here we go?

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always when I look at the chart I look for the reason for the fall, in order to turn money into a bag of bitcoins, but this does not work out. There is always something local inside the trend
it gets boring

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In a matter of days, investors' view on the outlook for the Bitcoin price has flipped from being bearish to bullish, as represented by a shift in options market pricing. The flip in investor sentiment comes as the Bitcoin price surges above the $28,000 level for the first time since early last June, taking gains since earlier monthly lows to over 44%.

Yearly gains are now closer to 70%, with Bitcoin pumping amid 1) increased demand for assets deemed as a safe haven given troubles in the global banking system and 2) increased bets that US Federal Reserve won’t engage in much further tightening. Indeed, in the week ahead, the Fed’s policy meeting will be a key event, with investors split over whether the bank will deliver one final 25 bps rate hike.Options Markets Flip Bullish

When Bitcoin dipped under $20,000 for the first time in two months last week, the outlook for the BTC price according to the 25% delta skew of Bitcoin options expiring in 7, 30, 60, 90 and 180 days fell to their lowest levels of the year of between -5 to -10.

However, the aggressive price recovery has seen the 25% delta skew of Bitcoin options expiring in 7, 30, 60, 90 and 180 days recover rapidly into bullish territory, with all close to 5. For the 7-day 25% delta skew, that’s its highest level since mid-February. For the 30, 60 and 90-day skews, that’s their highest level since mid-January. Finally, for the 180-day skew, that is its highest level since November 2021.

The 25% delta options skew is a popularly monitored proxy for the degree to which trading desks are over or undercharging for upside or downside protection via the put and call options they are selling to investors. Put options give an investor the right but not the obligation to sell an asset at a predetermined price, while a call option gives an investor the right but not the obligation to buy an asset at a predetermined price.

A 25% delta options skew above 0 suggests that desks are charging more for equivalent call options versus puts. This implies there is stronger demand for calls versus puts, which can be interpreted as a bullish sign as investors are more eager to secure protection against (or bet on) a rise in prices.

Bitcoin options markets are thus sending a message that investors are positioning for further gains. And that makes sense in the context of recent moves.Where Next for the BTC Price?

With Bitcoin having now seemingly cleared resistance in the form of the late May 2022 lows in the $28,000 area, the door is now open to a swift test of the psychologically important $30,000 level and then the early June 2022 highs in the $32,500 area. Indeed, there isn’t much by way of any resistance to prevent such a rally.

Fundamentals seem likely to continue to support Bitcoin upside. If this week’s Fed meeting is dovish, associated risk-on flows and easing financial conditions should support the Bitcoin price. If the Fed isn’t as dovish as the market hopes, this could cause a short-term price wobble, but would likely result in further US bank sector strains, which could increase demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven alternative.

All the while, on-chain trends are looking positive. Core on-chain metrics like the number of non-zero balance wallets, the number of daily transactions, the number of daily active addresses and the rate of new address creation are all trending in the right direction. Alternative indicators such as those tracked in Glassnode’s “Recovering from a Bitcoin Bear” dashboard are (mostly) flashing a bullish signal as well.

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this news is on the chart

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now fly again

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until we drop all the passengers on top
then let's go higher

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he does not go further, there is no fuel
it's time to cut prices around 9k

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on binance very strong manipulation with fixing volumes

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this exchange counted its days until closing

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Bitcoin price attempted a fresh increase above the $28,000 resistance zone. BTC struggled and is currently consolidating gains below $28,000.

Bitcoin is facing a few hurdles above the $28,000 resistance.
The price is trading above $27,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near $27,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
The pair could start a downside correction if there is a break below $27,200.

hese limit orders are manipulation
I don't know why the price is there

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I will go from the current level and put a take profit at 29800. At around 29800, the upper limit of the rising wedge

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it looks like it will come to around 31-32

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there will be a jump

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salespeople

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28686 tp

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the price wants to retest to make a triangle, there are a lot of sellers on the market and simple accumulation is needed. The dynamics is still bullish and a breakout will be necessary, but with a delay

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As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin whale transaction count has been at relatively high levels recently as the cryptocurrency’s price has observed a sharp uptrend. The daily values, however, have actually gone down compared to the spikes seen a week or so back.

But the 30-day MA of the metric has only been going up despite this, as those large spikes seen before were more isolated, while the indicator has seen more consistently high values in the last few days.

The 30-day MA Bitcoin whale transaction count has now hit the highest level in 16 weeks as these humongous holders are now making more than 10,000 transactions per day. This suggests that Bitcoin whales have been quite active on the blockchain recently.

The WBTC whales, too, are observing a period of elevated activity, as their 30-day transaction count has reached a 15-week high now. WBTC is an ERC-20 token that’s backed 1:1 by BTC, meaning that its value is the same as the latter.

As the whale transaction count indicator doesn’t separate buy volume from sell volume, it’s hard to say what effect the elevated values of the metric might have on the asset.

The effect could go either way, bullish or bearish. One thing, however, that has generally held true is that the asset’s price becomes more volatile when the whales are active like this.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $28,200, up 15% in the last week.

activity was to keep the price at the same level with limit orders. If the big holders did not intervene in the market, then the price of bitcoin would skyrocket uncontrollably. At the moment, I see the price of bitcoin at least $200,000

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only purchases

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who saw yesterday the price that I wrote here - congratulations. Find an entry point

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bearish imbalance

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I'm waiting for the price in that place if possible part of the money will be there

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the news background is good, I suppose that the price may rise to 28300, then go to test the levels even lower. a bearish imbalance has formed that we can trade within the framework of this movement.

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my trade is open and now I have moved my stop loss to breakeven. Price deal 280k
TP 28300
sl 27250
very conservative

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we are now trading an imbalance from the previous decline. but if you follow these imbalances and do not take into account the context in which it was formed, then we have an imbalance at a price of 3.7k if bitcoin comes to a price of 3.7, then I will sell a kidney to buy it.
ps.. this is not accurate, one member already wanted to eat, I won’t cut anything off

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conclusion: studies have shown that by April 4, the price will rise to around 41k in two weekly candles. I'm not going to post anything else on purpose so that I can see if I'm right or not.

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Fine. now to the side

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I would open a trade at 28110
and put tp at 29617

well, let's see

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even probably 27297

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you need to remember the true purpose of creating bitcoin, do not forget that decentralization is its most important value. institutional regulation cannot have a positive impact on BTC, these old idiots need to be removed from the banking system, they don't understand a damn thing about it, they can't even turn on the computer, what the hell are they needed for
trading with leverage only kills trading and brings nothing in the long run. I have analyzed the market, and bitcoin should return to its place when the issue of bitcoin ends, when expensive equipment becomes unprofitable and ceases to bring money except for earnings on transactions. I don't want to pay $50,000 to transfer 1 bitcoin.
These are the thoughts I have this morning

DumitruAntohi