Housing Market Boom / Crash Statistical Analysis
Housing market's median home value (for new homes) peaked 2 months ago at 457k.
Total growth leading up to that point over the last 59 years, since 1963, was 439.3k.
The last two years accounts for a significant portion of all growth, while the last two growth periods displayed more growth than all of which occurred during the 44 year period between 1963 and 2007
12.4% of all growth has been lost in the last 61 days, or 37% of what was gained in the last 2 years.
Following the bailouts in 2008 we began to see recovery across markets, but starting around 2010 an exaggerated period of growth began. After the covid pandemic flash crash, that exaggerated growth skyrocketed, leading to an unsustainable market economy, especially in housing.
The losses we've seen over the last 61 days may indicate the beginnings of an extended period of severe loss if markets are left to correct naturally, if not artificially bailed out yet again.
Total growth leading up to that point over the last 59 years, since 1963, was 439.3k.
The last two years accounts for a significant portion of all growth, while the last two growth periods displayed more growth than all of which occurred during the 44 year period between 1963 and 2007
12.4% of all growth has been lost in the last 61 days, or 37% of what was gained in the last 2 years.
Following the bailouts in 2008 we began to see recovery across markets, but starting around 2010 an exaggerated period of growth began. After the covid pandemic flash crash, that exaggerated growth skyrocketed, leading to an unsustainable market economy, especially in housing.
The losses we've seen over the last 61 days may indicate the beginnings of an extended period of severe loss if markets are left to correct naturally, if not artificially bailed out yet again.
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