DAILY EXPECTION -------------------------------------------------------------- Little news = slow day
CURRENCY OVERVIEW -------------------------------------------------------------- Long term strength Strong AUD NZD
Weak GBP JPY
Short term correlation Weak correlation on CHF EUR GBP
FUNDAMENTALS ------------------------------------------------------------------- News EUR Speech - morning (right now needs to hurry up!) CAD - afternoon (USD - evening)
DAILY CONCEPTS ------------------------------------------------------------------- Focus on EUR movement (not currency???) because of news News has happened - EUR has strong reaction on eur pairs and neutral to others Pair EUR with extreme currency Beware EUR is being dragged about by other currencies EURUSD is at top of daily range and is sitting on W21EMA EUR is neutral assume will push weak after news because of EURUSD range
Assume USD inverse related Focus on USD strength (because of ASSUMED weak EUR) = pair with weak currency (GBP, JPY) GBP has poor correlation
INSTRUMENT SELECTION ------------------------------------------------------------------- USDJPY 2 more stable pairs. JPY weak. USD neutral but expecting strength from EUR weakness because of news volatility