%) might produce desirable results.
It is important to note the ATR does not indicate price direction and can be high in both a rising or falling market.
The ATR Length, Period Look Back Length parameters as well as the color of the columns can be configured per your specifications.
Volatility Resonance CandlesVolatility Resonance Candles visualize the dynamic interaction between price acceleration, volatility, and volume energy.
They’re designed to reveal moments when volatility expansion and directional momentum resonate — often preceding strong directional moves or reversals.
🔬 Concept
Traditional candles display direction and range, but they miss the energetic structure of volatility itself.
This indicator introduces a resonance model, where ATR ratio, price acceleration, and volume intensity combine to form a composite signal.
* ATR Resonance: compares short-term vs. long-term volatility
* Acceleration: captures the rate of price change
* Volume Energy: reinforces the move’s significance
When these components align, the candle color “resonates” — brighter, more intense candles signal stronger volatility–momentum coupling.
⚙️ Features
* Adaptive Scaling
Normalizes energy intensity dynamically across a user-defined lookback period, ensuring consistency in changing market conditions.
* Power-Law Transformation
Optional non-linear scaling (gamma) emphasizes higher-energy events while keeping low-intensity noise visually subdued.
* Divergence Mode
When enabled, colors can invert to highlight energy divergence from candle direction (e.g., bearish pressure during bullish closes).
* Customizable Styling
Full control over bullish/bearish base colors, transparency scaling, and threshold sensitivity.
🧠 Interpretation
* Bright / High-Intensity Candles → Strong alignment of volatility and directional energy.
Often signals the resonant phase of a move — acceleration backed by volatility expansion and volume participation.
* Dim / Low-Intensity Candles → Energy dispersion or consolidation.
These typically mark quiet zones, pauses, or inefficient volatility.
* Opposite-Colored Candles (if divergence mode on) → Potential inflection zones or hidden stress in the trend structure.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and test strategies before making trading decisions.
ATR% | Volatility NormalizerThis indicator measures true volatility by expressing the Average True Range (ATR) as a percentage of price. Unlike basic ATR plots, which show raw values, this version normalizes volatility to make it directly comparable across instruments and timeframes.
How it works:
Uses True Range (High–Low plus gaps) to capture actual market movement.
Normalizes by dividing ATR by the chosen price base (default: Close).
Multiplies by 100 to output a clean ATR% line.
Smoothing is flexible: choose from RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA.
Optional Feature:
For comparison, you can toggle an auxiliary line showing the average absolute close-to-close % move, highlighting the difference between simplified and true volatility.
Why use it:
Track regime shifts: identify when volatility expands or contracts in % terms.
Compare volatility across different markets (equities, crypto, forex, commodities).
Integrate into risk management: position sizing, stop placement, or volatility filters for entries.
Interpretation:
Rising ATR% → expanding volatility, potential breakouts or unstable ranges.
Falling ATR% → contracting volatility, possible consolidation or range-bound conditions.
Sudden spikes → market “shocks” worth paying attention to.
Volatility Cycle IndicatorThe Volatility Cycle Indicator is a non-directional trading tool designed to measure market volatility and cycles based on the relationship between standard deviation and Average True Range (ATR). In the Chart GBPAUD 1H time frame you can clearly see when volatility is low, market is ranging and when volatility is high market is expanding.
This innovative approach normalizes the standard deviation of closing prices by ATR, providing a dynamic perspective on volatility. By analyzing the interaction between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels, it also detects "squeeze" conditions, highlighting periods of reduced volatility, often preceding explosive price movements.
The indicator further features visual aids, including colored zones, plotted volatility cycles, and highlighted horizontal levels to interpret market conditions effectively. Alerts for key events, such as volatility crossing significant thresholds or entering a squeeze, make it an ideal tool for proactive trading.
Key Features:
Volatility Measurement:
Tracks the Volatility Cycle, normalized using standard deviation and ATR.
Helps identify periods of high and low volatility in the market.
Volatility Zones:
Colored zones represent varying levels of market volatility:
Blue Zone: Low volatility (0.5–0.75).
Orange Zone: Transition phase (0.75–1.0).
Green Zone: Moderate volatility (1.0–1.5).
Fuchsia Zone: High volatility (1.5–2.0).
Red Zone: Extreme volatility (>2.0).
Squeeze Detection:
Identifies when Bollinger Bands contract within Keltner Channels, signaling a volatility squeeze.
Alerts are triggered for potential breakout opportunities.
Visual Enhancements:
Dynamic coloring of the Volatility Cycle for clarity on its momentum and direction.
Plots multiple horizontal levels for actionable insights into market conditions.
Alerts:
Sends alerts when the Volatility Cycle crosses significant levels (e.g., 0.75) or when a squeeze condition is detected.
Non-Directional Nature:
The indicator does not predict the market's direction but rather highlights periods of potential movement, making it suitable for both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
How to Trade with This Indicator:
Volatility Squeeze Breakout:
When the indicator identifies a squeeze (volatility compression), prepare for a breakout in either direction.
Use additional directional indicators or chart patterns to determine the likely breakout direction.
Crossing Volatility Levels:
Pay attention to when the Volatility Cycle crosses the 0.75 level:
Crossing above 0.75 indicates increasing volatility—ideal for trend-following strategies.
Crossing below 0.75 signals decreasing volatility—consider mean-reversion strategies.
Volatility Zones:
Enter positions as volatility transitions through key zones:
Low volatility (Blue Zone): Watch for breakout setups.
Extreme volatility (Red Zone): Be cautious of overextended moves or reversals.
Alerts for Proactive Trading:
Configure alerts for squeeze conditions and level crossings to stay updated without constant monitoring.
Best Practices:
Pair the Volatility Cycle Indicator with directional indicators such as moving averages, trendlines, or momentum oscillators to improve trade accuracy.
Use on multiple timeframes to align entries with broader market trends.
Combine with risk management techniques, such as ATR-based stop losses, to handle volatility spikes effectively.
Volatility-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator (VAMO)Concept & Rationale: This indicator combines momentum and volatility into one oscillator. The idea is that a price move accompanied by high volatility has greater significance. We use Rate of Change (ROC) for momentum and Average True Range (ATR) for volatility, multiplying them to gauge “volatility-weighted momentum.” This concept is inspired by the Weighted Momentum & Volatility Indicator, which multiplies normalized ROC and ATR values. The result is shown as a histogram oscillating around zero – rising green bars indicate bullish momentum, while falling red bars indicate bearish momentum. When the histogram crosses above or below zero, it provides clear buy/sell signals. Higher magnitude bars suggest a stronger trend move. Crypto markets often see volatility spikes preceding big moves, so VAMO aims to capture those moments when momentum and volatility align for a powerful breakout.
Key Features:
Momentum-Volatility Fusion: Measures momentum (price ROC) adjusted by volatility (ATR). Strong trends register prominently only when price change is significant and volatility is elevated.
Intuitive Histogram: Plotted as a color-coded histogram around a zero line – green bars above zero for bullish trends, red bars below zero for bearish. This makes it easy to visualize trend strength and direction at a glance.
Clear Signals: A cross above 0 signals a buy, and below 0 signals a sell. Traders can also watch for the histogram peaking and then shrinking as an early sign of a trend reversal (e.g. bars switching from growing to shrinking while still positive could mean bullish momentum is waning).
Optimized for Volatility: Because ATR is built-in, the oscillator naturally adapts to crypto volatility. In calm periods, signals will be smaller (reducing noise), whereas during volatile swings the indicator accentuates the move, helping predict big price swings.
Customization: The lookback period is adjustable. Shorter periods (e.g. 5-10) make it more sensitive for scalping, while longer periods (20+) smooth it out for swing trading.
How to Use: When VAMO bars turn green and push above zero, it indicates bullish momentum with strong volatility – a cue that price is likely to rally in the near term. Conversely, red bars below zero signal bearish pressure. For example, if a coin’s price has been flat and then VAMO spikes green above zero, it suggests an explosive upward move is brewing. Traders can enter on the zero-line cross (or on the first green bar) and consider exiting when the histogram peaks and starts shrinking (signaling momentum slowdown). In sideways markets, VAMO will hover near zero – staying out during those low-volatility periods helps avoid false signals. This indicator’s strength is catching the moment when a quiet market turns volatile in one direction, which often precedes the next few candlesticks of sustained movement.
Historical Volatility (adjustable time period)Historical Volatility with Adjustable Time Period and Moving Average
This indicator calculates the historical volatility of an asset within a user-defined date range. Volatility is a measure of the dispersion of returns and is commonly used to assess the risk and potential price fluctuations of an asset.
How It Works
User-Defined Date Range: You can specify the start and end dates to focus on a particular period for volatility calculation. This is useful for analyzing specific historical events or trends within a defined timeframe.
Daily Returns Calculation: The script calculates the daily returns as the percentage change between the current close price and the previous close price. This percentage change is essential for determining the asset's volatility.
Volatility Calculation: The historical volatility is computed as the standard deviation of the daily returns over a specified period. The standard deviation is a statistical measure that quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values.
Moving Average: An optional feature allows you to plot a moving average of the volatility. You can customize the type (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA) and the period of the moving average, helping to smooth out the volatility data and identify trends.
Indicator Settings
Start Date: Select the beginning date of the period for which you want to calculate volatility.
End Date: Select the end date of the period.
Period: Set the number of bars (days) over which to calculate the average volatility.
Show Moving Average: Toggle to display the moving average of the volatility.
Moving Average Period: Define the length of the moving average.
Moving Average Type: Choose the type of moving average: Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), Weighted (WMA), or Volume-Weighted (VWMA).
How to Use
Configure Date Range: Set the start and end dates to focus on the specific historical period you are interested in.
Adjust Period for Volatility Calculation: Select the period over which you want to calculate the average volatility. A shorter period will be more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer period will provide a more smoothed view.
Enable and Configure Moving Average: If desired, enable the moving average and select the type and period that best fits your analysis style.
Example Use Cases
Market Analysis: Identify periods of high or low volatility to assess market conditions.
Risk Management: Use historical volatility to evaluate the risk associated with a particular asset.
Event Impact: Analyze how specific events within the selected date range affected the asset's volatility.
By providing these functionalities, this indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to understand and analyze the volatility of assets over custom time periods with the flexibility of adding a moving average for trend analysis.
[blackcat] L1 Dynamic Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator (Volatility) is used to measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in financial markets or a specific asset. This thing is usually used to assess how risky the market is. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices, but brother, the risk is also relatively high! Here are some related terms and explanations:
- Historical Volatility: The actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past. This thing is measured by calculating historical data.
- Implied Volatility: The volatility inferred from option market prices, used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations.
- VIX Index (Volatility Index): Often referred to as the "fear index," it predicts the volatility of the US stock market within 30 days in advance. This is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they can help them understand how unstable and risky the market is, thereby making wiser investment decisions.
Today I want to introduce a volatility indicator that I have privately held for many years. It can use colors to judge sharp rises and falls! Of course, if you are smart enough, you can also predict some potential sharp rises and falls by looking at the trend!
In the financial field, volatility indicators measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in different assets. They are usually used to assess the level of market risk. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices and therefore higher risk. Historical Volatility refers to the actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past, which can be measured by calculating historical data; while Implied Volatility is derived from option market prices and used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations. In addition, VIX Index is commonly known as "fear index" and is used to predict volatility in the US stock market within 30 days. It is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they help them understand market uncertainty and risk, enabling them to make wiser investment decisions. The L1 Dynamic Volatility Indicator that I am introducing today is an indicator that measures volatility and can also judge sharp rises and falls through colors!
This indicator combines two technical indicators: Dynamic Volatility (DV) and ATR (Average True Range), displaying warnings about sharp rises or falls through color coding. DV has a slow but relatively smooth response, while ATR has a fast but more oscillating response. By utilizing their complementary characteristics, it is possible to construct a structure similar to MACD's fast-slow line structure. Of course, in order to achieve fast-slow lines for DV and ATR, first we need to unify their coordinate axes by normalizing them. Then whenever ATR's yellow line exceeds DV's purple line with both curves rapidly breaking through the threshold of 0.2, sharp rises or falls are imminent.
However, it is important to note that relying solely on the height and direction of these two lines is not enough to determine the direction of sharp rises or falls! Because they only judge the trend of volatility and cannot determine bull or bear markets! But it's okay, I have already considered this issue early on and added a magical gradient color band. When the color band gradually turns warm, it indicates a sharp rise; conversely, when the color band tends towards cool colors, it indicates a sharp fall! Of course, you won't see the color band in sideways consolidation areas, which avoids your involvement in unnecessary trades that would only waste your funds! This indicator is really practical and with it you can better assess market risks and opportunities!
Smoothed Volatility Bands [CC]The Smoothed Volatility Bands were created by Sylvain Vervoort (Stocks and Commodities Sep 2020 pg 19) and this is a heavily customized version of regular Bollinger Bands that take volatility into account. Feel free to change the moving average since Vervoort recommended trying that out. Buy when the indicator line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you want me to publish!
