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Natural Gas Prices Rally Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and Market

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Natural Gas Prices Rally Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment Shift

The price of natural gas is staging a recovery, currently trading around $1.80 as of the time of writing. Preceding any technical analysis, it's important to note that the US Dollar Index is experiencing a slight decline, as market sentiment favors risk assets over safe havens and cash.

Natural gas futures are showing signs of strength ahead of the US trading session this Tuesday, surpassing the $1.80 mark. This uptick comes after tensions between Israel and Iran nearly escalated into a direct confrontation, causing concerns in the market. Despite the de-escalation of tensions over the weekend, natural gas prices are on the rise, buoyed by a shift in investor sentiment.

Both equities and commodities are regaining favor, with several analysts predicting a notable increase of 10% to 30% in commodity prices, particularly precious metals. Additionally, we are entering a period of seasonality for natural gas, historically marked by price growth during this time of the year.

Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exiting the oversold territory and currently above the 50 middle level. This suggests a potential long setup trade for a swing reversal, aligning with the seasonal trend.

In light of these developments, traders may consider maintaining open positions for an extended period, in anticipation of the forecasted price movements driven by both geopolitical factors and market sentiment shifts.