When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 Behavior

11月11日

BTC.D

• Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
• The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
  
• You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
  
  
• Historical Patterns and Timelines:
• Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
  
  
• TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
• The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
  
  
• Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
• The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
  
• Future Predictions:
  
  
• Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.