Buy CNOOC here due to the following technical and fundamental reasons:
Technical -50% Retracement of the last move up - Support at 50 Day moving average at about $18.00
Fundamental - 2014 Forward PE ratio of 5.5 - Growth in South China sea fields. - Recent China govt policy support of the stock market - Highly supportive dividend yield of 8% - Strong balance sheet - Still a very solid production growth outlook
Risks - Extreme geopolitical tension may cause foreigners to be blocked out of trading Chinese equities, even if listed in Hong Kong (Like happened with Gazprom)
Target: HK $28 within 1 year Stop: HK$ 15.00 Risk / Reward: 1:3