Gold back to square one?

2020年8月11日

It's about time for a pullback on gold. But was this it, or is there more?

In the recent advances in gold and silver, I've found the 4H or 2H chart to be the most informative.

Likely areas for a reversal are these two old support zones in green.

The first one is confluence with the 200 (on the 4H chart) EMA/SMA and a healthy 0.618 retrace, at least the way I measure it.

The second one is confluence with the Point of Control (POC), the heaviest volume in this range.

I expect the drop will cool down a bit first here, by the 0.5 retrace and the 21D EMA, and then have some reaction at the first zone but ultimately make its way to the second. Max pain, max disillusionment, max opportunity.

2020年8月12日

ノート

"...some reaction at the first zone"

There you go:

I'm holding out for the second zone.

2020年8月20日

ノート

I see no-one likes this idea lol
But I like the idea of buying the almighty pullback before the historical bull market.
So let's have an update even if I'm talking to myself.
The classical ABC correction with a 1.0 third leg - guess what - coincides with zone I drew in the beginning.
More likely than ever that we go there.