The current market cycle looks eerily similar to the 2005 - 2010 era.
Dow started going up after the last rate hike in expectation of a rate cut and eventually peaked around the time the cut started i.e. Sep 2007.
Very similar behaviour is evident in current cycle where market has been rising since the last rate hike. If the Fed cut is expected in June 2024, then there is still some upmove left, but we are close to the top.
P.S.: 1: Numbers mentioned are the rates after the said action.
2: Similar price action was developing in 2015-2020 period, however, it can't be considered as a valid reference on account of COVID crash.
Dow started going up after the last rate hike in expectation of a rate cut and eventually peaked around the time the cut started i.e. Sep 2007.
Very similar behaviour is evident in current cycle where market has been rising since the last rate hike. If the Fed cut is expected in June 2024, then there is still some upmove left, but we are close to the top.
P.S.: 1: Numbers mentioned are the rates after the said action.
2: Similar price action was developing in 2015-2020 period, however, it can't be considered as a valid reference on account of COVID crash.