ロング

EURUSD Outlook 3/5

アップデート済

Bullish overall on XXXUSD pairs, but NFP is this friday, its not as straighforward how price gets to its final objectives but this is what I find interesting at the moment.

ノート

plotting. will see what develops, would like to catch a trade either today or tomorrow then observe the rest of the week

ノート

took a short before confirmation, but we are in a 2hr FVG. might be a little early. lets see what NYSE decides.

トレード終了: ストップロスに到達

ノート

giving the short another go.

ノート

SL is BE. aiming for a 1:1 projection (standard deviation) of the trading above the 12AM open price, reflected below it for my 1TP. 2nd TP is the monthly open price.

ノート

added a second.

ノート

hoping to get a drop before the day closes.

ノート

still holding first position, had to give it room overnight.

ノート

lol, thanks Powell.

ノート

closed full position here cus I dont want to stomach a retrace.

ノート

I dont think the selling is over, but the market might want to take out all the "price chasers"

I will consider a re-entry if we get a retracement to this level.

ノート

Ignore that random stop loss level, that was used to measure the open price on an 8hr candle and not for actual trade management.

ノート

TP2 hit after being deleted. Still comfortable with the decision cut and run earlier. However this is a win for analysis.

ノート

Considering.

ノート

no trade taken. Note how entry criteria failed to form. This is a better approach than buying and praying. identify what you need to see to justify participation, then participate if the market delivers.

ノート

buying here

ノート

still holding this bag, but looking to get out at small profit.

トレード終了: ストップロスに到達

ノート

long on EU again, weekly outlook idea is developing nicely.

ノート

Added to position

ノート

Just need Powell to be a good boy today.

ノート

Powell took out my add, I added one back in during the drop

ノート

going risk free.

ノート

some of what im looking to see.

ノート

march open price is giving some resistance, hopefully price can push through.

ノート

adding a third position here on demo for education

ノート

demo trade didnt hold, SL is back down at BE, had to give it room.

ノート

still holding but she's running out of steam. will see what it looks like by days end

ノート

ill hold intraday if it closes above the open.

ノート

lol what is EU cooking?!

ノート

holding. but I dont love it tbh. we'll see what tomorrow brings.

ノート

dont love the daily doji with FVG as the market likes to take liquidity on both sides of doji.

ノート

going to dial down the hubris factor and shoot for more conservative targets, and respect the daily FVG and its ability to put in a new low once traded into. looking for a 1.5 STD extension of yesterday's asian range for a take profit.

ノート

still holding. this is pretty sh*t price action. would like an exit so I can call it for the week.

ノート

lol what was that?

not complaining tho. feel more comfortable moving my SL, below the 12am open.

ノート

price is struggling to sustain trading above the monthly open but I still believe we get there with some patience.

ノート

Need NYSE to behave.

ノート

developing, moving SL higher into profits.

ノート

im still a believer in this trade but this has to be the worst price action in a while. I will hold till either SL where it currently is, or TP. Or close before NFP even if NFP brings completion I dont want to be in an open trade for that.

ノート

this is what im looking for to start thinking about an exit

ノート

gave SL more room to below balanced range

ノート

nice. could have been a nice entry if i wasnt already involved.

ノート

I should take up knitting...

ノート

probably my last stoploss move

ノート

added a small position with a tight SL.

ノート

add got stopped out and I closed trade manually here. Didn't get the push I was looking for and it looks unlikely at this point. extremely annoying trade would not recommend lol.

ノート

taking a short, will try to clsoe before NFP.

ノート

Lol the market successfully kicked me out of my position and baited me into a bad trade. well played, ill take the reduced profits as a consolation prize.

Till next time.

ノート

definitely regretting selling position but c'est la vie.

ノート

looking for shorts, taking my first attempt here, will try one more time if it doesnt hold.

ノート

initial reaction is encouraging, i would like to add to this if it gives a breaker entry, dont want to double up before im well into profit, unnecessary risk.

ノート

i gave it some more room to the high of the last hourly candle, still in this.

ノート

stopped out, trying again

ノート

was way too impatient for an NFP day today.

ノート

short again.

ノート

JFC finally getting on the right side today.

ノート

note to self, stay off the 1 min chart.

ノート

adding here.

ノート

balanced ranges might be the most reliable small stoploss entry technique that exists. Will look to study and journal this weekend.

ノート

added another and reducing TP level.

ノート

closed positions here before market close. This week was good overall. decision making slipped a bit on thursday into friday. in retrospect should have let thursdays long continue to completion and sat out NFP but hindsight is 20-20.

back at it again next week.