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Let's analyze the current Bitcoin trend based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
First, the strong upward trend starting from 102K and ending at 112K can be identified as an impulse wave (Wave 1 to 5) in the Elliott Wave structure. The subsequent decline from 112K appears to be part of a C wave that began at the peak of the B wave. The rebound near 107K seems to be a so-called "Dead Cat Bounce," interpreted as a technical rebound due to a strong support/resistance zone in that area.
To make the wave count easier to understand, you can view a chart showing only the wave count at the link below:

The wave ratios used in this idea are as follows:
higher-degree Wave 1 analysis: Wave 1 to 3 × 0.618 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave 3 analysis: Wave 1 × 0.618 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave 5 analysis: Wave 1 × 1 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave C analysis: Wave 1 × 2.618 = Wave 3
Based on this analysis, the trend still leans toward the upside, and the following take-profit levels are suggested:
First target: 109,980 USDT
Second target: 111,361 USDT
Thank you.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
Let's analyze the current Bitcoin trend based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
First, the strong upward trend starting from 102K and ending at 112K can be identified as an impulse wave (Wave 1 to 5) in the Elliott Wave structure. The subsequent decline from 112K appears to be part of a C wave that began at the peak of the B wave. The rebound near 107K seems to be a so-called "Dead Cat Bounce," interpreted as a technical rebound due to a strong support/resistance zone in that area.
To make the wave count easier to understand, you can view a chart showing only the wave count at the link below:
The wave ratios used in this idea are as follows:
higher-degree Wave 1 analysis: Wave 1 to 3 × 0.618 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave 3 analysis: Wave 1 × 0.618 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave 5 analysis: Wave 1 × 1 = Wave 5
higher-degree Wave C analysis: Wave 1 × 2.618 = Wave 3
Based on this analysis, the trend still leans toward the upside, and the following take-profit levels are suggested:
First target: 109,980 USDT
Second target: 111,361 USDT
Thank you.
ノート
It’s very common for wave B to slightly exceed the top of wave 5 before wave C unfolds.
If you count the waves, it matches the chart above.
Also, the Alt Bat pattern has been confirmed with the 1.13 level.
It remains a strong long position.
This shows the wave count so far.
I’ve consistently maintained a bullish outlook and have never changed my stance.
I believe the target levels mentioned in this post (e.g., the first take-profit at 109980) will be reached.
This looks like the final chance to buy.
トレード終了: 利益確定目標に到達
Trade ReviewThe first target was reached without issue, but unfortunately, the second target was not achieved.
However, as planned in advance, 50% of the position was taken profit at the first target, and the remaining 50% was fully closed at the entry price, marking the end of this trade.
As a result, it was a trade that minimized risk and secured stable profits.
📊 Check the TradingView Chart
In this trade, a strong breakout near the 110,400 USDT high led to expectations of accelerated upward movement toward the second target.
However, the price failed to fully absorb the supply zone between 110,500 and 112,000 USDT, faced strong resistance, and eventually reversed into a downtrend.
Summary Feedback
Partial take-profit and breakeven management: Following the pre-defined strategy allowed for stable risk management and profit realization, which is highly positive.
Balance in technical analysis: This was a good reminder that not only advanced techniques like harmonic patterns and Elliott Waves are important, but also that basic support/resistance and supply zone analysis are equally essential.
Strategy refinement direction: Moving forward, I will continue to focus on key market price zones (supply zones, highs/lows) in parallel with technical analysis to build more refined trading strategies.
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🌐서버린 공식 텔레그램 토론방
🔗t.me/+Sd_TSg2IX3k4Njg1
📌FIFTH(전자책) 무료 배포-분석법 공개
🔗tinyurl.com/FIFTH-SAMPLE
⚠️경고: 무근의 명예훼손·욕설·비방은 형사·민사 대응합니다. 계정추적·고소·손배 청구를 진행할 수 있으며, 모든 관련 자료(스크린샷·로그)를 수집하고 있습니다.
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🔴유튜브
🔗youtube.com/@seovereign
🌐서버린 공식 텔레그램 토론방
🔗t.me/+Sd_TSg2IX3k4Njg1
📌FIFTH(전자책) 무료 배포-분석법 공개
🔗tinyurl.com/FIFTH-SAMPLE
⚠️경고: 무근의 명예훼손·욕설·비방은 형사·민사 대응합니다. 계정추적·고소·손배 청구를 진행할 수 있으며, 모든 관련 자료(스크린샷·로그)를 수집하고 있습니다.
🔗youtube.com/@seovereign
🌐서버린 공식 텔레그램 토론방
🔗t.me/+Sd_TSg2IX3k4Njg1
📌FIFTH(전자책) 무료 배포-분석법 공개
🔗tinyurl.com/FIFTH-SAMPLE
⚠️경고: 무근의 명예훼손·욕설·비방은 형사·민사 대응합니다. 계정추적·고소·손배 청구를 진행할 수 있으며, 모든 관련 자료(스크린샷·로그)를 수집하고 있습니다.
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。