Avis Budget rallied in the fourth quarter on a value-driven short squeeze. It’s calmed down since but now may be showing some interesting patterns.

First, consider the bounce off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on February 24. That could suggest the longer-term uptrend remains in effect.

Second, notice how prices have stayed in a tight channel since mid-March. Are they starting to resemble a bullish flag?

Third, CAR’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. That suggests the shorter-term trend remains positive.

Fourth, stochastics are nearly oversold despite only a modest pullback in the shares.

Finally, the macro situation may favor CAR because it trades for less than 15 times earnings (placing it more in the “value” camp than “growth”). It could also benefit from the onset of summer vacations starting next month. Earnings are due May 2 in the post market.

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