- I'm taking contrarian stance on 
CNC as fears are overdone.
-CNC has cash in hand around14 billion and market cap is around 13.5 billion.
- I call bullshit on the market. Math isn't mathing.
- Company isn't going bankrupt. There are headwinds but they will navigate the headwinds and return capital to investors.
- This is not a startup coming out of no where. It has 2 decades of experience navigating difficult times than this in the past be it GFC, Dot Com crash, Covid crash or other bureaucratic hurdles.
CNC as fears are overdone. -
CNC has cash in hand around14 billion and market cap is around 13.5 billion.- I call bullshit on the market. Math isn't mathing.
- Company isn't going bankrupt. There are headwinds but they will navigate the headwinds and return capital to investors.
- This is not a startup coming out of no where. It has 2 decades of experience navigating difficult times than this in the past be it GFC, Dot Com crash, Covid crash or other bureaucratic hurdles.
ノート
In a bear-case worst scenario (policy cuts plus execution missteps leading to near-breakeven profits), perhaps the stock could drift lower into the low $20s or high teens – but that would imply near bankruptcy valuations for a company still doing ~$150B in revenueノート
- P/S is 0.08 - Better than feared report will lead to huge short covering rally.
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- There huge risk to the upside rather than the downside as market participants are too pessimistic and pricing CNC as if it is going bankrupt. - Please note that
CNC makes real revenue and net income in billions. The headwinds are just challenges they will have to navigate which they most likely are going to address via hiking premiums. ノート
- Closing above 7 SMA would be nice :)ノート
- Sold pre market at 29.xx for 5% was expecting overreaction by market participants- Bought back
CNC at 27.xx after 7% pull backノート
Implied volatility is +/-9% for tomorrow's earningsノート
The way market is selling CNC they need to absolutely come tomorrow and tell that they are going out of business. So many cry babies in the markets.ノート
$23.26 should serve as some support if you look at the declines levels on the left.ノート
Glad that I had deep in the money covered calls for my shares to protect from the downside and switched to long dated call option for enjoying any upside ノート
CEO calmed investors and assured long term fiscal targets in tact. Repricing strategy 2026 is comingノート
- $23.26 should be the bottom. At these levels, it's undervalued fundamentally and stock is priced for bankruptcy.- Potential upside 60-100% in next 2 years
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Bottoming in process! - Dowside risks << Upside risk
- Worth buying some good chunks in 23-27 range
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CNC : Time for mean reversion! $35+ before the year end and next year well above $40ノート
- Bearish to bullish CNC let's go! - This company was priced for bankruptcy! This company makesb profit in billions
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- CNC is ticking time bomb. We are getting close to 2026 and re-pricing of policies is coming which will lead to improvements in margin and profitability.ノート
CNC is making bull flag. Hopefully 35+ soon ノート
CNC closed above $30 bucks on September 3, 2025ノート
- Consolidation and building momentum today on September 9, 2025- shorting
CNC currently is fuel to the fire. - Easy re-rating story for 2026.
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