Full disclosure, I'm using NFXL to play this rather than NFLX. Historically, with around 700 trade signals, this one has paid at a rate of about 3.5x the daily return of the market on NFLX itself, and its only losing trade ever is the -7.50% trade on the chart from July.
2025 has been a bit below average (thanks to the weight of that loser), with an average gain of around 1.7% per trade on NFLX. But at 16-1 for the year, that works out to be about +29% for the year so far. Not quite to the level of simply buying and holding NFLX, but WAY better than the market overall since the beginning of the year. Besides, I'm doubling that using NFXL and gaining a much easier opportunity to use calls to boost me if things go sideways, since owning even 100 of NFLX straight up would cost well over $100k. Since this is ideally a quick-paying trade, NFXL is a much better way to play this (and would have roughly doubled all the return numbers I shared above).
We are at the bottom of a rising regression channel and well above the 1-yr. VWAP, with support close by, so I'm happy to wait and tactically add and subtract if I have to while the trade plays out. Got in this right after the open this morning at the Friday close price on NFXL, but I'll use this as the proxy instead since everyone Is more familiar with this one. So consider my entry at 1188.44.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
2025 has been a bit below average (thanks to the weight of that loser), with an average gain of around 1.7% per trade on NFLX. But at 16-1 for the year, that works out to be about +29% for the year so far. Not quite to the level of simply buying and holding NFLX, but WAY better than the market overall since the beginning of the year. Besides, I'm doubling that using NFXL and gaining a much easier opportunity to use calls to boost me if things go sideways, since owning even 100 of NFLX straight up would cost well over $100k. Since this is ideally a quick-paying trade, NFXL is a much better way to play this (and would have roughly doubled all the return numbers I shared above).
We are at the bottom of a rising regression channel and well above the 1-yr. VWAP, with support close by, so I'm happy to wait and tactically add and subtract if I have to while the trade plays out. Got in this right after the open this morning at the Friday close price on NFXL, but I'll use this as the proxy instead since everyone Is more familiar with this one. So consider my entry at 1188.44.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
トレード終了: 利益確定目標に到達
Completely forgot to update this at the close. I had errands to run and rushed out after the close. So sorry this is a late update. Sold my position in NFXL at the close today. If it were straight NFLX, I would have made 3.37% in 3 trading days. Happily, trading NFXL, I made just under double that. The results below reflect the return on NFLX, since that's what the idea is about.ノート
Trade results for my recordsWins 1
Losses 0
Avg. gain per lot = +3.37%
Avg. holding period per lot = 3 days
Avg. gain per lot per day held = +1.12%
Annualized RoR = 1.12% x 252 = +283%
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免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。