Gold Futures ($GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 618

7月14日

🟡 Gold Futures (GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 0.618 Fib in Bullish Breakout Context

⏳ Pre-US Session Playbook
We're currently watching Gold Futures (GC1!) for a potential short opportunity into the US session open. While the broader structure has broken bullish, we're anticipating a bearish retest scenario from a key Fibonacci level — aligning cleanly with last week’s breakout structure.

No positions have been taken yet — we are setting up for the US session — and are closely monitoring price action near the 0.618 retracement zone before committing.

📍 Setup Breakdown
• 0.618 Fib Retracement from the last bearish impulse aligns with:
○ Recent volume shelf resistance
○ Retest zone from prior breakout
○ An overextended local push into thin volume above 3380

• Bullish Context:
○ HTF breakout from descending wedge structure remains valid
○ Macro buyers still in control
○ Upside continuation risk is high if sellers don’t show up

• Short Bias Conditions:
○ Rejection or absorption in the 3385–3390 zone
○ Weak follow-through above 0.618 (failed breakout scenario)
○ Breakdown of LTF higher low structure post-test

🧠 Strategy Commentary
Although we’re in bullish breakout mode, this is a tactical short setup — a fade into prior structure with clear invalidation. We're not fighting trend, but looking to short into exhaustion at a defined level, with tight risk parameters.

Confluence Factors:
• 0.618 fib alignment
• VRVP volume shelf
• Prior breakout structure retest
• LTF divergence or absorption confirming the fade

🎯 Trade Parameters (Planned)
• Entry Zone: ~3385–3390
• Stop Loss: Tight, 3395–3400
• Target Zone: 3342–3337 (full structure retest)

📌 Patience is key — this remains a setup until confirmed. We'll post live if and when conditions are met.

Let the market come to you.

7月17日

手動でトレードを終了しました

Going long from here